mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.95 1.39 0.53 0.00 2.15 1146.83 1.00 E0 4.26 6.45 2.31 0.01 9.94 122.52 1.00 H0 1.17 1.18 0.78 0.00 2.64 1738.41 1.00 I0 2.46 4.10 1.12 0.00 5.85 65.95 1.01 beta0 1.45 0.60 1.26 0.59 2.44 15.25 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.92 0.10 0.92 0.75 1.07 1582.14 1.00 death_dispersion 0.45 0.08 0.44 0.30 0.57 1765.65 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 1270.20 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.08 993.73 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.29 0.19 0.40 2354.74 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1621.29 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1979.79 1.00 rw[0] 0.05 1.03 0.03 -1.73 1.66 280.90 1.00 rw[1] 0.14 1.43 0.17 -2.27 2.40 98.59 1.01 rw[2] 0.20 1.68 0.21 -2.37 3.14 58.47 1.01 rw[3] 0.31 1.99 0.28 -2.81 3.66 40.68 1.01 rw[4] 0.48 2.22 0.45 -3.24 4.19 34.53 1.01 rw[5] 0.67 2.39 0.68 -3.37 4.44 32.19 1.01 rw[6] 0.84 2.59 0.88 -3.46 4.98 27.16 1.01 rw[7] 1.00 2.81 1.05 -3.27 5.79 23.45 1.01 rw[8] 1.17 3.01 1.16 -3.73 6.06 21.45 1.01 rw[9] 1.32 3.12 1.42 -3.39 6.89 20.10 1.01 rw[10] 1.40 3.28 1.45 -3.39 7.44 19.65 1.01 rw[11] 1.44 3.44 1.59 -3.82 7.43 19.42 1.01 rw[12] 1.45 3.58 1.50 -4.84 6.97 18.87 1.01 rw[13] 1.35 3.73 1.47 -4.60 7.59 18.96 1.00 rw[14] 1.21 3.88 1.41 -5.03 7.47 18.24 1.00 rw[15] 0.92 3.97 1.01 -6.16 6.70 17.44 1.00 rw[16] 0.47 4.07 0.46 -6.72 6.80 16.90 1.00 rw[17] -0.03 4.14 0.08 -6.99 6.28 16.93 1.00 rw[18] -0.60 4.21 -0.35 -7.05 6.69 16.94 1.00 rw[19] -1.24 4.30 -0.89 -8.64 5.17 17.16 1.00 rw[20] -1.94 4.42 -1.45 -9.95 4.62 16.99 1.00 rw[21] -2.69 4.50 -2.24 -10.11 4.52 16.87 1.00 rw[22] -3.50 4.53 -2.96 -10.56 4.17 16.58 1.00 rw[23] -4.31 4.53 -3.78 -11.82 2.88 16.56 1.00 rw[24] -5.11 4.53 -4.58 -13.02 1.55 16.34 1.00 rw[25] -5.98 4.59 -5.43 -13.68 1.31 16.37 1.00 rw[26] -6.85 4.58 -6.34 -13.96 0.98 16.72 1.00 rw[27] -7.69 4.57 -7.19 -14.79 -0.09 16.80 1.00 rw[28] -8.51 4.59 -8.03 -16.32 -1.50 16.74 1.00 rw[29] -9.36 4.61 -8.93 -16.70 -1.47 16.56 1.00 rw[30] -10.17 4.61 -9.81 -17.30 -2.01 16.50 1.00 rw[31] -10.93 4.58 -10.56 -19.07 -3.96 16.33 1.00 rw[32] -11.68 4.57 -11.22 -19.92 -4.70 16.28 1.00 rw[33] -12.36 4.54 -11.96 -20.50 -5.49 15.75 1.00 rw[34] -13.04 4.53 -12.66 -20.90 -6.18 15.02 1.00 rw[35] -13.64 4.44 -13.27 -21.47 -6.78 15.05 1.00 rw[36] -14.14 4.44 -13.61 -22.47 -7.74 15.27 1.00 rw[37] -14.51 4.39 -14.13 -21.76 -7.43 15.64 1.00 