mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.29 2.16 0.61 0.00 3.08 1064.20 1.00 E0 12.99 13.88 8.67 0.02 29.46 137.63 1.02 H0 2.35 2.37 1.70 0.00 5.32 1317.71 1.00 I0 8.75 7.90 6.36 0.13 18.55 85.80 1.03 beta0 1.86 0.50 1.81 1.13 2.70 20.83 1.03 confirmed_dispersion 0.44 0.08 0.44 0.31 0.57 944.96 1.00 death_dispersion 0.58 0.05 0.58 0.49 0.66 1341.09 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 1146.96 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.02 0.07 0.05 0.09 810.00 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.21 0.41 1193.58 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1188.58 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1476.36 1.00 rw[0] -0.01 0.97 0.00 -1.60 1.54 163.90 1.00 rw[1] 0.01 1.39 -0.02 -2.17 2.36 95.25 1.00 rw[2] 0.19 1.69 0.18 -2.33 3.20 71.37 1.00 rw[3] 0.34 1.96 0.26 -2.87 3.48 56.31 1.00 rw[4] 0.52 2.17 0.48 -2.95 4.03 48.71 1.01 rw[5] 0.63 2.32 0.61 -3.30 4.14 39.83 1.01 rw[6] 0.76 2.47 0.71 -3.36 4.58 39.16 1.01 rw[7] 0.80 2.60 0.74 -3.38 5.10 34.34 1.01 rw[8] 0.69 2.72 0.65 -3.69 5.05 31.57 1.02 rw[9] 0.45 2.80 0.35 -4.29 4.78 28.65 1.02 rw[10] 0.06 2.88 -0.07 -4.94 4.39 28.31 1.02 rw[11] -0.44 2.93 -0.50 -5.00 4.40 27.21 1.02 rw[12] -1.10 3.02 -1.17 -5.95 3.60 26.02 1.03 rw[13] -1.78 3.05 -1.81 -6.83 2.83 24.85 1.03 rw[14] -2.52 3.11 -2.71 -7.55 2.31 23.93 1.04 rw[15] -3.28 3.15 -3.49 -7.76 2.12 22.61 1.04 rw[16] -4.02 3.17 -4.21 -9.25 0.89 23.34 1.05 rw[17] -4.71 3.19 -4.85 -10.21 -0.09 22.66 1.05 rw[18] -5.34 3.18 -5.43 -10.67 -0.32 22.82 1.04 rw[19] -6.04 3.14 -6.13 -11.72 -1.40 21.93 1.04 rw[20] -6.75 3.18 -6.84 -11.96 -1.66 22.38 1.04 rw[21] -7.42 3.17 -7.53 -12.73 -2.51 22.56 1.04 rw[22] -7.95 3.18 -8.03 -13.28 -2.80 23.43 1.04 rw[23] -8.54 3.19 -8.72 -13.93 -3.57 23.29 1.04 rw[24] -9.14 3.17 -9.15 -15.07 -4.53 24.43 1.04 rw[25] -9.68 3.22 -9.77 -15.30 -4.48 24.84 1.04 rw[26] -10.20 3.27 -10.33 -15.77 -4.92 25.09 1.04 rw[27] -10.75 3.22 -10.82 -16.12 -5.53 25.15 1.04 rw[28] -11.22 3.24 -11.30 -16.79 -6.29 24.94 1.03 rw[29] -11.68 3.23 -11.74 -16.83 -6.52 24.42 1.04 rw[30] -12.08 3.24 -12.06 -17.31 -6.93 24.41 1.04 rw[31] -12.45 3.24 -12.45 -18.10 -7.50 24.69 1.04 rw[32] -12.78 3.20 -12.88 -18.40 -7.88 25.48 1.04 rw[33] -13.08 3.18 -13.24 -18.25 -8.00 25.77 