mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.74 0.85 0.47 0.00 1.79 1236.89 1.00 E0 9.23 7.84 7.34 0.00 19.78 107.38 1.03 H0 1.69 1.43 1.30 0.00 3.74 797.10 1.00 I0 3.66 4.12 2.41 0.01 8.45 110.46 1.02 beta0 1.82 0.49 1.82 0.80 2.52 22.00 1.18 confirmed_dispersion 0.49 0.08 0.49 0.37 0.62 816.75 1.00 death_dispersion 0.23 0.02 0.22 0.19 0.26 659.32 1.00 death_prob 0.05 0.00 0.05 0.04 0.06 722.17 1.00 death_rate 0.12 0.02 0.12 0.09 0.15 584.83 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.07 0.29 0.18 0.40 844.13 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.91 0.85 0.94 714.54 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 910.31 1.00 rw[0] 0.19 0.97 0.18 -1.38 1.80 139.01 1.01 rw[1] 0.45 1.42 0.46 -1.78 2.89 66.19 1.04 rw[2] 0.75 1.74 0.80 -2.46 3.33 43.81 1.08 rw[3] 1.12 1.99 1.13 -2.39 4.06 34.56 1.10 rw[4] 1.44 2.23 1.46 -2.15 5.14 27.75 1.13 rw[5] 1.80 2.40 1.72 -2.18 5.77 26.46 1.15 rw[6] 2.16 2.55 2.14 -2.12 6.46 23.65 1.16 rw[7] 2.36 2.72 2.32 -2.41 6.65 23.35 1.16 rw[8] 2.58 2.83 2.38 -2.48 7.08 22.91 1.17 rw[9] 2.66 2.94 2.46 -3.09 6.85 22.43 1.17 rw[10] 2.65 3.01 2.43 -2.62 7.35 22.33 1.16 rw[11] 2.51 3.06 2.21 -2.74 7.72 23.46 1.16 rw[12] 2.22 3.10 2.00 -3.06 7.42 23.72 1.16 rw[13] 1.79 3.14 1.52 -3.94 6.67 24.21 1.16 rw[14] 1.41 3.18 0.98 -4.42 6.06 24.26 1.15 rw[15] 0.96 3.19 0.53 -4.19 6.49 23.60 1.15 rw[16] 0.47 3.21 0.07 -4.70 6.09 22.61 1.15 rw[17] -0.04 3.18 -0.39 -5.36 5.22 22.22 1.15 rw[18] -0.67 3.20 -1.02 -5.43 5.63 21.70 1.16 rw[19] -1.27 3.20 -1.65 -6.93 3.85 22.90 1.15 rw[20] -1.92 3.19 -2.29 -6.74 3.96 24.32 1.15 rw[21] -2.53 3.19 -2.76 -7.90 2.67 24.62 1.15 rw[22] -3.19 3.11 -3.34 -9.01 1.46 23.79 1.15 rw[23] -3.91 3.10 -4.15 -9.13 1.08 21.94 1.16 rw[24] -4.76 3.10 -5.03 -9.94 0.17 22.46 1.16 rw[25] -5.62 3.11 -5.89 -10.87 -0.70 22.04 1.16 rw[26] -6.52 3.08 -6.78 -12.29 -2.29 22.49 1.16 rw[27] -7.40 3.11 -7.61 -12.59 -2.43 24.50 1.15 rw[28] -8.26 3.09 -8.53 -13.82 -3.45 24.21 1.15 rw[29] -9.07 3.05 -9.33 -14.85 -4.55 24.06 1.14 rw[30] -9.84 3.07 -10.17 -14.96 -4.77 24.24 1.15 rw[31] -10.57 3.12 -10.80 -15.21 -4.81 25.52 1.14 rw[32] -11.20 3.12 -11.46 -16.45 -6.19 24.79 1.15 rw[33] -11.78 3.13 -12.01 -17.02 -6.81 26.20 1.15 rw[34] -12.31 3.16 -12.64 -17.33 -7.16 25.64 1.15 rw[35] -12.78 3.18 -13.08 -17.83 -7.47 26.47 1.14 rw[36] -13.21 3.23 -13.49 -19.06 -8.38 25.06 1.15 rw[37] -13.54 3.24 -13.84 -19.11 -8.31 25.76 1.13 rw[38] -13.85 3.25 -14.07 -19.19 -8.39 25.07 1.15 rw[39] -14.09 3.24 -14.39 -19.80 -8.92 24.33 1.15 rw[40] -14.30 3.30 -14.63 -20.13 -9.47 24.87 1.15 rw[41] -14.45 3.27 -14.81 -20.12 -9.40 24.79 1.14 rw[42] -14.56 