mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.69 0.80 0.43 0.00 1.61 1470.68 1.00 E0 38.15 31.75 29.68 0.08 78.81 154.72 1.00 H0 1.27 1.21 0.92 0.00 2.87 1586.92 1.00 I0 23.97 14.06 20.55 5.89 45.56 121.42 1.00 beta0 2.51 0.63 2.44 1.58 3.36 19.55 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.44 0.07 0.43 0.33 0.56 805.12 1.00 death_dispersion 0.22 0.02 0.22 0.18 0.25 1482.82 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 423.12 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.01 0.10 0.08 0.12 345.12 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.30 0.21 0.42 1164.05 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1162.11 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 952.18 1.00 rw[0] 0.11 1.02 0.11 -1.50 1.74 156.61 1.01 rw[1] 0.33 1.44 0.26 -2.04 2.62 64.06 1.02 rw[2] 0.59 1.71 0.57 -2.25 3.26 42.17 1.02 rw[3] 0.83 1.96 0.75 -2.40 3.91 33.55 1.02 rw[4] 1.05 2.14 0.98 -2.37 4.53 31.60 1.01 rw[5] 1.31 2.34 1.20 -2.23 5.25 29.68 1.01 rw[6] 1.46 2.47 1.37 -2.19 5.54 25.83 1.01 rw[7] 1.49 2.55 1.39 -2.35 5.57 24.05 1.01 rw[8] 1.35 2.67 1.32 -2.87 5.67 23.10 1.01 rw[9] 0.95 2.77 0.86 -3.58 5.16 24.83 1.01 rw[10] 0.40 2.79 0.37 -3.68 5.15 22.18 1.01 rw[11] -0.32 2.82 -0.37 -4.82 4.23 21.72 1.01 rw[12] -1.11 2.80 -1.08 -5.65 3.19 21.15 1.00 rw[13] -1.90 2.80 -1.84 -6.39 2.39 21.09 1.00 rw[14] -2.72 2.77 -2.69 -6.85 1.88 21.77 1.00 rw[15] -3.52 2.77 -3.55 -7.63 0.96 22.26 1.00 rw[16] -4.34 2.76 -4.30 -8.86 -0.21 22.18 1.01 rw[17] -5.22 2.77 -5.18 -9.64 -1.02 23.07 1.00 rw[18] -6.09 2.78 -6.06 -10.50 -1.62 22.54 1.01 rw[19] -7.02 2.75 -6.95 -11.08 -2.35 21.83 1.01 rw[20] -8.05 2.76 -8.03 -12.25 -3.53 22.01 1.01 rw[21] -9.12 2.76 -9.13 -13.78 -4.88 22.84 1.00 rw[22] -10.18 2.77 -10.11 -14.53 -5.61 22.67 1.00 rw[23] -11.31 2.82 -11.24 -15.92 -7.00 22.66 1.01 rw[24] -12.44 2.83 -12.43 -17.06 -8.09 22.50 1.01 rw[25] -13.54 2.90 -13.51 -17.79 -8.60 23.36 1.00 rw[26] -14.66 2.93 -14.60 -19.46 -10.02 24.05 1.01 rw[27] -15.65 2.92 -15.51 -20.50 -11.04 25.29 1.01 rw[28] -16.73 2.96 -16.62 -21.47 -11.95 24.71 1.01 rw[29] -17.62 2.96 -17.52 -22.66 -13.17 24.91 1.01 rw[30] -18.41 3.02 -18.45 -22.97 -13.39 23.64 1.01 rw[31] -19.12 3.06 -19.09 -24.05 -14.35 24.30 1.01 rw[32] -19.74 3.09 -19.71 -24.65 -14.88 23.24 1.01 rw[33] -20.24 3.10 -20.34 -25.22 -15.47 23.66 1.01 rw[34] -20.65 3.09 -20.71 -25.05 -15.08 23.54 1.01 rw[35] -21.09 3.06 -21.10 -26.04 -16.17 22.82 1.01 rw[36] -21.34 3.07 -21.32 -25.98 -16.16 23.22 1.01 rw[37] -21.50 3.08 -21.61 -26.16 -16.41 23.13 1.00 rw[38] -21.61 3.07 -21.63 -26.10 -16.40 24.27 1.00 rw[39] -21.60 3.09 -21.60 -26.27 -16.36 25.04 1.00 rw[40] -21.59 3.02 -21.70 -26.40 -16.89 23.95 1.00 rw[41] -21.56 3.01 -21.74 -26.31 -16.81 24.21 1.00 rw[42] -21.48 3.00 -21.58 -26.15 -16.79 24.61 1.00 rw[43] -21.31 3.04 -21.37 -26.03 -16.46 24.05 1.00 rw[44] -21.14 3.00 -21.15 -25.69 -16.29 25.31 1.00 rw[45] -20.93 3.01 -20.96 -25.94 -16.37 25.86 1.00 rw[46] -20.77 3.00 -20.78 -25.76 -16.08 26.15 1.00 rw[47] -20.55 3.02 -20.59 -25.49 -15.88 26.89 1.00 rw[48] -20.31 3.02 -20.38 -25.04 -15.38 26.91 1.00 rw[49] -20.11 3.01 -20.09 -25.09 -15.42 25.87 1.00 rw[50] -19.98 2.98 -20.07 -24.12 -14.45 25.13 1.00 rw[51] -19.86 3.02 -19.77 -24.70 -15.13 26.70 1.00 rw[52] -19.70 3.00 -19.78 -24.58 -14.87 27.30 1.00 rw[53] -19.54 3.00 -19.63 -24.40 -14.74 28.26 1.00 rw[54] -19.45 3.01 -19.47 -24.59 -14.89 27.74 1.01 rw[55] -19.37 3.05 -19.35 -24.54 -14.75 27.52 1.00 rw[56] -19.29 3.05 -19.30 -24.26 -14.35 26.87 1.01 rw[57] -19.20 3.03 -19.20 -23.98 -14.15 27.93 1.00 rw[58] -19.07 3.07 -19.05 -24.11 -14.24 29.46 1.00 rw[59] -19.05 3.07 -19.06 -23.66 -13.82 29.97 1.00 rw[60] -19.04 3.06 -19.00 -23.93 -14.38 29.28 1.00 rw[61] -18.97 3.04 -18.97 -23.38 -14.05 28.50 1.00 rw[62] -18.94 3.02 -18.90 -23.50 -14.05 29.39 1.00 rw[63] -18.92 3.04 -18.85 -23.57 -14.13 29.32 1.00 rw[64] -18.88 3.02 -18.81 -23.33 -13.96 29.08 1.00 rw[65] -18.82 3.07 -18.58 -23.69 -14.00 28.75 1.00 rw[66] -18.79 3.02 -18.70 -23.43 -13.68 26.63 1.01 rw[67] -18.74 2.98 -18.69 -23.17 -13.59 26.08 1.00 rw[68] -18.75 2.98 -18.77 -23.56 -13.93 26.36 1.00 rw[69] -18.72 2.95 -18.66 -23.04 -13.61 26.61 1.00 rw[70] -18.68 2.94 -18.57 -23.05 -13.65 25.05 1.01 rw[71] -18.63 2.93 -18.52 -23.10 -13.66 24.83 1.01 rw[72] -18.61 2.91 -18.56 -23.41 -14.22 24.51 1.00 rw[73] -18.51 2.89 -18.48 -23.15 -13.77 25.13 1.01 rw[74] -18.43 2.88 -18.34 -23.15 -13.85 24.71 1.00 rw[75] -18.36 2.88 -18.35 -23.04 -13.78 25.55 1.01 rw[76] -18.26 2.90 -18.10 -23.07 -14.01 24.77 1.00 rw[77] -18.18 2.85 -18.14 -22.45 -13.39 25.60 1.00 rw[78] -18.06 2.88 -18.00 -22.35 -13.23 24.30 1.00 rw[79] -17.97 2.87 -17.93 -22.68 -13.52 25.35 1.01 rw[80] -17.89 2.89 -17.87 -22.53 -13.25 26.64 1.00 rw[81] -17.82 2.96 -17.70 -22.43 -12.97 26.12 1.00 rw[82] -17.75 2.97 -17.66 -22.90 -13.23 26.26 1.00 rw[83] -17.68 2.95 -17.59 -22.77 -13.27 24.79 1.00 rw[84] -17.61 2.89 -17.62 -22.37 -13.27 25.15 1.01 rw[85] -17.58 2.93 -17.53 -21.94 -12.81 24.56 1.01 rw[86] -17.54 2.92 -17.61 -22.32 -12.79 25.41 1.01 rw[87] -17.53 2.92 -17.62 -22.14 -12.79 26.39 1.01 rw[88] -17.58 2.90 -17.69 -22.04 -12.83 26.12 1.01 