mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.61 0.63 0.38 0.00 1.42 1918.15 1.00 E0 4.12 4.45 2.79 0.00 9.01 164.09 1.00 H0 0.97 0.98 0.67 0.00 2.23 1127.11 1.00 I0 1.90 2.17 1.20 0.00 4.35 136.71 1.00 beta0 1.95 0.51 1.91 1.21 2.83 35.33 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.57 0.08 0.57 0.45 0.70 1102.09 1.00 death_dispersion 0.11 0.01 0.10 0.10 0.12 1591.02 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 891.58 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.07 0.12 590.67 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1472.12 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1073.19 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1132.95 1.00 rw[0] 0.03 0.96 0.07 -1.53 1.52 235.90 1.01 rw[1] 0.13 1.31 0.14 -2.30 1.97 178.05 1.01 rw[2] 0.28 1.61 0.32 -2.26 2.84 126.52 1.01 rw[3] 0.49 1.77 0.45 -2.58 3.24 94.07 1.01 rw[4] 0.72 1.99 0.68 -2.60 4.00 83.77 1.01 rw[5] 0.96 2.18 0.94 -2.83 4.26 71.97 1.01 rw[6] 1.20 2.34 1.20 -2.33 5.22 67.48 1.01 rw[7] 1.38 2.46 1.28 -2.37 5.71 60.35 1.01 rw[8] 1.46 2.57 1.36 -2.85 5.24 57.04 1.01 rw[9] 1.46 2.68 1.39 -3.07 5.76 55.08 1.01 rw[10] 1.33 2.78 1.19 -2.95 6.10 49.95 1.00 rw[11] 1.13 2.85 1.01 -3.62 5.38 48.05 1.00 rw[12] 0.83 2.89 0.80 -3.61 5.40 46.07 1.00 rw[13] 0.39 2.97 0.32 -4.58 4.75 44.86 1.00 rw[14] -0.17 3.00 -0.21 -4.97 4.68 44.80 1.00 rw[15] -0.83 2.99 -0.92 -5.82 3.85 43.01 1.00 rw[16] -1.58 3.02 -1.57 -6.39 3.30 45.01 1.00 rw[17] -2.51 3.03 -2.58 -7.44 2.33 44.25 1.00 rw[18] -3.57 3.03 -3.57 -8.73 1.08 42.87 1.00 rw[19] -4.73 2.98 -4.62 -9.92 -0.18 39.33 1.00 rw[20] -5.98 2.99 -6.08 -11.15 -1.44 39.12 1.00 rw[21] -7.30 3.01 -7.33 -12.20 -2.57 38.40 1.00 rw[22] -8.62 3.04 -8.65 -13.61 -3.90 37.63 1.00 rw[23] -9.84 3.02 -9.84 -14.86 -5.24 36.80 1.00 rw[24] -11.03 3.02 -10.97 -16.26 -6.63 38.54 1.00 rw[25] -12.16 3.09 -12.20 -17.21 -7.16 38.99 1.00 rw[26] -13.23 3.09 -13.28 -18.65 -8.67 38.45 1.00 rw[27] -14.10 3.06 -14.10 -18.95 -8.93 39.55 1.00 rw[28] -14.85 3.05 -14.82 -19.81 -10.03 37.44 1.00 rw[29] -15.49 3.10 -15.48 -20.76 -10.84 36.61 1.00 rw[30] -15.96 3.09 -15.92 -21.17 -11.23 36.72 1.00 rw[31] -16.32 3.09 -16.41 -20.79 -10.97 37.09 1.00 rw[32] -16.56 3.13 -16.69 -21.18 -11.15 40.81 1.00 rw[33] -16.70 3.12 -16.84 -21.78 -11.95 39.60 1.00 