mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.64 0.70 0.38 0.00 1.55 1356.04 1.00 E0 11.78 13.97 7.82 0.00 27.51 84.55 1.01 H0 1.18 1.21 0.78 0.00 2.81 1470.68 1.00 I0 5.25 7.71 3.02 0.00 11.85 83.15 1.01 beta0 1.80 0.51 1.78 1.07 2.60 14.13 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.60 0.08 0.60 0.47 0.73 1063.62 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1549.86 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.04 1031.95 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.01 0.09 0.06 0.11 693.39 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.39 1086.03 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1113.40 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1429.45 1.00 rw[0] 0.18 0.96 0.17 -1.38 1.76 164.55 1.00 rw[1] 0.42 1.36 0.39 -1.82 2.62 98.84 1.01 rw[2] 0.74 1.68 0.78 -2.15 3.29 54.48 1.01 rw[3] 1.00 2.00 0.85 -1.91 4.53 45.28 1.01 rw[4] 1.29 2.22 1.19 -2.25 4.91 36.71 1.01 rw[5] 1.54 2.44 1.42 -2.44 5.48 31.24 1.02 rw[6] 1.75 2.59 1.60 -2.35 5.98 28.32 1.02 rw[7] 1.81 2.71 1.67 -2.40 6.31 24.03 1.03 rw[8] 1.79 2.83 1.63 -2.91 6.09 22.35 1.04 rw[9] 1.62 2.91 1.45 -3.37 5.99 21.03 1.04 rw[10] 1.41 2.99 1.19 -3.31 6.19 19.73 1.06 rw[11] 0.97 3.05 0.72 -3.78 5.89 17.72 1.06 rw[12] 0.41 3.13 0.10 -4.41 5.55 17.32 1.07 rw[13] -0.24 3.21 -0.49 -5.17 4.78 17.20 1.06 rw[14] -0.94 3.29 -1.20 -6.72 3.46 16.85 1.07 rw[15] -1.71 3.30 -1.93 -6.67 3.27 17.34 1.07 rw[16] -2.52 3.37 -2.76 -7.97 2.27 17.42 1.06 rw[17] -3.29 3.38 -3.42 -8.82 1.67 17.57 1.06 rw[18] -4.08 3.38 -4.25 -8.91 1.30 17.19 1.05 rw[19] -4.82 3.40 -5.18 -9.99 0.43 17.04 1.05 rw[20] -5.68 3.39 -6.06 -10.63 -0.13 17.33 1.06 rw[21] -6.47 3.40 -6.85 -12.04 -1.46 17.52 1.06 rw[22] -7.33 3.37 -7.70 -12.60 -2.12 17.53 1.05 rw[23] -8.24 3.34 -8.47 -13.09 -2.77 18.24 1.05 rw[24] -9.06 3.31 -9.38 -14.47 -3.95 18.11 1.05 rw[25] -9.80 3.28 -10.16 -15.22 -4.84 17.82 1.05 rw[26] -10.51 3.28 -10.82 -15.36 -4.84 17.42 1.06 rw[27] -11.13 3.28 -11.44 -16.75 -6.06 17.66 1.05 rw[28] -11.65 3.26 -11.97 -16.81 -6.31 17.38 1.05 rw[29] -12.05 3.24 -12.36 -16.97 -6.76 16.78 1.05 rw[30] -12.39 3.25 -12.68 -18.03 -7.55 16.88 1.05 rw[31] -12.58 3.25 -12.85 -17.37 -7.30 17.17 1.05 rw[32] -12.69 3.28 -13.03 -17.64 -7.61 17.19 1.04 rw[33] -12.76 3.28 -13.03 -17.82 -7.81 17.09 1.04 rw[34] -12.79 3.30 -12.99 -17.89 -7.65 17.55 1.04 rw[35] -12.75 3.28 -12.96 -17.70 -7.30 17.91 1.04 