mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 14.19 4.83 13.47 6.74 21.13 1003.61 1.00 E0 237.04 200.29 186.88 0.06 515.32 388.98 1.01 H0 18.14 9.54 17.20 1.91 31.61 251.46 1.00 I0 274.80 126.23 249.01 97.25 469.11 100.20 1.02 beta0 1.64 0.39 1.65 0.98 2.17 32.53 1.02 confirmed_dispersion 0.35 0.08 0.35 0.23 0.47 798.89 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1165.29 1.00 death_prob 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.05 1026.10 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.08 0.13 665.35 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.20 0.41 1176.93 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1140.40 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1123.71 1.00 rw[0] -0.06 0.96 -0.08 -1.66 1.45 219.04 1.00 rw[1] 0.01 1.38 0.01 -2.15 2.28 108.58 1.00 rw[2] 0.19 1.69 0.17 -2.32 3.03 73.17 1.00 rw[3] 0.43 1.97 0.42 -2.91 3.38 58.30 1.01 rw[4] 0.78 2.18 0.69 -2.90 4.03 50.24 1.00 rw[5] 1.14 2.40 0.94 -2.72 4.94 41.46 1.01 rw[6] 1.45 2.49 1.23 -2.27 5.83 37.84 1.02 rw[7] 1.82 2.62 1.62 -2.01 6.37 32.58 1.03 rw[8] 2.07 2.71 1.83 -1.90 6.92 32.89 1.02 rw[9] 2.08 2.75 1.94 -1.98 6.97 32.97 1.02 rw[10] 1.95 2.76 1.73 -1.82 7.05 33.86 1.02 rw[11] 1.69 2.81 1.46 -2.55 6.64 31.91 1.02 rw[12] 1.24 2.79 0.98 -2.74 6.17 32.08 1.03 rw[13] 0.76 2.77 0.50 -3.80 5.13 32.93 1.03 rw[14] 0.25 2.77 0.03 -3.80 5.19 34.11 1.03 rw[15] -0.22 2.80 -0.48 -4.27 4.77 33.88 1.03 rw[16] -0.76 2.71 -1.01 -5.13 3.80 33.64 1.02 rw[17] -1.33 2.72 -1.59 -5.50 3.38 34.69 1.03 rw[18] -1.94 2.74 -2.09 -6.08 2.76 34.77 1.02 rw[19] -2.62 2.71 -2.81 -6.53 2.32 36.13 1.03 rw[20] -3.35 2.71 -3.61 -7.66 1.14 36.63 1.03 rw[21] -4.12 2.71 -4.31 -8.06 0.72 35.03 1.03 rw[22] -4.90 2.70 -5.09 -9.02 -0.22 34.72 1.03 rw[23] -5.79 2.71 -6.05 -9.55 -0.76 34.74 1.02 rw[24] -6.60 2.70 -6.87 -10.62 -1.87 35.22 1.02 rw[25] -7.51 2.71 -7.78 -11.83 -2.95 34.04 1.03 rw[26] -8.38 2.74 -8.68 -12.47 -3.57 34.48 1.03 rw[27] -9.18 2.76 -9.44 -13.01 -4.05 33.49 1.03 rw[28] -9.97 2.80 -10.33 -14.25 -5.31 32.14 1.03 rw[29] -10.69 2.80 -10.97 -14.89 -5.77 32.47 1.03 rw[30] -11.31 2.84 -11.52 -15.90 -6.62 32.90 1.02 rw[31] -11.87 2.88 -12.02 -16.29 -7.00 32.87 1.02 rw[32] -12.35 2.83 -12.61 -16.78 -7.83 34.16 1.02 rw[33] -12.76 2.84 -12.98 -16.97 -7.81 36.44 1.02 rw[34] -13.05 2.83 -13.26 -17.49 -8.33 35.65 1.02 rw[35] -13.29 2.85 -13.43 -17.93 -8.67 35.78 1.01 rw[36] -13.51 2.83 -13.74 -18.33 -9.00 36.83 1.02 rw[37] -13.58 2.82 -13.88 -17.53 -8.50 36.14 1.02 rw[38] -13.65 2.85 -13.95 -18.21 -8.88 35.90 