mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.87 1.08 0.49 0.00 2.17 1292.21 1.00 E0 22.29 23.58 15.16 0.03 50.99 142.76 1.00 H0 1.73 1.79 1.12 0.01 4.04 1165.94 1.00 I0 8.02 9.18 5.16 0.00 19.23 142.65 1.01 beta0 2.09 0.62 1.99 1.15 3.05 23.24 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.82 0.08 0.82 0.68 0.95 799.22 1.00 death_dispersion 0.36 0.04 0.35 0.29 0.42 1772.79 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.04 1170.05 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.08 515.12 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.39 1343.69 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1189.19 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1232.17 1.00 rw[0] 0.03 0.94 0.03 -1.45 1.60 176.42 1.00 rw[1] 0.11 1.35 0.12 -2.17 2.17 86.38 1.00 rw[2] 0.28 1.65 0.28 -2.56 2.76 75.66 1.00 rw[3] 0.47 1.87 0.42 -2.45 3.63 57.60 1.00 rw[4] 0.67 2.08 0.68 -2.45 4.29 42.61 1.00 rw[5] 0.83 2.25 0.91 -2.58 4.70 42.01 1.00 rw[6] 0.91 2.40 0.93 -2.53 4.92 40.39 1.00 rw[7] 0.92 2.55 0.95 -3.42 4.80 37.37 1.00 rw[8] 0.77 2.68 0.86 -3.18 5.39 35.04 1.00 rw[9] 0.54 2.82 0.63 -4.05 5.23 33.75 1.00 rw[10] 0.19 2.88 0.30 -4.83 4.46 30.85 1.00 rw[11] -0.24 2.98 -0.10 -4.83 4.69 30.29 1.00 rw[12] -0.80 3.03 -0.76 -5.77 3.89 30.66 1.00 rw[13] -1.47 3.10 -1.45 -6.80 3.18 29.27 1.00 rw[14] -2.21 3.14 -2.22 -7.59 2.59 28.20 1.00 rw[15] -3.07 3.20 -3.02 -8.21 2.21 28.27 1.00 rw[16] -4.01 3.18 -3.89 -9.20 1.05 28.81 1.00 rw[17] -4.93 3.21 -4.84 -10.76 -0.05 27.96 1.00 rw[18] -5.85 3.24 -5.72 -10.92 -0.21 28.91 1.00 rw[19] -6.87 3.20 -6.87 -12.27 -1.82 27.87 1.00 rw[20] -7.95 3.23 -7.92 -13.89 -3.08 28.85 1.00 rw[21] -8.90 3.26 -8.85 -13.87 -3.22 29.27 1.00 rw[22] -9.76 3.24 -9.68 -14.53 -4.11 30.84 1.00 rw[23] -10.59 3.30 -10.59 -15.74 -5.14 32.14 1.00 rw[24] -11.41 3.27 -11.27 -16.91 -6.18 31.04 1.00 rw[25] -12.21 3.28 -12.20 -17.84 -7.06 31.56 1.00 rw[26] -12.93 3.30 -12.92 -18.51 -7.71 32.63 1.00 rw[27] -13.59 3.27 -13.42 -18.64 -8.01 33.49 1.00 rw[28] -14.30 3.30 -14.28 -19.52 -8.71 32.61 1.00 rw[29] -14.87 3.32 -14.80 -20.72 -9.83 32.77 1.00 rw[30] -15.41 3.34 -15.34 -20.59 -9.49 34.10 1.00 rw[31] -15.92 3.40 -15.99 -20.74 -9.52 34.12 1.00 rw[32] -16.37 3.36 -16.36 -21.90 -10.86 34.87 1.00 rw[33] -16.83 3.37 -16.74 -22.83 -11.85 35.23 