mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.80 1.00 0.50 0.00 1.89 862.91 1.00 E0 8.41 8.58 6.02 0.03 18.89 388.14 1.01 H0 13.14 6.52 12.18 3.67 23.30 1002.19 1.00 I0 6.40 5.42 4.92 0.28 12.64 78.87 1.01 beta0 1.58 0.48 1.50 0.83 2.25 13.47 1.07 confirmed_dispersion 0.35 0.07 0.35 0.23 0.47 1088.12 1.00 death_dispersion 0.36 0.04 0.36 0.31 0.43 1123.63 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.05 1099.04 1.00 death_rate 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.03 0.06 829.36 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.18 0.40 1285.41 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1650.46 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1505.04 1.00 rw[0] 0.15 1.04 0.15 -1.50 1.83 150.29 1.01 rw[1] 0.34 1.44 0.39 -2.18 2.53 53.31 1.02 rw[2] 0.59 1.82 0.61 -2.33 3.67 39.11 1.03 rw[3] 0.84 2.11 0.88 -2.51 4.49 33.93 1.03 rw[4] 1.14 2.28 1.19 -2.26 5.20 29.88 1.03 rw[5] 1.43 2.48 1.56 -3.04 4.99 25.44 1.03 rw[6] 1.73 2.66 1.83 -2.70 5.89 23.00 1.04 rw[7] 1.99 2.81 2.08 -2.30 6.64 20.74 1.04 rw[8] 2.18 2.91 2.39 -2.57 6.68 20.26 1.04 rw[9] 2.28 3.06 2.48 -3.09 6.78 19.00 1.05 rw[10] 2.26 3.13 2.37 -2.55 7.70 18.46 1.05 rw[11] 2.24 3.26 2.32 -3.29 7.25 18.76 1.04 rw[12] 2.13 3.33 2.16 -3.36 7.43 17.80 1.04 rw[13] 1.88 3.34 1.96 -3.23 7.57 18.16 1.04 rw[14] 1.60 3.34 1.76 -4.03 6.68 17.51 1.04 rw[15] 1.19 3.36 1.19 -4.29 6.50 17.13 1.04 rw[16] 0.73 3.40 0.91 -5.03 6.12 17.08 1.04 rw[17] 0.18 3.36 0.26 -5.03 5.74 17.18 1.05 rw[18] -0.48 3.33 -0.41 -5.57 5.10 16.39 1.05 rw[19] -1.18 3.30 -1.06 -6.61 4.17 16.52 1.05 rw[20] -1.91 3.30 -1.71 -7.30 3.22 16.17 1.05 rw[21] -2.79 3.29 -2.70 -7.97 2.73 16.12 1.06 rw[22] -3.74 3.28 -3.63 -9.12 1.54 16.21 1.06 rw[23] -4.72 3.31 -4.61 -9.67 0.99 16.08 1.06 rw[24] -5.65 3.25 -5.53 -11.19 -0.65 16.92 1.06 rw[25] -6.60 3.23 -6.48 -11.91 -1.54 16.80 1.06 rw[26] -7.51 3.27 -7.34 -13.08 -2.33 17.36 1.06 rw[27] -8.37 3.26 -8.21 -13.68 -3.08 17.65 1.06 rw[28] -9.18 3.31 -9.03 -14.32 -3.63 17.90 1.05 rw[29] -9.92 3.34 -9.73 -14.97 -4.01 17.10 1.05 rw[30] -10.59 3.31 -10.42 -15.95 -5.20 17.01 1.06 rw[31] -11.18 3.35 -11.03 -16.54 -5.81 17.70 1.05 rw[32] -11.69 3.34 -11.58 -17.59 -6.83 17.98 1.04 rw[33] -12.12 3.29 -11.92 -17.56 -7.00 18.06 1.04 rw[34] -12.58 3.34 -12.36 -18.03 -7.22 17.99 1.05 rw[35] -12.86 3.30 -12.66 -18.11 -7.42 17.86 1.05 rw[36] -13.21 3.32 -13.00 -19.24 -8.31 18.00 1.04 rw[37] -13.47 3.32 -13.27 -18.88 -8.07 18.77 1.05 rw[38] -13.69 3.32 -13.61 -19.16 -8.45 18.04 1.05 rw[39] -13.79 3.30 -13.67 -18.80 -8.09 18.39 1.06 rw[40] -13.94 3.33 -13.97 -19.20 -8.15 18.76 1.06 rw[41] -14.03 3.29 -13.89 -19.77 -9.00 18.66 1.06 rw[42] -14.00 3.28 -13.91 -19.23 -8.60 18.52 1.06 rw[43] -13.95 3.34 -13.79 -19.47 -8.60 18.12 1.06 rw[44] -13.96 3.34 -13.83 -19.54 -8.58 17.77 1.07 rw[45] -13.91 3.36 -13.83 -19.23 -8.48 17.97 1.06 rw[46] -13.81 3.37 -13.81 -18.71 -7.85 18.09 1.05 rw[47] -13.74 3.36 -13.71 -19.08 -8.20 18.94 1.05 rw[48] -13.71 3.34 -13.64 -18.64 -7.67 18.34 1.04 rw[49] -13.61 3.39 -13.57 -19.85 -8.47 18.53 1.04 rw[50] -13.53 3.34 -13.54 -18.71 -7.84 19.43 1.05 rw[51] -13.36 3.31 -13.31 -18.58 -7.69 19.85 1.04 rw[52] -13.22 3.32 -13.16 -18.49 -7.35 18.76 1.04 rw[53] -13.10 3.38 -13.04 -18.23 -7.01 18.85 1.04 rw[54] -13.02 3.39 -12.97 -18.38 -7.30 17.90 1.04 rw[55] -12.88 3.40 -12.78 -18.12 -7.21 18.01 1.05 rw[56] -12.73 3.40 -12.66 -18.29 -7.15 17.88 1.05 rw[57] -12.67 3.42 -12.57 -18.49 -7.34 17.94 1.05 rw[58] -12.58 3.39 -12.48 -18.19 -7.19 17.86 1.05 rw[59] -12.50 3.36 -12.32 -18.31 -7.50 17.76 1.05 rw[60] -12.42 3.34 -12.23 -17.91 -7.01 18.15 1.05 rw[61] -12.28 3.34 -12.10 -17.58 -6.79 17.69 1.05 rw[62] -12.10 3.37 -11.96 -16.85 -5.90 17.66 1.05 rw[63] -11.99 3.33 -11.90 -17.65 -6.87 17.63 1.05 rw[64] -11.89 3.35 -11.83 -16.92 -5.90 17.62 1.05 rw[65] -11.79 3.35 -11.64 -17.66 -6.81 17.18 1.06 rw[66] -11.61 3.27 -11.54 -17.06 -6.15 16.65 1.06 rw[67] -11.51 3.27 -11.45 -16.66 -5.81 16.62 1.06 rw[68] -11.38 3.23 -11.26 -16.67 -6.04 17.82 1.05 rw[69] -11.29 3.22 -11.28 -16.95 -6.28 17.97 1.05 rw[70] -11.20 3.24 -11.07 -16.54 -6.13 17.83 1.05 rw[71] -11.19 3.26 -11.13 -16.55 -5.96 17.99 1.05 rw[72] -11.13 3.26 -11.05 -16.11 -5.38 18.08 1.05 rw[73] -11.05 3.25 -10.98 -16.12 -5.43 18.06 1.05 rw[74] -10.97 3.27 -10.91 -16.32 -5.51 17.77 1.05 rw[75] -10.95 3.25 -10.84 -16.03 -5.37 17.42 1.05 rw[76] -10.89 3.24 -10.73 -16.75 -6.12 17.38 1.05 rw[77] -10.81 3.26 -10.65 -16.38 -5.87 17.35 1.05 rw[78] -10.74 3.27 -10.72 -16.15 -5.53 17.11 1.05 rw[79] -10.65 3.25 -10.53 -16.51 -5.92 17.30 1.05 rw[80] -10.60 3.27 -10.53 -15.69 -5.25 17.58 1.05 rw[81] -10.56 3.28 -10.47 -15.83 -5.14 16.72 1.05 rw[82] -10.48 3.31 -10.42 -16.00 -5.30 16.84 1.05 rw[83] -10.41 3.31 -10.34 -15.28 -4.71 17.13 1.06 rw[84] -10.34 3.32 -10.22 -15.44 -4.55 17.19 1.06 rw[85] -10.19 3.30 -10.06 -16.09 -5.21 17.04 1.06 rw[86] -10.05 3.28 -10.02 -15.20 -4.48 17.44 1.06 rw[87] -9.93 3.28 -9.89 -15.09 -4.27 18.06 1.05 rw[88] -9.80 3.28 -9.90 -15.14 -4.50 17.33 1.06 rw[89] -9.64 3.29 -9.59 -14.90 -4.20 17.27 1.07 rw[90] -9.50 3.29 -9.53 -14.63 -4.00 17.69 1.06 rw[91] -9.43 3.21 -9.32 -14.12 -3.83 17.32 1.06 rw[92] -9.32 3.22 -9.17 -14.61 -4.11 16.84 1.05 rw[93] -9.18 3.20 -9.00 -14.28 -3.90 16.81 1.05 rw[94] -9.05 3.18 -8.80 -14.04 -3.88 16.65 1.05 rw[95] -8.90 3.16 -8.86 -14.10 -3.85 17.50 1.05 rw[96] -8.71 3.15 -8.68 -14.35 -4.10 17.59 1.05 rw[97] -8.58 3.14 -8.42 -13.51 -3.27 17.14 1.05 rw[98] -8.42 3.22 -8.32 -13.60 -3.13 17.29 1.04 rw[99] -8.21 3.19 -8.13 -13.27 -2.95 17.47 1.04 rw[100] -8.04 3.19 -7.87 -13.03 -2.50 17.58 1.04 rw[101] -7.94 3.23 -7.84 -12.94 -2.52 17.20 1.04 rw[102] -7.76 3.20 -7.73 -13.10 -2.61 17.22 1.05 rw[103] -7.67 3.23 -7.54 -12.14 -1.57 16.91 1.05 rw[104] -7.61 3.20 -7.49 -13.03 -2.64 16.27 1.05 rw[105] -7.57 3.17 -7.46 -12.39 -2.17 15.56 1.05 rw[106] -7.49 3.16 -7.37 -12.52 -2.20 15.49 1.05 rw[107] -7.44 3.09 -7.30 -12.75 -2.66 15.30 1.06 rw[108] -7.46 2.98 -7.36 -12.16 -2.40 14.33 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1284.45 1.00 Number of divergences: 0