mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.78 4.38 0.63 0.00 3.68 742.24 1.00 E0 12.59 9.66 10.80 0.05 25.28 284.73 1.00 H0 2.52 2.11 2.04 0.00 5.22 1116.97 1.00 I0 5.19 5.05 3.70 0.00 11.24 247.16 1.00 beta0 1.50 0.37 1.46 0.91 2.05 44.08 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.18 0.41 848.66 1.00 death_dispersion 0.63 0.07 0.63 0.53 0.75 1075.50 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 911.91 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.01 0.09 0.07 0.11 1083.48 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.18 0.38 1954.40 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1991.96 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1580.02 1.00 rw[0] -0.03 0.96 -0.04 -1.45 1.72 565.29 1.00 rw[1] -0.02 1.38 -0.02 -2.32 2.15 257.49 1.00 rw[2] 0.11 1.65 0.12 -2.49 2.88 190.15 1.00 rw[3] 0.25 1.88 0.26 -3.05 3.00 129.21 1.00 rw[4] 0.42 2.04 0.47 -2.89 3.72 102.27 1.00 rw[5] 0.54 2.13 0.53 -2.74 3.99 87.32 1.00 rw[6] 0.63 2.24 0.67 -2.99 4.14 75.82 1.00 rw[7] 0.70 2.36 0.64 -2.84 4.96 68.68 1.00 rw[8] 0.77 2.49 0.77 -2.91 5.28 61.03 1.00 rw[9] 0.76 2.52 0.87 -3.60 4.68 60.33 1.00 rw[10] 0.76 2.63 0.79 -3.33 5.27 59.96 1.00 rw[11] 0.71 2.70 0.66 -3.84 4.93 59.91 1.00 rw[12] 0.56 2.70 0.55 -3.76 4.88 59.13 1.00 rw[13] 0.35 2.81 0.25 -4.36 4.82 55.34 1.00 rw[14] 0.08 2.83 0.11 -4.67 4.52 54.28 1.00 rw[15] -0.26 2.85 -0.22 -4.60 4.69 55.18 1.00 rw[16] -0.75 2.87 -0.67 -5.07 4.35 53.83 1.00 rw[17] -1.38 2.85 -1.26 -5.91 3.80 51.17 1.00 rw[18] -2.02 2.82 -1.89 -6.79 2.48 51.36 1.00 rw[19] -2.79 2.83 -2.71 -7.73 1.56 51.75 1.00 rw[20] -3.49 2.87 -3.49 -7.76 1.78 53.05 1.00 rw[21] -4.21 2.93 -4.16 -8.37 1.12 55.13 1.00 rw[22] -4.89 2.90 -4.81 -9.90 -0.41 55.81 1.00 rw[23] -5.60 2.89 -5.52 -10.30 -0.85 55.04 1.00 rw[24] -6.30 2.84 -6.26 -10.74 -1.60 55.61 1.00 rw[25] -6.95 2.83 -6.92 -11.08 -2.21 56.31 1.00 rw[26] -7.57 2.83 -7.51 -12.39 -3.37 55.39 1.00 rw[27] -8.10 2.81 -8.07 -12.98 -3.84 57.42 1.00 rw[28] -8.66 2.81 -8.54 -13.46 -4.38 57.93 1.00 rw[29] -9.07 2.78 -9.03 -13.47 -4.56 58.15 1.00 rw[30] -9.47 2.78 -9.45 -14.26 -5.15 56.95 1.00 rw[31] -9.77 2.82 -9.71 -14.08 -4.85 57.54 1.00 rw[32] -10.05 2.84 -9.99 -14.76 -5.24 57.56 1.00 rw[33] -10.25 2.81 -10.23 -14.95 -5.59 55.36 1.00 rw[34] -10.43 2.81 -10.41 -14.80 -5.35 56.30 1.00 rw[35] -10.59 2.84 -10.56 -15.46 -6.02 57.78 1.00 rw[36] -10.72 