mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.16 2.14 0.56 0.00 2.38 951.44 1.00 E0 22.81 15.17 18.66 3.75 44.02 153.08 1.01 H0 163.20 93.49 164.05 32.03 320.18 1749.69 1.00 I0 35.87 56.70 13.55 0.02 97.34 461.58 1.01 beta0 2.00 0.77 1.86 0.89 3.10 63.00 1.02 confirmed_dispersion 0.25 0.06 0.24 0.15 0.34 1096.00 1.00 death_dispersion 0.50 0.10 0.50 0.34 0.67 1589.50 1.00 death_prob 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01 67.32 1.00 death_rate 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.07 690.01 1.00 det_prob[0] 0.26 0.06 0.25 0.15 0.34 154.94 1.00 det_prob[1] 0.25 0.06 0.25 0.16 0.36 120.68 1.00 det_prob[2] 0.25 0.06 0.25 0.15 0.35 120.13 1.00 det_prob[3] 0.25 0.06 0.25 0.15 0.36 112.51 1.00 det_prob[4] 0.25 0.07 0.25 0.15 0.36 96.38 1.00 det_prob[5] 0.25 0.07 0.25 0.15 0.37 86.05 1.00 det_prob[6] 0.26 0.07 0.25 0.14 0.36 82.01 1.00 det_prob[7] 0.26 0.07 0.25 0.14 0.37 75.39 1.00 det_prob[8] 0.26 0.07 0.25 0.14 0.38 72.01 1.00 det_prob[9] 0.26 0.07 0.25 0.14 0.38 71.89 1.00 det_prob[10] 0.27 0.08 0.26 0.13 0.38 71.72 1.00 det_prob[11] 0.27 0.08 0.26 0.15 0.40 69.48 1.00 det_prob[12] 0.27 0.08 0.26 0.16 0.41 64.78 1.00 det_prob[13] 0.28 0.08 0.27 0.15 0.41 60.70 1.00 det_prob[14] 0.28 0.08 0.28 0.15 0.42 57.97 1.00 det_prob[15] 0.29 0.08 0.28 0.15 0.42 55.23 1.00 det_prob[16] 0.29 0.09 0.28 0.15 0.42 52.65 1.00 det_prob[17] 0.30 0.09 0.29 0.16 0.44 53.01 1.00 det_prob[18] 0.30 0.09 0.29 0.16 0.45 53.30 1.00 det_prob[19] 0.30 0.09 0.29 0.16 0.46 52.08 1.00 det_prob[20] 0.30 0.10 0.29 0.16 0.46 53.43 1.00 det_prob[21] 0.31 0.10 0.30 0.15 0.46 54.13 1.00 det_prob[22] 0.31 0.10 0.30 0.15 0.46 53.93 1.00 det_prob[23] 0.31 0.10 0.31 0.16 0.48 53.62 1.00 det_prob[24] 0.32 0.10 0.31 0.15 0.47 53.64 1.00 det_prob[25] 0.32 0.10 0.31 0.16 0.49 50.57 1.00 det_prob[26] 0.32 0.11 0.31 0.16 0.49 50.47 1.00 det_prob[27] 0.32 0.11 0.31 0.14 0.49 50.22 1.00 det_prob[28] 0.32 0.11 0.31 0.15 0.50 49.78 1.00 det_prob[29] 0.33 0.11 0.32 0.15 0.51 52.51 1.00 det_prob[30] 0.33 0.11 0.32 0.16 0.52 54.11 1.00 det_prob[31] 0.33 0.12 0.31 0.14 0.51 53.95 1.00 det_prob[32] 0.33 0.12 0.31 0.15 0.51 53.56 