mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.44 3.79 0.64 0.00 3.14 970.85 1.00 E0 1.57 1.70 1.06 0.00 3.53 66.29 1.00 H0 0.84 0.81 0.60 0.00 1.91 1778.25 1.00 I0 0.90 1.07 0.55 0.00 2.11 43.27 1.01 beta0 1.73 0.64 1.65 0.85 2.83 12.38 1.02 confirmed_dispersion 0.20 0.05 0.19 0.12 0.27 987.50 1.00 death_dispersion 0.64 0.06 0.64 0.54 0.73 1240.75 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 932.93 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.02 0.08 0.06 0.11 908.43 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.29 0.18 0.39 1401.18 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1205.93 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1242.67 1.00 rw[0] -0.03 1.03 0.03 -1.69 1.62 150.98 1.00 rw[1] 0.01 1.43 -0.05 -2.12 2.46 69.89 1.01 rw[2] 0.08 1.73 0.06 -2.80 2.83 38.33 1.02 rw[3] 0.21 2.01 0.17 -2.68 3.88 28.96 1.02 rw[4] 0.34 2.29 0.33 -3.38 4.07 23.16 1.02 rw[5] 0.54 2.54 0.47 -3.97 4.25 20.20 1.01 rw[6] 0.66 2.80 0.68 -4.19 4.70 18.10 1.02 rw[7] 0.86 2.95 0.84 -4.24 5.10 16.93 1.03 rw[8] 1.00 3.11 0.92 -3.67 6.33 15.67 1.03 rw[9] 1.09 3.29 0.97 -4.21 6.00 15.03 1.03 rw[10] 1.10 3.39 1.04 -4.16 6.55 14.17 1.03 rw[11] 1.06 3.59 1.16 -4.91 6.61 14.00 1.03 rw[12] 1.05 3.68 1.13 -5.20 6.79 13.85 1.03 rw[13] 0.92 3.77 0.94 -4.62 7.49 13.69 1.03 rw[14] 0.74 3.83 0.73 -5.64 6.73 13.73 1.03 rw[15] 0.55 3.93 0.49 -5.63 6.79 13.52 1.03 rw[16] 0.19 3.98 0.22 -6.07 6.70 13.71 1.02 rw[17] -0.22 4.04 -0.21 -6.55 6.58 13.70 1.02 rw[18] -0.79 4.11 -0.80 -7.10 5.97 13.37 1.03 rw[19] -1.46 4.09 -1.47 -9.09 4.22 13.39 1.03 rw[20] -2.32 4.07 -2.37 -8.86 4.21 13.49 1.02 rw[21] -3.22 4.09 -3.25 -9.51 3.76 13.79 1.02 rw[22] -4.16 4.11 -4.09 -10.60 2.51 13.45 1.02 rw[23] -5.14 4.06 -5.14 -12.09 1.04 13.90 1.03 rw[24] -6.05 4.02 -6.01 -12.20 0.65 13.90 1.02 rw[25] -6.92 4.02 -6.99 -13.22 -0.70 13.89 1.02 rw[26] -7.68 3.99 -7.75 -13.74 -1.16 13.97 1.02 rw[27] -8.28 3.95 -8.33 -14.24 -1.81 14.08 1.02 rw[28] -8.96 3.97 -8.93 -15.57 -2.84 14.03 1.02 rw[29] -9.48 3.94 -9.58 -15.30 -2.63 14.17 1.02 rw[30] -9.98 3.97 -10.02 -16.81 -3.96 14.07 1.02 rw[31] -10.43 4.01 -10.41 -16.78 -4.02 14.04 1.02 rw[32] -10.81 4.00 -10.89 -17.57 -4.57 14.06 1.02 rw[33] -11.16 4.03 -11.22 -17.29 -4.25 13.83 1.02 rw[34] -11.47 3.97 -11.52 -18.13 -4.98 13.79 1.02 rw[35] -11.80 3.99 -11.86 -18.57 -5.51 13.32 1.02 rw[36] -12.07 3.98 -12.01 -18.18 -5.27 13.35 1.03 rw[37] -12.20 4.00 -12.13 -19.06 -5.88 13.69 1.02 rw[38] -12.31 3.98 -12.34 -18.65 -5.60 13.62 