mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.63 0.68 0.40 0.00 1.53 1723.33 1.00 E0 5.47 6.10 3.31 0.01 13.77 137.23 1.00 H0 1.00 1.03 0.69 0.00 2.34 1261.16 1.00 I0 2.62 3.09 1.61 0.00 6.71 114.66 1.00 beta0 1.86 0.53 1.78 1.10 2.71 25.71 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.62 0.08 0.62 0.50 0.74 1154.96 1.00 death_dispersion 0.11 0.01 0.10 0.10 0.11 1420.34 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 1050.47 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.07 0.12 684.77 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 1181.64 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.84 0.95 1077.57 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1240.63 1.00 rw[0] 0.10 0.95 0.11 -1.30 1.79 207.55 1.00 rw[1] 0.28 1.33 0.31 -1.75 2.57 149.56 1.00 rw[2] 0.54 1.62 0.61 -2.06 3.25 82.35 1.00 rw[3] 0.82 1.84 0.87 -2.17 3.94 70.51 1.00 rw[4] 1.08 2.06 1.09 -2.31 4.35 61.42 1.00 rw[5] 1.36 2.19 1.42 -2.13 5.04 56.33 1.00 rw[6] 1.62 2.37 1.75 -2.73 5.25 45.70 1.00 rw[7] 1.81 2.45 1.86 -2.18 5.82 43.25 1.00 rw[8] 1.95 2.55 1.94 -2.00 6.06 39.20 1.00 rw[9] 2.06 2.63 1.98 -2.11 6.04 35.64 1.00 rw[10] 1.94 2.77 1.82 -1.85 6.60 34.22 1.00 rw[11] 1.79 2.84 1.76 -2.68 6.26 34.04 1.00 rw[12] 1.43 2.93 1.38 -3.00 6.37 34.76 1.00 rw[13] 1.01 2.99 1.03 -3.61 5.86 33.26 1.00 rw[14] 0.42 3.05 0.54 -4.55 5.13 32.07 1.01 rw[15] -0.21 3.13 -0.12 -5.01 5.07 32.63 1.00 rw[16] -1.00 3.20 -0.84 -6.18 3.86 31.76 1.00 rw[17] -1.93 3.22 -1.85 -6.90 3.32 32.15 1.00 rw[18] -2.94 3.23 -2.85 -8.43 1.92 31.55 1.00 rw[19] -4.12 3.26 -4.09 -9.56 0.83 31.42 1.00 rw[20] -5.41 3.28 -5.39 -10.42 0.04 31.34 1.00 rw[21] -6.71 3.32 -6.75 -12.22 -1.37 31.02 1.00 rw[22] -7.94 3.27 -7.88 -12.81 -2.20 31.33 1.00 rw[23] -9.22 3.25 -9.13 -14.12 -3.65 31.55 1.00 rw[24] -10.48 3.27 -10.41 -15.65 -5.30 30.63 1.00 rw[25] -11.65 3.26 -11.59 -16.92 -6.72 30.45 1.00 rw[26] -12.65 3.27 -12.70 -17.59 -7.22 30.54 1.00 rw[27] -13.59 3.24 -13.66 -18.55 -8.40 30.17 1.00 rw[28] -14.32 3.22 -14.27 -19.24 -8.95 30.66 1.00 rw[29] -14.87 3.21 -14.81 -19.79 -9.61 29.91 1.00 rw[30] -15.35 3.17 -15.40 -20.62 -10.46 30.11 1.00 rw[31] -15.68 3.18 -15.55 -20.44 -10.41 29.91 1.00 rw[32] -15.94 3.17 -15.85 -20.77 -10.54 30.26 1.00 rw[33] -16.05 3.18 -16.02 -20.96 -10.88 30.54 1.00 rw[34] -16.17 3.17 -16.17 -21.25 -11.18 30.12 1.00 rw[35] -16.17 3.16 -16.18 -21.06 -10.99 29.10 1.00 rw[36] -16.06 3.15 -16.05 -21.09 -11.06 30.65 1.00 rw[37] -15.91 3.13 -15.83 -20.84 -10.86 31.47 1.00 rw[38] -15.70 3.10 -15.68 -20.72 -10.80 32.15 1.00 rw[39] -15.46 3.15 -15.36 -20.43 -10.63 31.37 1.00 rw[40] -15.13 3.15 -15.05 -20.29 -10.14 