mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.29 2.34 0.61 0.00 2.98 1118.38 1.00 E0 6.12 6.32 4.33 0.01 13.21 316.36 1.00 H0 2.17 2.13 1.46 0.00 5.14 1393.76 1.00 I0 2.90 3.48 1.79 0.02 6.50 259.97 1.01 beta0 1.45 0.42 1.39 0.82 1.96 49.36 1.08 confirmed_dispersion 0.52 0.08 0.52 0.39 0.65 1560.06 1.00 death_dispersion 0.56 0.06 0.55 0.46 0.65 1838.37 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.04 1406.17 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.07 1001.73 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.39 2212.36 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.96 2715.75 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.52 2054.90 1.00 rw[0] 0.07 0.96 0.08 -1.70 1.46 348.31 1.02 rw[1] 0.17 1.39 0.16 -2.11 2.44 203.86 1.01 rw[2] 0.37 1.71 0.40 -2.70 2.90 180.44 1.02 rw[3] 0.56 1.96 0.58 -2.24 3.94 129.17 1.03 rw[4] 0.75 2.12 0.83 -2.37 4.28 105.24 1.03 rw[5] 0.94 2.25 0.86 -2.47 4.64 87.62 1.04 rw[6] 1.17 2.38 1.20 -2.83 4.88 75.42 1.05 rw[7] 1.39 2.46 1.48 -2.68 5.31 68.61 1.06 rw[8] 1.54 2.60 1.58 -2.39 6.31 64.15 1.06 rw[9] 1.64 2.74 1.63 -2.64 6.29 61.01 1.06 rw[10] 1.74 2.84 1.75 -2.52 6.56 60.47 1.07 rw[11] 1.76 2.92 1.85 -2.68 6.60 58.92 1.07 rw[12] 1.63 3.01 1.73 -3.26 6.36 59.77 1.07 rw[13] 1.48 3.04 1.64 -3.03 6.72 57.13 1.07 rw[14] 1.24 3.12 1.42 -3.72 6.23 55.26 1.08 rw[15] 0.88 3.14 1.03 -4.11 5.88 54.31 1.08 rw[16] 0.41 3.20 0.53 -4.23 6.23 52.81 1.08 rw[17] -0.18 3.23 -0.06 -4.67 5.74 53.00 1.08 rw[18] -0.78 3.25 -0.70 -5.96 4.59 54.88 1.07 rw[19] -1.48 3.23 -1.48 -6.98 3.70 54.90 1.08 rw[20] -2.28 3.28 -2.15 -7.67 3.07 54.63 1.07 rw[21] -3.13 3.26 -3.03 -7.96 2.75 57.59 1.06 rw[22] -4.02 3.29 -3.96 -8.45 2.40 58.02 1.07 rw[23] -4.93 3.30 -4.91 -9.77 1.34 59.86 1.06 rw[24] -5.84 3.27 -5.79 -11.17 -0.43 59.73 1.06 rw[25] -6.72 3.24 -6.62 -11.65 -0.87 60.42 1.05 rw[26] -7.56 3.17 -7.46 -12.23 -1.84 59.63 1.06 rw[27] -8.38 3.16 -8.35 -13.03 -2.68 60.72 1.06 rw[28] -9.10 3.10 -9.04 -13.59 -3.40 62.50 1.05 rw[29] -9.76 3.11 -9.81 -14.06 -3.67 61.26 1.06 rw[30] -10.37 3.11 -10.42 -15.54 -5.24 60.55 1.06 rw[31] -10.92 3.12 -10.96 -15.52 -5.36 58.97 1.07 rw[32] -11.42 3.14 -11.38 -16.23 -5.96 60.80 1.07 rw[33] -11.81 3.10 -11.74 -16.69 -6.42 64.33 1.06 rw[34] -12.13 3.14 -12.12 -16.46 -6.28 62.60 1.05 rw[35] -12.44 3.14 -12.46 -17.31 -7.42 61.33 1.06 rw[36] -12.68 