1.00 det_prob[33] 0.33 0.12 0.31 0.14 0.51 54.72 1.00 det_prob[34] 0.33 0.12 0.32 0.15 0.53 54.45 1.00 det_prob[35] 0.33 0.12 0.32 0.13 0.51 54.50 1.00 det_prob[36] 0.33 0.12 0.32 0.14 0.52 56.65 1.00 det_prob[37] 0.34 0.12 0.33 0.14 0.52 56.81 1.00 det_prob[38] 0.34 0.13 0.33 0.14 0.54 52.76 1.00 det_prob[39] 0.34 0.13 0.33 0.15 0.55 54.90 1.00 det_prob[40] 0.34 0.13 0.34 0.14 0.54 55.91 1.00 det_prob[41] 0.35 0.13 0.34 0.15 0.56 57.44 1.00 det_prob[42] 0.36 0.13 0.35 0.15 0.57 57.55 1.00 det_prob[43] 0.36 0.13 0.36 0.13 0.56 58.69 1.00 det_prob[44] 0.37 0.13 0.36 0.14 0.56 60.97 1.00 det_prob[45] 0.37 0.14 0.37 0.15 0.59 60.31 1.00 det_prob[46] 0.38 0.14 0.38 0.15 0.59 64.12 1.00 det_prob[47] 0.38 0.14 0.38 0.15 0.61 61.73 1.00 det_prob[48] 0.39 0.14 0.39 0.14 0.60 61.53 1.00 det_prob[49] 0.40 0.14 0.39 0.16 0.61 59.55 1.00 det_prob[50] 0.40 0.14 0.40 0.17 0.63 58.35 1.00 det_prob[51] 0.41 0.14 0.40 0.17 0.62 56.52 1.00 det_prob[52] 0.41 0.14 0.41 0.16 0.62 58.80 1.00 det_prob[53] 0.42 0.15 0.42 0.16 0.63 60.03 1.00 det_prob[54] 0.42 0.15 0.42 0.20 0.66 61.25 1.00 det_prob[55] 0.43 0.15 0.43 0.20 0.67 60.59 1.00 det_prob[56] 0.43 0.15 0.44 0.18 0.67 63.37 1.00 det_prob[57] 0.44 0.15 0.44 0.19 0.67 66.84 1.00 det_prob[58] 0.44 0.15 0.45 0.19 0.68 68.95 1.00 det_prob[59] 0.44 0.15 0.45 0.19 0.68 67.86 1.00 det_prob[60] 0.45 0.15 0.46 0.18 0.67 69.57 1.00 det_prob[61] 0.45 0.15 0.46 0.18 0.67 66.96 1.00 det_prob[62] 0.46 0.16 0.47 0.18 0.68 62.87 1.00 det_prob[63] 0.46 0.16 0.48 0.20 0.70 64.06 1.00 det_prob[64] 0.47 0.16 0.48 0.23 0.72 63.68 1.00 det_prob[65] 0.47 0.16 0.48 0.20 0.70 63.16 1.00 det_prob[66] 0.47 0.16 0.48 0.23 0.73 66.50 1.00 det_prob[67] 0.47 0.16 0.48 0.23 0.74 63.62 1.00 det_prob[68] 0.48 0.16 0.49 0.23 0.72 64.62 1.00 det_prob[69] 0.48 0.16 0.49 0.23 0.73 62.90 1.00 det_prob[70] 0.48 0.16 0.50 0.24 0.74 60.51 1.00 det_prob[71] 0.49 0.16 0.50 0.23 0.73 61.52 1.00 det_prob[72] 0.49 0.16 0.51 0.25 0.75 61.26 1.00 det_prob[73] 0.50 0.16 0.51 0.23 0.74 60.55 1.00 det_prob[74] 0.50 0.16 0.51 0.24 0.74 59.45 1.00 det_prob[75] 0.50 0.16 0.51 0.25 0.76 60.81 1.00 det_prob[76] 0.51 0.16 0.52 0.25 