3.27 -14.91 -20.30 -9.30 24.77 1.14 rw[43] -14.60 3.29 -14.89 -20.33 -9.54 24.08 1.14 rw[44] -14.68 3.32 -14.96 -19.82 -9.13 25.56 1.14 rw[45] -14.78 3.32 -15.04 -20.07 -8.97 25.28 1.13 rw[46] -14.82 3.33 -15.18 -20.50 -9.35 25.43 1.13 rw[47] -14.86 3.34 -15.05 -20.59 -9.58 24.44 1.14 rw[48] -14.90 3.33 -15.06 -20.12 -8.91 23.96 1.14 rw[49] -15.01 3.34 -15.25 -20.65 -9.65 25.18 1.14 rw[50] -15.05 3.30 -15.16 -21.41 -10.50 25.28 1.14 rw[51] -15.16 3.25 -15.42 -21.25 -10.45 25.01 1.13 rw[52] -15.28 3.26 -15.52 -20.86 -9.89 24.44 1.14 rw[53] -15.37 3.26 -15.61 -21.03 -10.11 23.77 1.14 rw[54] -15.44 3.19 -15.74 -20.96 -10.38 25.32 1.14 rw[55] -15.52 3.18 -15.76 -20.93 -10.64 25.43 1.14 rw[56] -15.61 3.20 -15.75 -21.40 -10.77 26.42 1.14 rw[57] -15.63 3.20 -15.86 -21.16 -10.56 27.31 1.14 rw[58] -15.65 3.23 -15.95 -20.81 -10.04 26.82 1.14 rw[59] -15.72 3.23 -16.11 -21.65 -11.05 26.99 1.14 rw[60] -15.72 3.19 -16.02 -21.15 -10.40 28.08 1.13 rw[61] -15.70 3.23 -15.89 -21.03 -10.23 27.90 1.14 rw[62] -15.68 3.20 -15.91 -21.40 -10.93 27.95 1.15 rw[63] -15.64 3.18 -15.78 -20.62 -9.94 24.42 1.15 rw[64] -15.54 3.18 -15.82 -20.92 -10.33 24.29 1.16 rw[65] -15.47 3.17 -15.67 -20.92 -10.43 23.86 1.15 rw[66] -15.38 3.19 -15.51 -20.85 -10.17 23.72 1.15 rw[67] -15.23 3.21 -15.40 -20.04 -9.43 23.57 1.15 rw[68] -15.07 3.21 -15.37 -20.47 -9.67 24.79 1.15 rw[69] -14.88 3.23 -15.08 -20.52 -9.82 25.69 1.15 rw[70] -14.79 3.22 -14.96 -20.39 -9.67 23.19 1.16 rw[71] -14.60 3.24 -14.79 -20.78 -9.89 22.45 1.16 rw[72] -14.45 3.30 -14.69 -20.70 -9.69 25.94 1.14 rw[73] -14.29 3.28 -14.62 -19.89 -8.98 26.39 1.13 rw[74] -14.17 3.29 -14.46 -20.01 -9.11 26.48 1.14 rw[75] -14.06 3.28 -14.32 -19.48 -8.83 25.31 1.13 rw[76] -13.92 3.24 -14.24 -19.59 -8.99 25.90 1.13 rw[77] -13.78 3.27 -14.17 -19.96 -8.94 26.01 1.14 rw[78] -13.69 3.28 -14.03 -20.00 -9.01 25.68 1.14 rw[79] -13.61 3.25 -13.92 -18.99 -8.25 25.97 1.14 rw[80] -13.61 3.24 -13.92 -19.21 -8.49 24.45 1.14 rw[81] -13.59 3.22 -13.94 -18.95 -8.49 24.27 1.15 rw[82] -13.68 3.26 -14.03 -19.20 -8.54 25.04 1.14 rw[83] -13.75 3.24 -14.07 -18.50 -7.91 25.51 1.14 rw[84] -13.87 3.26 -14.15 -19.67 -8.94 26.21 1.14 rw[85] -14.01 3.28 -14.29 -19.59 -8.60 26.67 1.14 rw[86] -14.20 3.30 -14.43 -19.29 -8.69 25.78 1.14 rw[87] -14.38 3.31 -14.68 -19.89 -9.08 26.29 1.14 rw[88] -14.54 3.33 -14.86 -19.89 -8.98 26.42 1.13 rw[89] -14.71 3.35 -14.96 -20.31 -9.34 28.47 1.13 rw[90] -14.87 3.39 -15.17 -20.25 -8.98 26.37 1.14 rw[91] -15.04 3.32 -15.29 -20.95 -9.92 28.12 1.14 rw[92] -15.14 3.26 -15.30 -20.60 -9.77 26.31 1.15 rw[93] -15.28 3.28 -15.53 -20.95 -10.13 26.01 1.14 rw[94] -15.37 3.24 -15.61 -21.27 -10.38 28.14 1.14 rw[95] -15.36 3.24 -15.66 -21.31 -10.19 28.15 1.13 rw[96] -15.36 3.19 -15.67 -20.01 -9.31 27.50 1.13 rw[97] -15.21 3.22 -15.58 -20.90 -10.31 26.90 1.14 rw[98] -15.08 3.25 -15.44 -20.35 -9.79 27.50 1.14 rw[99] -14.91 3.21 -15.21 -20.22 -9.56 26.20 1.14 rw[100] -14.66 3.21 -15.02 -20.46 -9.53 24.95 1.14 rw[101] -14.28 3.20 -14.60 -20.14 -9.18 24.90 1.14 rw[102] -13.86 3.20 -14.21 -19.02 -8.08 23.97 1.15 rw[103] -13.41 3.25 -13.84 -18.60 -7.77 23.50 1.15 rw[104] -12.96 3.29 -13.34 -18.67 -7.83 23.27 1.15 rw[105] -12.54 3.31 -12.84 -18.06 -6.95 23.31 1.15 rw[106] -12.16 3.32 -12.47 -17.59 -6.47 23.12 1.16 rw[107] -11.80 3.35 -12.08 -17.88 -6.48 21.99 1.17 rw[108] -11.46 3.34 -11.77 -17.37 -6.17 22.74 1.16 rw[109] -11.30 3.30 -11.62 -16.92 -6.10 23.45 1.15 rw[110] -11.18 3.29 -11.44 -17.26 -6.46 24.25 1.14 rw[111] -11.13 3.31 -11.30 -17.02 -5.99 25.14 1.15 rw[112] -11.20 3.30 -11.43 -16.86 -6.24 25.20 1.14 rw[113] -11.46 3.27 -11.65 -17.28 -6.76 26.71 1.13 rw[114] -11.80 3.30 -12.02 -17.51 -6.60 26.20 1.13 rw[115] -12.21 3.29 -12.51 -17.27 -6.49 26.49 1.13 rw[116] -12.73 3.27 -13.03 -18.35 -7.82 27.16 1.12 rw[117] -13.33 3.26 -13.60 -19.02 -8.27 27.27 1.11 rw[118] -14.00 3.22 -14.18 -19.72 -8.86 28.40 1.10 rw[119] -14.65 3.19 -14.81 -19.84 -9.24 28.25 1.11 rw[120] -15.32 3.19 -15.53 -20.67 -10.16 27.12 1.11 rw[121] -15.91 3.19 -16.11 -20.76 -10.18 27.70 1.12 rw[122] -16.43 3.20 -16.64 -21.95 -11.06 27.99 1.12 rw[123] -16.94 3.22 -17.03 -22.54 -11.88 27.11 1.14 rw[124] -17.31 3.23 -17.55 -22.68 -12.28 28.08 1.14 rw[125] -17.63 3.26 -17.91 -23.10 -12.48 28.10 1.14 rw[126] -17.86 3.29 -18.07 -23.82 -13.07 27.11 1.14 rw[127] -17.98 3.36 -18.24 -24.10 -13.04 27.87 1.12 rw[128] -17.99 3.33 -18.31 -23.64 -12.56 26.00 1.14 rw[129] -17.94 3.36 -18.20 -23.87 -12.74 27.30 1.14 rw[130] -17.76 3.34 -17.98 -23.33 -12.29 24.68 1.15 rw[131] -17.50 3.29 -17.86 -23.81 -12.86 24.27 1.15 rw[132] -17.18 3.34 -17.47 -22.52 -11.65 25.82 1.14 rw[133] -16.80 3.32 -17.09 -22.20 -11.29 25.36 1.14 rw[134] -16.30 3.34 -16.53 -21.96 -10.82 24.81 1.15 rw[135] -15.77 3.30 -16.07 -21.09 -10.12 23.17 1.15 rw[136] -15.25 3.29 -15.53 -21.13 -10.16 22.81 1.16 rw[137] -14.65 3.32 -14.87 -20.61 -9.47 24.81 1.15 rw[138] -14.08 3.28 -14.35 -19.41 -8.72 23.98 1.15 rw[139] -13.52 3.24 -13.75 -18.67 -8.05 23.70 1.15 rw[140] -13.01 3.19 -13.25 -18.01 -7.18 24.39 1.15 rw[141] -12.56 3.11 -12.82 -17.42 -6.76 23.07 1.15 rw[142] -12.14 3.03 -12.47 -17.11 -6.96 20.77 1.17 rw[143] -11.78 2.94 -12.12 -16.80 -6.97 20.04 1.18 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 761.91 1.00 Number of divergences: 0