2.86 -10.71 -15.66 -6.23 56.71 1.00 rw[37] -10.81 2.86 -10.82 -15.64 -6.12 57.82 1.00 rw[38] -10.89 2.86 -10.82 -15.70 -6.09 55.12 1.00 rw[39] -10.98 2.86 -10.96 -15.99 -6.50 55.51 1.00 rw[40] -11.04 2.90 -11.04 -16.21 -6.48 54.78 1.00 rw[41] -11.08 2.91 -11.11 -16.19 -6.65 54.61 1.00 rw[42] -11.10 2.89 -11.02 -16.10 -6.31 56.41 1.00 rw[43] -11.11 2.81 -11.11 -15.63 -6.14 54.68 1.00 rw[44] -11.20 2.81 -11.19 -16.19 -6.67 56.43 1.00 rw[45] -11.30 2.84 -11.24 -15.50 -5.78 53.95 1.00 rw[46] -11.32 2.79 -11.31 -15.76 -6.44 54.98 1.00 rw[47] -11.37 2.84 -11.31 -15.64 -6.43 55.92 1.00 rw[48] -11.40 2.85 -11.30 -16.08 -6.69 55.98 1.00 rw[49] -11.51 2.89 -11.38 -16.53 -6.96 57.93 1.00 rw[50] -11.53 2.84 -11.54 -15.66 -6.39 58.30 1.00 rw[51] -11.58 2.85 -11.70 -15.71 -6.23 58.68 1.00 rw[52] -11.63 2.82 -11.62 -16.39 -7.10 59.82 1.00 rw[53] -11.68 2.81 -11.66 -16.17 -6.90 57.07 1.00 rw[54] -11.68 2.83 -11.64 -16.10 -6.59 56.87 1.00 rw[55] -11.70 2.79 -11.64 -16.38 -7.15 56.73 1.00 rw[56] -11.77 2.78 -11.75 -16.16 -7.21 57.78 1.00 rw[57] -11.76 2.80 -11.71 -16.60 -7.50 57.23 1.00 rw[58] -11.80 2.79 -11.71 -15.95 -6.91 56.86 1.00 rw[59] -11.88 2.87 -11.90 -16.47 -7.32 56.44 1.00 rw[60] -11.99 2.89 -11.93 -16.58 -7.45 56.76 1.00 rw[61] -12.05 2.89 -11.94 -16.45 -7.27 56.92 1.00 rw[62] -12.15 2.89 -12.12 -17.13 -7.72 55.88 1.00 rw[63] -12.29 2.88 -12.24 -16.83 -7.57 56.03 1.00 rw[64] -12.39 2.80 -12.39 -16.53 -7.48 58.48 1.00 rw[65] -12.54 2.82 -12.45 -17.39 -8.09 58.02 1.01 rw[66] -12.65 2.80 -12.63 -16.74 -7.43 57.71 1.00 rw[67] -12.83 2.79 -12.83 -17.30 -8.21 58.67 1.01 rw[68] -12.91 2.73 -12.94 -17.36 -8.39 58.29 1.00 rw[69] -12.96 2.76 -12.98 -17.53 -8.41 57.58 1.00 rw[70] -13.01 2.82 -12.94 -17.75 -8.46 56.86 1.01 rw[71] -13.05 2.80 -13.09 -18.04 -8.71 57.74 1.01 rw[72] -13.13 2.82 -13.16 -18.23 -8.93 58.41 1.00 rw[73] -13.14 2.86 -13.18 -17.64 -8.16 58.45 1.00 rw[74] -13.14 2.89 -13.11 -17.88 -8.43 57.27 1.00 rw[75] -13.12 2.92 -13.07 -17.62 -8.10 59.16 1.00 rw[76] -13.07 2.90 -13.15 -18.13 -8.67 62.15 1.00 rw[77] -13.09 2.89 -13.06 -18.03 -8.68 60.97 1.00 rw[78] -13.13 2.90 -13.10 -17.62 -8.16 60.48 1.00 rw[79] -13.10 2.89 -13.04 -17.71 -8.19 60.69 1.00 rw[80] -13.09 2.83 -12.99 -17.95 -8.79 62.29 1.00 rw[81] -13.07 2.81 -13.08 -17.72 -8.63 61.48 1.00 rw[82] -13.07 2.79 -13.12 -17.92 -8.89 56.54 1.00 rw[83] -13.05 2.81 -13.12 -17.48 -8.45 56.64 