1.00 rw[34] -17.18 3.39 -17.00 -22.44 -11.40 39.00 1.00 rw[35] -17.49 3.45 -17.40 -23.35 -12.48 38.68 1.00 rw[36] -17.75 3.45 -17.65 -23.35 -12.43 38.27 1.00 rw[37] -18.04 3.43 -17.83 -23.92 -12.64 35.80 1.00 rw[38] -18.27 3.44 -18.22 -24.44 -13.13 36.30 1.00 rw[39] -18.46 3.39 -18.37 -24.49 -13.36 37.82 1.00 rw[40] -18.60 3.34 -18.51 -23.89 -13.24 37.57 1.00 rw[41] -18.69 3.34 -18.69 -24.85 -14.03 36.32 1.00 rw[42] -18.74 3.34 -18.70 -24.26 -13.38 34.67 1.00 rw[43] -18.82 3.45 -18.71 -24.14 -13.17 32.85 1.00 rw[44] -18.85 3.44 -18.80 -23.69 -12.69 33.72 1.00 rw[45] -18.78 3.38 -18.69 -23.38 -12.53 33.11 1.00 rw[46] -18.74 3.34 -18.80 -24.11 -13.39 33.65 1.00 rw[47] -18.63 3.36 -18.56 -23.72 -12.91 33.80 1.00 rw[48] -18.50 3.37 -18.44 -23.72 -12.71 33.35 1.00 rw[49] -18.36 3.39 -18.38 -23.78 -12.86 32.26 1.00 rw[50] -18.18 3.34 -18.21 -23.44 -12.67 31.90 1.00 rw[51] -18.01 3.40 -17.90 -23.38 -12.37 30.59 1.00 rw[52] -17.81 3.36 -17.71 -22.91 -12.08 29.56 1.00 rw[53] -17.59 3.37 -17.42 -22.78 -12.07 30.44 1.00 rw[54] -17.37 3.32 -17.22 -23.39 -12.53 29.15 1.00 rw[55] -17.18 3.24 -17.09 -22.03 -11.36 28.23 1.00 rw[56] -16.95 3.24 -16.89 -22.81 -12.04 28.27 1.00 rw[57] -16.78 3.29 -16.60 -22.00 -11.29 27.62 1.00 rw[58] -16.58 3.29 -16.37 -22.59 -11.56 28.46 1.00 rw[59] -16.39 3.24 -16.17 -21.33 -10.51 28.65 1.00 rw[60] -16.19 3.20 -16.11 -21.23 -10.70 28.18 1.00 rw[61] -16.04 3.13 -15.95 -20.84 -10.40 29.27 1.00 rw[62] -15.88 3.18 -15.87 -21.48 -11.09 28.97 1.00 rw[63] -15.73 3.23 -15.71 -21.14 -10.58 30.57 1.00 rw[64] -15.56 3.24 -15.46 -20.82 -10.18 31.45 1.00 rw[65] -15.41 3.24 -15.40 -20.64 -9.91 32.09 1.00 rw[66] -15.30 3.23 -15.27 -20.78 -10.53 31.49 1.00 rw[67] -15.17 3.25 -15.21 -20.89 -10.50 31.64 1.00 rw[68] -15.07 3.25 -15.02 -20.10 -9.43 34.38 1.00 rw[69] -14.95 3.27 -14.91 -20.21 -9.67 35.93 1.00 rw[70] -14.88 3.32 -14.85 -20.04 -9.53 34.90 1.00 rw[71] -14.80 3.31 -14.80 -20.28 -9.55 36.15 1.00 rw[72] -14.76 3.29 -14.79 -20.18 -9.56 37.35 1.00 rw[73] -14.68 3.32 -14.78 -20.24 -9.49 37.04 1.00 rw[74] -14.55 3.32 -14.58 -19.75 -8.78 36.26 1.00 rw[75] -14.49 3.29 -14.53 -19.39 -8.61 36.45 1.00 rw[76] -14.43 3.26 -14.45 -19.82 -9.18 36.89 1.00 rw[77] -14.36 3.29 -14.44 -19.49 -8.75 35.11 1.00 rw[78] -14.34 3.31 -14.24 -20.17 -9.38 32.71 1.00 rw[79] -14.26 