mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.59 0.60 0.41 0.00 1.33 1284.70 1.00 E0 4.07 4.75 2.47 0.00 9.65 104.72 1.00 H0 1.00 0.94 0.77 0.00 2.16 1158.44 1.00 I0 3.84 3.97 2.65 0.04 8.30 49.28 1.00 beta0 1.20 0.49 1.11 0.52 1.91 14.18 1.07 confirmed_dispersion 0.98 0.09 0.98 0.82 1.13 760.67 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1033.90 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.03 0.04 644.57 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.09 561.19 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 855.89 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.91 0.85 0.95 816.61 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.52 1079.14 1.00 rw[0] -0.03 1.01 -0.04 -1.80 1.53 133.04 1.00 rw[1] 0.02 1.42 0.05 -2.70 1.98 76.08 1.01 rw[2] 0.09 1.73 0.07 -2.77 2.80 45.01 1.01 rw[3] 0.22 2.03 0.20 -3.14 3.58 34.85 1.01 rw[4] 0.35 2.29 0.36 -3.41 3.97 26.88 1.02 rw[5] 0.56 2.51 0.59 -3.24 5.08 24.49 1.02 rw[6] 0.72 2.74 0.89 -3.75 5.20 21.77 1.03 rw[7] 0.95 2.91 1.05 -3.64 5.96 21.26 1.02 rw[8] 1.21 3.09 1.22 -3.53 6.81 19.78 1.02 rw[9] 1.42 3.26 1.43 -4.42 6.75 18.52 1.02 rw[10] 1.70 3.40 1.88 -3.69 7.64 17.67 1.03 rw[11] 1.98 3.53 2.04 -3.70 7.88 17.40 1.03 rw[12] 2.25 3.71 2.40 -4.04 7.97 16.77 1.03 rw[13] 2.46 3.79 2.63 -4.00 8.22 16.61 1.03 rw[14] 2.67 3.87 2.93 -3.74 8.81 16.14 1.03 rw[15] 2.86 3.94 3.14 -3.20 9.59 15.95 1.03 rw[16] 2.96 4.01 3.16 -3.17 10.20 15.84 1.03 rw[17] 3.03 4.08 3.27 -3.47 10.11 15.54 1.03 rw[18] 3.01 4.15 3.27 -4.15 9.57 15.65 1.03 rw[19] 2.82 4.18 3.04 -3.98 9.94 15.37 1.03 rw[20] 2.63 4.17 2.87 -4.74 9.06 15.32 1.03 rw[21] 2.27 4.25 2.50 -4.19 9.78 15.67 1.03 rw[22] 1.81 4.22 1.99 -5.23 8.84 15.57 1.03 rw[23] 1.27 4.25 1.46 -5.58 8.69 15.48 1.03 rw[24] 0.74 4.23 0.92 -5.41 8.97 15.27 1.03 rw[25] 0.12 4.26 0.21 -7.60 6.59 15.18 1.03 rw[26] -0.56 4.23 -0.39 -7.96 6.03 15.13 1.03 rw[27] -1.16 4.16 -1.07 -8.07 5.59 15.38 1.03 rw[28] -1.87 4.17 -1.84 -9.23 4.52 15.50 1.02 rw[29] -2.53 4.09 -2.44 -8.46 5.01 15.55 1.03 rw[30] -3.22 4.01 -3.09 -9.69 3.31 15.31 1.03 rw[31] -3.84 4.03 -3.79 -10.73 2.54 15.45 1.03 rw[32] -4.47 4.01 -4.45 -10.38 2.94 15.36 1.03 rw[33] -5.02 4.04 -4.91 -11.59 1.58 15.29 1.03 rw[34] -5.52 4.03 -5.43 -12.43 0.78 15.08 1.03 rw[35] -6.02 4.00 -5.95 -12.56 0.56 14.93 1.03 rw[36] -6.43 3.99 -6.32 -12.31 0.73 15.16 1.02 rw[37] -6.75 4.01 -6.57 -13.21 -0.03 15.17 1.03 rw[38] -7.04 3.97 -6.77 -13.68 -0.49 15.15 1.03 