mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.96 1.30 0.54 0.00 2.30 1166.37 1.00 E0 8.90 10.83 5.38 0.01 22.14 93.36 1.00 H0 2.10 1.95 1.54 0.00 4.81 1017.79 1.00 I0 4.96 6.70 2.62 0.00 13.13 76.75 1.01 beta0 1.45 0.62 1.25 0.59 2.33 16.84 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.92 0.09 0.91 0.78 1.07 1794.71 1.00 death_dispersion 0.44 0.06 0.44 0.35 0.53 1439.12 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1503.42 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.08 686.21 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.07 0.29 0.18 0.39 1311.25 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1440.83 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.52 1189.44 1.00 rw[0] 0.01 1.03 -0.01 -1.84 1.49 148.71 1.00 rw[1] 0.04 1.44 -0.00 -2.28 2.25 71.41 1.00 rw[2] 0.07 1.78 0.05 -2.55 3.18 43.24 1.00 rw[3] 0.17 2.04 0.16 -3.16 3.61 34.39 1.00 rw[4] 0.27 2.32 0.33 -3.52 4.00 32.02 1.00 rw[5] 0.37 2.57 0.38 -3.90 4.37 29.04 1.00 rw[6] 0.50 2.82 0.49 -3.94 5.18 26.61 1.00 rw[7] 0.60 3.07 0.72 -4.52 5.25 23.39 1.00 rw[8] 0.69 3.27 0.88 -4.37 6.10 22.77 1.00 rw[9] 0.76 3.40 0.89 -4.76 6.25 21.68 1.00 rw[10] 0.85 3.59 1.08 -4.72 6.68 20.76 1.00 rw[11] 0.91 3.73 1.23 -4.88 6.99 20.38 1.00 rw[12] 0.92 3.88 1.32 -5.17 7.00 20.37 1.00 rw[13] 0.93 4.01 1.33 -5.48 7.22 19.92 1.00 rw[14] 0.91 4.14 1.52 -6.25 6.77 19.54 1.00 rw[15] 0.76 4.20 1.51 -6.17 7.26 19.06 1.00 rw[16] 0.51 4.29 0.97 -6.04 7.77 18.45 1.00 rw[17] 0.25 4.40 0.66 -6.89 7.09 17.93 1.00 rw[18] -0.09 4.43 0.34 -7.04 7.08 18.17 1.00 rw[19] -0.51 4.47 -0.13 -7.86 6.20 18.76 1.00 rw[20] -1.03 4.54 -0.64 -8.78 5.59 18.69 1.00 rw[21] -1.65 4.57 -1.38 -9.30 5.14 18.47 1.00 rw[22] -2.36 4.59 -1.88 -9.91 4.55 18.00 1.00 rw[23] -3.16 4.61 -2.65 -10.51 4.12 18.24 1.00 rw[24] -4.00 4.59 -3.61 -11.69 3.20 18.15 1.00 rw[25] -4.89 4.62 -4.43 -12.84 1.91 17.95 1.00 rw[26] -5.76 4.61 -5.29 -13.56 1.16 17.90 1.00 rw[27] -6.64 4.60 -6.35 -14.28 0.44 18.12 1.00 rw[28] -7.41 4.57 -7.03 -14.51 0.11 18.28 1.00 rw[29] -8.21 4.63 -7.94 -16.12 -1.41 18.29 1.00 rw[30] -8.91 4.57 -8.75 -16.43 -1.94 18.18 1.00 rw[31] -9.51 4.53 -9.16 -16.43 -1.98 17.90 1.00 rw[32] -10.08 4.52 -9.63 -17.32 -2.76 17.98 1.00 rw[33] -10.61 4.53 -10.32 -17.79 -3.23 17.98 1.00 rw[34] -11.05 4.49 -10.73 -17.46 -2.98 17.65 1.00 rw[35] -11.40 4.46 -11.10 -17.88 -3.56 17.63 1.00 rw[36] -11.69 4.47 -11.14 -18.51 -3.97 18.02 1.00 rw[37] -11.95 4.46 -11.57 -19.32 -5.16 18.02 1.00 rw[38] -12.13 