0.76 60.07 1.00 det_prob[77] 0.51 0.16 0.52 0.25 0.77 60.50 1.00 det_prob[78] 0.51 0.16 0.52 0.24 0.75 60.06 1.00 det_prob[79] 0.51 0.16 0.53 0.26 0.77 59.92 1.00 det_prob[80] 0.51 0.16 0.53 0.26 0.77 59.44 1.00 det_prob[81] 0.52 0.17 0.53 0.25 0.76 60.56 1.00 det_prob[82] 0.52 0.17 0.54 0.25 0.77 60.17 1.00 det_prob[83] 0.52 0.16 0.54 0.25 0.77 61.36 1.00 det_prob[84] 0.53 0.17 0.54 0.28 0.79 60.71 1.00 det_prob[85] 0.53 0.17 0.55 0.28 0.79 60.93 1.00 det_prob[86] 0.54 0.17 0.55 0.29 0.80 61.43 1.00 det_prob[87] 0.54 0.17 0.55 0.30 0.81 63.00 1.00 det_prob[88] 0.54 0.17 0.56 0.27 0.79 63.21 1.00 det_prob[89] 0.54 0.17 0.56 0.29 0.81 63.76 1.00 det_prob[90] 0.55 0.17 0.56 0.28 0.80 63.32 1.00 det_prob[91] 0.55 0.17 0.56 0.29 0.81 63.13 1.00 det_prob[92] 0.55 0.17 0.56 0.28 0.80 66.21 1.00 det_prob[93] 0.55 0.17 0.56 0.29 0.81 66.46 1.00 det_prob[94] 0.55 0.17 0.56 0.27 0.80 66.49 1.00 det_prob[95] 0.55 0.18 0.56 0.28 0.82 66.09 1.00 det_prob[96] 0.55 0.18 0.56 0.27 0.82 68.33 1.00 det_prob[97] 0.55 0.18 0.56 0.27 0.83 68.40 1.00 det_prob[98] 0.55 0.18 0.56 0.27 0.83 69.13 1.00 det_prob[99] 0.55 0.18 0.56 0.27 0.83 69.66 1.00 det_prob[100] 0.55 0.18 0.55 0.30 0.86 69.40 1.00 det_prob[101] 0.55 0.18 0.56 0.27 0.84 72.45 1.00 det_prob0 0.26 0.06 0.25 0.16 0.35 227.43 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1351.80 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.52 1576.24 1.00 rw[0] 0.03 0.99 0.03 -1.75 1.50 444.52 1.00 rw[1] 0.05 1.40 0.00 -2.21 2.19 254.24 1.00 rw[2] 0.04 1.77 -0.02 -2.71 2.99 163.73 1.00 rw[3] 0.09 2.08 0.10 -3.71 3.18 132.26 1.00 rw[4] 0.10 2.26 0.21 -3.58 3.87 105.30 1.00 rw[5] 0.11 2.52 0.18 -3.69 4.76 94.87 1.01 rw[6] 0.18 2.70 0.21 -3.94 4.82 88.05 1.00 rw[7] 0.20 2.96 0.28 -4.28 5.36 86.28 1.00 rw[8] 0.16 3.13 0.24 -5.10 5.14 78.65 1.00 rw[9] 0.06 3.29 0.09 -5.03 5.55 77.91 1.00 rw[10] -0.15 3.40 -0.02 -5.50 5.79 75.14 1.00 rw[11] -0.38 3.54 -0.22 -5.99 5.88 72.52 1.00 rw[12] -0.70 3.66 -0.67 -6.33 5.89 72.02 1.00 rw[13] -1.09 3.76 -0.99 -6.79 5.81 73.63 1.00 rw[14] -1.51 3.86 -1.46 -7.06 6.16 70.23 1.00 rw[15] -1.99 3.98 -1.90 -8.98 4.72 65.92 1.01 rw[16] -2.53 4.04 -2.44 -8.93 4.80 68.44 1.00 rw[17] -3.19 4.06 -3.17 -9.91 3.65 67.63 1.01 rw[18] -3.89 4.07 -3.89 -10.77 2.67 64.94 1.01 rw[19] -4.64 4.11 -4.62 -11.41 2.25 65.57 1.01 rw[20] -5.38 4.09 -5.41 -11.89 1.77 64.50 1.01 rw[21] -6.18 4.11 -6.23 -13.21 0.89 62.98 1.01 rw[22] -6.89 4.13 -6.89 -14.03 0.06 68.33 1.01 rw[23] -7.73 4.09 -7.65 -14.36 -0.27 67.73 1.01 rw[24] -8.51 4.10 -8.50 -14.84 -0.78 66.55 1.01 rw[25] -9.20 4.15 -9.16 -16.69 -2.46 69.17 1.01 rw[26] -9.80 4.16 -9.78 -17.35 -3.32 68.01 1.01 rw[27] -10.41 4.23 -10.47 -17.33 -3.40 66.68 1.01 rw[28] -10.99 4.18 -10.95 -18.04 -3.92 65.52 1.01 rw[29] -11.53 4.17 -11.42 -18.50 -4.51 63.66 1.01 rw[30] -12.00 4.19 -12.08 -19.44 -5.28 65.52 1.01 rw[31] -12.38 4.09 -12.31 -19.17 -5.31 67.66 1.01 rw[32] -12.71 4.08 -12.77 -19.24 -5.49 67.87 1.01 rw[33] -12.95 4.06 -12.89 -20.18 -6.56 69.83 1.01 rw[34] -13.14 4.04 -13.02 -19.09 -5.52 67.31 1.01 rw[35] -13.27 4.06 -13.20 -19.66 -6.17 66.05 1.01 rw[36] -13.37 4.04 -13.28 -19.02 -5.63 64.77 1.01 rw[37] -13.47 4.03 -13.42 -19.99 -6.67 69.12 1.01 rw[38] -13.52 4.01 -13.45 -20.56 -7.03 66.95 1.01 rw[39] -13.47 4.06 -13.42 -19.76 -5.82 70.91 1.01 rw[40] -13.49 4.06 -13.36 -20.02 -6.32 71.19 1.01 rw[41] -13.44 4.05 -13.39 -20.11 -6.21 71.50 1.01 rw[42] -13.49 4.04 -13.49 -20.36 -6.86 69.50 1.01 rw[43] -13.52 4.04 -13.52 -19.62 -6.28 68.83 1.01 rw[44] -13.53 4.05 -13.55 -19.89 -6.52 66.68 1.01 rw[45] -13.54 4.00 -13.58 -20.41 -7.06 68.79 1.01 rw[46] -13.54 3.98 -13.57 -20.17 -6.86 65.50 1.01 rw[47] -13.51 3.98 -13.45 -20.14 -6.90 68.87 1.01 rw[48] -13.52 3.93 -13.52 -20.52 -7.32 65.69 1.01 rw[49] -13.50 3.92 -13.48 -20.01 -6.94 65.09 1.01 rw[50] -13.55 3.92 -13.63 -20.01 -7.03 64.28 1.01 rw[51] -13.58 3.93 -13.57 -19.50 -6.32 67.56 1.01 rw[52] -13.68 3.95 -13.72 -19.74 -6.79 64.70 1.01 rw[53] -13.72 3.96 -13.71 -19.81 -6.65 67.78 1.01 rw[54] -13.73 4.00 -13.93 -19.69 -6.47 69.03 1.01 rw[55] -13.72 3.92 -13.78 -20.57 -7.61 68.42 1.01 rw[56] -13.73 3.95 -13.72 -20.19 -7.15 75.18 1.01 rw[57] -13.79 3.94 -13.86 -19.59 -6.50 68.75 1.01 rw[58] -13.82 3.96 -13.72 -20.51 -7.30 70.82 1.01 rw[59] -13.85 3.95 -13.82 -20.39 -7.49 66.13 