31.43 1.00 rw[41] -14.86 3.13 -14.83 -19.76 -9.80 31.91 1.00 rw[42] -14.55 3.12 -14.46 -19.61 -9.67 31.18 1.00 rw[43] -14.25 3.16 -14.03 -19.33 -9.14 31.51 1.00 rw[44] -13.87 3.17 -13.78 -18.86 -8.66 32.24 1.00 rw[45] -13.59 3.15 -13.27 -18.35 -8.21 31.85 1.00 rw[46] -13.33 3.18 -13.34 -18.12 -7.88 31.58 1.00 rw[47] -13.12 3.26 -13.14 -18.07 -7.66 31.50 1.00 rw[48] -12.90 3.24 -12.72 -18.57 -8.27 31.45 1.01 rw[49] -12.82 3.16 -12.73 -17.75 -7.58 31.37 1.01 rw[50] -12.69 3.14 -12.62 -18.04 -7.84 31.19 1.01 rw[51] -12.56 3.17 -12.46 -17.48 -7.12 31.20 1.00 rw[52] -12.46 3.17 -12.45 -17.50 -7.25 30.94 1.00 rw[53] -12.38 3.21 -12.21 -17.34 -7.05 30.89 1.00 rw[54] -12.29 3.18 -12.05 -17.07 -6.92 30.82 1.00 rw[55] -12.18 3.17 -12.03 -17.12 -7.11 31.11 1.00 rw[56] -12.11 3.17 -12.05 -17.32 -7.16 30.91 1.00 rw[57] -11.99 3.19 -11.89 -16.76 -6.54 31.20 1.00 rw[58] -11.86 3.22 -11.78 -17.04 -6.95 30.60 1.00 rw[59] -11.79 3.22 -11.79 -16.64 -6.77 30.68 1.00 rw[60] -11.71 3.26 -11.60 -16.61 -6.39 30.90 1.00 rw[61] -11.64 3.23 -11.63 -16.95 -6.67 30.03 1.00 rw[62] -11.56 3.19 -11.61 -16.35 -6.51 29.50 1.00 rw[63] -11.52 3.17 -11.54 -16.76 -6.81 29.19 1.00 rw[64] -11.46 3.20 -11.57 -16.93 -6.55 29.52 1.00 rw[65] -11.41 3.21 -11.31 -16.49 -6.21 29.15 1.00 rw[66] -11.34 3.20 -11.38 -16.51 -6.37 29.23 1.00 rw[67] -11.30 3.18 -11.24 -16.42 -6.10 29.76 1.00 rw[68] -11.36 3.18 -11.38 -16.19 -6.12 29.58 1.00 rw[69] -11.46 3.18 -11.38 -16.66 -6.37 30.18 1.00 rw[70] -11.57 3.16 -11.60 -16.55 -6.29 30.72 1.00 rw[71] -11.80 3.14 -11.67 -17.07 -6.91 30.06 1.00 rw[72] -12.04 3.19 -11.90 -16.87 -6.63 30.68 1.00 rw[73] -12.43 3.20 -12.30 -17.54 -7.33 31.34 1.00 rw[74] -12.79 3.18 -12.78 -17.78 -7.60 32.10 1.00 rw[75] -13.20 3.19 -13.16 -18.99 -8.46 31.58 1.00 rw[76] -13.59 3.17 -13.53 -18.53 -8.22 32.17 1.00 rw[77] -14.01 3.14 -14.02 -19.32 -9.11 32.33 1.00 rw[78] -14.41 3.15 -14.32 -19.70 -9.55 32.44 1.00 rw[79] -14.86 3.15 -14.81 -19.47 -9.24 31.51 1.00 rw[80] -15.15 3.20 -15.03 -20.43 -10.25 31.01 1.00 rw[81] -15.40 3.20 -15.31 -20.97 -10.50 31.91 1.00 rw[82] -15.57 3.19 -15.56 -20.86 -10.49 31.95 1.00 rw[83] -15.79 3.19 -15.74 -21.33 -11.05 31.69 1.00 rw[84] -15.87 3.18 -15.89 -20.71 -10.64 30.59 1.00 rw[85] -15.91 3.19 -15.88 -20.87 -10.58 30.28 1.00 rw[86] -15.96 3.19 -15.89 -20.69 -10.67 30.34 1.00 rw[87] -15.89 3.18 -15.79 -21.45 -11.21 30.82 1.00 rw[88] -15.82 3.25 -15.69 -20.57 -10.55 30.56 1.00 rw[89] -15.79 3.27 -15.76 -20.63 -10.37 30.62 1.00 rw[90] -15.68 3.27 -15.63 -20.79 -10.54 30.68 1.00 rw[91] -15.63 3.27 -15.53 -20.52 -10.34 30.59 1.00 rw[92] -15.57 3.29 -15.55 -20.94 -10.49 31.15 1.00 rw[93] -15.46 3.28 -15.43 -20.77 -10.48 31.08 1.00 rw[94] -15.34 3.25 -15.35 -20.58 -10.32 30.56 1.00 rw[95] -15.26 3.21 -15.26 -20.25 -9.82 30.62 1.00 rw[96] -15.10 3.26 -15.12 -20.07 -9.46 32.15 1.00 rw[97] -14.92 3.25 -14.84 -20.45 -9.95 31.81 1.00 rw[98] -14.76 3.19 -14.67 -19.73 -9.48 31.54 1.00 rw[99] -14.62 3.17 -14.59 -19.44 -9.34 31.98 1.00 rw[100] -14.51 3.18 -14.56 -19.49 -9.39 30.72 1.00 rw[101] -14.32 3.17 -14.40 -19.29 -9.27 31.65 1.00 rw[102] -14.14 3.18 -14.14 -19.11 -9.19 31.03 1.00 rw[103] -13.93 3.16 -13.99 -18.62 -8.86 30.86 1.00 rw[104] -13.72 3.24 -13.80 -18.61 -8.37 30.76 1.00 rw[105] -13.49 3.27 -13.63 -18.53 -8.12 31.10 1.00 rw[106] -13.28 3.25 -13.31 -18.42 -8.18 31.68 1.00 rw[107] -13.11 3.24 -13.13 -18.62 -8.14 31.07 1.00 rw[108] -12.90 3.20 -12.79 -18.07 -7.88 30.90 1.00 rw[109] -12.62 3.16 -12.41 -17.93 -7.75 29.94 1.00 rw[110] -12.42 3.14 -12.23 -17.42 -7.32 30.29 1.00 rw[111] -12.12 3.14 -11.97 -17.38 -7.30 30.21 1.00 rw[112] -11.84 3.17 -11.66 -16.80 -6.76 29.83 1.00 rw[113] -11.60 3.15 -11.37 -16.30 -6.43 29.44 1.00 rw[114] -11.33 3.16 -11.27 -16.11 -6.22 29.49 1.00 rw[115] -11.08 3.12 -11.05 -16.13 -6.38 29.41 1.00 rw[116] -10.76 3.16 -10.71 -15.62 -5.37 29.98 1.00 rw[117] -10.50 3.15 -10.38 -15.69 -5.34 30.02 1.00 rw[118] -10.31 3.16 -10.19 -15.65 -5.28 30.30 1.00 rw[119] -10.10 3.15 -9.93 -14.94 -4.72 31.05 1.00 rw[120] -9.91 3.10 -9.90 -14.76 -4.89 30.05 1.00 rw[121] -9.69 3.10 -9.52 -14.78 -4.99 30.00 1.00 rw[122] -9.53 3.09 -9.53 -15.18 -5.16 30.69 1.00 rw[123] -9.38 3.08 -9.40 -14.54 -4.60 30.26 1.00 rw[124] -9.29 3.07 -9.33 -13.97 -4.25 30.86 1.00 rw[125] -9.22 3.08 -9.21 -13.84 -4.07 31.21 1.00 rw[126] -9.27 3.08 -9.40 -14.40 -4.55 29.95 1.00 rw[127] -9.36 3.04 -9.41 -14.12 -4.26 29.70 1.00 rw[128] -9.51 3.07 -9.57 -14.73 -4.94 29.62 1.00 rw[129] -9.74 3.09 -9.75 -14.52 -4.55 30.87 1.00 rw[130] -9.97 3.10 -10.03 -14.63 -4.59 30.02 1.00 rw[131] -10.24 3.06 -10.32 -15.83 -5.85 30.18 1.00 rw[132] -10.52 3.08 -10.51 -15.87 -5.73 29.63 1.00 rw[133] -10.86 3.11 -10.95 -15.87 -5.90 29.57 1.00 rw[134] -11.21 3.13 -11.10 -16.22 -6.32 29.58 1.00 rw[135] -11.51 3.08 -11.42 -16.49 -6.46 29.83 1.00 rw[136] -11.82 3.10 -11.76 -17.17 -7.27 29.87 1.00 rw[137] -12.14 3.11 -11.98 -17.23 -7.25 29.62 1.00 rw[138] -12.39 3.11 -12.32 -17.52 -7.52 29.75 1.00 rw[139] -12.66 3.09 -12.50 -17.49 -7.60 29.30 1.00 rw[140] -12.85 3.06 -12.84 -17.68 -8.05 28.87 1.00 rw[141] -12.98 3.04 -13.03 -17.81 -8.33 27.60 1.00 rw[142] -13.11 2.99 -13.09 -18.09 -8.56 26.63 1.00 rw[143] -13.17 2.87 -13.06 -17.58 -8.57 25.51 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.27 1113.63 1.00 Number of divergences: 0