rw[39] -7.30 3.94 -7.12 -14.05 -0.68 15.01 1.03 rw[40] -7.47 3.92 -7.34 -13.65 -0.48 14.83 1.03 rw[41] -7.74 3.92 -7.62 -14.16 -0.82 15.17 1.03 rw[42] -7.89 3.94 -7.75 -14.33 -1.20 15.15 1.03 rw[43] -7.99 3.94 -7.96 -14.21 -1.20 15.11 1.04 rw[44] -8.06 3.92 -7.98 -14.53 -1.54 15.62 1.03 rw[45] -8.16 3.93 -8.00 -14.70 -1.83 15.76 1.03 rw[46] -8.25 3.95 -8.00 -14.14 -1.37 15.68 1.03 rw[47] -8.29 3.94 -8.08 -14.82 -2.03 15.95 1.03 rw[48] -8.33 3.96 -8.09 -14.65 -1.93 15.90 1.03 rw[49] -8.44 4.00 -8.24 -15.00 -1.99 15.94 1.03 rw[50] -8.63 3.99 -8.40 -15.15 -2.02 16.35 1.03 rw[51] -8.82 4.04 -8.62 -15.86 -2.68 16.23 1.03 rw[52] -8.96 4.08 -8.69 -15.18 -1.68 16.22 1.03 rw[53] -9.11 4.09 -8.98 -15.78 -2.36 16.36 1.03 rw[54] -9.37 4.10 -9.25 -15.91 -2.45 16.26 1.03 rw[55] -9.64 4.07 -9.58 -15.87 -2.52 16.18 1.03 rw[56] -9.84 4.09 -9.66 -16.22 -2.51 16.22 1.03 rw[57] -10.04 4.07 -9.76 -16.46 -2.78 16.54 1.03 rw[58] -10.20 4.10 -10.12 -17.19 -3.65 16.37 1.03 rw[59] -10.39 4.16 -10.30 -16.54 -2.81 16.58 1.03 rw[60] -10.58 4.22 -10.49 -17.03 -3.22 15.98 1.03 rw[61] -10.71 4.17 -10.68 -16.82 -3.00 15.69 1.03 rw[62] -10.91 4.16 -10.85 -17.24 -3.55 16.14 1.03 rw[63] -11.06 4.18 -11.03 -17.98 -4.21 15.64 1.03 rw[64] -11.20 4.16 -11.09 -17.78 -4.07 15.66 1.03 rw[65] -11.28 4.19 -11.17 -18.09 -4.40 16.01 1.03 rw[66] -11.33 4.15 -11.24 -18.22 -4.57 16.07 1.03 rw[67] -11.43 4.16 -11.19 -18.83 -5.07 15.87 1.03 rw[68] -11.58 4.16 -11.37 -18.80 -4.97 15.91 1.03 rw[69] -11.65 4.15 -11.49 -18.49 -4.90 15.77 1.04 rw[70] -11.81 4.14 -11.64 -18.80 -5.07 16.00 1.03 rw[71] -11.89 4.17 -11.77 -19.16 -5.34 16.11 1.03 rw[72] -12.00 4.15 -11.75 -18.95 -5.31 16.41 1.03 rw[73] -12.03 4.14 -11.83 -19.04 -5.52 16.20 1.03 rw[74] -12.05 4.15 -11.82 -18.89 -5.33 16.27 1.03 rw[75] -12.08 4.12 -11.89 -19.19 -5.67 16.49 1.03 rw[76] -12.10 4.16 -11.82 -19.14 -5.57 16.30 1.03 rw[77] -12.09 4.08 -11.80 -18.71 -5.31 15.91 1.03 rw[78] -12.06 4.13 -11.85 -19.11 -5.61 16.17 1.03 rw[79] -12.00 4.09 -11.86 -18.95 -5.35 16.09 1.03 rw[80] -11.94 4.06 -11.80 -18.20 -4.74 16.21 1.03 rw[81] -11.88 4.11 -11.63 -18.51 -5.00 15.94 1.03 rw[82] -11.78 4.16 -11.59 -18.62 -4.88 15.83 1.03 rw[83] -11.62 4.12 -11.46 -18.57 -4.91 15.74 1.03 rw[84] -11.53 4.16 -11.45 -17.73 -4.33 16.33 1.03 rw[85] -11.42 4.18 -11.36 -17.43 -4.18 16.07 1.02 rw[86] -11.36 4.19 -11.30 -17.68 -4.26 16.04 1.03 rw[87] -11.25 4.18 -11.13 -17.21 -3.69 16.22 1.02 rw[88] -11.10 4.19 -11.00 -17.54 -4.32 16.59 