1.01 rw[60] -13.91 3.94 -13.89 -21.40 -8.02 66.04 1.01 rw[61] -13.87 3.96 -13.74 -19.74 -6.45 63.27 1.01 rw[62] -13.89 4.00 -13.74 -19.90 -6.49 65.67 1.01 rw[63] -13.88 4.00 -13.77 -20.11 -6.67 66.51 1.01 rw[64] -13.83 3.99 -13.77 -20.05 -6.57 69.87 1.01 rw[65] -13.79 4.04 -13.75 -20.93 -7.46 70.60 1.01 rw[66] -13.66 4.05 -13.81 -20.15 -6.91 72.65 1.01 rw[67] -13.57 4.03 -13.68 -20.03 -6.48 72.20 1.01 rw[68] -13.47 4.00 -13.44 -19.67 -6.23 76.67 1.01 rw[69] -13.37 4.00 -13.28 -20.14 -6.90 76.68 1.01 rw[70] -13.28 3.98 -13.18 -20.06 -6.61 79.53 1.01 rw[71] -13.20 4.00 -13.18 -20.12 -6.59 75.65 1.01 rw[72] -13.09 4.01 -13.13 -19.29 -5.80 72.65 1.01 rw[73] -12.97 4.01 -12.87 -19.37 -6.20 70.28 1.01 rw[74] -12.84 3.98 -12.90 -19.65 -6.26 70.52 1.01 rw[75] -12.70 4.00 -12.62 -19.36 -5.77 75.07 1.01 rw[76] -12.53 3.99 -12.36 -18.93 -5.45 75.67 1.01 rw[77] -12.36 4.02 -12.21 -19.06 -5.57 83.26 1.01 rw[78] -12.22 3.95 -12.04 -18.59 -5.69 82.16 1.01 rw[79] -12.07 3.97 -12.09 -18.62 -5.37 81.24 1.01 rw[80] -11.79 3.98 -11.85 -17.80 -4.63 77.02 1.01 rw[81] -11.61 3.96 -11.63 -17.45 -4.20 81.94 1.01 rw[82] -11.42 3.99 -11.42 -17.76 -4.37 76.61 1.01 rw[83] -11.24 4.01 -11.30 -17.76 -4.48 75.69 1.01 rw[84] -11.03 3.96 -11.07 -18.19 -4.98 75.92 1.01 rw[85] -10.84 3.97 -10.89 -17.37 -4.12 75.04 1.01 rw[86] -10.78 3.93 -10.85 -17.70 -4.40 76.84 1.01 rw[87] -10.65 3.88 -10.59 -17.74 -4.59 73.96 1.01 rw[88] -10.58 3.91 -10.56 -17.02 -3.96 70.90 1.01 rw[89] -10.53 3.90 -10.42 -17.51 -4.42 74.54 1.01 rw[90] -10.52 3.92 -10.42 -17.36 -4.39 72.13 1.01 rw[91] -10.53 3.93 -10.45 -17.03 -4.16 71.92 1.01 rw[92] -10.54 3.99 -10.53 -16.30 -3.22 69.42 1.01 rw[93] -10.61 3.99 -10.55 -17.39 -4.32 71.09 1.01 rw[94] -10.66 4.04 -10.64 -17.81 -4.59 72.79 1.01 rw[95] -10.71 4.14 -10.74 -18.24 -4.49 75.22 1.01 rw[96] -10.71 4.16 -10.72 -17.32 -3.74 79.27 1.01 rw[97] -10.73 4.23 -10.73 -18.09 -4.18 79.25 1.01 rw[98] -10.77 4.29 -10.78 -17.22 -3.41 81.96 1.01 rw[99] -10.78 4.35 -10.87 -17.64 -3.53 88.14 1.01 rw[100] -10.75 4.50 -10.76 -17.60 -3.29 89.91 1.01 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1349.11 1.00 Number of divergences: 0