mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.79 0.84 0.51 0.01 1.86 917.12 1.00 E0 1.45 1.30 1.05 0.00 3.48 1296.13 1.00 H0 0.81 0.69 0.63 0.00 1.75 1412.38 1.00 I0 2.12 1.56 1.77 0.00 4.47 1639.83 1.00 beta0 0.11 0.10 0.09 0.00 0.25 556.85 1.01 confirmed_dispersion 0.33 0.14 0.31 0.11 0.52 546.30 1.00 death_dispersion 0.34 0.12 0.33 0.15 0.55 938.95 1.00 death_prob 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1546.97 1.00 death_rate 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.06 1729.45 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 1745.52 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1462.85 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1548.59 1.00 rw[0] -0.08 0.99 -0.07 -1.70 1.52 387.92 1.00 rw[1] -0.13 1.39 -0.09 -2.42 2.06 236.82 1.01 rw[2] -0.22 1.73 -0.26 -3.28 2.39 166.30 1.01 rw[3] -0.30 1.99 -0.32 -3.64 2.82 123.74 1.02 rw[4] -0.38 2.22 -0.37 -4.27 3.05 124.06 1.02 rw[5] -0.46 2.41 -0.38 -4.46 3.61 103.50 1.02 rw[6] -0.56 2.61 -0.61 -4.84 3.56 85.63 1.02 rw[7] -0.67 2.79 -0.63 -5.10 3.87 73.91 1.02 rw[8] -0.66 2.95 -0.52 -5.80 3.93 71.75 1.03 rw[9] -0.72 3.04 -0.77 -5.55 4.41 64.18 1.02 rw[10] -0.83 3.20 -0.85 -6.37 3.96 64.49 1.02 rw[11] -0.83 3.34 -0.80 -6.47 4.19 63.88 1.03 rw[12] -0.85 3.44 -0.81 -7.36 4.05 55.41 1.03 rw[13] -0.88 3.59 -0.87 -7.05 4.71 56.06 1.03 rw[14] -0.94 3.73 -0.94 -7.48 4.84 54.39 1.04 rw[15] -1.00 3.85 -0.94 -8.01 4.70 54.11 1.04 rw[16] -1.06 3.92 -1.00 -8.00 4.78 51.99 1.04 rw[17] -1.03 4.05 -1.09 -8.30 4.78 51.20 1.05 rw[18] -1.05 4.11 -1.11 -8.07 5.24 52.75 1.05 rw[19] -1.05 4.19 -1.09 -8.20 5.40 49.89 1.05 rw[20] -1.09 4.27 -1.00 -8.41 5.63 47.66 1.06 rw[21] -1.10 4.41 -1.01 -8.04 6.40 46.06 1.07 rw[22] -1.12 4.53 -1.11 -8.30 6.33 45.99 1.07 rw[23] -1.16 4.68 -0.97 -8.63 6.62 46.37 1.07 rw[24] -1.17 4.74 -1.03 -8.59 6.75 47.11 1.07 rw[25] -1.17 4.82 -1.15 -8.98 6.98 46.74 1.07 rw[26] -1.16 4.95 -1.11 -9.12 7.06 46.29 1.08 rw[27] -1.14 5.03 -0.97 -9.46 6.90 45.39 1.08 rw[28] -1.15 5.12 -0.98 -9.47 6.81 44.38 1.08 rw[29] -1.15 5.19 -0.91 -9.38 6.95 43.55 1.09 rw[30] -1.14 5.29 -1.01 -9.86 6.92 43.55 1.09 rw[31] -1.16 5.37 -0.92 -9.80 7.03 43.79 1.10 rw[32] -1.22 5.47 -0.82 -10.45 6.93 42.56 1.10 rw[33] -1.25 5.55 -1.02 -11.10 6.88 43.41 1.10 rw[34] -1.28 5.65 -1.01 -10.67 7.57 43.66 1.10 rw[35] -1.23 5.78 -0.91 -11.48 6.82 44.90 1.10 rw[36] -1.28 5.88 -0.86 -10.51 8.50 43.98 1.10 rw[37] -1.27 5.96 -1.02 -10.70 8.34 43.21 1.11 rw[38] -1.24 6.05 -1.04 -11.20 8.20 42.99 1.11 rw[39] -1.24 6.22 -0.82 -12.05 7.86 43.61 1.11 rw[40] -1.26 6.30 -0.84 -11.50 8.19 45.03 1.11 rw[41] -1.23 6.38 -0.88 -11.02 9.09 44.15 1.11 rw[42] -1.27 6.46 -0.81 -11.01 9.60 43.76 1.11 rw[43] -1.24 6.51 -0.93 -11.48 9.45 43.34 1.11 rw[44] -1.25 6.57 -0.89 -13.07 8.13 44.54 1.11 rw[45] -1.28 6.66 -0.85 -13.00 8.32 43.76 1.11 rw[46] -1.32 6.80 -0.93 -13.19 8.46 44.84 1.11 rw[47] -1.35 6.87 -0.94 -13.28 8.69 45.61 1.11 rw[48] -1.35 6.97 -0.93 -12.34 10.11 49.40 1.11 rw[49] -1.33 7.07 -1.02 -12.19 10.49 