1.04 rw[34] -13.32 3.17 -13.43 -18.05 -7.80 25.68 1.04 rw[35] -13.49 3.23 -13.63 -18.14 -7.81 25.57 1.04 rw[36] -13.68 3.18 -13.84 -18.44 -8.40 24.90 1.04 rw[37] -13.83 3.18 -13.96 -18.51 -8.35 24.42 1.04 rw[38] -14.03 3.21 -14.17 -19.06 -8.89 23.98 1.04 rw[39] -14.20 3.21 -14.24 -19.84 -9.54 23.73 1.05 rw[40] -14.31 3.20 -14.38 -19.59 -9.18 24.39 1.04 rw[41] -14.39 3.17 -14.40 -19.55 -9.40 23.97 1.04 rw[42] -14.45 3.16 -14.57 -19.40 -9.43 24.28 1.04 rw[43] -14.54 3.21 -14.73 -19.41 -9.04 23.55 1.04 rw[44] -14.60 3.19 -14.75 -19.80 -9.59 23.87 1.04 rw[45] -14.54 3.20 -14.64 -19.95 -9.66 23.85 1.05 rw[46] -14.58 3.17 -14.78 -19.75 -9.54 24.27 1.05 rw[47] -14.52 3.17 -14.58 -19.48 -9.52 24.40 1.05 rw[48] -14.48 3.14 -14.64 -19.77 -9.66 24.10 1.04 rw[49] -14.42 3.16 -14.61 -19.76 -9.55 24.07 1.04 rw[50] -14.35 3.13 -14.50 -18.98 -8.86 23.87 1.04 rw[51] -14.27 3.18 -14.37 -19.79 -9.41 24.48 1.04 rw[52] -14.15 3.19 -14.34 -19.39 -8.87 23.12 1.04 rw[53] -14.02 3.21 -14.14 -19.05 -8.68 24.27 1.03 rw[54] -13.94 3.17 -14.08 -19.02 -9.03 23.99 1.03 rw[55] -13.84 3.10 -13.95 -18.82 -9.02 23.04 1.04 rw[56] -13.70 3.10 -13.81 -18.84 -8.87 23.42 1.04 rw[57] -13.67 3.13 -13.66 -18.39 -8.36 23.70 1.03 rw[58] -13.55 3.13 -13.68 -19.07 -8.87 24.12 1.04 rw[59] -13.47 3.13 -13.66 -18.69 -8.48 23.63 1.03 rw[60] -13.38 3.12 -13.40 -18.40 -8.33 23.74 1.03 rw[61] -13.28 3.06 -13.30 -18.66 -8.81 23.12 1.03 rw[62] -13.22 3.09 -13.14 -18.96 -8.94 23.76 1.03 rw[63] -13.13 3.08 -13.16 -17.81 -7.73 24.58 1.03 rw[64] -13.05 3.09 -13.11 -18.46 -8.46 24.23 1.04 rw[65] -12.98 3.09 -13.08 -17.62 -7.63 24.87 1.03 rw[66] -12.91 3.09 -12.98 -17.58 -7.57 24.77 1.04 rw[67] -12.90 3.12 -12.94 -18.44 -8.16 24.70 1.04 rw[68] -12.85 3.14 -12.85 -17.89 -7.63 25.50 1.04 rw[69] -12.77 3.11 -12.84 -18.11 -8.08 25.35 1.04 rw[70] -12.73 3.17 -12.90 -18.49 -8.07 25.91 1.04 rw[71] -12.73 3.19 -12.89 -18.09 -7.57 25.54 1.04 rw[72] -12.72 3.18 -12.83 -18.16 -7.66 25.51 1.04 rw[73] -12.71 3.20 -12.80 -18.26 -7.78 25.18 1.04 rw[74] -12.68 3.19 -12.87 -18.14 -7.79 26.23 1.03 rw[75] -12.76 3.16 -12.82 -17.49 -6.92 27.06 1.03 rw[76] -12.75 3.16 -12.84 -17.95 -7.29 25.74 1.03 rw[77] -12.80 3.14 -12.87 -17.93 -7.51 25.50 1.03 rw[78] -12.86 3.16 -13.01 -17.36 -6.79 24.74 1.04 rw[79] -12.91 3.15 -13.00 -17.97 -7.76 24.76 1.04 rw[80] -12.93 3.19 -13.06 -18.10 -7.57 25.22 1.04 rw[81] -12.99 3.18 -13.04 -18.26 -8.07 24.48 1.03 rw[82] -13.04 3.15 -12.96 -18.06 -8.14 25.48 1.03 rw[83] -13.06 3.23 -12.99 -18.39 -8.24 24.59 1.04 rw[84] -13.08 3.19 -13.14 -18.23 -7.92 25.02 1.04 rw[85] -13.13 3.19 -13.10 -17.88 -7.80 24.71 1.04 rw[86] -13.07 3.22 -13.15 -18.23 -8.03 23.98 1.04 rw[87] -13.11 3.17 -13.20 -17.69 -7.50 24.65 1.04 rw[88] -13.08 3.17 -13.14 -18.05 -7.76 23.76 1.04 rw[89] -13.13 3.14 -13.19 -17.75 -7.79 23.13 1.05 rw[90] -13.20 3.16 -13.16 -17.96 -7.79 23.79 1.04 rw[91] -13.19 3.18 -13.28 -18.50 -8.24 23.12 1.04 rw[92] -13.21 3.18 -13.24 -18.68 -8.34 24.06 1.04 rw[93] -13.23 3.16 -13.37 -18.73 -8.66 23.99 1.04 rw[94] -13.25 3.13 -13.31 -18.48 -8.62 24.61 1.03 rw[95] -13.25 3.11 -13.33 -18.43 -8.47 24.58 1.03 rw[96] -13.23 3.07 -13.33 -18.17 -8.33 24.67 1.03 rw[97] -13.16 3.09 -13.27 -18.22 -8.35 24.82 1.04 rw[98] -13.07 3.07 -13.21 -17.73 -8.01 24.00 1.04 rw[99] -12.97 3.06 -12.99 -17.86 -8.05 24.22 1.04 rw[100] -12.82 3.08 -12.88 -17.81 -7.90 24.07 1.04 rw[101] -12.67 3.07 -12.75 -17.84 -7.94 24.87 1.04 rw[102] -12.54 3.05 -12.46 -17.48 -7.51 24.49 1.04 rw[103] -12.32 3.08 -12.31 -17.43 -7.36 23.59 1.04 rw[104] -12.08 3.01 -12.05 -17.24 -7.60 24.18 1.04 rw[105] -11.80 3.04 -11.95 -16.98 -7.23 23.68 1.05 rw[106] -11.51 3.03 -11.58 -16.04 -6.28 23.15 1.05 rw[107] -11.35 2.97 -11.39 -16.49 -6.96 23.76 1.04 rw[108] -11.08 3.03 -11.24 -15.90 -6.17 23.59 1.05 rw[109] -10.88 3.03 -11.01 -15.74 -6.11 23.67 1.04 rw[110] -10.76 3.05 -10.85 -15.75 -5.81 23.60 1.04 rw[111] -10.67 3.04 -10.69 -15.58 -6.04 23.19 1.04 rw[112] -10.49 3.04 -10.62 -15.16 -5.55 23.66 1.04 rw[113] -10.35 3.02 -10.38 -15.32 -5.77 24.69 1.04 rw[114] -10.23 3.04 -10.29 -15.38 -5.79 23.95 1.04 rw[115] -10.18 3.08 -10.21 -15.46 -5.57 24.00 1.03 rw[116] -10.14 3.05 -10.21 -15.34 -5.45 23.49 1.03 rw[117] -10.07 2.97 -10.11 -14.75 -5.29 23.23 1.04 rw[118] -10.12 3.01 -10.29 -14.63 -4.85 23.36 1.04 rw[119] -10.19 2.99 -10.31 -15.12 -5.51 22.67 1.04 rw[120] -10.25 2.97 -10.41 -14.84 -5.25 21.80 1.04 rw[121] -10.36 2.90 -10.53 -14.62 -4.96 20.12 1.05 rw[122] -10.42 2.84 -10.58 -15.10 -6.05 19.77 1.05 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1440.79 1.00 Number of divergences: 0