rw[36] -12.73 3.25 -12.98 -17.73 -7.54 17.44 1.04 rw[37] -12.68 3.30 -12.89 -17.72 -7.39 17.89 1.04 rw[38] -12.66 3.30 -12.89 -17.49 -7.07 17.65 1.05 rw[39] -12.61 3.30 -12.86 -17.83 -7.34 17.67 1.05 rw[40] -12.56 3.30 -12.89 -17.75 -7.31 18.27 1.05 rw[41] -12.58 3.35 -12.76 -17.54 -7.01 18.16 1.05 rw[42] -12.62 3.35 -12.89 -17.76 -7.08 18.39 1.06 rw[43] -12.63 3.34 -12.79 -18.22 -7.37 18.30 1.05 rw[44] -12.67 3.33 -12.82 -17.43 -6.53 17.67 1.05 rw[45] -12.76 3.35 -12.94 -17.74 -7.10 18.10 1.06 rw[46] -12.82 3.36 -13.05 -17.63 -7.19 18.36 1.06 rw[47] -12.89 3.28 -13.13 -18.10 -7.78 18.03 1.06 rw[48] -12.98 3.32 -13.36 -17.94 -7.54 17.35 1.06 rw[49] -13.08 3.34 -13.35 -18.48 -7.88 17.63 1.05 rw[50] -13.17 3.32 -13.39 -18.12 -7.85 18.37 1.05 rw[51] -13.26 3.31 -13.52 -18.13 -8.02 18.44 1.05 rw[52] -13.38 3.31 -13.67 -18.66 -8.44 18.36 1.05 rw[53] -13.46 3.32 -13.63 -18.66 -8.32 18.83 1.05 rw[54] -13.60 3.31 -13.71 -18.71 -8.42 19.78 1.04 rw[55] -13.74 3.29 -13.89 -18.64 -8.45 18.65 1.04 rw[56] -13.86 3.30 -14.03 -19.35 -9.10 19.21 1.04 rw[57] -14.01 3.38 -14.22 -19.07 -8.57 18.72 1.05 rw[58] -14.14 3.37 -14.45 -19.30 -8.72 18.92 1.05 rw[59] -14.24 3.36 -14.51 -19.80 -9.38 19.10 1.05 rw[60] -14.34 3.36 -14.58 -19.43 -9.03 18.24 1.05 rw[61] -14.47 3.31 -14.72 -19.57 -9.32 17.94 1.05 rw[62] -14.61 3.32 -14.82 -19.41 -9.32 17.97 1.05 rw[63] -14.63 3.32 -14.85 -19.64 -9.55 18.14 1.06 rw[64] -14.71 3.34 -14.95 -19.54 -9.16 17.56 1.06 rw[65] -14.77 3.31 -14.87 -19.71 -9.39 17.87 1.06 rw[66] -14.80 3.37 -15.00 -19.69 -9.30 18.15 1.06 rw[67] -14.81 3.40 -15.04 -19.76 -9.15 18.17 1.06 rw[68] -14.83 3.42 -15.05 -20.31 -9.67 17.98 1.06 rw[69] -14.81 3.40 -15.03 -19.95 -9.33 18.07 1.05 rw[70] -14.73 3.44 -15.03 -20.36 -9.63 18.46 1.05 rw[71] -14.73 3.46 -15.00 -20.06 -9.31 18.12 1.05 rw[72] -14.61 3.37 -14.79 -19.65 -9.16 17.99 1.05 rw[73] -14.56 3.37 -14.85 -19.61 -9.41 18.30 1.05 rw[74] -14.41 3.31 -14.75 -19.32 -9.21 17.97 1.05 rw[75] -14.26 3.31 -14.47 -19.44 -9.11 18.07 1.04 rw[76] -14.12 3.26 -14.53 -19.37 -9.22 18.03 1.04 rw[77] -13.91 3.24 -14.15 -18.87 -8.67 17.94 1.04 rw[78] -13.69 3.21 -13.84 -19.03 -8.73 17.42 1.05 rw[79] -13.60 3.26 -13.74 -18.91 -8.64 17.42 1.05 rw[80] -13.43 3.27 -13.74 -18.87 -8.47 18.15 1.04 rw[81] -13.31 3.29 -13.60 -18.68 -8.31 18.44 1.04 rw[82] -13.24 3.30 -13.43 -18.70 -8.25 18.37 1.04 rw[83] -13.13 3.31 -13.28 -18.60 -8.13 18.89 1.04 rw[84] -13.17 