mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.64 0.70 0.42 0.00 1.56 1113.77 1.00 E0 8.65 6.28 7.19 0.03 17.17 94.55 1.00 H0 1.36 1.41 0.89 0.00 3.32 1171.33 1.00 I0 2.77 3.16 1.82 0.01 6.11 90.54 1.02 beta0 1.83 0.52 1.76 1.06 2.75 12.25 1.03 confirmed_dispersion 0.25 0.05 0.25 0.18 0.33 750.66 1.00 death_dispersion 0.15 0.01 0.15 0.13 0.17 998.34 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 662.36 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.02 0.09 0.07 0.11 559.42 1.01 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 769.60 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 749.03 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 934.00 1.00 rw[0] -0.03 0.97 -0.07 -1.64 1.56 109.90 1.00 rw[1] 0.03 1.33 0.02 -2.11 2.20 51.53 1.00 rw[2] 0.06 1.62 0.07 -2.31 2.85 36.03 1.01 rw[3] 0.19 1.88 0.20 -3.13 3.07 29.68 1.01 rw[4] 0.34 2.14 0.38 -2.91 3.93 23.95 1.01 rw[5] 0.59 2.33 0.57 -2.95 4.29 20.38 1.02 rw[6] 0.81 2.55 0.70 -3.36 4.79 18.27 1.02 rw[7] 0.96 2.72 0.87 -3.47 5.11 16.71 1.03 rw[8] 1.05 2.82 0.95 -3.33 5.70 16.06 1.03 rw[9] 1.08 2.95 0.89 -4.20 5.38 15.61 1.03 rw[10] 1.03 3.07 0.97 -4.12 5.74 14.94 1.03 rw[11] 0.86 3.18 0.74 -3.97 6.25 14.51 1.04 rw[12] 0.65 3.29 0.61 -4.84 5.57 14.24 1.03 rw[13] 0.33 3.30 0.33 -4.96 5.33 14.32 1.03 rw[14] -0.12 3.35 -0.08 -5.98 4.51 13.77 1.03 rw[15] -0.64 3.33 -0.72 -5.88 4.68 14.05 1.03 rw[16] -1.24 3.36 -1.21 -6.99 3.89 13.60 1.04 rw[17] -1.95 3.33 -2.04 -7.63 3.09 13.37 1.04 rw[18] -2.67 3.32 -2.75 -8.21 2.51 13.80 1.04 rw[19] -3.53 3.28 -3.63 -9.16 1.27 13.59 1.03 rw[20] -4.47 3.27 -4.58 -9.57 0.95 14.01 1.03 rw[21] -5.37 3.24 -5.48 -10.78 -0.50 13.90 1.03 rw[22] -6.26 3.27 -6.30 -11.99 -1.28 13.97 1.03 rw[23] -7.12 3.26 -7.15 -12.68 -2.20 14.05 1.03 rw[24] -7.95 3.26 -8.05 -13.43 -2.97 14.28 1.04 rw[25] -8.77 3.25 -8.83 -13.73 -3.16 14.31 1.04 rw[26] -9.50 3.24 -9.62 -14.74 -4.41 14.22 1.04 rw[27] -10.16 3.23 -10.27 -15.44 -5.03 14.70 1.03 rw[28] -10.77 3.20 -10.81 -15.98 -5.88 14.42 1.04 rw[29] -11.26 3.21 -11.31 -16.38 -6.30 14.73 1.03 rw[30] -11.73 3.24 -11.86 -17.12 -7.10 13.75 1.04 rw[31] -12.22 3.22 -12.30 -17.68 -7.45 13.99 1.03 rw[32] -12.56 3.24 -12.76 -17.82 -7.52 14.48 1.03 rw[33] -12.86 3.20 -12.98 -17.96 -7.69 14.14 1.04 rw[34] -13.17 3.23 -13.23 -18.88 -8.56 14.83 1.04 rw[35] -13.42 3.28 -13.55 -18.63 -8.14 14.62 1.04 rw[36] -13.58 3.25 -13.60 -18.93 -8.55 14.17 1.04 rw[37] -13.79 3.18 -13.87 -19.10 -9.24 14.53 1.03 rw[38] -13.94 3.24 -14.07 -18.86 -8.55 14.57 1.03 rw[39] -14.00 3.24 -14.07 -19.39 -9.01 14.19 1.04 rw[40] -13.99 3.22 -13.94 -19.03 -8.84 13.85 1.04 