mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 14.38 4.77 13.68 6.70 21.15 939.57 1.00 E0 428.14 379.90 319.68 1.26 939.03 189.16 1.00 H0 25.83 12.79 24.41 6.26 44.25 287.01 1.00 I0 409.74 238.35 357.13 80.73 719.88 76.89 1.02 beta0 1.67 0.41 1.66 1.09 2.43 17.09 1.03 confirmed_dispersion 0.45 0.07 0.45 0.35 0.57 1380.03 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1343.17 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 1283.26 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.10 875.28 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1138.07 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1389.12 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1076.72 1.00 rw[0] 0.05 0.97 0.06 -1.57 1.59 119.80 1.00 rw[1] 0.23 1.40 0.16 -2.07 2.50 61.45 1.00 rw[2] 0.47 1.71 0.48 -2.31 3.35 46.37 1.01 rw[3] 0.81 1.99 0.74 -2.55 3.82 38.39 1.01 rw[4] 1.16 2.20 0.99 -2.56 4.40 31.01 1.02 rw[5] 1.43 2.43 1.21 -2.44 5.14 27.22 1.02 rw[6] 1.75 2.58 1.50 -2.39 5.31 25.83 1.02 rw[7] 2.00 2.69 1.67 -2.44 5.79 23.37 1.03 rw[8] 2.14 2.82 1.83 -2.16 6.46 21.03 1.03 rw[9] 2.13 2.90 1.83 -2.89 6.08 19.40 1.04 rw[10] 1.93 2.96 1.74 -3.02 6.22 20.07 1.03 rw[11] 1.55 2.99 1.27 -3.47 5.89 20.69 1.04 rw[12] 1.08 2.92 0.84 -3.88 5.24 21.48 1.04 rw[13] 0.57 2.90 0.34 -4.24 4.50 21.89 1.04 rw[14] 0.04 2.89 -0.20 -4.83 3.95 21.82 1.03 rw[15] -0.49 2.88 -0.69 -5.06 3.51 21.58 1.03 rw[16] -1.01 2.94 -1.24 -5.65 3.30 21.87 1.03 rw[17] -1.55 2.86 -1.73 -5.97 2.67 23.30 1.03 rw[18] -2.14 2.87 -2.30 -7.05 1.79 21.03 1.04 rw[19] -2.87 2.88 -3.02 -7.40 1.30 20.80 1.03 rw[20] -3.72 2.86 -3.81 -8.80 -0.05 19.94 1.03 rw[21] -4.53 2.85 -4.70 -9.22 -0.43 19.97 1.03 rw[22] -5.37 2.91 -5.55 -10.23 -1.40 19.37 1.03 rw[23] -6.28 2.92 -6.42 -11.11 -2.18 20.89 1.03 rw[24] -7.20 2.89 -7.35 -11.58 -2.51 20.25 1.03 rw[25] -8.11 2.89 -8.25 -13.24 -4.20 23.36 1.03 rw[26] -9.03 2.95 -9.33 -13.94 -4.74 23.61 1.03 rw[27] -9.93 2.95 -10.16 -15.14 -5.93 23.87 1.03 rw[28] -10.71 2.98 -11.00 -15.95 -6.68 24.41 1.03 rw[29] -11.41 2.99 -11.68 -16.38 -7.21 22.27 1.03 rw[30] -12.08 2.96 -12.29 -16.64 -7.52 22.65 1.03 rw[31] -12.65 2.96 -12.83 -17.53 -8.32 23.24 1.03 rw[32] -13.15 3.01 -13.39 -18.05 -8.71 23.98 1.03 rw[33] -13.57 2.99 -13.77 -18.62 -9.26 24.16 1.03 rw[34] -13.87 2.99 -13.96 -19.43 -10.00 23.67 1.03 rw[35] -14.12 2.95 -14.37 -18.83 -9.63 25.12 1.03 rw[36] -14.32 