mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.63 0.65 0.41 0.00 1.50 1617.32 1.00 E0 4.83 6.06 3.08 0.03 10.81 138.99 1.03 H0 0.96 0.94 0.70 0.00 2.12 2170.88 1.00 I0 2.20 2.70 1.39 0.00 5.04 99.35 1.04 beta0 1.83 0.57 1.75 1.02 2.82 15.74 1.22 confirmed_dispersion 0.59 0.08 0.58 0.44 0.71 976.86 1.00 death_dispersion 0.11 0.01 0.11 0.10 0.12 1333.17 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 1099.02 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.09 0.07 0.12 1053.93 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.19 0.40 1329.98 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1396.07 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.01 0.50 0.48 0.53 1303.26 1.00 rw[0] 0.17 1.03 0.16 -1.48 1.85 186.24 1.03 rw[1] 0.39 1.45 0.35 -1.78 2.83 70.88 1.06 rw[2] 0.65 1.82 0.53 -2.16 3.65 52.19 1.08 rw[3] 0.88 2.08 0.77 -2.16 4.37 46.53 1.10 rw[4] 1.13 2.33 1.02 -2.73 4.81 36.85 1.10 rw[5] 1.45 2.49 1.37 -2.71 5.44 33.53 1.11 rw[6] 1.69 2.62 1.70 -2.63 5.78 30.21 1.12 rw[7] 1.90 2.83 1.78 -2.65 6.43 26.42 1.14 rw[8] 2.03 3.00 1.90 -2.82 6.96 25.77 1.14 rw[9] 2.08 3.09 1.89 -3.00 7.09 23.95 1.15 rw[10] 1.99 3.18 1.95 -2.63 7.73 23.88 1.15 rw[11] 1.89 3.30 1.78 -3.27 7.42 24.32 1.15 rw[12] 1.58 3.38 1.59 -3.92 7.05 22.91 1.16 rw[13] 1.13 3.42 1.24 -4.50 6.63 23.73 1.16 rw[14] 0.59 3.47 0.62 -5.47 5.64 22.43 1.16 rw[15] -0.01 3.49 0.14 -6.26 4.84 21.66 1.17 rw[16] -0.83 3.52 -0.85 -6.47 4.68 20.93 1.16 rw[17] -1.77 3.55 -1.68 -7.63 3.73 20.56 1.17 rw[18] -2.81 3.53 -2.68 -8.77 2.67 20.25 1.17 rw[19] -3.90 3.51 -3.91 -9.86 1.42 19.34 1.18 rw[20] -5.14 3.53 -5.12 -10.36 1.06 19.33 1.18 rw[21] -6.42 3.55 -6.38 -12.45 -0.97 19.17 1.18 rw[22] -7.76 3.59 -7.75 -13.20 -1.75 19.03 1.18 rw[23] -9.05 3.57 -9.06 -14.97 -3.44 19.45 1.18 rw[24] -10.29 3.51 -10.21 -15.92 -4.70 19.13 1.19 rw[25] -11.45 3.51 -11.37 -16.83 -5.60 18.80 1.18 rw[26] -12.45 3.51 -12.44 -17.92 -6.67 19.25 1.18 rw[27] -13.33 3.51 -13.37 -19.87 -8.28 20.03 1.17 rw[28] -14.10 3.52 -14.26 -19.76 -8.29 19.24 1.18 rw[29] -14.70 3.51 -14.70 -20.62 -9.14 19.79 1.18 rw[30] -15.17 3.57 -15.31 -21.23 -9.51 19.76 1.17 rw[31] -15.49 3.52 -15.46 -21.69 -10.36 18.30 1.19 rw[32] -15.72 3.50 -15.66 -20.94 -9.75 18.22 1.18 rw[33] -15.89 3.50 -15.80 -21.77 -10.50 19.12 1.18 rw[34] -15.86 3.51 -15.89 -21.71 -10.29 20.18 1.16 rw[35] -15.85 3.49 -15.96 -21.69 -10.53 19.42 1.16 rw[36] -15.81 3.49 -15.83 -21.66 -10.48 19.77 1.16 rw[37] -15.65 3.46 -15.66 -21.37 -10.11 19.06 1.17 rw[38] -15.37 3.45 -15.33 -21.51 -10.42 19.82 1.18 rw[39] -15.10 3.45 -15.05 -20.84 -9.71 19.19 1.18 rw[40] -14.84 3.47 -14.81 -20.44 -9.00 20.04 1.18 rw[41] -14.48 3.50 -14.37 -20.41 -8.83 20.41 1.18 rw[42] -14.14 3.44 -14.13 -20.29 -8.98 20.36 1.19 rw[43] -13.82 3.45 -13.69 -19.47 -8.30 19.53 1.19 rw[44] -13.50 3.47 -13.36 -19.09 -7.49 19.77 1.19 rw[45] -13.22 3.45 -13.08 -18.36 -6.76 20.19 1.18 rw[46] -12.99 3.46 -12.92 -18.72 -7.60 21.54 1.16 rw[47] -12.74 3.47 -12.70 -18.65 -7.20 20.03 1.18 rw[48] -12.56 3.43 -12.54 -18.61 -7.43 19.52 1.18 rw[49] -12.45 3.42 -12.58 -18.24 -7.08 20.03 1.18 rw[50] -12.33 3.46 -12.33 -17.99 -6.86 21.05 1.17 rw[51] -12.23 3.45 -12.28 -17.79 -6.77 21.24 1.17 rw[52] -12.19 3.46 -12.36 -18.12 -6.94 20.98 1.17 rw[53] -12.12 3.45 -12.23 -17.41 -6.46 22.11 1.16 rw[54] -12.03 3.48 -12.09 -17.55 -6.58 20.80 1.16 rw[55] -11.93 3.53 -12.04 -18.19 -6.81 20.48 1.16 rw[56] -11.90 3.53 -11.86 -17.60 -6.54 21.06 1.17 rw[57] -11.84 3.51 -11.85 -17.54 -6.42 20.47 1.17 rw[58] -11.79 3.51 -11.82 -17.57 -6.62 21.57 1.16 rw[59] -11.68 3.49 -11.66 -17.81 -6.79 20.91 1.18 rw[60] -11.57 3.49 -11.57 -17.58 -6.34 20.66 1.17 rw[61] -11.52 3.51 -11.30 -17.75 -6.41 20.28 1.17 rw[62] -11.46 3.52 -11.28 -17.53 -6.25 20.40 1.18 rw[63] -11.41 3.55 -11.24 -17.33 -6.22 19.95 1.17 rw[64] -11.31 3.43 -11.07 -17.14 -6.27 20.11 1.16 rw[65] -11.25 3.43 -11.16 -17.06 -6.02 19.41 1.17 rw[66] -11.21 3.45 -11.19 -16.92 -6.01 19.53 1.17 rw[67] -11.18 3.44 -11.14 -16.70 -5.64 20.00 1.18 rw[68] -11.23 3.43 -11.22 -16.78 -5.72 20.16 1.18 rw[69] -11.28 3.41 -11.26 -16.54 -5.36 20.19 1.17 rw[70] -11.41 3.42 -11.22 -16.96 -5.83 19.88 1.17 rw[71] -11.53 3.44 -11.42 -17.29 -6.07 20.33 1.16 rw[72] -11.82 3.43 -11.72 -17.21 -5.92 20.37 1.17 rw[73] -12.10 3.45 -12.06 -17.62 -6.27 20.01 1.17 rw[74] -12.46 3.45 -12.29 -18.52 -7.19 19.52 1.18 rw[75] -12.79 3.49 -12.70 -19.03 -7.66 19.43 1.18 rw[76] -13.16 3.46 -12.98 -19.03 -7.85 19.22 1.18 rw[77] -13.56 3.51 -13.48 -19.55 -8.42 20.86 1.16 rw[78] -13.94 3.54 -13.94 -19.91 -8.54 21.86 1.15 rw[79] -14.32 3.57 -14.34 -20.22 -8.86 20.67 1.16 rw[80] -14.66 3.57 -14.63 -20.69 -9.36 20.67 1.16 rw[81] -14.94 3.50 -14.92 -20.63 -9.34 20.46 1.17 rw[82] -15.18 3.54 -15.16 -21.13 -9.83 20.15 1.16 rw[83] -15.36 3.52 -15.48 -21.25 -9.90 19.77 1.18 rw[84] -15.48 3.49 -15.53 -21.66 -10.46 19.92 1.18 rw[85] -15.60 3.50 -15.57 -21.24 -10.05 19.48 1.17 rw[86] -15.69 3.51 -15.66 -21.73 -10.40 18.67 1.19 rw[87] -15.72 3.50 -15.74 -21.46 -10.27 18.79 1.19 rw[88] -15.73 3.48 -15.67 -21.74 -10.54 18.66 1.19 rw[89] -15.70 3.49 -15.72 -21.79 -10.41 19.17 1.19 rw[90] -15.70 3.47 -15.67 -21.20 -9.94 18.95 1.19 rw[91] -15.71 3.43 -15.73 -21.20 -10.18 18.81 1.19 rw[92] -15.73 3.40 -15.77 -21.25 -10.35 19.13 1.19 rw[93] -15.68 3.40 -15.73 -21.25 -10.28 19.31 1.19 rw[94] -15.61 3.39 -15.60 -20.65 -9.58 19.77 1.18 rw[95] -15.48 3.37 -15.51 -21.38 -10.47 21.22 1.17 rw[96] -15.32 3.35 -15.39 -20.92 -9.99 21.48 1.18 rw[97] -15.16 3.39 -15.17 -20.31 -9.27 21.22 1.18 rw[98] -14.99 3.39 -14.96 -20.89 -9.68 21.55 1.17 rw[99] -14.75 3.41 -14.82 -20.19 -9.16 21.37 1.16 rw[100] -14.48 3.44 -14.51 -19.87 -8.88 20.65 1.17 rw[101] -14.13 3.43 -14.12 -19.90 -8.76 20.40 1.18 rw[102] -13.73 3.42 -13.66 -19.49 -8.45 20.30 1.17 rw[103] -13.28 3.42 -13.27 -18.48 -7.35 20.74 1.17 rw[104] -12.80 3.42 -12.80 -18.24 -7.13 20.74 1.18 rw[105] -12.31 3.43 -12.22 -17.92 -6.87 20.71 1.16 rw[106] -11.70 3.42 -11.74 -17.13 -6.22 19.44 1.18 rw[107] -11.06 3.36 -11.11 -16.33 -5.46 18.33 1.20 rw[108] -10.36 3.23 -10.38 -15.41 -5.02 17.05 1.21 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 998.94 1.00 Number of divergences: 0