mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.00 1.62 0.52 0.00 2.32 1136.43 1.00 E0 5.66 5.53 3.97 0.00 13.08 317.03 1.00 H0 8.00 4.07 7.36 2.05 14.28 1145.03 1.00 I0 5.19 3.99 4.11 0.44 10.30 125.96 1.01 beta0 1.60 0.49 1.48 0.92 2.44 23.54 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.20 0.05 0.19 0.12 0.28 949.25 1.00 death_dispersion 0.41 0.04 0.41 0.34 0.48 1177.00 1.00 death_prob 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.04 0.06 1209.56 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.09 778.36 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1495.62 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1628.57 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1529.15 1.00 rw[0] -0.03 1.02 -0.03 -1.72 1.51 131.13 1.03 rw[1] 0.05 1.44 -0.01 -2.38 2.32 107.68 1.03 rw[2] 0.22 1.76 0.24 -3.00 2.82 76.74 1.04 rw[3] 0.37 2.05 0.37 -3.22 3.58 57.68 1.05 rw[4] 0.61 2.30 0.64 -3.03 4.41 57.48 1.05 rw[5] 0.83 2.47 0.86 -3.22 4.84 52.63 1.05 rw[6] 1.05 2.69 1.10 -3.63 5.21 47.19 1.05 rw[7] 1.26 2.83 1.19 -3.35 5.89 45.92 1.05 rw[8] 1.41 2.93 1.36 -3.74 5.92 42.86 1.06 rw[9] 1.47 2.99 1.50 -3.47 6.14 41.62 1.06 rw[10] 1.48 3.11 1.57 -3.57 6.64 40.48 1.06 rw[11] 1.41 3.16 1.50 -3.92 6.35 38.18 1.05 rw[12] 1.26 3.26 1.31 -4.32 6.24 35.74 1.07 rw[13] 1.00 3.31 1.12 -4.52 6.09 37.80 1.06 rw[14] 0.68 3.39 0.82 -5.14 5.85 38.08 1.06 rw[15] 0.33 3.35 0.43 -5.08 5.33 38.10 1.06 rw[16] -0.09 3.34 0.13 -5.73 4.72 34.39 1.06 rw[17] -0.56 3.36 -0.42 -6.07 4.60 34.70 1.06 rw[18] -1.06 3.36 -0.84 -6.61 3.99 32.95 1.06 rw[19] -1.65 3.40 -1.48 -7.19 3.65 33.17 1.06 rw[20] -2.27 3.40 -2.07 -7.61 3.13 33.74 1.06 rw[21] -2.90 3.35 -2.66 -7.98 2.68 33.21 1.06 rw[22] -3.65 3.35 -3.37 -9.08 1.63 32.81 1.06 rw[23] -4.46 3.34 -4.22 -10.27 0.40 33.22 1.07 rw[24] -5.27 3.33 -4.95 -11.13 -0.53 32.24 1.06 rw[25] -6.13 3.37 -5.81 -12.04 -1.44 33.01 1.06 rw[26] -6.97 3.27 -6.68 -12.51 -1.88 32.57 1.06 rw[27] -7.74 3.36 -7.57 -13.40 -2.59 34.96 1.05 rw[28] -8.57 3.36 -8.38 -14.20 -3.42 36.91 1.05 rw[29] -9.33 3.37 -9.12 -14.78 -4.13 37.52 1.04 rw[30] -9.94 3.37 -9.76 -15.96 -5.31 36.54 1.05 rw[31] -10.52 3.41 -10.33 -16.20 -5.52 38.39 1.05 rw[32] -11.01 3.40 -10.81 -17.17 -6.33 40.35 1.05 rw[33] -11.48 3.40 -11.28 -16.72 -5.97 38.06 1.06 rw[34] -11.88 3.37 -11.79 -17.29 -6.47 36.12 1.06 rw[35] -12.20 3.33 -12.12 -17.64 -7.20 36.92 1.06 rw[36] -12.51 3.32 -12.27 -17.99 -7.43 35.84 1.06 rw[37] -12.68 3.27 -12.49 -18.05 -7.56 35.75 1.06 rw[38] -12.86 3.23 -12.68 -18.00 -7.69 36.30 1.06 rw[39] -13.02 3.23 -12.95 -18.31 -7.83 36.91 1.06 rw[40] -13.12 3.25 -12.97 -18.34 -7.89 36.28 1.07 rw[41] -13.19 3.29 -13.09 -18.42 -7.88 36.39 1.06 rw[42] -13.25 3.30 -13.02 -18.48 -8.10 36.12 1.05 rw[43] -13.25 3.25 -13.02 -18.55 -8.25 36.50 1.05 rw[44] -13.27 3.31 -13.00 -18.96 -8.65 36.87 1.05 rw[45] -13.18 3.35 -12.85 -19.02 -8.25 36.29 1.05 rw[46] -13.17 3.35 -12.97 -18.67 -7.85 35.43 1.05 rw[47] -13.14 3.36 -12.92 -19.00 -8.14 37.39 1.05 rw[48] -13.07 3.37 -12.88 -18.87 -7.84 36.08 1.05 rw[49] -12.99 3.36 -12.87 -18.83 -7.92 36.19 1.05 rw[50] -12.97 3.33 -12.81 -18.72 -7.86 35.90 1.05 rw[51] -12.85 3.34 -12.76 -18.52 -7.60 36.56 1.05 rw[52] -12.74 3.37 -12.62 -17.93 -6.78 35.23 1.06 rw[53] -12.68 3.39 -12.59 -18.77 -7.45 34.78 1.06 rw[54] -12.54 3.36 -12.52 -18.14 -7.04 36.70 1.07 rw[55] -12.44 3.36 -12.35 -18.01 -7.19 36.50 1.07 rw[56] -12.39 3.34 -12.35 -17.62 -6.68 36.95 1.06 rw[57] -12.27 3.37 -12.17 -17.84 -7.07 38.31 1.06 rw[58] -12.23 3.34 -11.99 -17.58 -6.87 38.55 1.07 rw[59] -12.20 3.34 -12.04 -17.96 -7.11 40.79 1.07 rw[60] -12.19 3.32 -12.12 -17.31 -6.61 41.48 1.07 rw[61] -12.18 3.30 -12.03 -17.03 -6.38 40.84 1.07 rw[62] -12.12 3.34 -12.04 -17.86 -7.11 42.61 1.06 rw[63] -12.01 3.31 -11.92 -17.62 -6.79 44.03 1.07 rw[64] -11.96 3.29 -11.75 -17.27 -6.68 41.78 1.06 rw[65] -11.92 3.34 -11.68 -17.61 -6.79 39.30 1.06 rw[66] -11.84 3.34 -11.68 -17.54 -6.73 38.90 1.05 rw[67] -11.82 3.33 -11.67 -17.17 -6.44 38.94 1.04 rw[68] -11.76 3.34 -11.51 -17.12 -6.54 37.08 1.04 rw[69] -11.68 3.36 -11.47 -17.09 -6.38 36.49 1.05 rw[70] -11.67 3.35 -11.46 -17.51 -6.99 34.34 1.05 rw[71] -11.61 3.36 -11.35 -17.40 -6.66 35.01 1.05 rw[72] -11.53 3.38 -11.24 -17.17 -6.45 36.72 1.05 rw[73] -11.40 3.41 -11.18 -17.18 -6.54 36.39 1.05 rw[74] -11.30 3.46 -11.07 -17.14 -6.40 35.47 1.06 rw[75] -11.05 3.39 -10.76 -16.79 -6.23 34.17 1.06 rw[76] -10.73 3.28 -10.48 -16.25 -5.91 36.23 1.06 rw[77] -10.36 3.23 -10.01 -16.24 -6.02 33.30 1.06 rw[78] -9.94 3.25 -9.63 -15.68 -5.53 31.80 1.06 rw[79] -9.41 3.17 -9.22 -14.98 -5.05 32.42 1.06 rw[80] -8.77 3.03 -8.58 -14.30 -4.62 30.39 1.07 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1397.31 1.00 Number of divergences: 0