rw[38] -14.90 4.37 -14.48 -22.55 -8.32 15.97 1.00 rw[39] -15.25 4.37 -14.76 -22.55 -8.52 15.77 1.00 rw[40] -15.48 4.37 -15.04 -22.57 -8.62 15.92 1.00 rw[41] -15.57 4.33 -15.10 -22.74 -8.80 15.78 1.00 rw[42] -15.69 4.30 -15.24 -22.85 -9.18 15.78 1.00 rw[43] -15.76 4.27 -15.27 -23.09 -9.17 15.79 1.00 rw[44] -15.75 4.31 -15.36 -22.95 -9.08 15.34 1.00 rw[45] -15.75 4.29 -15.28 -23.12 -9.20 15.79 1.00 rw[46] -15.64 4.29 -15.23 -22.46 -8.47 16.22 1.00 rw[47] -15.55 4.33 -15.21 -22.84 -8.57 16.89 1.00 rw[48] -15.43 4.26 -15.27 -22.62 -8.40 16.61 1.00 rw[49] -15.26 4.25 -15.01 -22.82 -8.85 16.79 1.00 rw[50] -15.07 4.26 -14.74 -22.97 -9.04 16.82 1.00 rw[51] -14.83 4.25 -14.44 -22.52 -8.64 17.13 1.00 rw[52] -14.60 4.20 -14.27 -21.55 -7.97 17.02 1.00 rw[53] -14.34 4.24 -14.03 -21.38 -7.60 16.96 1.00 rw[54] -14.08 4.21 -13.72 -20.78 -6.88 17.19 1.00 rw[55] -13.82 4.23 -13.37 -21.13 -7.30 17.52 1.00 rw[56] -13.56 4.25 -13.14 -20.46 -6.63 17.86 1.00 rw[57] -13.29 4.24 -12.91 -20.26 -6.40 17.30 1.00 rw[58] -13.05 4.26 -12.61 -20.70 -6.61 17.55 1.00 rw[59] -12.79 4.31 -12.60 -20.15 -6.18 17.50 1.00 rw[60] -12.48 4.34 -12.26 -19.20 -5.25 17.79 1.00 rw[61] -12.25 4.36 -11.92 -19.92 -5.81 17.39 1.00 rw[62] -12.00 4.36 -11.68 -19.65 -5.54 17.40 1.00 rw[63] -11.79 4.34 -11.32 -19.53 -5.57 17.66 1.00 rw[64] -11.53 4.27 -11.21 -18.75 -5.08 17.43 1.00 rw[65] -11.32 4.27 -11.03 -18.11 -4.64 17.33 1.00 rw[66] -11.19 4.28 -10.77 -18.10 -4.61 17.38 1.00 rw[67] -10.97 4.27 -10.66 -18.28 -4.49 17.85 1.00 rw[68] -10.82 4.29 -10.36 -18.33 -4.47 17.70 1.00 rw[69] -10.68 4.24 -10.37 -17.77 -3.98 17.86 1.00 rw[70] -10.57 4.23 -10.40 -17.27 -3.59 17.00 1.00 rw[71] -10.51 4.24 -10.35 -18.50 -4.71 16.92 1.00 rw[72] -10.37 4.23 -10.17 -17.45 -3.71 16.58 1.00 rw[73] -10.28 4.24 -10.07 -17.93 -3.88 16.59 1.00 rw[74] -10.11 4.27 -9.81 -17.11 -3.23 16.54 1.00 rw[75] -10.00 4.25 -9.74 -16.71 -2.93 16.91 1.00 rw[76] -9.89 4.19 -9.55 -16.45 -2.66 16.43 1.00 rw[77] -9.79 4.22 -9.53 -16.68 -2.79 15.98 1.00 rw[78] -9.65 4.23 -9.18 -16.28 -2.47 16.10 1.00 rw[79] -9.55 4.23 -9.20 -16.55 -2.91 16.36 1.00 rw[80] -9.42 4.19 -9.06 -16.67 -3.02 16.43 1.00 rw[81] -9.33 4.19 -9.04 -15.82 -2.05 15.77 1.00 rw[82] -9.21 4.17 -8.82 -15.97 -2.03 15.73 1.00 rw[83] -9.15 4.21 -8.80 -16.44 -2.53 15.83 1.00 rw[84] -9.03 4.24 -8.74 -16.46 -2.34 15.76 1.00 rw[85] -8.92 4.21 -8.41 -15.99 -1.91 15.62 1.00 rw[86] -8.83 4.26 -8.44 -16.73 -2.68 15.73 1.00 rw[87] -8.72 4.24 -8.35 -15.30 -1.58 