mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.12 1.65 0.56 0.00 2.72 1295.61 1.00 E0 5.60 5.76 3.80 0.00 12.51 395.32 1.01 H0 1.55 1.58 1.11 0.01 3.36 1408.79 1.00 I0 5.09 3.85 4.16 0.30 9.67 158.85 1.01 beta0 1.75 0.42 1.72 1.02 2.35 44.94 1.08 confirmed_dispersion 0.23 0.06 0.23 0.14 0.32 535.28 1.00 death_dispersion 0.45 0.05 0.45 0.38 0.53 1188.11 1.01 death_prob 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.07 1253.08 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.08 0.13 783.38 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.41 1147.23 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1254.05 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1372.90 1.00 rw[0] -0.04 0.97 -0.07 -1.60 1.52 235.72 1.04 rw[1] 0.05 1.35 -0.01 -2.27 2.17 172.20 1.05 rw[2] 0.19 1.62 0.17 -2.63 2.64 139.89 1.05 rw[3] 0.32 1.84 0.31 -2.56 3.45 122.66 1.05 rw[4] 0.49 2.02 0.52 -2.94 3.75 112.15 1.06 rw[5] 0.61 2.15 0.59 -3.05 3.92 98.71 1.06 rw[6] 0.69 2.33 0.63 -3.09 4.64 87.61 1.05 rw[7] 0.76 2.38 0.65 -2.75 5.00 78.99 1.06 rw[8] 0.77 2.46 0.72 -3.47 4.59 71.21 1.06 rw[9] 0.59 2.55 0.49 -3.64 4.68 68.90 1.07 rw[10] 0.31 2.63 0.27 -4.20 4.33 67.68 1.05 rw[11] -0.12 2.68 -0.18 -4.21 4.48 62.57 1.06 rw[12] -0.67 2.78 -0.74 -5.36 3.72 57.92 1.07 rw[13] -1.29 2.84 -1.39 -6.29 2.85 57.54 1.06 rw[14] -1.98 2.83 -2.18 -6.07 3.04 54.53 1.06 rw[15] -2.61 2.86 -2.71 -6.95 2.39 53.07 1.07 rw[16] -3.27 2.84 -3.43 -7.84 1.27 51.15 1.07 rw[17] -3.87 2.83 -4.10 -7.77 1.54 51.84 1.07 rw[18] -4.43 2.90 -4.59 -8.62 0.80 49.99 1.08 rw[19] -5.04 2.90 -5.20 -9.56 -0.16 51.31 1.08 rw[20] -5.62 2.87 -5.66 -10.38 -1.00 52.42 1.08 rw[21] -6.12 2.84 -6.31 -10.59 -1.22 53.06 1.08 rw[22] -6.66 2.87 -6.74 -10.96 -1.50 53.52 1.08 rw[23] -7.23 2.88 -7.38 -12.07 -2.70 53.01 1.07 rw[24] -7.75 2.86 -7.83 -12.34 -3.23 54.15 1.07 rw[25] -8.30 2.88 -8.29 -13.21 -4.00 51.99 1.07 rw[26] -8.86 2.82 -8.91 -13.19 -3.85 54.75 1.07 rw[27] -9.33 2.88 -9.37 -13.96 -4.51 55.85 1.07 rw[28] -9.84 2.86 -9.92 -14.49 -5.25 54.52 1.06 rw[29] -10.28 2.90 -10.33 -14.63 -5.15 56.05 1.05 rw[30] -10.66 2.92 -10.67 -15.06 -5.54 57.41 1.06 rw[31] -11.01 2.87 -11.05 -16.19 -6.80 59.69 1.06 rw[32] -11.39 2.90 -11.44 -16.06 -6.62 57.34 1.06 rw[33] -11.70 2.90 -11.82 -16.34 -6.83 55.75 1.07 rw[34] -12.02 2.86 -12.19 -16.95 -7.56 57.50 1.07 rw[35] -12.29 2.83 -12.45 -16.93 -7.69 56.93 1.07 rw[36] -12.51 2.82 -12.67 -17.31 -7.99 55.52 1.07 rw[37] -12.60 2.79 -12.65 -17.13 -8.08 54.98 1.07 rw[38] -12.73 2.78 -12.89 -16.89 -7.79 55.46 1.07 rw[39] -12.82 2.78 -12.90 -17.32 -8.31 55.60 1.07 rw[40] -12.94 2.77 -13.08 -17.25 -8.39 58.25 1.08 rw[41] -13.05 2.81 -13.24 -17.49 -8.59 61.02 1.07 rw[42] -13.15 2.85 -13.28 -17.65 -8.51 58.54 1.06 rw[43] -13.20 2.80 -13.41 -17.67 -8.92 55.61 1.06 rw[44] -13.29 2.85 -13.45 -17.84 -8.64 57.20 1.06 rw[45] -13.23 2.86 -13.38 -17.68 -8.52 58.59 1.06 rw[46] -13.29 2.86 -13.45 -18.11 -8.81 59.55 1.06 rw[47] -13.33 2.87 -13.43 -18.04 -8.74 57.71 1.06 rw[48] -13.35 2.86 -13.50 -17.54 -8.23 56.73 1.06 rw[49] -13.35 2.85 -13.42 -17.61 -8.13 55.28 1.07 rw[50] -13.40 2.80 -13.56 -18.30 -8.97 53.36 1.07 rw[51] -13.30 2.84 -13.49 -17.60 -8.29 56.28 1.06 rw[52] -13.23 2.90 -13.39 -17.48 -8.06 56.93 1.07 rw[53] -13.21 2.90 -13.29 -17.89 -8.35 57.47 1.07 rw[54] -13.13 2.87 -13.18 -18.01 -8.50 54.79 1.07 rw[55] -13.10 2.86 -13.23 -17.41 -7.81 54.81 1.07 rw[56] -13.05 2.87 -13.15 -17.87 -8.22 54.86 1.07 rw[57] -13.00 2.89 -13.20 -17.41 -7.92 55.20 1.07 rw[58] -12.96 2.81 -13.07 -17.65 -8.47 55.84 1.08 rw[59] -12.93 2.79 -13.08 -17.48 -8.52 57.62 1.08 rw[60] -12.91 2.78 -13.10 -17.36 -8.30 54.85 1.08 rw[61] -12.88 2.75 -13.03 -17.22 -8.15 57.22 1.07 rw[62] -12.78 2.76 -12.85 -17.30 -8.29 58.33 1.07 rw[63] -12.68 2.80 -12.80 -17.63 -8.52 60.11 1.07 rw[64] -12.64 2.75 -12.74 -17.24 -8.15 59.96 1.07 rw[65] -12.59 2.78 -12.69 -17.17 -8.01 58.98 1.06 rw[66] -12.55 2.77 -12.63 -16.83 -7.86 60.88 1.06 rw[67] -12.55 2.75 -12.63 -17.20 -8.15 56.57 1.05 rw[68] -12.48 2.76 -12.52 -16.98 -7.88 56.85 1.05 rw[69] -12.45 2.78 -12.55 -17.16 -8.10 56.31 1.06 rw[70] -12.40 2.76 -12.40 -16.72 -7.76 52.66 1.06 rw[71] -12.36 2.78 -12.49 -16.87 -7.81 55.93 1.06 rw[72] -12.28 2.80 -12.35 -16.99 -7.80 57.18 1.06 rw[73] -12.16 2.83 -12.22 -16.59 -7.67 57.45 1.06 rw[74] -12.08 2.88 -12.15 -16.96 -7.66 53.95 1.07 rw[75] -12.00 2.82 -12.14 -16.63 -7.43 54.53 1.07 rw[76] -11.87 2.77 -11.95 -16.61 -7.57 54.73 1.07 rw[77] -11.76 2.73 -11.87 -15.71 -6.90 53.21 1.07 rw[78] -11.69 2.72 -11.67 -15.82 -7.09 50.76 1.07 rw[79] -11.55 2.65 -11.68 -15.49 -6.81 49.61 1.08 rw[80] -11.32 2.50 -11.52 -15.65 -7.35 45.74 1.08 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1223.81 1.00 Number of divergences: 0