rw[41] -13.94 3.19 -13.93 -18.92 -9.01 14.37 1.03 rw[42] -13.89 3.18 -13.86 -19.39 -9.39 14.34 1.04 rw[43] -13.85 3.18 -13.89 -19.20 -8.93 14.74 1.03 rw[44] -13.72 3.22 -13.80 -19.06 -8.63 15.05 1.03 rw[45] -13.52 3.24 -13.56 -18.62 -8.15 14.86 1.03 rw[46] -13.28 3.23 -13.40 -18.28 -7.65 15.15 1.04 rw[47] -13.06 3.23 -13.18 -18.53 -8.03 15.12 1.04 rw[48] -12.92 3.25 -13.08 -17.89 -7.48 15.18 1.04 rw[49] -12.71 3.27 -12.86 -17.79 -7.25 14.76 1.04 rw[50] -12.52 3.25 -12.63 -18.10 -7.64 14.69 1.04 rw[51] -12.36 3.25 -12.44 -17.83 -7.17 14.29 1.04 rw[52] -12.18 3.22 -12.27 -17.48 -6.98 14.89 1.04 rw[53] -12.04 3.22 -12.14 -17.26 -6.62 14.50 1.04 rw[54] -11.89 3.24 -11.97 -17.21 -6.87 14.65 1.03 rw[55] -11.88 3.23 -12.04 -17.42 -6.84 14.78 1.03 rw[56] -11.83 3.23 -11.88 -17.27 -6.82 14.74 1.03 rw[57] -11.89 3.22 -12.00 -16.95 -6.60 15.40 1.02 rw[58] -11.93 3.20 -12.01 -17.14 -6.97 15.72 1.03 rw[59] -11.95 3.28 -12.02 -18.14 -7.34 15.04 1.03 rw[60] -12.02 3.21 -12.15 -17.89 -7.41 15.00 1.03 rw[61] -12.19 3.22 -12.29 -17.69 -7.37 15.68 1.03 rw[62] -12.40 3.23 -12.43 -17.65 -7.29 14.70 1.03 rw[63] -12.55 3.27 -12.52 -18.04 -7.75 15.08 1.03 rw[64] -12.77 3.28 -13.00 -18.44 -8.17 15.24 1.03 rw[65] -13.00 3.28 -13.18 -18.43 -8.13 15.56 1.03 rw[66] -13.25 3.27 -13.30 -18.05 -7.52 15.30 1.03 rw[67] -13.43 3.27 -13.48 -18.64 -8.11 15.08 1.03 rw[68] -13.56 3.26 -13.56 -19.00 -8.62 15.25 1.03 rw[69] -13.71 3.26 -13.71 -19.09 -8.43 14.58 1.03 rw[70] -13.80 3.29 -13.76 -19.92 -9.23 14.33 1.04 rw[71] -13.85 3.27 -13.97 -19.58 -9.09 13.88 1.04 rw[72] -13.88 3.30 -13.88 -19.31 -8.77 13.63 1.04 rw[73] -13.88 3.27 -13.91 -19.68 -9.34 13.30 1.04 rw[74] -13.82 3.24 -13.82 -19.71 -9.03 13.48 1.04 rw[75] -13.70 3.26 -13.76 -18.77 -7.91 14.31 1.04 rw[76] -13.56 3.25 -13.57 -18.67 -7.82 13.84 1.03 rw[77] -13.36 3.25 -13.44 -18.99 -8.07 13.96 1.03 rw[78] -13.13 3.20 -13.22 -18.73 -8.26 14.09 1.03 rw[79] -12.88 3.22 -12.96 -17.73 -7.19 14.48 1.03 rw[80] -12.67 3.16 -12.71 -17.84 -7.70 14.38 1.03 rw[81] -12.48 3.15 -12.60 -17.85 -7.79 14.16 1.03 rw[82] -12.25 3.16 -12.32 -17.21 -7.28 14.52 1.03 rw[83] -12.08 3.17 -12.13 -17.43 -7.30 15.00 1.03 rw[84] -11.90 3.17 -12.01 -17.56 -7.42 15.73 1.02 rw[85] -11.74 3.17 -11.78 -16.92 -6.86 15.43 1.02 rw[86] -11.58 3.16 -11.78 -16.82 -6.93 15.09 1.03 rw[87] -11.46 3.18 -11.54 -16.69 -6.82 14.73 1.03 rw[88] -11.40 3.17 -11.40 -16.75 -6.64 14.68 1.04 rw[89] -11.29 3.19 -11.28 -16.78 -6.44 14.90 1.04 rw[90] -11.20 3.23 -11.26 -16.49 -6.31 14.38 1.04 rw[91] -11.06 3.21 -11.05 -16.61 -6.40 14.87 1.03 rw[92] -10.95 3.22 -10.91 -16.45 -6.26 14.79 1.03 rw[93] -10.81 