3.16 -12.74 -17.31 -7.21 61.93 1.05 rw[37] -12.90 3.13 -12.94 -17.70 -7.70 63.21 1.05 rw[38] -13.01 3.14 -13.09 -18.11 -7.95 65.06 1.06 rw[39] -13.14 3.15 -13.15 -17.96 -7.94 63.66 1.07 rw[40] -13.21 3.13 -13.27 -18.44 -8.31 62.54 1.07 rw[41] -13.19 3.13 -13.15 -18.38 -8.31 64.48 1.06 rw[42] -13.21 3.21 -13.18 -19.31 -8.85 63.35 1.07 rw[43] -13.19 3.20 -13.04 -18.08 -7.67 62.79 1.07 rw[44] -13.17 3.20 -13.12 -18.26 -7.97 63.31 1.07 rw[45] -13.13 3.21 -13.02 -17.36 -6.95 62.65 1.06 rw[46] -13.05 3.23 -13.01 -18.61 -8.27 61.91 1.07 rw[47] -12.98 3.16 -12.85 -18.13 -7.77 61.99 1.07 rw[48] -12.96 3.21 -12.95 -17.88 -7.49 59.99 1.07 rw[49] -12.90 3.13 -12.80 -17.93 -7.78 60.71 1.07 rw[50] -12.82 3.14 -12.75 -17.65 -7.63 59.95 1.06 rw[51] -12.74 3.09 -12.68 -17.49 -7.74 59.53 1.07 rw[52] -12.71 3.13 -12.64 -17.95 -7.77 59.21 1.07 rw[53] -12.66 3.16 -12.59 -17.53 -7.26 58.34 1.07 rw[54] -12.57 3.13 -12.55 -17.65 -7.32 59.11 1.07 rw[55] -12.49 3.11 -12.43 -16.98 -6.73 59.30 1.08 rw[56] -12.45 3.13 -12.45 -17.45 -7.25 60.48 1.07 rw[57] -12.34 3.19 -12.30 -16.73 -6.61 60.51 1.07 rw[58] -12.27 3.19 -12.24 -17.58 -7.14 59.71 1.07 rw[59] -12.29 3.21 -12.32 -17.25 -6.68 60.44 1.07 rw[60] -12.19 3.17 -12.13 -17.30 -7.00 62.10 1.07 rw[61] -12.12 3.21 -12.18 -16.70 -6.12 62.94 1.06 rw[62] -12.01 3.26 -11.98 -17.00 -6.13 64.10 1.07 rw[63] -11.98 3.23 -11.97 -17.13 -6.41 62.13 1.06 rw[64] -11.87 3.20 -11.80 -16.78 -6.60 64.94 1.06 rw[65] -11.79 3.17 -11.73 -16.60 -6.40 62.65 1.07 rw[66] -11.70 3.16 -11.67 -16.95 -6.58 61.13 1.06 rw[67] -11.59 3.14 -11.60 -16.79 -6.43 60.36 1.06 rw[68] -11.45 3.15 -11.52 -16.29 -6.18 57.44 1.07 rw[69] -11.40 3.16 -11.47 -16.53 -6.24 58.33 1.06 rw[70] -11.31 3.15 -11.26 -15.76 -5.66 57.41 1.07 rw[71] -11.21 3.18 -11.22 -16.19 -5.82 57.25 1.07 rw[72] -11.18 3.17 -11.23 -16.16 -5.91 57.87 1.07 rw[73] -11.06 3.15 -11.04 -16.13 -6.11 60.94 1.06 rw[74] -10.99 3.13 -10.90 -15.81 -5.75 60.62 1.06 rw[75] -10.90 3.11 -10.88 -15.63 -5.73 61.67 1.05 rw[76] -10.86 3.16 -10.77 -16.12 -5.89 63.31 1.06 rw[77] -10.76 3.14 -10.53 -15.97 -5.88 62.47 1.06 rw[78] -10.65 3.13 -10.53 -15.33 -5.31 63.38 1.06 rw[79] -10.50 3.15 -10.43 -15.04 -4.73 60.87 1.07 rw[80] -10.41 3.14 -10.22 -14.89 -4.65 62.97 1.06 rw[81] -10.32 3.10 -10.12 -15.34 -5.20 61.86 1.06 rw[82] -10.23 3.13 -10.09 -14.80 -4.74 60.37 1.06 rw[83] -10.10 3.12 -10.02 -14.47 -4.42 61.71 1.06 rw[84] -9.93 3.08 -9.83 -14.36 -4.29 61.22 1.06 rw[85] -9.81 3.06 -9.65 -14.35 -4.73 61.40 1.05 rw[86] -9.63 3.05 -9.51 -14.65 -4.65 60.68 1.06 rw[87] -9.49 3.09 -9.38 -14.25 -4.18 60.76 1.06 rw[88] -9.41 3.11 -9.39 -14.63 -4.57 58.22 1.06 rw[89] -9.28 3.12 -9.17 -13.99 -3.69 58.40 1.06 rw[90] -9.16 3.08 -9.16 -13.11 -3.37 57.53 1.07 rw[91] -9.03 3.11 -9.01 -13.07 -3.03 56.58 1.07 rw[92] -8.90 3.15 -8.84 -13.93 -3.68 58.36 1.07 rw[93] -8.78 3.15 -8.77 -12.72 -2.46 58.13 1.06 rw[94] -8.63 3.12 -8.62 -13.28 -3.18 57.54 1.07 rw[95] -8.52 3.15 -8.55 -13.38 -3.16 56.46 1.06 rw[96] -8.42 3.12 -8.49 -13.48 -3.06 56.62 1.06 rw[97] -8.28 3.13 -8.26 -13.49 -2.90 57.09 1.07 rw[98] -8.14 3.07 -8.11 -12.58 -2.16 56.23 1.07 rw[99] -8.09 3.04 -8.13 -13.00 -2.93 56.33 1.08 rw[100] -8.02 3.01 -7.97 -13.16 -3.14 55.60 1.07 rw[101] -7.88 2.99 -7.82 -12.65 -3.10 53.42 1.08 rw[102] -7.76 2.99 -7.72 -12.24 -2.65 53.82 1.07 rw[103] -7.63 3.02 -7.59 -12.05 -2.03 55.20 1.07 rw[104] -7.47 3.03 -7.51 -12.17 -2.21 54.93 1.08 rw[105] -7.23 3.03 -7.28 -11.74 -1.75 54.04 1.08 rw[106] -7.11 3.06 -7.15 -11.66 -1.41 55.29 1.08 rw[107] -6.97 3.03 -6.93 -11.23 -1.35 56.02 1.07 rw[108] -6.88 3.03 -6.88 -11.28 -1.40 54.79 1.07 rw[109] -6.74 2.99 -6.66 -11.24 -1.70 56.14 1.07 rw[110] -6.65 3.01 -6.65 -11.40 -1.84 57.70 1.07 rw[111] -6.60 3.00 -6.59 -11.44 -1.74 56.86 1.07 rw[112] -6.60 3.05 -6.46 -11.27 -1.59 55.24 1.07 rw[113] -6.61 3.07 -6.65 -11.16 -1.18 54.51 1.06 rw[114] -6.71 3.03 -6.75 -11.11 -1.39 55.09 1.06 rw[115] -6.84 3.03 -6.83 -11.50 -1.79 55.14 1.06 rw[116] -7.01 2.99 -6.94 -11.91 -2.20 57.55 1.06 rw[117] -7.17 2.96 -7.11 -11.46 -1.80 57.13 1.07 rw[118] -7.33 3.02 -7.28 -11.46 -1.84 56.65 1.08 rw[119] -7.46 3.01 -7.52 -11.97 -2.13 56.44 1.07 rw[120] -7.65 2.98 -7.73 -12.52 -2.86 57.90 1.06 rw[121] -7.83 3.01 -7.88 -12.31 -2.46 58.74 1.07 rw[122] -8.00 3.00 -7.94 -12.85 -3.18 59.25 1.06 rw[123] -8.14 3.02 -8.09 -12.93 -3.07 57.21 1.06 rw[124] -8.26 3.01 -8.12 -13.11 -3.58 56.16 1.07 rw[125] -8.44 3.01 -8.32 -13.38 -3.69 55.65 1.07 rw[126] -8.56 3.06 -8.43 -13.36 -3.59 54.52 1.08 rw[127] -8.71 3.01 -8.69 -13.73 -3.84 54.03 1.07 rw[128] -8.86 2.89 -8.79 -12.95 -3.75 51.28 1.07 rw[129] -9.04 2.81 -8.97 -13.14 -4.10 47.38 1.08 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1583.89 1.00 Number of divergences: 0