mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.71 0.78 0.43 0.00 1.69 1206.15 1.00 E0 35.60 31.82 27.55 0.08 75.54 285.53 1.01 H0 1.22 1.26 0.80 0.00 2.90 1560.63 1.00 I0 24.71 15.48 21.38 4.92 44.99 154.41 1.03 beta0 2.36 0.56 2.35 1.47 3.11 30.02 1.20 confirmed_dispersion 0.41 0.07 0.40 0.29 0.51 1203.36 1.00 death_dispersion 0.22 0.02 0.22 0.18 0.26 1622.10 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.04 726.48 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.01 0.10 0.08 0.13 498.14 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.21 0.40 1339.53 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1188.20 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1489.80 1.00 rw[0] 0.15 1.00 0.12 -1.50 1.74 144.75 1.04 rw[1] 0.38 1.39 0.36 -1.85 2.72 104.18 1.07 rw[2] 0.71 1.69 0.61 -2.02 3.51 68.74 1.11 rw[3] 1.03 1.95 0.94 -2.17 4.16 54.08 1.12 rw[4] 1.36 2.11 1.25 -2.14 4.65 43.15 1.15 rw[5] 1.63 2.25 1.43 -1.53 5.70 38.42 1.17 rw[6] 1.83 2.35 1.67 -1.55 6.15 36.22 1.18 rw[7] 1.93 2.47 1.73 -1.83 6.39 35.08 1.18 rw[8] 1.85 2.60 1.63 -1.84 6.80 33.77 1.19 rw[9] 1.49 2.63 1.27 -2.94 5.75 31.08 1.20 rw[10] 0.96 2.66 0.82 -2.83 5.90 32.84 1.20 rw[11] 0.31 2.64 0.12 -3.59 5.00 33.94 1.18 rw[12] -0.43 2.64 -0.61 -4.33 4.15 33.84 1.18 rw[13] -1.21 2.64 -1.42 -5.32 3.29 33.98 1.18 rw[14] -2.07 2.61 -2.24 -5.68 2.72 33.72 1.18 rw[15] -2.89 2.57 -3.09 -7.04 1.15 34.83 1.18 rw[16] -3.68 2.55 -3.81 -7.75 0.63 35.63 1.16 rw[17] -4.52 2.60 -4.66 -8.47 0.10 35.32 1.16 rw[18] -5.42 2.63 -5.59 -9.21 -0.64 35.04 1.17 rw[19] -6.35 2.70 -6.49 -10.45 -1.56 35.21 1.17 rw[20] -7.36 2.71 -7.49 -11.52 -2.60 33.59 1.18 rw[21] -8.41 2.72 -8.57 -12.82 -3.79 34.41 1.17 rw[22] -9.56 2.73 -9.77 -13.91 -4.87 34.60 1.17 rw[23] -10.61 2.74 -10.76 -14.89 -5.85 35.92 1.17 rw[24] -11.78 2.77 -11.87 -16.20 -7.29 38.62 1.16 rw[25] -12.85 2.77 -13.00 -16.84 -7.72 37.72 1.16 rw[26] -13.92 2.73 -14.07 -18.04 -9.06 39.49 1.14 rw[27] -14.96 2.73 -15.12 -19.49 -10.78 41.94 1.13 rw[28] -15.96 2.80 -16.14 -20.11 -10.97 40.76 1.14 rw[29] -16.86 2.75 -16.95 -20.86 -11.99 41.78 1.14 rw[30] -17.67 2.74 -17.80 -22.00 -12.91 41.35 1.15 rw[31] -18.36 2.76 -18.52 -22.93 -13.94 43.81 1.14 rw[32] -18.94 2.77 -19.12 -23.26 -14.17 43.27 1.14 rw[33] -19.43 2.75 -19.60 -23.74 -14.78 43.32 1.15 rw[34] -19.84 2.80 -19.95 -24.32 -15.09 45.00 1.14 rw[35] -20.22 2.80 -20.22 -24.81 -15.64 46.15 1.13 rw[36] -20.45 2.78 -20.51 -24.77 -15.73 48.82 1.13 rw[37] -20.59 2.84 -20.78 -25.34 -15.88 47.88 1.12 rw[38] -20.71 2.85 -20.79 -25.34 -16.01 44.21 1.13 rw[39] -20.74 2.85 -20.85 -24.89 -15.83 44.56 1.13 rw[40] -20.70 2.93 -20.86 -24.89 -15.61 43.33 1.13 rw[41] -20.66 2.88 -20.78 -24.82 -15.39 43.36 1.14 rw[42] -20.55 2.88 -20.57 -25.22 -15.70 41.15 1.14 rw[43] -20.39 2.83 -20.46 -24.95 -15.81 39.25 1.15 rw[44] -20.23 2.82 -20.27 -24.38 -15.33 37.97 1.15 rw[45] -20.08 2.79 -20.24 -24.79 -15.71 41.16 1.15 rw[46] -19.88 2.82 -19.94 -24.28 -14.98 39.75 1.15 rw[47] -19.72 2.84 -19.82 -23.91 -14.56 38.17 1.16 rw[48] -19.53 2.82 -19.60 -23.31 -14.34 37.11 1.16 rw[49] -19.37 2.83 -19.27 -23.46 -14.21 36.41 1.16 rw[50] -19.20 2.84 -19.25 -23.50 -14.55 36.18 1.17 rw[51] -19.11 2.84 -19.10 -23.13 -13.98 40.33 1.15 rw[52] -18.98 2.86 -19.02 -23.20 -14.01 40.61 1.15 rw[53] -18.83 2.87 -18.78 -23.76 -14.27 38.31 1.15 rw[54] -18.72 2.90 -18.79 -23.06 -13.42 40.56 1.16 rw[55] -18.63 2.94 -18.69 -23.27 -13.69 35.68 1.18 rw[56] -18.57 2.94 -18.71 -23.06 -13.52 35.62 1.18 rw[57] -18.52 2.89 -18.69 -23.07 -13.74 36.84 1.18 rw[58] -18.48 2.93 -18.68 -23.38 -13.76 40.06 1.15 rw[59] -18.49 2.93 -18.71 -22.87 -13.25 42.07 1.14 rw[60] -18.47 2.93 -18.70 -22.66 -12.83 43.65 1.13 rw[61] -18.43 2.89 -18.59 -22.62 -12.90 42.16 1.13 rw[62] -18.41 2.89 -18.54 -22.97 -13.28 44.26 1.13 rw[63] -18.37 2.86 -18.47 -22.99 -13.45 41.71 1.15 rw[64] -18.37 2.83 -18.54 -22.61 -13.45 43.82 1.14 rw[65] -18.36 2.82 -18.45 -22.60 -13.53 42.29 1.14 rw[66] -18.30 2.80 -18.50 -22.84 -13.75 42.49 1.15 rw[67] -18.32 2.80 -18.50 -22.74 -13.69 41.31 1.15 rw[68] -18.25 2.76 -18.43 -22.15 -12.83 42.32 1.15 rw[69] -18.19 2.78 -18.40 -22.00 -12.63 40.32 1.15 rw[70] -18.15 2.78 -18.29 -22.39 -13.48 38.68 1.16 rw[71] -18.13 2.78 -18.24 -22.40 -13.54 37.61 1.17 rw[72] -18.03 2.83 -18.23 -22.74 -13.45 37.51 1.16 rw[73] -17.89 2.85 -18.03 -22.66 -13.44 37.90 1.16 rw[74] -17.84 2.86 -17.93 -22.53 -13.10 43.98 1.15 rw[75] -17.76 2.86 -17.98 -22.38 -13.09 44.02 1.14 rw[76] -17.67 2.87 -17.75 -22.68 -13.46 37.41 1.16 rw[77] -17.60 2.85 -17.79 -22.32 -13.04 39.37 1.15 rw[78] -17.51 2.83 -17.66 -22.12 -12.96 39.48 1.15 rw[79] -17.42 2.83 -17.42 -21.96 -12.68 41.16 1.14 rw[80] -17.36 2.86 -17.45 -22.04 -12.70 40.49 1.16 rw[81] -17.28 2.81 -17.35 -21.62 -12.61 40.06 1.14 rw[82] -17.25 2.81 -17.28 -21.45 -12.26 40.72 1.14 rw[83] -17.20 2.82 -17.25 -21.83 -12.74 44.21 1.14 rw[84] -17.15 2.79 -17.19 -22.02 -12.74 43.32 1.14 rw[85] -17.12 2.77 -17.12 -21.70 -12.36 46.44 1.13 rw[86] -17.09 2.81 -17.04 -21.39 -11.98 44.91 1.13 rw[87] -17.09 2.81 -17.11 -21.37 -11.97 48.15 1.12 rw[88] -17.07 2.81 -17.15 -21.23 -11.69 47.97 1.12 rw[89] -17.09 2.84 -17.18 -21.77 -12.26 44.26 1.14 rw[90] -17.07 2.82 -17.19 -21.57 -12.11 41.94 1.15 rw[91] -17.05 2.84 -17.21 -21.65 -12.27 42.13 1.14 rw[92] -16.98 2.81 -17.12 -21.64 -12.45 45.20 1.12 rw[93] -16.96 2.77 -17.08 -21.02 -12.04 44.83 1.13 rw[94] -16.89 2.79 -17.01 -21.02 -11.97 46.40 1.13 rw[95] -16.80 2.79 -16.93 -21.16 -12.08 42.46 1.14 rw[96] -16.74 2.77 -16.88 -21.04 -12.08 39.85 1.15 rw[97] -16.70 2.74 -16.87 -21.10 -12.25 38.94 1.15 rw[98] -16.69 2.76 -16.84 -20.76 -11.96 37.52 1.16 rw[99] -16.57 2.71 -16.79 -21.15 -12.27 35.23 1.17 rw[100] -16.50 2.73 -16.70 -20.57 -11.78 36.49 1.17 rw[101] -16.44 2.76 -16.65 -20.45 -11.72 37.55 1.17 rw[102] -16.43 2.76 -16.68 -20.60 -11.69 36.65 1.16 rw[103] -16.30 2.78 -16.58 -20.02 -10.82 39.81 1.15 rw[104] -16.20 2.77 -16.39 -20.40 -11.36 37.43 1.17 rw[105] -16.13 2.76 -16.25 -20.01 -11.00 37.12 1.18 rw[106] -16.05 2.77 -16.16 -19.97 -11.10 36.80 1.17 rw[107] -15.96 2.76 -16.18 -20.14 -11.06 39.54 1.17 rw[108] -15.85 2.72 -15.91 -19.66 -11.01 41.58 1.16 rw[109] -15.77 2.73 -15.93 -19.81 -11.04 40.33 1.17 rw[110] -15.67 2.74 -15.82 -19.92 -11.13 38.73 1.17 rw[111] -15.60 2.72 -15.75 -19.99 -11.05 41.37 1.16 rw[112] -15.56 2.72 -15.65 -19.88 -11.05 38.70 1.16 rw[113] -15.52 2.70 -15.63 -19.69 -10.91 38.77 1.15 rw[114] -15.50 2.75 -15.53 -19.75 -10.78 38.53 1.16 rw[115] -15.51 2.72 -15.60 -19.55 -10.76 39.24 1.15 rw[116] -15.55 2.71 -15.66 -19.70 -10.99 37.24 1.15 rw[117] -15.58 2.78 -15.72 -19.81 -10.72 35.91 1.16 rw[118] -15.64 2.79 -15.75 -19.89 -10.66 38.71 1.15 rw[119] -15.73 2.74 -15.83 -20.32 -11.15 37.93 1.16 rw[120] -15.82 2.77 -16.03 -20.28 -11.24 39.15 1.15 rw[121] -15.91 2.74 -15.98 -20.10 -10.99 41.29 1.14 rw[122] -15.94 2.80 -16.03 -20.14 -10.97 41.32 1.14 rw[123] -15.97 2.79 -16.12 -20.21 -11.27 40.94 1.15 rw[124] -15.89 2.74 -16.07 -20.25 -11.39 39.77 1.16 rw[125] -15.81 2.73 -15.96 -20.27 -11.35 39.47 1.15 rw[126] -15.73 2.71 -15.88 -19.57 -10.69 37.99 1.16 rw[127] -15.61 2.63 -15.79 -19.63 -11.13 34.89 1.18 rw[128] -15.53 2.51 -15.73 -19.17 -11.06 32.99 1.19 rw[129] -15.32 2.40 -15.53 -18.76 -11.12 28.86 1.22 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1204.56 1.00 Number of divergences: 0