1.02 rw[39] -13.66 2.90 -13.87 -17.93 -8.66 35.55 1.03 rw[40] -13.67 2.93 -13.93 -17.95 -8.50 35.64 1.03 rw[41] -13.63 2.95 -13.84 -18.19 -8.46 37.52 1.03 rw[42] -13.61 2.95 -13.86 -18.13 -8.58 38.33 1.03 rw[43] -13.56 2.93 -13.72 -18.30 -8.78 38.22 1.03 rw[44] -13.50 2.95 -13.67 -18.10 -8.50 39.42 1.03 rw[45] -13.40 2.86 -13.59 -18.39 -9.14 36.92 1.03 rw[46] -13.30 2.90 -13.54 -17.95 -8.61 36.23 1.03 rw[47] -13.22 2.88 -13.31 -17.62 -8.40 35.57 1.03 rw[48] -13.14 2.89 -13.29 -18.18 -8.71 33.71 1.04 rw[49] -13.04 2.90 -13.20 -17.94 -8.53 35.38 1.03 rw[50] -12.97 2.91 -13.17 -17.06 -7.73 36.64 1.02 rw[51] -12.90 2.91 -13.13 -18.03 -8.61 34.92 1.02 rw[52] -12.89 2.91 -13.12 -17.84 -8.43 34.36 1.02 rw[53] -12.88 2.88 -13.18 -17.85 -8.22 35.37 1.01 rw[54] -12.86 2.83 -13.10 -17.46 -8.11 36.31 1.01 rw[55] -12.87 2.80 -13.20 -17.03 -7.77 34.59 1.01 rw[56] -12.92 2.80 -13.22 -17.94 -8.68 35.07 1.01 rw[57] -12.93 2.79 -13.16 -17.44 -8.43 34.22 1.01 rw[58] -13.04 2.81 -13.31 -17.82 -8.60 34.93 1.01 rw[59] -13.09 2.80 -13.38 -17.10 -8.23 36.44 1.01 rw[60] -13.14 2.80 -13.39 -17.64 -8.82 36.75 1.01 rw[61] -13.25 2.81 -13.45 -17.50 -8.52 37.85 1.02 rw[62] -13.32 2.77 -13.51 -17.57 -8.64 37.43 1.02 rw[63] -13.37 2.79 -13.55 -17.65 -8.69 38.34 1.02 rw[64] -13.43 2.83 -13.66 -17.77 -8.70 38.02 1.03 rw[65] -13.52 2.89 -13.64 -17.71 -8.32 36.97 1.03 rw[66] -13.53 2.84 -13.72 -17.46 -8.13 39.10 1.03 rw[67] -13.60 2.87 -13.83 -17.99 -8.62 38.25 1.03 rw[68] -13.65 2.85 -13.86 -18.61 -9.31 37.70 1.03 rw[69] -13.67 2.84 -13.82 -18.09 -8.86 35.98 1.03 rw[70] -13.68 2.87 -13.86 -18.44 -9.18 37.65 1.03 rw[71] -13.68 2.88 -13.90 -18.08 -8.81 36.54 1.03 rw[72] -13.72 2.93 -13.95 -18.29 -8.91 35.22 1.03 rw[73] -13.72 2.88 -13.95 -18.06 -8.88 35.40 1.04 rw[74] -13.71 2.87 -13.91 -17.95 -8.77 34.25 1.03 rw[75] -13.65 2.87 -13.95 -18.61 -9.22 34.32 1.03 rw[76] -13.61 2.83 -13.89 -17.88 -8.85 34.80 1.03 rw[77] -13.57 2.79 -13.85 -17.90 -8.91 35.74 1.03 rw[78] -13.50 2.80 -13.80 -18.08 -9.15 36.49 1.02 rw[79] -13.41 2.76 -13.63 -17.65 -8.90 35.48 1.03 rw[80] -13.29 2.78 -13.58 -17.85 -8.93 35.68 1.02 rw[81] -13.22 2.82 -13.43 -17.46 -8.34 37.82 1.02 rw[82] -13.03 2.79 -13.27 -17.23 -8.35 38.21 1.03 rw[83] -12.82 2.74 -12.97 -16.99 -8.09 36.67 1.03 rw[84] -12.52 2.74 -12.68 -17.31 -8.35 35.59 1.03 rw[85] -12.18 2.69 -12.45 -16.26 -7.41 34.63 1.03 rw[86] -11.74 2.62 -11.94 -16.01 -7.56 33.90 1.02 rw[87] -11.24 2.52 -11.55 -14.76 -6.73 30.21 1.03 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1040.18 1.00 Number of divergences: 0