mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.82 1.04 0.49 0.00 1.91 1096.12 1.00 E0 4.65 4.68 3.16 0.00 10.69 217.32 1.02 H0 1.09 1.09 0.78 0.00 2.56 1242.96 1.00 I0 5.45 4.36 4.22 0.55 10.95 71.44 1.03 beta0 1.54 0.48 1.52 0.80 2.33 18.10 1.14 confirmed_dispersion 0.34 0.07 0.33 0.22 0.45 660.29 1.00 death_dispersion 0.32 0.03 0.32 0.27 0.37 679.59 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 708.25 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.01 0.09 0.06 0.11 776.96 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.07 0.31 0.21 0.42 888.11 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 940.05 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 989.47 1.00 rw[0] 0.09 1.01 0.07 -1.44 1.75 152.84 1.02 rw[1] 0.31 1.47 0.27 -1.90 2.92 59.19 1.04 rw[2] 0.62 1.77 0.63 -2.23 3.54 34.70 1.07 rw[3] 0.96 2.05 0.99 -2.18 4.63 27.56 1.10 rw[4] 1.33 2.30 1.35 -2.25 5.13 24.81 1.10 rw[5] 1.77 2.54 1.72 -2.13 6.11 22.38 1.12 rw[6] 2.13 2.73 2.03 -2.27 6.59 21.38 1.12 rw[7] 2.44 2.91 2.32 -2.14 7.65 20.13 1.13 rw[8] 2.73 3.11 2.61 -1.79 8.60 19.74 1.13 rw[9] 2.95 3.26 2.89 -2.15 8.75 20.65 1.12 rw[10] 3.13 3.33 2.97 -1.43 9.81 20.20 1.12 rw[11] 3.23 3.38 3.00 -2.26 8.97 19.13 1.13 rw[12] 3.20 3.47 3.05 -1.76 9.54 18.57 1.13 rw[13] 2.92 3.55 2.71 -2.66 9.01 19.00 1.12 rw[14] 2.64 3.58 2.45 -3.06 8.82 18.60 1.11 rw[15] 2.29 3.57 2.14 -3.62 8.07 18.80 1.12 rw[16] 1.86 3.55 1.74 -3.79 7.80 17.64 1.13 rw[17] 1.33 3.57 1.04 -4.76 7.36 17.38 1.13 rw[18] 0.72 3.63 0.44 -5.08 6.88 18.02 1.13 rw[19] 0.10 3.62 -0.16 -5.40 6.63 18.88 1.13 rw[20] -0.60 3.61 -0.81 -5.76 6.25 19.72 1.13 rw[21] -1.29 3.59 -1.51 -7.48 4.48 18.57 1.13 rw[22] -2.06 3.54 -2.28 -8.43 3.32 18.01 1.13 rw[23] -2.89 3.52 -3.12 -8.35 2.97 17.10 1.13 rw[24] -3.80 3.52 -3.87 -9.81 1.65 16.64 1.14 rw[25] -4.61 3.50 -4.80 -10.98 0.49 16.93 1.14 rw[26] -5.40 3.47 -5.63 -11.52 -0.19 16.68 1.14 rw[27] -6.13 3.45 -6.29 -11.72 -0.42 16.75 1.14 rw[28] -6.81 3.44 -7.04 -11.71 -0.48 17.35 1.14 rw[29] -7.51 3.40 -7.68 -12.65 -1.40 17.90 1.13 rw[30] -8.08 3.42 -8.26 -13.61 -2.32 18.37 1.13 rw[31] -8.68 3.41 -9.01 -14.11 -2.74 18.38 1.13 rw[32] -9.17 3.40 -9.30 -14.52 -3.40 18.80 1.13 rw[33] -9.59 3.39 -9.72 -14.63 -3.54 19.87 1.12 rw[34] -9.94 3.36 -10.17 -15.04 -3.87 19.48 1.11 rw[35] -10.30 3.38 -10.43 -16.07 -5.02 20.34 1.12 rw[36] -10.58 3.47 -10.63 -15.83 -4.54 20.74 1.12 rw[37] -10.73 3.45 -10.83 -16.88 -5.62 20.29 1.11 rw[38] -10.88 3.47 -11.06 -17.19 -5.72 20.58 1.11 rw[39] -10.94 3.44 -11.09 -16.32 -4.99 21.10 1.10 rw[40] -10.99 3.49 -11.20 -16.61 -5.09 19.51 1.11 rw[41] -10.97 3.46 -11.08 -16.25 -4.96 18.99 1.12 rw[42] -10.91 3.45 -11.01 -17.15 -5.59 18.58 1.12 rw[43] -10.79 3.50 -10.88 -16.49 -5.07 19.63 1.12 rw[44] -10.75 3.58 -10.92 -16.15 -4.33 20.18 1.11 rw[45] -10.69 3.56 -10.90 -16.05 -4.30 20.70 1.11 rw[46] -10.56 3.59 -10.84 -16.06 -4.23 20.45 1.12 rw[47] -10.44 3.58 -10.67 -16.60 -4.59 20.52 1.12 rw[48] -10.34 3.58 -10.55 -16.43 -4.63 18.89 1.13 rw[49] -10.32 3.57 -10.51 -15.53 -3.84 19.46 1.12 rw[50] -10.23 3.59 -10.41 -16.41 -4.53 18.79 1.13 rw[51] -10.24 3.55 -10.28 -16.32 -4.78 19.97 1.12 rw[52] -10.25 3.56 -10.37 -15.62 -3.65 21.71 1.11 rw[53] -10.29 3.56 -10.52 -16.02 -4.21 20.04 1.12 rw[54] -10.28 3.54 -10.50 -15.78 -4.06 20.15 1.11 rw[55] -10.38 3.53 -10.51 -16.31 -4.72 20.26 1.11 rw[56] -10.51 3.50 -10.61 -16.66 -5.36 19.69 1.12 rw[57] -10.63 3.48 -10.77 -15.83 -4.17 19.34 1.12 rw[58] -10.75 3.48 -10.97 -16.60 -4.92 19.84 1.12 rw[59] -10.90 3.52 -11.05 -16.16 -4.42 20.51 1.12 rw[60] -11.05 3.51 -11.34 -16.79 -5.20 20.05 1.12 rw[61] -11.22 3.53 -11.52 -16.87 -5.23 19.21 1.12 rw[62] -11.32 3.53 -11.58 -17.37 -5.88 17.58 1.13 rw[63] -11.46 3.52 -11.71 -17.19 -5.76 17.99 1.13 rw[64] -11.60 3.53 -11.73 -17.63 -6.02 17.22 1.12 rw[65] -11.74 3.51 -12.06 -17.67 -6.21 17.65 1.12 rw[66] -11.85 3.53 -12.11 -17.65 -6.33 17.91 1.11 rw[67] -11.91 3.52 -12.11 -17.15 -5.50 17.75 1.12 rw[68] -11.97 3.56 -12.22 -18.12 -6.49 19.19 1.12 rw[69] -12.07 3.56 -12.28 -18.17 -6.42 18.89 1.12 rw[70] -12.16 3.60 -12.35 -18.04 -6.10 19.08 1.11 rw[71] -12.25 3.61 -12.54 -18.23 -6.29 18.35 1.12 rw[72] -12.29 3.61 -12.56 -17.66 -5.92 19.69 1.11 rw[73] -12.34 3.60 -12.63 -17.27 -5.56 21.39 1.11 rw[74] -12.40 3.57 -12.60 -17.53 -5.96 22.56 1.11 rw[75] -12.46 3.55 -12.72 -18.66 -6.90 21.76 1.11 rw[76] -12.48 3.52 -12.78 -18.07 -6.26 20.01 1.11 rw[77] -12.63 3.55 -12.77 -18.24 -6.42 20.08 1.12 rw[78] -12.69 3.55 -12.88 -18.38 -6.59 20.55 1.12 rw[79] -12.84 3.54 -13.07 -18.31 -6.54 20.13 1.12 rw[80] -12.97 3.51 -13.25 -18.67 -7.06 20.08 1.12 rw[81] -13.10 3.52 -13.31 -19.08 -7.40 18.10 1.12 rw[82] -13.25 3.56 -13.46 -18.86 -7.08 17.86 1.13 rw[83] -13.36 3.58 -13.46 -19.49 -7.74 17.09 1.13 rw[84] -13.47 3.56 -13.74 -18.97 -7.29 16.85 1.13 rw[85] -13.60 3.61 -13.82 -19.83 -8.06 17.33 1.13 rw[86] -13.67 3.62 -13.81 -19.69 -7.88 18.29 1.13 rw[87] -13.72 3.60 -13.87 -19.78 -8.13 18.60 1.13 rw[88] -13.79 3.58 -13.87 -20.42 -8.59 18.70 1.13 rw[89] -13.81 3.63 -13.93 -20.82 -8.76 18.78 1.14 rw[90] -13.83 3.63 -13.96 -20.35 -8.33 18.86 1.14 rw[91] -13.91 3.60 -14.00 -20.66 -8.79 18.90 1.13 rw[92] -13.84 3.56 -13.96 -20.10 -8.47 18.26 1.14 rw[93] -13.78 3.56 -13.78 -19.72 -7.87 19.09 1.13 