3.38 -13.42 -18.77 -8.12 18.68 1.04 rw[85] -13.16 3.37 -13.44 -18.70 -8.08 18.27 1.04 rw[86] -13.15 3.42 -13.36 -18.71 -7.92 18.46 1.04 rw[87] -13.25 3.46 -13.53 -18.54 -7.55 18.28 1.04 rw[88] -13.34 3.47 -13.54 -18.73 -7.94 17.83 1.05 rw[89] -13.45 3.49 -13.71 -19.24 -8.29 18.00 1.05 rw[90] -13.52 3.43 -13.77 -19.15 -8.57 18.15 1.05 rw[91] -13.65 3.44 -13.94 -18.82 -8.10 18.07 1.05 rw[92] -13.67 3.46 -13.88 -18.95 -8.16 17.88 1.04 rw[93] -13.71 3.47 -13.98 -19.40 -8.42 18.56 1.04 rw[94] -13.86 3.46 -14.08 -19.73 -8.91 18.51 1.05 rw[95] -13.89 3.41 -14.11 -19.38 -8.62 18.52 1.04 rw[96] -13.92 3.39 -14.13 -19.67 -9.22 18.24 1.05 rw[97] -13.98 3.36 -14.19 -19.42 -9.00 18.06 1.05 rw[98] -13.95 3.32 -14.15 -18.93 -8.63 17.43 1.06 rw[99] -13.99 3.30 -14.08 -18.95 -8.58 17.16 1.06 rw[100] -14.01 3.25 -14.12 -19.44 -9.18 16.93 1.06 rw[101] -14.03 3.26 -14.21 -19.10 -8.87 17.04 1.07 rw[102] -13.98 3.26 -14.15 -19.12 -8.67 17.06 1.07 rw[103] -13.93 3.24 -14.12 -19.18 -8.87 17.60 1.07 rw[104] -13.76 3.27 -14.04 -19.08 -8.95 18.20 1.07 rw[105] -13.60 3.25 -13.71 -19.13 -8.94 18.17 1.07 rw[106] -13.44 3.24 -13.51 -18.67 -8.48 19.08 1.06 rw[107] -13.25 3.25 -13.50 -18.61 -8.26 19.76 1.05 rw[108] -13.03 3.26 -13.18 -18.12 -8.03 20.00 1.05 rw[109] -12.80 3.31 -13.09 -18.24 -8.01 19.60 1.05 rw[110] -12.61 3.26 -12.89 -17.78 -7.60 19.29 1.05 rw[111] -12.45 3.25 -12.71 -17.76 -7.52 18.88 1.05 rw[112] -12.28 3.27 -12.48 -17.29 -7.17 18.25 1.05 rw[113] -12.19 3.28 -12.50 -17.77 -7.51 17.87 1.04 rw[114] -12.04 3.33 -12.36 -17.24 -6.97 17.43 1.04 rw[115] -11.94 3.32 -12.15 -17.39 -7.20 16.96 1.05 rw[116] -11.83 3.33 -12.10 -16.82 -6.54 16.93 1.05 rw[117] -11.77 3.30 -11.95 -16.71 -6.63 17.08 1.04 rw[118] -11.71 3.32 -11.94 -16.94 -6.48 17.34 1.05 rw[119] -11.64 3.34 -11.93 -16.80 -6.39 17.24 1.05 rw[120] -11.61 3.34 -11.89 -16.78 -6.52 16.93 1.06 rw[121] -11.63 3.35 -11.97 -16.40 -5.99 17.00 1.05 rw[122] -11.56 3.35 -11.93 -16.89 -6.48 16.26 1.05 rw[123] -11.52 3.33 -11.83 -16.62 -6.41 16.33 1.05 rw[124] -11.43 3.31 -11.73 -17.34 -6.51 16.55 1.05 rw[125] -11.35 3.30 -11.63 -16.27 -5.73 16.90 1.05 rw[126] -11.31 3.26 -11.57 -16.29 -6.10 16.48 1.05 rw[127] -11.20 3.22 -11.59 -16.12 -6.05 16.91 1.05 rw[128] -11.13 3.15 -11.31 -16.10 -6.50 16.10 1.06 rw[129] -11.05 3.04 -11.31 -15.40 -6.46 15.05 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1118.00 1.00 Number of divergences: 0