4.43 -11.70 -19.12 -5.17 18.05 1.00 rw[39] -12.25 4.42 -11.78 -19.01 -5.13 18.31 1.00 rw[40] -12.36 4.39 -11.99 -19.31 -5.53 18.55 1.00 rw[41] -12.38 4.36 -11.97 -18.70 -5.14 18.53 1.00 rw[42] -12.37 4.41 -11.98 -18.98 -5.42 18.50 1.00 rw[43] -12.38 4.42 -11.96 -19.22 -5.38 18.01 1.00 rw[44] -12.37 4.43 -11.88 -19.13 -5.43 18.70 1.00 rw[45] -12.34 4.43 -11.83 -19.21 -5.20 18.89 1.00 rw[46] -12.30 4.48 -11.91 -19.49 -5.18 19.06 1.00 rw[47] -12.19 4.44 -11.72 -20.05 -5.72 19.11 1.00 rw[48] -12.05 4.41 -11.69 -19.70 -5.33 19.17 1.00 rw[49] -11.86 4.41 -11.46 -18.90 -4.62 19.33 1.00 rw[50] -11.76 4.40 -11.48 -18.78 -4.57 19.56 1.00 rw[51] -11.56 4.42 -11.15 -18.29 -3.93 19.87 1.00 rw[52] -11.46 4.39 -11.13 -18.19 -4.03 19.52 1.00 rw[53] -11.35 4.40 -11.05 -18.19 -3.97 19.34 1.00 rw[54] -11.20 4.44 -10.94 -17.86 -3.39 19.26 1.00 rw[55] -11.11 4.41 -10.75 -18.39 -3.88 18.93 1.00 rw[56] -10.96 4.43 -10.56 -18.35 -4.11 19.17 1.00 rw[57] -10.86 4.46 -10.64 -18.07 -3.80 19.36 1.00 rw[58] -10.78 4.47 -10.55 -17.98 -3.63 19.23 1.00 rw[59] -10.69 4.46 -10.34 -17.67 -3.78 19.05 1.00 rw[60] -10.64 4.53 -10.38 -17.59 -3.31 18.82 1.00 rw[61] -10.56 4.53 -10.28 -18.12 -3.92 19.21 1.00 rw[62] -10.45 4.51 -10.16 -18.49 -4.07 18.78 1.00 rw[63] -10.44 4.47 -10.13 -17.92 -3.88 18.82 1.00 rw[64] -10.39 4.48 -10.05 -17.71 -3.70 19.01 1.00 rw[65] -10.40 4.42 -10.18 -17.20 -3.42 18.84 1.00 rw[66] -10.37 4.48 -10.09 -18.05 -3.74 18.76 1.00 rw[67] -10.31 4.48 -9.99 -17.62 -3.46 18.73 1.00 rw[68] -10.32 4.46 -9.91 -17.93 -3.80 18.96 1.00 rw[69] -10.32 4.38 -9.92 -17.49 -3.28 19.07 1.00 rw[70] -10.31 4.40 -9.97 -17.87 -3.73 18.72 1.00 rw[71] -10.42 4.33 -10.07 -17.93 -4.10 18.56 1.00 rw[72] -10.46 4.32 -10.31 -17.66 -3.82 18.38 1.00 rw[73] -10.46 4.37 -10.16 -17.49 -3.52 18.67 1.00 rw[74] -10.45 4.39 -10.15 -16.84 -2.78 18.50 1.00 rw[75] -10.49 4.43 -10.24 -17.61 -3.40 18.49 1.00 rw[76] -10.44 4.38 -10.19 -17.10 -3.04 18.41 1.00 rw[77] -10.40 4.35 -10.03 -17.07 -3.18 18.46 1.00 rw[78] -10.35 4.38 -9.95 -17.33 -3.49 19.06 1.00 rw[79] -10.29 4.37 -10.00 -17.50 -3.42 19.19 1.00 rw[80] -10.19 4.33 -9.86 -18.13 -3.89 19.16 1.00 rw[81] -10.24 4.35 -9.95 -17.08 -3.34 18.95 1.00 rw[82] -10.20 4.34 -9.85 -17.55 -3.41 18.71 1.00 rw[83] -10.21 4.34 -9.97 -17.81 -3.83 18.64 1.00 rw[84] -10.18 4.37 -9.73 -17.34 -3.11 18.53 1.00 rw[85] -10.22 4.41 -9.93 -17.18 -2.73 18.57 1.00 rw[86] -10.20 4.47 -9.74 -17.54 -3.12 18.90 1.00 rw[87] -10.18 4.47 -9.80 -17.20 -2.74 18.88 1.00 