15.85 1.00 rw[88] -8.61 4.21 -8.25 -15.88 -2.04 15.91 1.00 rw[89] -8.60 4.22 -8.18 -15.81 -2.02 16.14 1.00 rw[90] -8.48 4.24 -8.07 -15.60 -1.93 16.40 1.00 rw[91] -8.39 4.20 -8.06 -15.67 -1.99 16.54 1.00 rw[92] -8.36 4.22 -8.09 -15.61 -2.02 16.61 1.00 rw[93] -8.32 4.20 -7.89 -15.09 -1.48 16.05 1.00 rw[94] -8.21 4.22 -7.92 -15.51 -1.90 15.89 1.00 rw[95] -8.03 4.25 -7.72 -15.39 -1.65 15.57 1.00 rw[96] -7.86 4.20 -7.51 -14.53 -0.91 15.92 1.00 rw[97] -7.72 4.22 -7.35 -14.59 -0.83 15.70 1.00 rw[98] -7.54 4.21 -7.13 -14.26 -0.58 15.83 1.00 rw[99] -7.30 4.13 -6.93 -14.20 -0.86 15.53 1.00 rw[100] -7.05 4.16 -6.72 -13.81 -0.44 15.45 1.00 rw[101] -6.74 4.13 -6.39 -13.82 -0.20 15.73 1.00 rw[102] -6.49 4.14 -6.01 -14.14 -0.57 15.65 1.00 rw[103] -6.34 4.15 -5.88 -12.95 0.63 15.78 1.00 rw[104] -6.08 4.16 -5.54 -13.19 0.46 15.50 1.00 rw[105] -5.94 4.18 -5.48 -13.72 0.23 15.04 1.00 rw[106] -5.76 4.18 -5.44 -13.09 0.74 15.10 1.00 rw[107] -5.64 4.17 -5.28 -13.47 0.34 15.40 1.00 rw[108] -5.60 4.18 -5.23 -12.96 0.74 15.12 1.00 rw[109] -5.53 4.11 -5.22 -12.52 1.15 15.69 1.00 rw[110] -5.43 4.13 -5.06 -12.44 1.12 16.17 1.00 rw[111] -5.34 4.12 -5.03 -12.55 0.86 15.99 1.00 rw[112] -5.29 4.10 -4.97 -12.72 0.84 15.93 1.00 rw[113] -5.19 4.09 -4.80 -12.46 1.02 16.01 1.00 rw[114] -5.11 4.08 -4.79 -12.56 0.89 16.13 1.00 rw[115] -5.04 4.10 -4.52 -11.91 1.73 15.88 1.00 rw[116] -4.95 4.14 -4.54 -12.44 1.36 15.83 1.00 rw[117] -4.91 4.16 -4.58 -12.17 1.68 15.87 1.00 rw[118] -4.95 4.13 -4.60 -12.37 1.08 15.89 1.00 rw[119] -5.00 4.15 -4.60 -12.33 1.18 16.21 1.00 rw[120] -5.01 4.11 -4.54 -12.57 0.93 16.22 1.00 rw[121] -5.11 4.10 -4.76 -12.07 1.36 16.44 1.00 rw[122] -5.23 4.10 -4.94 -12.57 0.69 16.25 1.00 rw[123] -5.33 4.10 -4.96 -11.93 1.60 15.90 1.00 rw[124] -5.51 4.10 -5.18 -12.99 0.67 15.96 1.00 rw[125] -5.70 4.15 -5.34 -12.86 0.90 15.66 1.00 rw[126] -5.87 4.15 -5.52 -12.89 0.78 15.78 1.00 rw[127] -6.10 4.14 -5.65 -13.30 0.35 15.87 1.00 rw[128] -6.43 4.13 -6.09 -13.45 0.42 15.85 1.00 rw[129] -6.74 4.16 -6.35 -14.21 -0.62 16.17 1.00 rw[130] -7.04 4.17 -6.62 -14.81 -1.00 15.18 1.00 rw[131] -7.43 4.17 -6.98 -15.05 -1.22 15.20 1.00 rw[132] -7.82 4.14 -7.39 -15.56 -1.89 15.12 1.00 rw[133] -8.22 4.11 -7.82 -15.71 -2.09 14.75 1.00 rw[134] -8.69 4.13 -8.23 -15.67 -1.74 14.77 1.00 rw[135] -9.06 4.06 -8.55 -16.27 -2.72 15.09 1.00 rw[136] -9.55 3.97 -9.07 -16.66 -3.60 14.34 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.27 1876.99 1.00 Number of divergences: 0