mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.72 0.79 0.48 0.00 1.68 1319.94 1.00 E0 56.04 53.29 41.67 0.07 122.95 265.82 1.00 H0 1.33 1.32 0.94 0.01 3.01 1291.41 1.00 I0 30.22 19.59 25.87 6.07 57.51 183.73 1.00 beta0 2.31 0.59 2.30 1.34 3.13 34.21 1.01 confirmed_dispersion 0.48 0.07 0.48 0.37 0.58 1211.25 1.00 death_dispersion 0.22 0.02 0.22 0.18 0.25 1120.29 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.04 489.13 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.01 0.09 0.07 0.11 365.76 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.40 1178.43 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1059.92 1.00 gamma 0.51 0.02 0.51 0.48 0.53 1207.29 1.00 rw[0] 0.24 1.02 0.26 -1.43 1.82 187.27 1.00 rw[1] 0.58 1.45 0.59 -1.63 3.17 91.14 1.00 rw[2] 0.97 1.76 0.98 -1.90 3.83 76.06 1.00 rw[3] 1.36 2.00 1.37 -1.75 4.95 62.45 1.01 rw[4] 1.71 2.19 1.68 -1.99 5.33 53.77 1.02 rw[5] 2.04 2.39 2.04 -1.72 6.18 50.01 1.02 rw[6] 2.32 2.52 2.28 -1.65 6.63 46.15 1.02 rw[7] 2.39 2.59 2.31 -1.79 6.60 43.22 1.02 rw[8] 2.22 2.74 2.13 -1.82 7.25 42.77 1.01 rw[9] 1.85 2.83 1.68 -2.88 6.25 41.19 1.01 rw[10] 1.32 2.92 1.20 -3.40 6.33 40.96 1.01 rw[11] 0.60 2.90 0.42 -3.31 6.19 39.67 1.02 rw[12] -0.14 2.91 -0.29 -5.15 4.45 38.97 1.02 rw[13] -0.98 2.92 -1.16 -5.33 4.24 37.95 1.01 rw[14] -1.81 2.90 -2.01 -6.62 2.86 38.07 1.01 rw[15] -2.62 2.84 -2.80 -7.18 2.01 38.24 1.01 rw[16] -3.48 2.86 -3.74 -7.80 1.41 38.70 1.02 rw[17] -4.30 2.89 -4.54 -9.11 0.36 39.14 1.01 rw[18] -5.24 2.90 -5.42 -9.90 -0.34 38.65 1.01 rw[19] -6.23 2.88 -6.42 -10.96 -1.67 39.17 1.02 rw[20] -7.31 2.88 -7.41 -12.01 -2.64 38.01 1.02 rw[21] -8.33 2.83 -8.46 -12.53 -3.39 39.60 1.02 rw[22] -9.46 2.86 -9.61 -13.72 -4.31 39.93 1.02 rw[23] -10.57 2.91 -10.70 -14.73 -5.38 38.68 1.02 rw[24] -11.70 2.89 -11.81 -16.06 -6.67 40.08 1.01 rw[25] -12.86 2.94 -12.91 -17.46 -8.23 40.79 1.01 rw[26] -13.95 2.94 -14.00 -18.50 -9.08 41.05 1.01 rw[27] -14.96 2.91 -15.14 -19.58 -10.21 40.10 1.01 rw[28] -15.92 2.95 -16.03 -20.32 -10.74 41.08 1.01 rw[29] -16.83 2.98 -16.93 -21.80 -12.10 41.43 1.01 rw[30] -17.68 3.00 -17.80 -22.70 -12.95 41.29 1.01 rw[31] -18.37 3.05 -18.61 -22.80 -12.93 42.24 1.01 rw[32] -18.97 3.07 -19.08 -24.26 -14.26 41.58 1.01 rw[33] -19.55 3.10 -19.71 -24.34 -14.23 42.32 1.01 rw[34] -20.00 3.17 -20.14 -24.85 -14.45 42.23 1.01 rw[35] -20.34 3.18 -20.56 -25.53 -15.08 42.54 1.01 rw[36] -20.62 3.18 -20.78 -25.85 -15.41 43.34 1.01 rw[37] -20.80 3.20 -20.99 -25.92 -15.30 41.74 1.01 rw[38] -20.96 3.24 -21.21 -25.75 -15.13 42.87 1.01 rw[39] -21.03 3.24 -21.17 -25.88 -15.37 42.69 1.01 rw[40] -21.02 3.23 -21.11 -25.86 -15.33 42.59 1.01 rw[41] -20.94 3.26 -21.05 -26.15 -15.46 42.85 1.01 rw[42] -20.86 3.23 -21.08 -26.39 -15.87 42.71 1.01 rw[43] -20.79 3.13 -20.89 -25.81 -15.39 44.23 1.01 rw[44] -20.66 3.15 -20.78 -25.62 -14.96 42.73 1.01 rw[45] -20.45 3.20 -20.55 -25.39 -14.82 44.35 1.01 rw[46] -20.28 3.18 -20.41 -25.30 -14.89 43.36 1.02 rw[47] -20.11 3.19 -20.28 -24.82 -14.24 44.00 1.02 rw[48] -19.84 3.15 -19.91 -24.43 -14.12 45.85 1.01 rw[49] -19.67 3.16 -19.81 -24.68 -14.54 44.85 1.01 rw[50] -19.46 3.19 -19.68 -24.39 -14.06 42.11 1.01 rw[51] -19.37 3.21 -19.53 -24.63 -14.09 43.05 1.01 rw[52] -19.22 3.18 -19.33 -24.10 -13.81 43.11 1.01 rw[53] -19.00 3.11 -18.94 -23.58 -13.59 42.53 1.01 rw[54] -18.87 3.14 -18.97 -23.58 -13.40 43.22 1.01 rw[55] -18.72 3.13 -18.80 -23.86 -13.52 44.65 1.01 rw[56] -18.61 3.14 -18.78 -24.13 -13.81 44.99 1.01 rw[57] -18.53 3.14 -18.66 -23.29 -13.12 45.76 1.01 rw[58] -18.46 3.12 -18.44 -23.20 -13.15 44.37 1.01 rw[59] -18.36 3.08 -18.48 -23.36 -13.42 43.24 1.02 rw[60] -18.26 3.04 -18.29 -23.42 -13.49 43.25 1.02 rw[61] -18.16 3.04 -18.22 -22.83 -12.90 42.88 1.02 rw[62] -18.04 3.00 -18.14 -22.95 -13.05 43.14 1.02 rw[63] -17.96 2.95 -18.01 -23.20 -13.42 43.34 1.02 rw[64] -17.87 2.96 -17.93 -22.64 -12.70 44.53 1.02 rw[65] -17.79 2.93 -17.95 -22.45 -12.98 45.41 1.02 rw[66] -17.74 2.95 -17.87 -22.38 -12.64 45.87 1.02 rw[67] -17.71 2.94 -17.76 -22.41 -12.89 45.42 1.02 rw[68] -17.61 2.98 -17.80 -22.17 -12.60 45.79 1.02 rw[69] -17.57 3.01 -17.78 -22.23 -12.38 47.02 1.02 rw[70] -17.53 3.03 -17.63 -22.18 -12.19 46.61 1.01 rw[71] -17.45 3.01 -17.58 -22.62 -12.76 46.57 1.01 rw[72] -17.39 3.03 -17.56 -22.40 -12.49 44.02 1.01 rw[73] -17.35 3.01 -17.49 -22.30 -12.10 43.68 1.01 rw[74] -17.27 2.96 -17.43 -22.38 -12.79 44.53 1.01 rw[75] -17.16 2.97 -17.42 -22.22 -12.42 46.77 1.01 rw[76] -17.12 2.94 -17.30 -22.32 -12.44 44.63 1.01 rw[77] -17.02 2.98 -17.09 -21.51 -11.68 44.26 1.01 rw[78] -16.96 3.00 -17.17 -21.79 -12.12 45.17 1.00 rw[79] -16.88 2.99 -16.98 -21.52 -11.90 44.17 1.00 rw[80] -16.87 3.00 -16.97 -21.47 -11.78 43.97 1.00 rw[81] -16.82 3.00 -16.89 -21.59 -12.07 46.65 1.00 rw[82] -16.78 2.98 -17.01 -21.65 -11.88 45.46 1.01 rw[83] -16.77 3.01 -16.93 -21.55 -11.89 44.21 1.01 rw[84] -16.74 3.06 -16.84 -21.78 -11.92 45.23 1.01 rw[85] -16.65 3.05 -16.76 -21.50 -11.55 45.78 1.01 rw[86] -16.62 3.05 -16.72 -21.61 -11.83 45.50 1.01 rw[87] -16.58 3.03 -16.78 -21.50 -11.55 44.59 1.01 rw[88] -16.59 3.02 -16.75 -21.43 -11.71 43.75 1.01 rw[89] -16.55 3.01 -16.67 -21.46 -11.65 44.22 1.01 rw[90] -16.56 3.05 -16.65 -21.50 -11.62 43.60 1.02 rw[91] -16.48 3.03 -16.52 -21.51 -11.78 45.87 1.02 rw[92] -16.40 2.96 -16.44 -21.26 -11.73 44.48 1.02 rw[93] -16.31 2.97 -16.39 -21.04 -11.31 42.99 1.02 