mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 14.01 4.75 13.44 6.31 20.75 1532.03 1.00 E0 323.79 281.93 245.89 0.93 691.60 392.07 1.01 H0 23.73 11.56 23.02 5.53 42.33 360.54 1.02 I0 324.26 158.36 296.47 88.50 545.19 195.70 1.02 beta0 1.71 0.35 1.68 1.20 2.33 36.33 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.44 0.07 0.43 0.33 0.55 1102.56 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1269.50 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.04 1157.48 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.11 458.51 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.07 0.30 0.20 0.41 1427.66 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1274.50 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1504.51 1.00 rw[0] 0.01 0.99 -0.01 -1.59 1.63 226.55 1.00 rw[1] 0.07 1.36 0.08 -2.00 2.44 133.95 1.00 rw[2] 0.25 1.62 0.25 -2.32 3.10 111.95 1.00 rw[3] 0.49 1.79 0.45 -2.33 3.44 75.40 1.01 rw[4] 0.78 1.96 0.81 -1.96 4.44 65.16 1.01 rw[5] 1.08 2.03 1.16 -2.10 4.51 59.82 1.02 rw[6] 1.35 2.13 1.40 -2.29 4.80 51.13 1.03 rw[7] 1.54 2.19 1.59 -1.88 5.17 50.60 1.03 rw[8] 1.68 2.26 1.73 -2.11 5.26 46.55 1.04 rw[9] 1.70 2.34 1.76 -2.28 5.30 43.25 1.06 rw[10] 1.47 2.37 1.49 -2.72 5.05 45.50 1.05 rw[11] 1.16 2.37 1.20 -2.80 5.13 45.50 1.06 rw[12] 0.70 2.37 0.60 -3.17 4.61 43.83 1.06 rw[13] 0.20 2.32 0.16 -3.38 4.10 42.16 1.06 rw[14] -0.29 2.34 -0.22 -3.80 3.72 41.67 1.06 rw[15] -0.81 2.37 -0.78 -4.37 3.24 43.90 1.06 rw[16] -1.36 2.35 -1.43 -5.49 2.06 44.60 1.06 rw[17] -1.91 2.30 -1.86 -5.90 1.50 45.23 1.05 rw[18] -2.60 2.30 -2.54 -6.63 0.83 42.73 1.05 rw[19] -3.25 2.28 -3.18 -6.81 0.74 45.21 1.05 rw[20] -3.99 2.29 -3.99 -7.49 0.06 43.18 1.05 rw[21] -4.84 2.32 -4.79 -8.63 -1.09 44.00 1.06 rw[22] -5.70 2.35 -5.61 -9.39 -1.70 46.59 1.06 rw[23] -6.54 2.30 -6.47 -9.98 -2.69 45.64 1.06 rw[24] -7.44 2.36 -7.36 -11.01 -3.60 45.23 1.05 rw[25] -8.32 2.37 -8.31 -12.53 -4.90 44.49 1.05 rw[26] -9.22 2.45 -9.22 -13.53 -5.46 44.23 1.06 rw[27] -10.06 2.44 -10.00 -14.10 -6.33 44.97 1.06 rw[28] -10.88 2.45 -10.82 -14.99 -6.96 44.57 1.06 rw[29] -11.65 2.47 -11.68 -15.08 -7.23 46.51 1.05 rw[30] -12.35 2.45 -12.37 -15.98 -8.20 46.84 1.05 rw[31] -12.91 2.54 -13.02 -16.38 -8.18 48.37 1.05 rw[32] -13.38 2.51 -13.33 -17.41 -9.19 48.50 1.05 rw[33] -13.77 2.54 -13.71 -18.24 -9.90 48.32 1.05 rw[34] -14.10 2.53 -14.18 -18.13 -9.88 48.36 1.05 rw[35] -14.36 2.51 -14.32 -18.45 -10.30 47.72 1.04 rw[36] -14.54 2.54 -14.53 -18.81 -10.50 48.65 1.05 rw[37] -14.61 2.52 -14.68 -19.01 -10.87 50.73 1.05 rw[38] -14.68 2.52 -14.72 -18.87 -10.72 50.34 1.05 rw[39] -14.70 2.50 -14.67 -18.64 -10.56 49.98 1.06 rw[40] -14.66 2.53 -14.67 -18.58 -10.51 48.28 1.05 rw[41] -14.65 2.51 -14.71 -18.81 -10.62 47.44 1.07 rw[42] -14.56 2.55 -14.54 -18.33 -10.09 50.67 1.06 rw[43] -14.50 2.50 -14.58 -18.66 -10.61 52.11 1.06 rw[44] -14.44 2.45 -14.43 -18.62 -10.79 50.65 1.06 rw[45] -14.35 2.46 -14.49 -18.32 -10.42 48.19 1.06 rw[46] -14.26 2.46 -14.26 -18.26 -10.29 50.53 1.05 rw[47] -14.16 2.49 -14.16 -18.48 -10.36 51.52 1.06 rw[48] -14.07 2.50 -14.03 -18.19 -10.16 49.11 1.06 rw[49] -13.97 2.48 -13.98 -17.96 -10.09 50.41 1.06 rw[50] -13.87 2.46 -13.84 -18.20 -10.22 51.58 1.05 rw[51] -13.79 2.42 -13.69 -18.14 -10.08 49.81 1.05 rw[52] -13.75 2.42 -13.59 -17.84 -9.83 48.08 1.05 rw[53] -13.73 2.46 -13.76 -17.57 -9.63 50.35 1.04 rw[54] -13.71 2.46 -13.71 -17.84 -9.86 50.62 1.04 rw[55] -13.72 2.50 -13.72 -17.80 -9.74 50.02 1.04 rw[56] -13.72 2.51 -13.65 -17.63 -9.52 54.25 1.03 rw[57] -13.76 2.53 -13.70 -17.88 -9.77 55.43 1.04 rw[58] -13.80 2.48 -13.73 -17.89 -10.12 55.79 1.04 rw[59] -13.84 2.54 -13.72 -18.22 -10.00 51.75 1.04 rw[60] -13.90 2.57 -13.92 -17.89 -9.87 52.47 1.04 rw[61] -13.93 2.56 -13.99 -17.92 -9.65 52.19 1.04 rw[62] -13.95 2.57 -13.92 -18.06 -9.78 51.71 1.04 rw[63] -13.99 2.56 -13.93 -18.22 -9.71 52.54 1.04 rw[64] -13.99 2.61 -13.92 -18.18 -9.48 54.11 1.05 rw[65] -13.93 2.57 -13.95 -17.93 -9.59 54.13 1.04 rw[66] -13.95 2.54 -14.02 -18.39 -10.12 53.61 1.06 rw[67] -13.93 2.60 -13.95 -17.93 -9.37 52.05 1.06 rw[68] -13.90 2.58 -13.92 -18.08 -9.71 51.81 1.06 rw[69] -13.89 2.55 -13.90 -18.01 -9.61 52.61 1.05 rw[70] -13.82 2.57 -13.87 -17.83 -9.44 54.48 1.04 rw[71] -13.76 2.54 -13.69 -17.91 -9.53 55.67 1.05 rw[72] -13.68 2.55 -13.64 -18.03 -9.72 53.08 1.06 rw[73] -13.68 2.53 -13.75 -17.65 -9.42 53.42 1.05 rw[74] -13.64 2.49 -13.69 -17.42 -9.49 54.68 1.05 rw[75] -13.53 2.48 -13.57 -17.23 -9.27 52.54 1.05 rw[76] -13.52 2.49 -13.53 -17.51 -9.45 52.75 1.05 rw[77] -13.46 2.44 -13.44 -17.68 -9.73 54.26 1.05 rw[78] -13.38 2.46 -13.39 -17.81 -9.76 54.66 1.05 rw[79] -13.39 2.46 -13.47 -17.93 -9.81 52.35 1.05 rw[80] -13.37 2.44 -13.46 -17.21 -9.26 51.60 1.04 rw[81] -13.42 2.45 -13.40 -17.30 -9.45 50.24 1.05 rw[82] -13.48 2.45 -13.51 -17.60 -9.62 52.82 1.05 rw[83] -13.54 2.43 -13.57 -17.61 -9.59 52.61 1.04 rw[84] -13.64 2.42 -13.70 -17.42 -9.38 52.18 1.04 rw[85] -13.69 2.41 -13.74 -17.99 -10.06 52.54 1.04 rw[86] -13.75 2.39 -13.80 -18.03 -10.05 51.00 1.05 rw[87] -13.79 2.42 -13.79 -17.75 -9.75 49.63 1.05 rw[88] -13.82 2.42 -13.83 -17.80 -9.90 50.34 1.04 rw[89] -13.86 2.45 -13.77 -17.94 -9.78 50.50 1.04 rw[90] -13.83 2.43 -13.77 -17.98 -9.87 51.79 1.04 rw[91] -13.73 2.43 -13.74 -17.73 -9.74 51.99 1.04 rw[92] -13.67 2.44 -13.64 -17.42 -9.66 49.46 1.04 rw[93] -13.51 2.46 -13.48 -17.61 -9.72 49.50 1.04 rw[94] -13.33 2.46 -13.34 -17.34 -9.34 51.28 1.04 rw[95] -13.03 2.47 -13.03 -16.81 -9.02 50.42 1.05 rw[96] -12.73 2.46 -12.64 -16.88 -9.11 52.46 1.05 rw[97] -12.32 2.43 -12.25 -16.31 -8.45 50.82 1.05 rw[98] -11.91 2.37 -11.86 -15.70 -8.09 48.19 1.06 rw[99] -11.38 2.30 -11.28 -15.02 -7.74 47.51 1.05 rw[100] -10.80 2.23 -10.71 -14.59 -7.34 42.98 1.05 rw[101] -10.10 2.08 -10.10 -13.51 -6.81 36.81 1.07 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1040.13 1.00 Number of divergences: 0