1.02 rw[39] -12.43 3.97 -12.48 -19.18 -6.13 13.92 1.02 rw[40] -12.48 3.93 -12.57 -18.68 -5.79 13.63 1.02 rw[41] -12.50 3.98 -12.81 -18.74 -5.80 13.49 1.02 rw[42] -12.49 3.96 -12.73 -18.01 -5.32 13.55 1.03 rw[43] -12.41 3.99 -12.58 -18.51 -5.84 13.43 1.03 rw[44] -12.28 3.97 -12.26 -18.47 -5.97 13.58 1.02 rw[45] -12.10 3.97 -12.26 -18.64 -6.02 13.75 1.02 rw[46] -12.02 3.97 -12.06 -18.77 -6.18 13.91 1.02 rw[47] -11.93 3.97 -12.02 -18.47 -5.83 14.16 1.02 rw[48] -11.78 3.95 -11.77 -18.02 -5.58 14.03 1.02 rw[49] -11.69 3.97 -11.68 -17.80 -5.15 14.45 1.02 rw[50] -11.60 3.97 -11.56 -17.74 -5.21 14.40 1.02 rw[51] -11.55 3.97 -11.51 -17.24 -4.63 14.56 1.02 rw[52] -11.48 3.98 -11.46 -17.53 -4.73 14.35 1.02 rw[53] -11.37 4.00 -11.43 -17.86 -4.97 14.24 1.02 rw[54] -11.33 4.00 -11.57 -17.89 -5.11 14.46 1.02 rw[55] -11.33 4.03 -11.49 -17.78 -4.94 14.42 1.02 rw[56] -11.29 4.03 -11.37 -17.50 -4.53 14.33 1.02 rw[57] -11.32 4.05 -11.32 -17.85 -4.81 14.53 1.02 rw[58] -11.35 4.03 -11.24 -17.38 -4.52 14.42 1.02 rw[59] -11.42 4.02 -11.37 -17.85 -4.97 14.45 1.02 rw[60] -11.48 4.03 -11.45 -17.46 -4.29 14.43 1.02 rw[61] -11.58 4.02 -11.68 -18.06 -5.09 14.02 1.02 rw[62] -11.69 4.00 -11.70 -17.63 -4.83 14.12 1.02 rw[63] -11.80 4.02 -11.94 -18.28 -5.27 13.98 1.02 rw[64] -11.85 4.04 -12.00 -18.27 -5.24 13.98 1.02 rw[65] -11.81 4.00 -11.82 -17.82 -5.10 14.00 1.02 rw[66] -11.81 4.04 -11.96 -18.43 -5.44 13.69 1.02 rw[67] -11.78 3.99 -11.82 -17.90 -5.24 13.78 1.02 rw[68] -11.82 3.94 -11.89 -18.45 -5.65 14.19 1.02 rw[69] -11.77 3.93 -11.76 -17.69 -4.94 14.33 1.02 rw[70] -11.66 3.94 -11.63 -17.59 -4.69 14.37 1.02 rw[71] -11.55 3.93 -11.69 -17.76 -5.02 14.17 1.02 rw[72] -11.51 3.92 -11.66 -17.97 -5.11 14.02 1.03 rw[73] -11.39 3.96 -11.50 -17.65 -4.76 13.75 1.03 rw[74] -11.29 3.91 -11.36 -17.55 -4.93 13.78 1.02 rw[75] -11.23 3.88 -11.32 -17.15 -4.65 13.73 1.03 rw[76] -11.11 3.92 -11.20 -17.66 -4.98 13.77 1.02 rw[77] -11.13 3.90 -11.24 -16.96 -4.42 13.88 1.02 rw[78] -11.08 3.88 -11.23 -17.20 -4.63 13.86 1.02 rw[79] -11.03 3.89 -11.05 -17.31 -4.75 13.60 1.03 rw[80] -11.07 3.86 -11.12 -17.15 -4.72 13.61 1.02 rw[81] -11.15 3.92 -11.17 -17.77 -5.26 13.75 1.02 rw[82] -11.17 3.96 -11.17 -17.47 -4.74 13.69 1.02 rw[83] -11.24 3.95 -11.30 -17.83 -5.30 13.68 1.02 rw[84] -11.29 3.94 -11.37 -18.09 -5.44 13.95 1.02 rw[85] -11.30 3.97 -11.41 -17.78 -5.08 14.06 1.02 rw[86] -11.32 3.96 -11.41 -18.05 -5.31 13.91 1.02 rw[87] -11.29 3.95 -11.34 -17.29 -4.42 14.03 1.02 rw[88] -11.21 3.99 -11.24 -17.60 -4.78 14.09 