2.97 -14.63 -18.98 -9.70 25.22 1.02 rw[37] -14.42 3.01 -14.66 -19.06 -9.69 24.68 1.02 rw[38] -14.48 3.03 -14.70 -19.92 -10.28 23.60 1.03 rw[39] -14.49 3.03 -14.73 -18.97 -9.30 24.54 1.03 rw[40] -14.45 3.05 -14.67 -19.45 -9.67 23.58 1.03 rw[41] -14.46 3.02 -14.61 -19.39 -9.85 23.59 1.03 rw[42] -14.39 3.03 -14.57 -19.30 -9.77 24.62 1.03 rw[43] -14.31 3.02 -14.50 -19.29 -9.72 23.46 1.03 rw[44] -14.25 3.04 -14.35 -19.14 -9.36 19.94 1.04 rw[45] -14.19 3.03 -14.26 -18.97 -9.32 21.30 1.05 rw[46] -14.15 3.08 -14.21 -18.96 -9.10 20.65 1.04 rw[47] -14.06 3.12 -14.20 -18.90 -8.82 23.44 1.03 rw[48] -13.92 3.14 -14.16 -19.04 -9.22 21.76 1.04 rw[49] -13.85 3.13 -14.08 -18.96 -8.89 22.84 1.03 rw[50] -13.77 3.11 -14.00 -18.84 -8.92 23.86 1.03 rw[51] -13.69 3.07 -13.91 -18.87 -9.06 23.10 1.04 rw[52] -13.59 3.05 -13.77 -18.55 -8.84 25.39 1.03 rw[53] -13.53 3.02 -13.68 -18.68 -8.92 25.82 1.03 rw[54] -13.51 3.04 -13.68 -18.56 -8.54 26.91 1.03 rw[55] -13.46 3.06 -13.68 -19.02 -8.83 27.21 1.02 rw[56] -13.48 3.03 -13.64 -18.23 -8.36 25.91 1.03 rw[57] -13.51 2.96 -13.71 -18.81 -9.32 25.54 1.03 rw[58] -13.56 2.99 -13.78 -18.41 -9.07 26.30 1.02 rw[59] -13.56 3.01 -13.81 -18.47 -9.10 24.24 1.02 rw[60] -13.59 3.05 -13.89 -18.81 -9.16 24.49 1.02 rw[61] -13.59 3.01 -13.87 -18.51 -9.03 24.40 1.03 rw[62] -13.68 3.00 -13.96 -18.98 -9.42 22.69 1.03 rw[63] -13.70 2.99 -13.98 -18.68 -9.33 21.03 1.03 rw[64] -13.69 3.01 -14.04 -18.35 -8.97 21.61 1.03 rw[65] -13.68 3.02 -13.94 -17.92 -8.51 22.70 1.03 rw[66] -13.71 3.03 -13.97 -17.93 -8.44 21.68 1.04 rw[67] -13.66 3.02 -13.98 -18.28 -9.05 22.88 1.03 rw[68] -13.61 3.04 -13.87 -18.22 -8.82 21.55 1.03 rw[69] -13.53 3.06 -13.86 -18.38 -8.71 22.66 1.03 rw[70] -13.47 3.09 -13.77 -17.94 -8.55 22.13 1.03 rw[71] -13.41 3.05 -13.73 -18.05 -8.66 21.42 1.03 rw[72] -13.38 3.04 -13.64 -18.38 -9.09 21.08 1.03 rw[73] -13.30 3.01 -13.53 -17.90 -8.76 22.32 1.03 rw[74] -13.27 2.98 -13.39 -17.63 -8.46 21.36 1.03 rw[75] -13.17 3.00 -13.31 -18.32 -9.08 20.47 1.03 rw[76] -13.09 2.98 -13.26 -18.36 -9.11 21.25 1.03 rw[77] -12.98 3.01 -13.19 -17.78 -8.41 20.95 1.03 rw[78] -12.91 3.00 -13.12 -17.58 -8.32 22.86 1.03 rw[79] -12.85 3.07 -13.04 -17.90 -8.47 25.26 1.03 rw[80] -12.87 3.08 -13.08 -17.93 -8.22 24.89 1.03 rw[81] -12.82 3.03 -13.02 -17.73 -8.38 25.48 1.03 rw[82] -12.80 3.05 -13.06 -17.76 -8.24 26.69 1.02 rw[83] -12.77 3.03 -12.93 -17.84 -8.19 26.80 1.03 