rw[88] -10.17 4.44 -9.73 -17.17 -2.83 19.09 1.00 rw[89] -10.23 4.46 -9.80 -17.38 -2.82 19.39 1.00 rw[90] -10.20 4.45 -9.82 -17.47 -3.37 19.63 1.00 rw[91] -10.17 4.40 -9.72 -16.97 -3.16 19.30 1.00 rw[92] -10.17 4.42 -9.78 -17.91 -3.91 19.50 1.00 rw[93] -10.13 4.35 -9.82 -17.42 -3.52 18.79 1.00 rw[94] -10.10 4.40 -9.78 -17.87 -3.83 18.66 1.00 rw[95] -9.99 4.40 -9.70 -17.12 -3.01 18.32 1.00 rw[96] -9.90 4.40 -9.50 -16.99 -2.97 18.03 1.00 rw[97] -9.81 4.32 -9.54 -17.42 -3.59 18.06 1.00 rw[98] -9.77 4.34 -9.36 -16.95 -2.99 18.24 1.00 rw[99] -9.68 4.30 -9.25 -16.51 -2.79 17.99 1.00 rw[100] -9.55 4.35 -9.18 -16.70 -2.91 18.38 1.00 rw[101] -9.40 4.33 -9.12 -16.34 -2.46 18.67 1.00 rw[102] -9.24 4.28 -8.93 -15.67 -2.11 18.71 1.00 rw[103] -9.16 4.28 -8.89 -15.84 -2.05 18.72 1.00 rw[104] -9.07 4.31 -8.86 -15.80 -2.25 18.48 1.00 rw[105] -9.01 4.29 -8.70 -15.66 -2.30 18.20 1.00 rw[106] -8.92 4.35 -8.61 -15.90 -2.32 18.02 1.00 rw[107] -8.89 4.31 -8.66 -15.87 -2.20 18.40 1.00 rw[108] -8.88 4.33 -8.62 -15.53 -1.89 18.60 1.00 rw[109] -8.84 4.34 -8.52 -15.92 -2.26 18.32 1.00 rw[110] -8.78 4.34 -8.37 -16.03 -2.35 18.47 1.00 rw[111] -8.75 4.36 -8.42 -15.88 -1.94 18.85 1.00 rw[112] -8.78 4.37 -8.53 -15.74 -1.86 18.48 1.00 rw[113] -8.74 4.36 -8.53 -15.71 -1.60 18.39 1.00 rw[114] -8.76 4.38 -8.62 -15.46 -1.42 18.30 1.00 rw[115] -8.73 4.41 -8.55 -16.19 -1.88 18.16 1.00 rw[116] -8.71 4.39 -8.60 -15.46 -1.53 17.92 1.00 rw[117] -8.72 4.36 -8.58 -15.15 -1.15 18.03 1.00 rw[118] -8.68 4.36 -8.41 -16.59 -2.40 18.25 1.00 rw[119] -8.72 4.38 -8.51 -16.16 -1.88 18.43 1.00 rw[120] -8.70 4.30 -8.52 -15.86 -1.94 18.88 1.00 rw[121] -8.69 4.35 -8.29 -15.78 -1.92 18.97 1.00 rw[122] -8.71 4.29 -8.42 -15.73 -1.88 18.74 1.00 rw[123] -8.71 4.28 -8.45 -14.97 -1.23 18.27 1.00 rw[124] -8.75 4.28 -8.46 -15.21 -1.45 18.08 1.00 rw[125] -8.86 4.31 -8.58 -15.36 -1.59 18.16 1.00 rw[126] -8.83 4.33 -8.60 -15.67 -1.87 18.28 1.00 rw[127] -8.90 4.34 -8.74 -16.35 -2.37 18.52 1.00 rw[128] -8.99 4.29 -8.74 -16.22 -2.57 18.42 1.00 rw[129] -9.01 4.30 -8.81 -15.82 -2.31 18.40 1.00 rw[130] -8.96 4.31 -8.59 -15.40 -1.78 18.21 1.00 rw[131] -8.98 4.33 -8.61 -15.69 -1.91 18.22 1.00 rw[132] -8.91 4.29 -8.52 -16.01 -2.62 17.69 1.00 rw[133] -8.88 4.29 -8.51 -15.68 -1.86 17.59 1.00 rw[134] -8.87 4.33 -8.42 -15.95 -2.15 17.16 1.00 rw[135] -8.80 4.21 -8.41 -15.73 -2.30 16.77 1.00 rw[136] -8.77 4.12 -8.33 -15.09 -1.94 16.65 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1242.65 1.00 Number of divergences: 0