1.02 rw[89] -11.07 3.97 -11.13 -17.68 -5.01 13.95 1.02 rw[90] -10.87 3.95 -10.89 -17.42 -4.97 13.81 1.02 rw[91] -10.75 3.88 -10.84 -17.32 -5.09 13.73 1.02 rw[92] -10.61 3.93 -10.81 -16.73 -4.31 13.82 1.02 rw[93] -10.45 3.91 -10.52 -16.42 -3.88 13.71 1.03 rw[94] -10.37 3.92 -10.34 -16.91 -4.50 13.75 1.03 rw[95] -10.32 3.94 -10.35 -16.61 -3.96 13.77 1.03 rw[96] -10.27 3.95 -10.24 -16.22 -3.62 13.88 1.03 rw[97] -10.30 3.92 -10.41 -16.35 -3.84 13.77 1.03 rw[98] -10.32 3.88 -10.32 -16.46 -4.09 13.84 1.02 rw[99] -10.40 3.90 -10.36 -16.73 -4.28 13.92 1.02 rw[100] -10.54 3.95 -10.53 -16.65 -4.04 13.67 1.02 rw[101] -10.67 3.90 -10.72 -16.86 -4.41 13.38 1.02 rw[102] -10.69 3.88 -10.74 -16.69 -4.22 13.34 1.02 rw[103] -10.66 3.87 -10.79 -17.02 -4.67 13.50 1.02 rw[104] -10.61 3.90 -10.70 -16.79 -4.37 13.29 1.02 rw[105] -10.61 3.86 -10.73 -16.91 -4.51 13.35 1.02 rw[106] -10.53 3.89 -10.65 -17.14 -4.38 13.33 1.02 rw[107] -10.43 3.90 -10.52 -17.17 -4.54 13.27 1.02 rw[108] -10.27 3.90 -10.40 -16.97 -4.34 13.12 1.02 rw[109] -10.14 3.89 -10.26 -16.12 -3.76 13.30 1.02 rw[110] -10.01 3.90 -10.18 -15.69 -3.14 13.08 1.02 rw[111] -9.93 3.91 -10.00 -16.24 -3.50 13.35 1.02 rw[112] -9.86 3.94 -9.95 -16.04 -3.26 13.25 1.02 rw[113] -9.82 3.95 -9.85 -16.07 -3.32 13.12 1.02 rw[114] -9.74 3.94 -9.68 -16.16 -3.34 13.23 1.02 rw[115] -9.67 3.94 -9.69 -16.07 -3.37 13.58 1.03 rw[116] -9.60 3.96 -9.60 -16.17 -3.24 13.62 1.02 rw[117] -9.62 3.95 -9.71 -16.25 -3.56 13.99 1.02 rw[118] -9.54 3.93 -9.59 -15.84 -3.30 13.96 1.02 rw[119] -9.52 3.93 -9.58 -15.38 -2.96 13.79 1.02 rw[120] -9.57 3.88 -9.53 -16.22 -3.87 14.15 1.02 rw[121] -9.51 3.87 -9.73 -15.43 -3.14 14.29 1.02 rw[122] -9.46 3.88 -9.44 -15.61 -3.30 14.05 1.02 rw[123] -9.43 3.88 -9.44 -15.59 -3.06 14.09 1.02 rw[124] -9.43 3.89 -9.52 -15.80 -3.19 14.24 1.02 rw[125] -9.52 3.91 -9.68 -16.30 -3.68 14.31 1.02 rw[126] -9.66 3.91 -9.75 -15.85 -3.25 14.14 1.02 rw[127] -9.80 3.96 -9.91 -16.24 -3.37 13.94 1.03 rw[128] -9.99 3.95 -10.09 -17.02 -4.27 13.94 1.02 rw[129] -10.14 3.96 -10.32 -16.40 -3.75 13.51 1.03 rw[130] -10.39 3.96 -10.50 -16.91 -4.26 13.29 1.02 rw[131] -10.64 3.97 -10.77 -17.01 -4.22 12.96 1.02 rw[132] -10.92 3.93 -10.99 -17.45 -4.86 13.16 1.03 rw[133] -11.14 3.87 -11.35 -17.77 -5.27 13.17 1.02 rw[134] -11.48 3.82 -11.60 -17.68 -5.41 12.99 1.02 rw[135] -11.78 3.84 -11.93 -17.88 -5.62 12.57 1.02 rw[136] -12.06 3.71 -12.19 -17.63 -5.79 12.34 1.03 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1363.98 1.00 Number of divergences: 0