rw[94] -13.72 3.52 -13.79 -19.32 -7.92 20.01 1.13 rw[95] -13.64 3.50 -13.83 -19.40 -7.77 19.57 1.12 rw[96] -13.50 3.53 -13.54 -18.93 -7.32 20.70 1.11 rw[97] -13.31 3.57 -13.40 -18.69 -6.80 18.66 1.13 rw[98] -13.14 3.56 -13.26 -18.94 -7.36 19.04 1.13 rw[99] -13.00 3.54 -13.15 -18.69 -6.91 19.86 1.12 rw[100] -12.78 3.56 -13.08 -18.92 -7.35 19.50 1.11 rw[101] -12.49 3.55 -12.74 -18.38 -6.71 18.98 1.11 rw[102] -12.24 3.55 -12.55 -17.23 -5.75 19.82 1.11 rw[103] -12.00 3.58 -12.38 -17.40 -5.71 21.14 1.11 rw[104] -11.75 3.60 -12.14 -17.74 -5.98 21.23 1.11 rw[105] -11.53 3.61 -11.77 -17.13 -5.34 20.50 1.11 rw[106] -11.34 3.60 -11.64 -17.10 -5.33 21.75 1.11 rw[107] -11.15 3.61 -11.40 -16.83 -4.75 19.41 1.13 rw[108] -10.95 3.61 -11.19 -17.06 -5.22 19.78 1.12 rw[109] -10.84 3.58 -11.01 -15.95 -4.20 18.87 1.12 rw[110] -10.71 3.58 -10.83 -16.22 -4.36 19.55 1.12 rw[111] -10.62 3.55 -10.78 -16.31 -4.46 18.48 1.13 rw[112] -10.58 3.53 -10.69 -16.46 -4.60 18.09 1.13 rw[113] -10.56 3.50 -10.69 -16.43 -4.73 18.99 1.12 rw[114] -10.57 3.55 -10.79 -16.44 -4.96 20.04 1.12 rw[115] -10.61 3.54 -10.88 -16.23 -4.50 19.47 1.11 rw[116] -10.74 3.57 -10.96 -16.30 -4.68 18.90 1.11 rw[117] -10.87 3.52 -11.01 -16.74 -5.11 18.67 1.11 rw[118] -11.00 3.46 -11.15 -16.42 -4.98 19.99 1.11 rw[119] -11.15 3.44 -11.26 -16.33 -5.05 21.45 1.11 rw[120] -11.31 3.43 -11.55 -16.60 -5.49 21.67 1.11 rw[121] -11.48 3.39 -11.69 -16.51 -5.44 22.33 1.11 rw[122] -11.63 3.36 -11.86 -16.37 -5.32 23.74 1.10 rw[123] -11.70 3.42 -11.91 -17.28 -5.94 20.58 1.12 rw[124] -11.73 3.44 -11.98 -16.93 -5.70 21.10 1.11 rw[125] -11.72 3.48 -12.01 -16.84 -5.34 21.76 1.11 rw[126] -11.65 3.49 -11.88 -16.94 -5.40 20.55 1.11 rw[127] -11.58 3.52 -11.83 -17.42 -5.66 21.42 1.11 rw[128] -11.56 3.52 -11.80 -17.16 -5.47 22.65 1.11 rw[129] -11.34 3.52 -11.59 -17.73 -6.11 20.34 1.12 rw[130] -11.19 3.54 -11.49 -17.23 -5.63 20.20 1.12 rw[131] -11.01 3.53 -11.26 -16.68 -5.13 18.11 1.13 rw[132] -10.75 3.53 -10.90 -16.16 -4.54 19.16 1.12 rw[133] -10.57 3.55 -10.76 -16.36 -4.74 18.71 1.12 rw[134] -10.38 3.56 -10.38 -15.44 -3.85 17.72 1.13 rw[135] -10.27 3.53 -10.32 -15.79 -4.12 16.41 1.14 rw[136] -10.10 3.49 -10.26 -15.78 -4.27 16.23 1.14 rw[137] -9.92 3.50 -10.09 -15.55 -4.09 17.86 1.13 rw[138] -9.75 3.49 -10.02 -15.28 -3.96 17.67 1.14 rw[139] -9.62 3.46 -9.81 -15.62 -4.34 17.37 1.14 rw[140] -9.53 3.44 -9.79 -15.13 -3.81 17.09 1.14 rw[141] -9.40 3.37 -9.64 -15.33 -4.15 16.88 1.14 rw[142] -9.24 3.29 -9.47 -14.26 -3.34 16.42 1.14 rw[143] -9.06 3.23 -9.35 -13.94 -3.50 15.85 1.15 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 800.93 1.00 Number of divergences: 0