mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.63 0.68 0.43 0.00 1.45 1250.02 1.00 E0 9.75 7.23 7.98 0.20 20.30 211.94 1.03 H0 1.49 1.43 1.02 0.01 3.39 1480.87 1.00 I0 3.50 3.69 2.44 0.00 8.00 221.78 1.01 beta0 1.79 0.49 1.72 1.00 2.46 26.47 1.17 confirmed_dispersion 0.33 0.06 0.33 0.23 0.43 984.88 1.00 death_dispersion 0.11 0.01 0.10 0.10 0.11 1215.43 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1046.09 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.02 0.08 0.06 0.11 760.75 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1539.11 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1357.03 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.01 0.50 0.48 0.53 895.72 1.00 rw[0] -0.01 0.99 0.03 -1.70 1.50 271.30 1.01 rw[1] 0.03 1.39 0.08 -2.45 2.14 166.49 1.03 rw[2] 0.12 1.67 0.19 -2.31 3.10 125.27 1.05 rw[3] 0.27 1.94 0.31 -2.92 3.31 91.21 1.07 rw[4] 0.49 2.16 0.50 -3.10 3.91 70.88 1.08 rw[5] 0.68 2.33 0.74 -3.54 4.07 59.23 1.09 rw[6] 0.88 2.49 0.99 -3.24 4.76 52.75 1.10 rw[7] 1.00 2.60 0.88 -3.24 5.17 45.15 1.10 rw[8] 1.10 2.73 1.00 -2.88 6.08 46.60 1.10 rw[9] 1.12 2.80 1.08 -3.34 5.91 40.15 1.11 rw[10] 0.99 2.87 1.04 -3.33 5.97 38.18 1.11 rw[11] 0.84 2.95 0.87 -4.05 5.64 36.15 1.11 rw[12] 0.60 2.99 0.62 -4.48 5.55 35.65 1.12 rw[13] 0.27 3.03 0.36 -4.76 5.57 34.86 1.12 rw[14] -0.18 3.03 -0.14 -5.45 4.87 33.41 1.13 rw[15] -0.73 3.06 -0.57 -5.75 4.48 38.07 1.12 rw[16] -1.33 3.08 -1.31 -7.10 3.24 33.56 1.12 rw[17] -2.03 3.07 -1.98 -6.96 3.38 34.25 1.12 rw[18] -2.87 3.06 -2.76 -8.50 1.72 34.11 1.13 rw[19] -3.75 3.04 -3.62 -8.72 1.15 32.60 1.13 rw[20] -4.64 3.03 -4.64 -9.29 0.62 32.51 1.13 rw[21] -5.54 3.00 -5.39 -10.24 -0.43 33.41 1.14 rw[22] -6.44 2.98 -6.32 -11.73 -1.72 32.91 1.13 rw[23] -7.28 2.90 -7.17 -11.90 -2.19 30.77 1.13 rw[24] -8.14 2.86 -8.07 -12.85 -3.48 32.22 1.13 rw[25] -8.94 2.87 -8.82 -13.69 -4.07 31.90 1.13 rw[26] -9.64 2.90 -9.54 -14.09 -4.42 31.43 1.13 rw[27] -10.32 2.88 -10.33 -14.78 -5.39 33.74 1.12 rw[28] -10.91 2.93 -10.88 -15.82 -6.18 36.84 1.12 rw[29] -11.49 2.94 -11.43 -16.08 -6.52 38.87 1.12 rw[30] -11.92 2.95 -11.88 -16.68 -6.83 37.18 1.12 rw[31] -12.30 2.96 -12.16 -16.95 -6.95 38.12 1.11 rw[32] -12.64 2.92 -12.56 -17.35 -7.80 38.25 1.10 rw[33] -12.98 2.93 -12.97 -18.12 -8.40 38.79 1.11 rw[34] -13.25 2.90 -13.19 -18.05 -8.46 36.34 1.10 rw[35] -13.52 2.93 -13.50 -18.44 -8.95 32.40 1.11 rw[36] -13.69 2.90 -13.66 -17.98 -8.52 34.58 1.10 rw[37] -13.87 2.92 -13.89 -19.10 -9.47 38.48 1.11 rw[38] -14.00 2.94 -14.07 -19.60 -9.63 35.95 1.11 rw[39] -14.04 2.93 -14.03 -18.57 -8.68 36.27 1.10 rw[40] -14.09 2.92 -14.03 -19.23 -9.47 33.80 1.11 rw[41] -14.02 2.93 -13.99 -18.63 -9.11 34.15 1.12 rw[42] -13.89 2.89 -13.76 -18.33 -8.71 32.34 1.13 rw[43] -13.72 2.86 -13.68 -18.43 -8.98 32.04 1.13 rw[44] -13.59 2.94 -13.49 -18.53 -8.81 34.34 1.13 rw[45] -13.40 2.91 -13.40 -18.43 -8.72 32.19 1.14 rw[46] -13.20 2.95 -13.17 -17.99 -8.07 31.35 1.15 rw[47] -12.96 2.98 -12.87 -17.73 -7.71 31.97 1.14 rw[48] -12.79 2.99 -12.75 -17.81 -7.79 31.06 1.15 rw[49] -12.60 3.01 -12.46 -17.19 -7.47 32.06 1.14 rw[50] -12.42 3.06 -12.31 -17.13 -7.22 31.40 1.15 rw[51] -12.25 3.01 -12.05 -16.35 -6.57 31.81 1.15 rw[52] -12.04 3.01 -11.89 -16.40 -6.81 30.64 1.15 rw[53] -11.90 3.02 -11.73 -16.86 -7.01 33.99 1.13 rw[54] -11.79 2.98 -11.76 -16.68 -6.86 34.35 1.13 rw[55] -11.75 2.93 -11.68 -16.04 -6.53 33.95 1.12 rw[56] -11.74 2.96 -11.71 -16.44 -6.79 33.97 1.12 rw[57] -11.71 2.94 -11.60 -16.38 -6.82 33.16 1.12 rw[58] -11.72 3.02 -11.63 -16.61 -6.70 34.41 1.12 rw[59] -11.80 3.06 -11.70 -16.67 -6.62 36.17 1.11 rw[60] -11.93 3.00 -11.83 -17.53 -7.49 33.99 1.12 rw[61] -12.11 2.99 -12.02 -17.51 -7.45 33.32 1.11 rw[62] -12.39 3.01 -12.31 -18.27 -8.07 33.67 1.11 rw[63] -12.59 3.01 -12.58 -18.56 -8.23 33.77 1.12 rw[64] -12.84 2.96 -12.85 -17.60 -7.76 37.62 1.12 rw[65] -13.09 2.95 -13.08 -17.52 -7.82 39.98 1.11 rw[66] -13.33 2.95 -13.23 -17.52 -7.62 40.79 1.11 rw[67] -13.54 2.98 -13.50 -18.54 -8.78 34.92 1.12 rw[68] -13.73 2.99 -13.61 -18.70 -8.94 36.74 1.13 rw[69] -13.89 2.98 -13.81 -18.44 -8.95 36.61 1.13 rw[70] -13.99 2.94 -13.86 -18.85 -9.55 38.28 1.13 rw[71] -14.02 2.90 -13.98 -18.57 -9.45 39.50 1.13 rw[72] -14.03 2.88 -13.97 -18.57 -9.38 37.39 1.12 rw[73] -14.00 2.84 -13.90 -18.47 -9.39 36.72 1.12 rw[74] -13.92 2.78 -13.76 -18.20 -9.15 39.33 1.13 rw[75] -13.68 2.78 -13.54 -18.13 -9.03 36.76 1.12 rw[76] -13.52 2.83 -13.43 -17.88 -8.68 33.40 1.13 rw[77] -13.32 2.85 -13.22 -17.89 -8.45 33.27 1.13 rw[78] -13.14 2.81 -13.08 -17.79 -8.37 33.58 1.15 rw[79] -12.90 2.85 -12.77 -17.40 -8.12 34.28 1.13 rw[80] -12.60 2.86 -12.43 -17.42 -8.01 31.43 1.14 rw[81] -12.36 2.88 -12.24 -17.02 -7.61 32.86 1.14 rw[82] -12.12 2.92 -12.08 -16.93 -7.32 32.19 1.14 rw[83] -11.94 2.92 -11.93 -16.25 -6.82 33.75 1.13 rw[84] -11.77 2.93 -11.70 -16.33 -6.87 33.04 1.13 rw[85] -11.62 2.90 -11.51 -16.55 -7.14 37.29 1.13 rw[86] -11.47 2.90 -11.47 -15.89 -6.42 37.97 1.12 rw[87] -11.34 2.93 -11.28 -16.15 -6.73 38.42 1.11 rw[88] -11.21 2.92 -11.13 -15.61 -6.09 36.67 1.12 rw[89] -11.06 2.92 -10.98 -15.69 -6.27 35.60 1.13 rw[90] -10.94 2.92 -10.85 -15.74 -6.32 34.66 1.13 rw[91] -10.80 2.99 -10.80 -15.77 -5.86 33.23 1.13 rw[92] -10.69 2.97 -10.66 -15.28 -5.63 32.43 1.14 rw[93] -10.56 2.98 -10.54 -15.01 -5.22 33.77 1.13 rw[94] -10.40 2.97 -10.25 -15.49 -5.80 37.26 1.13 rw[95] -10.23 2.95 -10.08 -15.15 -5.58 36.56 1.12 rw[96] -10.13 2.96 -9.94 -14.68 -5.15 37.41 1.12 rw[97] -10.07 2.89 -9.89 -14.88 -5.41 37.68 1.12 rw[98] -9.96 2.88 -9.94 -14.30 -4.92 35.29 1.13 rw[99] -9.84 2.88 -9.70 -13.97 -4.59 33.69 1.13 rw[100] -9.73 2.90 -9.65 -14.12 -4.63 37.75 1.12 rw[101] -9.57 2.88 -9.41 -13.86 -4.45 35.28 1.13 rw[102] -9.37 2.84 -9.24 -13.87 -4.44 31.66 1.14 rw[103] -9.25 2.82 -9.08 -13.32 -4.05 31.04 1.14 rw[104] -9.09 2.83 -9.16 -13.63 -4.40 29.31 1.14 rw[105] -9.01 2.82 -8.91 -13.34 -4.03 32.80 1.14 rw[106] -8.96 2.77 -9.00 -13.45 -4.47 33.95 1.14 rw[107] -8.98 2.75 -8.95 -13.48 -4.24 29.34 1.15 rw[108] -9.11 2.64 -9.03 -13.37 -4.63 27.52 1.16 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1250.54 1.00 Number of divergences: 0