rw[94] -16.30 2.99 -16.43 -21.26 -11.25 43.13 1.02 rw[95] -16.31 2.99 -16.28 -21.04 -11.38 43.75 1.02 rw[96] -16.24 3.01 -16.24 -20.96 -11.19 44.80 1.02 rw[97] -16.17 3.02 -16.28 -21.19 -11.46 45.23 1.02 rw[98] -16.07 3.00 -16.11 -21.55 -11.61 43.95 1.02 rw[99] -15.99 3.01 -16.09 -20.91 -11.22 45.04 1.02 rw[100] -15.88 2.96 -15.97 -20.24 -10.48 44.28 1.02 rw[101] -15.81 2.92 -15.79 -20.80 -11.12 45.15 1.02 rw[102] -15.73 2.96 -15.81 -20.65 -10.94 47.11 1.02 rw[103] -15.61 2.94 -15.68 -20.86 -11.32 46.88 1.02 rw[104] -15.57 2.90 -15.64 -20.36 -10.83 45.81 1.02 rw[105] -15.52 2.96 -15.59 -20.28 -10.71 46.28 1.02 rw[106] -15.43 2.96 -15.48 -19.99 -10.34 44.14 1.02 rw[107] -15.34 3.02 -15.35 -20.29 -10.56 43.06 1.02 rw[108] -15.28 3.02 -15.25 -20.08 -10.33 41.58 1.02 rw[109] -15.19 2.98 -15.28 -19.88 -10.09 42.09 1.02 rw[110] -15.13 3.00 -15.33 -19.65 -9.96 40.86 1.01 rw[111] -15.04 2.98 -15.23 -19.98 -10.27 40.15 1.01 rw[112] -14.97 2.99 -15.17 -19.41 -9.71 40.61 1.01 rw[113] -14.89 2.99 -15.09 -19.54 -9.95 42.21 1.01 rw[114] -14.86 3.02 -15.15 -19.50 -9.87 42.31 1.01 rw[115] -14.93 3.01 -15.25 -19.34 -9.65 40.65 1.01 rw[116] -14.99 3.02 -15.26 -19.68 -10.01 41.10 1.01 rw[117] -15.11 2.97 -15.36 -19.32 -9.81 41.32 1.00 rw[118] -15.20 2.98 -15.40 -19.77 -10.23 41.95 1.00 rw[119] -15.29 2.93 -15.56 -20.27 -10.55 41.68 1.01 rw[120] -15.38 2.90 -15.60 -20.06 -10.52 42.14 1.01 rw[121] -15.51 2.89 -15.70 -20.06 -10.46 41.39 1.01 rw[122] -15.62 2.88 -15.74 -19.76 -10.50 42.56 1.01 rw[123] -15.75 2.91 -15.94 -20.27 -10.77 44.39 1.01 rw[124] -15.87 2.99 -15.96 -20.38 -10.76 44.64 1.01 rw[125] -15.91 3.01 -16.18 -20.24 -10.38 43.55 1.01 rw[126] -15.98 3.01 -16.08 -20.65 -10.98 44.50 1.01 rw[127] -16.06 3.02 -16.13 -21.25 -11.17 44.76 1.02 rw[128] -16.13 3.04 -16.22 -21.23 -11.13 45.18 1.02 rw[129] -16.19 3.01 -16.40 -21.48 -11.40 43.90 1.02 rw[130] -16.21 2.98 -16.33 -21.06 -11.27 44.18 1.02 rw[131] -16.28 2.99 -16.53 -21.07 -11.38 44.24 1.02 rw[132] -16.32 2.97 -16.50 -20.90 -11.29 43.04 1.01 rw[133] -16.35 3.01 -16.42 -21.13 -11.32 45.16 1.01 rw[134] -16.36 2.96 -16.43 -21.35 -11.69 43.86 1.02 rw[135] -16.34 2.93 -16.50 -20.77 -11.20 43.38 1.02 rw[136] -16.26 2.90 -16.39 -20.92 -11.57 41.79 1.01 rw[137] -16.12 2.88 -16.15 -20.92 -11.41 40.87 1.01 rw[138] -15.91 2.86 -15.88 -20.36 -11.07 41.17 1.01 rw[139] -15.75 2.85 -15.77 -20.23 -10.88 39.62 1.01 rw[140] -15.50 2.79 -15.66 -19.86 -10.94 38.70 1.01 rw[141] -15.24 2.80 -15.35 -19.43 -10.31 37.61 1.02 rw[142] -14.85 2.72 -15.00 -19.04 -10.33 36.03 1.01 rw[143] -14.48 2.62 -14.67 -18.53 -10.11 33.73 1.02 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.27 691.91 1.00 Number of divergences: 0