rw[84] -12.80 3.00 -12.91 -18.07 -8.45 27.09 1.03 rw[85] -12.84 3.00 -12.96 -18.02 -8.45 29.01 1.02 rw[86] -12.87 2.98 -12.95 -17.61 -8.19 28.89 1.02 rw[87] -12.90 3.05 -13.14 -18.10 -8.70 28.02 1.02 rw[88] -12.91 3.03 -13.15 -17.98 -8.57 27.18 1.03 rw[89] -12.91 3.08 -13.10 -18.01 -8.52 26.80 1.03 rw[90] -12.86 3.07 -13.09 -18.22 -8.67 27.44 1.03 rw[91] -12.82 3.05 -12.91 -18.05 -8.38 25.69 1.03 rw[92] -12.76 3.05 -12.98 -17.61 -7.97 25.21 1.03 rw[93] -12.67 3.06 -12.80 -17.96 -8.59 24.12 1.03 rw[94] -12.60 3.07 -12.75 -17.45 -8.02 21.36 1.03 rw[95] -12.49 3.05 -12.68 -17.55 -8.13 22.99 1.03 rw[96] -12.32 3.03 -12.48 -17.65 -8.32 23.17 1.03 rw[97] -12.18 2.98 -12.26 -16.97 -7.62 22.69 1.03 rw[98] -12.00 2.98 -12.12 -17.05 -7.70 21.26 1.03 rw[99] -11.83 2.97 -12.11 -16.74 -7.52 21.26 1.03 rw[100] -11.71 2.99 -11.93 -16.66 -7.39 22.32 1.03 rw[101] -11.58 2.96 -11.75 -16.43 -7.21 20.14 1.03 rw[102] -11.35 2.92 -11.58 -16.02 -6.95 21.76 1.03 rw[103] -11.11 2.93 -11.26 -15.92 -6.82 21.29 1.04 rw[104] -10.91 2.94 -11.19 -15.95 -6.92 23.70 1.04 rw[105] -10.68 2.92 -10.90 -15.23 -6.47 24.57 1.04 rw[106] -10.45 2.90 -10.61 -15.18 -6.24 26.47 1.03 rw[107] -10.27 2.93 -10.42 -15.24 -6.16 26.19 1.03 rw[108] -10.11 2.88 -10.19 -14.49 -5.40 25.25 1.03 rw[109] -9.93 2.91 -10.01 -14.67 -5.52 27.31 1.03 rw[110] -9.71 2.87 -9.92 -13.71 -4.81 27.60 1.03 rw[111] -9.55 2.88 -9.83 -13.80 -4.81 26.26 1.03 rw[112] -9.44 2.92 -9.65 -14.18 -5.21 24.23 1.03 rw[113] -9.30 2.91 -9.44 -13.72 -4.58 25.71 1.03 rw[114] -9.18 2.94 -9.42 -13.88 -4.68 24.14 1.03 rw[115] -9.09 2.92 -9.30 -14.29 -5.28 24.93 1.02 rw[116] -9.04 2.91 -9.20 -13.86 -4.83 23.66 1.02 rw[117] -9.05 2.92 -9.20 -13.82 -4.89 23.16 1.02 rw[118] -9.09 2.94 -9.27 -14.15 -4.89 21.72 1.03 rw[119] -9.15 2.96 -9.40 -13.86 -4.51 22.41 1.03 rw[120] -9.24 2.92 -9.57 -14.03 -4.82 21.40 1.03 rw[121] -9.40 3.01 -9.59 -14.12 -4.65 20.21 1.04 rw[122] -9.59 2.96 -9.80 -14.08 -4.74 20.59 1.04 rw[123] -9.80 2.97 -9.91 -14.27 -5.30 20.24 1.03 rw[124] -9.97 2.94 -10.08 -15.01 -5.81 19.45 1.03 rw[125] -10.21 2.94 -10.29 -15.13 -5.86 20.96 1.03 rw[126] -10.39 2.93 -10.54 -15.39 -6.30 21.20 1.04 rw[127] -10.60 2.87 -10.70 -15.43 -6.62 20.45 1.04 rw[128] -10.80 2.78 -11.02 -15.15 -6.83 22.81 1.03 rw[129] -11.08 2.68 -11.44 -15.52 -7.50 19.02 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 953.46 1.00 Number of divergences: 0