rw[34] -16.74 3.12 -16.79 -21.51 -11.83 39.68 1.00 rw[35] -16.71 3.10 -16.78 -22.39 -12.33 39.26 1.00 rw[36] -16.55 3.15 -16.58 -21.33 -11.19 41.77 1.00 rw[37] -16.38 3.16 -16.43 -21.20 -11.24 45.70 1.00 rw[38] -16.15 3.12 -16.12 -21.01 -10.59 48.37 1.00 rw[39] -15.94 3.14 -15.84 -20.75 -10.74 47.37 1.00 rw[40] -15.65 3.16 -15.73 -20.93 -10.78 46.18 1.00 rw[41] -15.36 3.11 -15.30 -20.86 -10.93 44.61 1.00 rw[42] -15.09 3.11 -15.01 -20.53 -10.47 44.33 1.00 rw[43] -14.80 3.05 -14.80 -20.31 -10.41 43.02 1.00 rw[44] -14.54 3.07 -14.47 -19.65 -9.70 45.60 1.00 rw[45] -14.23 3.05 -14.26 -19.47 -9.54 44.92 1.00 rw[46] -13.92 3.06 -13.93 -18.98 -9.12 44.92 1.00 rw[47] -13.71 3.00 -13.82 -18.29 -8.69 46.40 1.00 rw[48] -13.55 2.97 -13.54 -18.59 -9.07 41.56 1.00 rw[49] -13.38 3.01 -13.52 -18.56 -8.85 40.98 1.00 rw[50] -13.25 2.99 -13.29 -18.19 -8.58 42.90 1.00 rw[51] -13.16 3.00 -13.27 -17.89 -8.34 41.37 1.00 rw[52] -13.09 3.02 -13.17 -17.62 -7.88 40.94 1.00 rw[53] -12.97 3.01 -13.09 -17.76 -8.15 39.52 1.00 rw[54] -12.86 2.98 -12.94 -17.94 -8.38 39.95 1.00 rw[55] -12.83 2.95 -12.84 -17.87 -8.21 37.36 1.00 rw[56] -12.72 2.98 -12.79 -17.53 -8.07 38.73 1.00 rw[57] -12.64 2.99 -12.67 -17.29 -7.64 38.28 1.00 rw[58] -12.52 2.97 -12.60 -17.13 -7.63 36.99 1.00 rw[59] -12.48 2.99 -12.56 -17.01 -7.45 37.59 1.00 rw[60] -12.41 3.02 -12.49 -17.18 -7.47 38.34 1.00 rw[61] -12.31 2.99 -12.47 -16.96 -7.37 39.21 1.00 rw[62] -12.22 2.98 -12.43 -16.80 -7.23 40.43 1.00 rw[63] -12.18 3.00 -12.23 -17.24 -7.68 41.17 1.00 rw[64] -12.12 2.98 -12.18 -16.98 -7.46 39.64 1.00 rw[65] -12.10 2.93 -12.23 -16.96 -7.57 39.69 1.00 rw[66] -12.07 2.92 -12.23 -16.50 -7.35 39.11 1.00 rw[67] -12.07 2.89 -12.21 -16.27 -7.05 39.96 1.00 rw[68] -12.08 2.89 -12.20 -16.53 -7.33 41.00 1.00 rw[69] -12.12 2.94 -12.20 -16.63 -7.19 40.57 1.00 rw[70] -12.28 2.96 -12.37 -17.04 -7.79 43.79 1.00 rw[71] -12.44 3.04 -12.48 -17.47 -7.55 41.77 1.00 rw[72] -12.63 3.03 -12.74 -17.67 -7.88 42.55 1.00 rw[73] -12.95 3.02 -12.94 -18.08 -8.47 39.74 1.00 rw[74] -13.27 3.04 -13.34 -18.12 -8.46 38.15 1.00 rw[75] -13.67 3.03 -13.66 -18.82 -9.18 39.48 1.00 rw[76] -14.10 3.05 -14.06 -18.83 -8.93 35.81 1.00 rw[77] -14.48 3.03 -14.48 -19.54 -9.75 37.48 1.00 rw[78] -14.89 3.05 -14.88 -19.95 -10.21 37.43 1.00 rw[79] -15.25 3.09 -15.21 -20.39 -10.64 37.80 1.00 rw[80] -15.56 3.12 -15.60 -20.85 -10.75 39.76 1.00 rw[81] -15.84 3.11 -15.85 -20.70 -10.69 39.11 1.00 rw[82] -16.03 3.12 -15.99 -21.14 -11.33 39.03 1.00 rw[83] -16.20 3.13 -16.18 -21.37 -11.32 38.98 1.00 rw[84] -16.33 3.13 -16.46 -21.03 -10.87 39.64 1.00 rw[85] -16.42 3.12 -16.53 -22.37 -12.03 37.95 1.00 rw[86] -16.43 3.09 -16.30 -21.57 -11.59 38.06 1.00 rw[87] -16.40 3.09 -16.34 -21.57 -11.43 39.47 1.00 rw[88] -16.34 3.07 -16.34 -21.56 -11.59 37.20 1.00 rw[89] -16.29 3.10 -16.22 -21.54 -11.21 36.23 1.00 rw[90] -16.16 3.06 -16.18 -21.36 -11.50 35.67 1.00 rw[91] -16.09 3.04 -16.14 -20.82 -11.10 36.73 1.00 rw[92] -15.98 3.03 -15.98 -20.97 -11.22 39.55 1.00 rw[93] -15.91 3.10 -15.98 -21.04 -11.02 38.53 1.00 rw[94] -15.79 3.04 -15.86 -20.80 -11.14 39.03 1.00 rw[95] -15.68 3.03 -15.72 -20.92 -11.37 40.24 1.00 rw[96] -15.57 3.03 -15.59 -20.57 -10.90 40.34 1.00 rw[97] -15.40 2.97 -15.44 -20.23 -11.03 42.52 1.00 rw[98] -15.25 2.98 -15.29 -19.79 -10.30 43.36 1.00 rw[99] -15.10 3.03 -15.22 -20.00 -10.57 45.45 1.00 rw[100] -14.93 3.02 -15.19 -19.72 -10.25 44.33 1.00 rw[101] -14.77 3.00 -15.04 -19.25 -9.96 45.73 1.00 rw[102] -14.53 2.96 -14.81 -19.23 -9.90 45.03 1.00 rw[103] -14.32 2.96 -14.55 -18.83 -9.44 42.14 1.00 rw[104] -14.03 2.90 -14.20 -18.92 -9.58 39.76 1.00 rw[105] -13.84 2.88 -14.02 -18.29 -9.28 41.03 1.00 rw[106] -13.62 2.92 -13.78 -18.01 -8.81 41.41 1.00 rw[107] -13.35 2.91 -13.50 -17.99 -8.68 43.48 1.00 rw[108] -13.13 2.93 -13.29 -17.65 -8.13 42.89 1.00 rw[109] -12.93 2.93 -12.99 -17.66 -8.26 40.50 1.00 rw[110] -12.70 2.93 -12.71 -17.41 -8.11 40.43 1.00 rw[111] -12.44 2.94 -12.55 -16.90 -7.55 39.81 1.00 rw[112] -12.20 2.93 -12.31 -17.53 -8.02 38.87 1.00 rw[113] -11.98 2.99 -11.98 -16.90 -7.21 37.19 1.00 rw[114] -11.79 2.97 -11.92 -17.04 -7.38 37.39 1.00 rw[115] -11.57 2.97 -11.67 -15.93 -6.31 37.70 1.00 rw[116] -11.36 2.94 -11.35 -16.07 -6.47 38.81 1.00 rw[117] -11.22 2.99 -11.26 -15.97 -6.43 38.53 1.00 rw[118] -11.04 2.97 -11.11 -16.18 -6.55 35.66 1.00 rw[119] -10.85 2.95 -11.01 -15.40 -5.87 33.58 1.00 rw[120] -10.78 2.87 -10.91 -15.89 -6.74 34.15 1.00 rw[121] -10.74 2.80 -10.84 -15.53 -6.53 34.39 1.00 rw[122] -10.78 2.68 -10.89 -15.07 -6.79 32.60 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1168.09 1.00 Number of divergences: 0