1.02 rw[89] -10.99 4.17 -10.88 -17.12 -3.70 16.79 1.02 rw[90] -10.83 4.15 -10.79 -17.24 -3.77 16.68 1.02 rw[91] -10.73 4.16 -10.58 -17.28 -3.80 16.66 1.02 rw[92] -10.63 4.10 -10.62 -17.45 -4.36 16.82 1.02 rw[93] -10.51 4.14 -10.42 -17.61 -3.95 17.02 1.02 rw[94] -10.40 4.13 -10.26 -16.27 -2.70 16.71 1.02 rw[95] -10.26 4.14 -10.12 -17.07 -3.77 17.15 1.02 rw[96] -10.17 4.14 -10.02 -16.94 -3.37 17.10 1.02 rw[97] -10.05 4.09 -9.88 -17.36 -3.89 16.97 1.02 rw[98] -9.95 4.05 -9.84 -16.82 -3.20 16.74 1.02 rw[99] -9.91 4.09 -9.84 -16.44 -2.86 16.56 1.03 rw[100] -9.86 4.08 -9.69 -16.05 -2.84 16.77 1.03 rw[101] -9.86 4.04 -9.61 -16.43 -3.36 16.79 1.03 rw[102] -9.83 4.04 -9.71 -15.64 -2.53 16.86 1.03 rw[103] -9.82 4.04 -9.67 -15.77 -2.68 16.77 1.03 rw[104] -9.78 4.05 -9.61 -15.89 -2.53 16.70 1.03 rw[105] -9.74 4.03 -9.65 -16.77 -3.31 16.60 1.03 rw[106] -9.75 4.01 -9.62 -16.92 -3.44 16.74 1.03 rw[107] -9.68 3.99 -9.59 -16.57 -3.19 17.01 1.02 rw[108] -9.63 4.02 -9.41 -16.65 -3.24 16.71 1.02 rw[109] -9.64 4.04 -9.51 -15.60 -2.14 16.66 1.02 rw[110] -9.61 4.07 -9.33 -16.38 -3.06 16.55 1.02 rw[111] -9.56 4.08 -9.24 -16.05 -2.66 17.00 1.02 rw[112] -9.49 4.06 -9.20 -16.44 -3.02 17.17 1.02 rw[113] -9.40 4.03 -9.21 -15.81 -2.34 17.23 1.03 rw[114] -9.35 4.05 -9.15 -16.58 -3.18 16.80 1.02 rw[115] -9.20 4.06 -8.92 -16.19 -2.89 16.37 1.03 rw[116] -9.05 4.04 -8.75 -15.17 -2.04 16.13 1.03 rw[117] -8.97 4.07 -8.88 -14.95 -2.14 16.19 1.03 rw[118] -8.91 4.09 -8.69 -15.00 -1.88 16.29 1.03 rw[119] -8.76 4.07 -8.62 -14.94 -1.99 16.30 1.03 rw[120] -8.68 4.04 -8.55 -14.60 -1.82 16.19 1.03 rw[121] -8.58 4.02 -8.50 -14.65 -1.70 16.46 1.03 rw[122] -8.42 4.05 -8.38 -15.28 -2.10 16.45 1.03 rw[123] -8.27 4.05 -8.20 -14.76 -1.54 16.30 1.03 rw[124] -8.12 4.09 -8.10 -14.91 -1.69 15.86 1.03 rw[125] -7.95 4.05 -7.90 -14.62 -1.47 15.76 1.03 rw[126] -7.82 4.06 -7.74 -14.10 -0.66 15.55 1.03 rw[127] -7.71 4.11 -7.59 -13.67 -0.34 15.84 1.03 rw[128] -7.53 4.11 -7.48 -14.09 -0.71 15.84 1.03 rw[129] -7.37 4.13 -7.39 -14.01 -0.56 15.78 1.03 rw[130] -7.27 4.15 -7.31 -14.73 -1.07 16.15 1.02 rw[131] -7.20 4.10 -7.19 -13.43 -0.03 15.72 1.02 rw[132] -7.05 4.07 -7.04 -13.34 0.00 15.41 1.02 rw[133] -6.89 4.01 -6.81 -13.40 -0.28 15.19 1.03 rw[134] -6.70 3.95 -6.56 -13.70 -0.68 14.80 1.03 rw[135] -6.50 3.94 -6.31 -14.35 -1.10 14.51 1.03 rw[136] -6.21 3.85 -6.08 -12.75 -0.13 14.05 1.03 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 795.58 1.00 Number of divergences: 0