rw[89] -17.59 2.93 -17.64 -22.39 -13.09 26.39 1.01 rw[90] -17.58 2.93 -17.76 -22.08 -12.88 25.04 1.01 rw[91] -17.57 2.90 -17.64 -22.04 -12.95 25.83 1.01 rw[92] -17.55 2.89 -17.61 -21.92 -12.82 25.49 1.02 rw[93] -17.55 2.91 -17.52 -22.25 -12.79 25.24 1.02 rw[94] -17.50 2.92 -17.58 -22.22 -12.74 24.52 1.02 rw[95] -17.47 2.90 -17.47 -22.41 -13.31 25.85 1.02 rw[96] -17.39 2.88 -17.28 -21.57 -12.42 25.29 1.01 rw[97] -17.26 2.87 -17.16 -21.47 -12.24 25.44 1.01 rw[98] -17.20 2.87 -17.07 -21.56 -12.53 25.03 1.01 rw[99] -17.08 2.89 -16.96 -21.80 -12.62 24.23 1.01 rw[100] -16.95 2.90 -16.89 -21.10 -11.93 24.61 1.01 rw[101] -16.86 2.89 -16.72 -21.07 -11.93 25.41 1.01 rw[102] -16.73 2.87 -16.67 -21.02 -12.05 24.91 1.00 rw[103] -16.61 2.86 -16.49 -20.82 -11.58 25.76 1.00 rw[104] -16.53 2.89 -16.43 -20.82 -11.38 26.25 1.00 rw[105] -16.42 2.83 -16.39 -20.54 -11.41 26.51 1.00 rw[106] -16.31 2.82 -16.29 -20.60 -11.53 25.20 1.00 rw[107] -16.26 2.82 -16.26 -20.52 -11.59 23.67 1.01 rw[108] -16.19 2.84 -16.13 -20.37 -11.40 25.30 1.00 rw[109] -16.11 2.86 -16.06 -20.63 -11.52 24.98 1.00 rw[110] -16.07 2.88 -15.96 -20.33 -11.28 24.39 1.00 rw[111] -15.96 2.91 -15.89 -20.17 -10.91 25.32 1.00 rw[112] -15.91 2.90 -15.81 -20.73 -11.44 24.69 1.00 rw[113] -15.90 2.90 -15.80 -19.91 -10.58 24.68 1.00 rw[114] -15.93 2.92 -15.91 -20.51 -10.96 25.15 1.00 rw[115] -15.98 2.92 -15.96 -20.73 -11.29 24.22 1.00 rw[116] -16.02 2.93 -15.88 -20.34 -10.92 23.71 1.00 rw[117] -16.11 2.91 -16.04 -20.85 -11.46 23.90 1.00 rw[118] -16.23 2.93 -16.20 -20.89 -11.48 24.74 1.00 rw[119] -16.37 2.88 -16.32 -20.62 -11.61 24.41 1.00 rw[120] -16.53 2.88 -16.45 -20.83 -11.74 25.93 1.00 rw[121] -16.71 2.85 -16.74 -21.19 -12.25 25.47 1.01 rw[122] -16.77 2.85 -16.78 -21.06 -12.12 25.29 1.01 rw[123] -16.88 2.86 -16.95 -21.37 -12.34 25.80 1.01 rw[124] -16.91 2.83 -16.88 -21.13 -12.02 24.95 1.01 rw[125] -16.93 2.77 -16.94 -21.38 -12.67 24.26 1.01 rw[126] -16.95 2.82 -16.88 -21.68 -12.68 24.08 1.01 rw[127] -16.95 2.87 -17.02 -21.27 -12.10 23.20 1.01 rw[128] -16.95 2.88 -16.91 -21.07 -11.82 24.25 1.01 rw[129] -16.89 2.88 -16.90 -21.20 -12.25 23.80 1.01 rw[130] -16.81 2.89 -16.85 -21.53 -12.28 24.03 1.01 rw[131] -16.76 2.91 -16.73 -21.26 -11.89 22.37 1.01 rw[132] -16.57 2.84 -16.55 -21.18 -12.07 23.20 1.01 rw[133] -16.41 2.72 -16.34 -20.12 -11.51 23.99 1.01 rw[134] -16.18 2.70 -16.11 -20.33 -11.82 21.90 1.01 rw[135] -15.93 2.62 -15.94 -19.82 -11.69 20.42 1.01 rw[136] -15.55 2.51 -15.52 -19.05 -11.47 18.81 1.01 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 917.46 1.00 Number of divergences: 0