3.32 -14.22 -19.49 -8.68 32.74 1.00 rw[80] -14.19 3.36 -14.15 -19.82 -8.64 33.57 1.00 rw[81] -14.17 3.35 -14.14 -20.26 -9.22 33.05 1.00 rw[82] -14.12 3.33 -14.10 -19.68 -8.73 33.91 1.00 rw[83] -14.11 3.42 -14.03 -19.54 -8.30 32.51 1.00 rw[84] -14.05 3.37 -13.97 -19.61 -8.72 31.76 1.00 rw[85] -14.01 3.41 -13.95 -19.74 -8.81 30.43 1.00 rw[86] -13.95 3.38 -13.83 -19.74 -8.74 30.30 1.00 rw[87] -13.95 3.37 -13.89 -19.39 -8.49 29.02 1.00 rw[88] -13.89 3.28 -13.68 -19.08 -8.16 28.39 1.00 rw[89] -13.81 3.27 -13.76 -19.54 -8.90 30.18 1.00 rw[90] -13.76 3.27 -13.71 -18.54 -7.73 29.43 1.00 rw[91] -13.66 3.30 -13.70 -19.23 -8.31 29.01 1.00 rw[92] -13.56 3.31 -13.56 -19.09 -7.92 30.04 1.00 rw[93] -13.43 3.24 -13.37 -18.62 -8.05 30.04 1.00 rw[94] -13.31 3.20 -13.26 -19.18 -8.61 31.05 1.00 rw[95] -13.19 3.20 -13.16 -19.18 -8.46 29.98 1.00 rw[96] -13.06 3.15 -12.96 -18.37 -8.00 30.08 1.00 rw[97] -12.96 3.15 -13.00 -18.05 -7.51 31.15 1.00 rw[98] -12.83 3.15 -12.90 -17.79 -7.36 31.39 1.00 rw[99] -12.76 3.17 -12.79 -17.82 -7.69 30.50 1.00 rw[100] -12.70 3.18 -12.66 -17.51 -7.35 31.02 1.00 rw[101] -12.61 3.15 -12.55 -17.75 -7.32 32.12 1.00 rw[102] -12.58 3.17 -12.60 -17.40 -6.77 33.06 1.00 rw[103] -12.48 3.18 -12.40 -17.46 -7.02 32.90 1.00 rw[104] -12.31 3.17 -12.25 -17.11 -6.87 32.33 1.00 rw[105] -12.17 3.16 -12.21 -17.05 -6.85 32.90 1.00 rw[106] -12.03 3.14 -12.05 -16.71 -6.58 32.66 1.00 rw[107] -11.93 3.12 -11.89 -16.99 -7.03 32.80 1.00 rw[108] -11.75 3.16 -11.71 -16.64 -6.45 32.12 1.00 rw[109] -11.63 3.16 -11.53 -16.88 -6.63 32.27 1.00 rw[110] -11.51 3.17 -11.33 -16.51 -6.37 31.05 1.00 rw[111] -11.47 3.18 -11.43 -16.77 -6.48 31.68 1.00 rw[112] -11.38 3.21 -11.35 -16.27 -6.02 31.19 1.00 rw[113] -11.27 3.21 -11.19 -16.16 -5.42 31.01 1.00 rw[114] -11.16 3.21 -11.05 -16.76 -6.07 30.32 1.00 rw[115] -11.16 3.20 -11.08 -16.24 -5.66 29.69 1.00 rw[116] -11.14 3.25 -11.00 -16.21 -5.54 28.16 1.00 rw[117] -11.07 3.20 -10.97 -15.77 -5.23 28.45 1.00 rw[118] -11.13 3.19 -10.99 -16.92 -6.45 28.05 1.00 rw[119] -11.15 3.16 -11.12 -16.06 -5.77 28.59 1.00 rw[120] -11.17 3.06 -11.10 -16.35 -6.45 28.26 1.00 rw[121] -11.27 2.98 -11.23 -16.19 -6.47 26.79 1.00 rw[122] -11.35 2.89 -11.32 -16.02 -6.58 25.61 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1238.43 1.00 Number of divergences: 0