1.00 rw[84] -13.07 2.80 -13.11 -17.14 -8.20 56.57 1.00 rw[85] -13.10 2.78 -13.03 -17.33 -8.44 56.22 1.00 rw[86] -13.20 2.77 -13.20 -17.38 -8.18 57.51 1.00 rw[87] -13.31 2.83 -13.23 -17.50 -8.10 58.51 1.00 rw[88] -13.37 2.84 -13.35 -17.73 -8.28 59.04 1.00 rw[89] -13.41 2.85 -13.45 -18.05 -8.70 58.45 1.00 rw[90] -13.42 2.83 -13.49 -18.48 -9.17 57.62 1.00 rw[91] -13.34 2.86 -13.39 -17.36 -8.05 56.93 1.00 rw[92] -13.33 2.85 -13.32 -18.45 -8.86 58.02 1.00 rw[93] -13.24 2.84 -13.23 -17.97 -8.44 56.38 1.00 rw[94] -13.13 2.90 -13.11 -17.70 -8.08 55.92 1.00 rw[95] -13.01 2.90 -13.03 -17.53 -8.05 54.39 1.00 rw[96] -12.87 2.88 -12.96 -17.45 -8.02 55.44 1.00 rw[97] -12.68 2.90 -12.70 -16.99 -7.47 54.47 1.00 rw[98] -12.50 2.91 -12.53 -16.87 -7.36 52.85 1.00 rw[99] -12.26 2.89 -12.19 -16.60 -7.10 52.43 1.00 rw[100] -12.05 2.83 -12.09 -16.83 -7.38 53.36 1.00 rw[101] -11.80 2.78 -11.84 -16.31 -7.20 53.12 1.00 rw[102] -11.53 2.79 -11.58 -15.67 -6.70 54.72 1.00 rw[103] -11.33 2.77 -11.31 -15.88 -6.99 53.34 1.00 rw[104] -11.11 2.77 -11.19 -15.36 -6.34 54.02 1.00 rw[105] -10.84 2.80 -10.74 -15.32 -6.17 56.44 1.00 rw[106] -10.66 2.78 -10.74 -15.05 -5.81 55.01 1.01 rw[107] -10.46 2.77 -10.44 -15.08 -5.90 58.28 1.01 rw[108] -10.27 2.77 -10.31 -14.80 -5.84 57.86 1.00 rw[109] -10.05 2.76 -10.03 -14.45 -5.51 56.07 1.00 rw[110] -9.85 2.75 -9.86 -14.48 -5.44 56.02 1.00 rw[111] -9.73 2.74 -9.75 -13.88 -5.07 54.90 1.00 rw[112] -9.61 2.73 -9.74 -13.65 -4.72 54.49 1.00 rw[113] -9.50 2.73 -9.48 -13.94 -5.12 53.05 1.00 rw[114] -9.40 2.74 -9.30 -13.53 -4.79 52.77 1.00 rw[115] -9.29 2.69 -9.29 -13.50 -5.00 55.46 1.00 rw[116] -9.17 2.70 -9.09 -13.89 -5.33 55.67 1.00 rw[117] -9.03 2.70 -9.03 -13.37 -4.89 53.31 1.00 rw[118] -8.93 2.74 -8.99 -13.31 -4.37 53.02 1.00 rw[119] -8.78 2.74 -8.92 -13.33 -4.53 53.21 1.00 rw[120] -8.68 2.78 -8.78 -13.06 -4.15 54.75 1.00 rw[121] -8.61 2.79 -8.59 -12.87 -3.90 55.63 1.00 rw[122] -8.58 2.81 -8.55 -13.42 -4.24 56.52 1.00 rw[123] -8.46 2.82 -8.51 -12.89 -3.73 56.43 1.00 rw[124] -8.48 2.78 -8.46 -12.54 -3.73 58.82 1.00 rw[125] -8.55 2.77 -8.50 -13.16 -4.19 55.64 1.00 rw[126] -8.74 2.78 -8.69 -13.54 -4.67 53.43 1.00 rw[127] -8.95 2.69 -8.88 -13.58 -4.79 52.14 1.00 rw[128] -9.22 2.60 -9.22 -13.69 -5.12 49.06 1.00 rw[129] -9.49 2.46 -9.47 -13.05 -4.84 44.63 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1598.22 1.00 Number of divergences: 0