3.20 -10.89 -16.13 -5.93 14.89 1.03 rw[94] -10.71 3.20 -10.76 -16.07 -5.56 15.41 1.02 rw[95] -10.59 3.19 -10.73 -15.89 -5.69 15.07 1.03 rw[96] -10.49 3.22 -10.62 -15.46 -5.09 14.68 1.03 rw[97] -10.38 3.23 -10.50 -15.42 -4.88 14.37 1.03 rw[98] -10.29 3.19 -10.40 -15.65 -5.58 14.51 1.03 rw[99] -10.12 3.24 -10.19 -15.08 -4.81 14.19 1.03 rw[100] -9.98 3.23 -10.09 -15.17 -5.01 14.42 1.03 rw[101] -9.82 3.20 -9.92 -15.35 -4.95 14.22 1.03 rw[102] -9.69 3.21 -9.80 -14.79 -4.59 14.17 1.03 rw[103] -9.51 3.19 -9.63 -14.93 -4.55 14.18 1.03 rw[104] -9.36 3.17 -9.58 -14.61 -4.30 14.11 1.03 rw[105] -9.21 3.12 -9.38 -14.56 -4.48 13.99 1.03 rw[106] -9.05 3.08 -9.27 -14.60 -4.74 14.10 1.03 rw[107] -8.92 3.11 -9.01 -14.64 -4.63 14.03 1.04 rw[108] -8.85 3.14 -8.99 -14.44 -4.43 14.13 1.03 rw[109] -8.82 3.11 -8.93 -14.61 -4.43 13.88 1.04 rw[110] -8.76 3.09 -8.83 -14.07 -4.18 13.99 1.03 rw[111] -8.77 3.14 -8.87 -14.31 -4.28 13.83 1.03 rw[112] -8.80 3.12 -8.86 -14.01 -4.12 14.06 1.03 rw[113] -8.79 3.12 -8.85 -14.28 -4.31 13.99 1.03 rw[114] -8.79 3.10 -8.92 -13.66 -3.83 13.88 1.03 rw[115] -8.79 3.10 -8.77 -13.91 -4.12 13.98 1.03 rw[116] -8.88 3.11 -8.86 -14.33 -4.38 13.87 1.04 rw[117] -8.98 3.16 -9.00 -14.67 -4.40 14.24 1.03 rw[118] -9.08 3.15 -9.13 -14.71 -4.46 14.03 1.03 rw[119] -9.18 3.22 -9.23 -14.55 -4.23 13.82 1.03 rw[120] -9.31 3.16 -9.37 -14.70 -4.62 14.14 1.03 rw[121] -9.48 3.18 -9.54 -14.84 -4.45 14.46 1.03 rw[122] -9.57 3.19 -9.64 -15.01 -4.89 14.17 1.03 rw[123] -9.69 3.19 -9.84 -15.00 -4.79 14.43 1.03 rw[124] -9.83 3.19 -9.87 -15.04 -5.13 14.91 1.03 rw[125] -9.94 3.21 -9.99 -15.48 -5.38 14.86 1.03 rw[126] -10.03 3.23 -10.01 -14.96 -4.57 14.41 1.03 rw[127] -10.15 3.18 -10.23 -14.96 -4.42 14.84 1.03 rw[128] -10.28 3.12 -10.32 -15.65 -5.52 14.18 1.04 rw[129] -10.46 3.13 -10.58 -15.59 -5.47 14.10 1.04 rw[130] -10.59 3.14 -10.71 -15.63 -5.44 13.46 1.04 rw[131] -10.81 3.12 -10.91 -16.38 -6.12 13.63 1.04 rw[132] -10.99 3.14 -11.07 -16.22 -6.08 13.83 1.03 rw[133] -11.27 3.14 -11.39 -16.46 -6.37 13.66 1.04 rw[134] -11.51 3.15 -11.64 -16.85 -6.83 13.76 1.04 rw[135] -11.80 3.17 -11.88 -17.07 -6.98 14.13 1.04 rw[136] -12.08 3.21 -12.22 -17.35 -7.47 14.65 1.04 rw[137] -12.39 3.21 -12.42 -17.76 -7.59 14.57 1.03 rw[138] -12.68 3.21 -12.72 -18.26 -8.11 14.13 1.04 rw[139] -12.92 3.20 -12.93 -18.31 -8.22 14.59 1.03 rw[140] -13.16 3.18 -13.18 -18.35 -8.28 13.90 1.03 rw[141] -13.31 3.12 -13.31 -18.20 -8.48 13.48 1.03 rw[142] -13.45 3.06 -13.54 -18.65 -8.99 13.60 1.03 rw[143] -13.52 2.96 -13.56 -18.47 -9.20 12.53 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 794.99 1.00 Number of divergences: 0