47.04 1.11 rw[50] -1.33 7.10 -1.01 -12.50 9.81 48.87 1.11 rw[51] -1.37 7.12 -1.00 -12.61 9.72 50.71 1.11 rw[52] -1.39 7.19 -1.23 -12.90 9.60 51.64 1.11 rw[53] -1.44 7.25 -1.22 -12.66 10.31 49.28 1.11 rw[54] -1.47 7.33 -1.36 -12.26 11.45 48.00 1.11 rw[55] -1.50 7.42 -1.40 -12.76 10.92 49.18 1.11 rw[56] -1.49 7.53 -1.24 -13.61 10.51 50.01 1.11 rw[57] -1.50 7.61 -1.32 -13.13 11.44 52.84 1.12 rw[58] -1.51 7.69 -1.30 -14.17 10.69 55.02 1.11 rw[59] -1.53 7.77 -1.32 -14.60 10.55 55.15 1.11 rw[60] -1.46 7.75 -1.33 -13.06 11.61 56.39 1.11 rw[61] -1.47 7.87 -1.36 -13.76 11.63 57.11 1.12 rw[62] -1.46 7.92 -1.44 -14.61 11.03 55.53 1.12 rw[63] -1.44 8.00 -1.35 -14.56 11.08 56.64 1.12 rw[64] -1.40 8.12 -1.18 -14.16 11.82 58.41 1.11 rw[65] -1.47 8.18 -1.32 -14.91 11.65 58.32 1.12 rw[66] -1.47 8.18 -1.33 -14.44 11.82 56.71 1.12 rw[67] -1.47 8.24 -1.30 -14.81 11.66 57.69 1.11 rw[68] -1.49 8.26 -1.29 -15.36 11.48 59.02 1.11 rw[69] -1.51 8.32 -1.47 -15.68 11.44 57.54 1.12 rw[70] -1.45 8.40 -1.38 -14.75 12.82 58.38 1.11 rw[71] -1.44 8.46 -1.38 -15.26 12.18 58.44 1.11 rw[72] -1.45 8.49 -1.39 -15.79 11.73 58.08 1.11 rw[73] -1.46 8.54 -1.38 -14.91 12.82 57.38 1.11 rw[74] -1.43 8.58 -1.40 -15.04 13.15 55.91 1.11 rw[75] -1.43 8.64 -1.45 -15.60 12.56 56.37 1.11 rw[76] -1.40 8.77 -1.44 -15.43 13.10 56.19 1.11 rw[77] -1.37 8.81 -1.48 -15.81 13.20 55.91 1.11 rw[78] -1.39 8.87 -1.59 -15.96 13.22 54.38 1.12 rw[79] -1.41 8.95 -1.43 -15.41 13.96 53.86 1.12 rw[80] -1.41 9.01 -1.74 -15.64 13.88 53.71 1.12 rw[81] -1.36 9.07 -1.53 -15.59 13.66 53.07 1.12 rw[82] -1.39 9.08 -1.65 -15.85 13.25 53.83 1.12 rw[83] -1.38 9.15 -1.74 -16.69 12.82 53.65 1.12 rw[84] -1.43 9.18 -1.82 -16.91 12.28 55.38 1.11 rw[85] -1.45 9.21 -1.63 -16.56 13.09 56.19 1.11 rw[86] -1.46 9.23 -1.68 -15.99 13.50 56.42 1.11 rw[87] -1.44 9.24 -1.57 -16.65 13.08 55.77 1.11 rw[88] -1.45 9.30 -1.51 -16.86 13.38 57.07 1.11 rw[89] -1.41 9.34 -1.44 -15.86 14.22 57.67 1.11 rw[90] -1.33 9.39 -1.37 -15.90 14.54 59.04 1.11 rw[91] -1.36 9.43 -1.41 -16.73 13.71 59.56 1.11 rw[92] -1.38 9.46 -1.34 -17.00 13.95 59.78 1.10 rw[93] -1.37 9.47 -1.45 -16.01 14.65 61.16 1.10 rw[94] -1.35 9.45 -1.58 -16.24 14.22 59.68 1.10 rw[95] -1.39 9.50 -1.61 -16.08 14.53 61.83 1.10 rw[96] -1.36 9.60 -1.47 -17.03 14.20 62.49 1.10 rw[97] -1.38 9.58 -1.46 -17.43 13.69 63.64 1.10 rw[98] -1.40 9.65 -1.53 -15.98 15.47 63.73 1.10 rw[99] -1.39 9.70 -1.48 -16.60 14.89 63.98 1.10 rw[100] -1.44 9.73 -1.53 -17.53 13.90 63.92 1.10 rw[101] -1.43 9.78 -1.56 -16.53 15.41 62.98 1.10 rw[102] -1.39 9.83 -1.59 -16.98 15.05 64.43 1.10 rw[103] -1.41 9.83 -1.87 -16.85 15.15 63.53 1.10 rw[104] -1.43 9.79 -1.59 -18.50 13.64 64.14 1.10 rw[105] -1.44 9.85 -1.75 -18.51 13.61 63.39 1.10 rw[106] -1.46 9.90 -1.75 -18.42 13.82 63.35 1.10 rw[107] -1.54 9.96 -1.79 -17.63 15.24 63.40 1.10 rw[108] -1.56 10.03 -1.95 -18.72 14.29 63.45 1.09 rw[109] -1.58 10.05 -1.86 -18.53 14.64 63.82 1.10 rw[110] -1.62 10.06 -1.92 -17.73 15.58 65.99 1.09 rw[111] -1.57 10.13 -1.88 -18.39 15.06 67.32 1.09 rw[112] -1.57 10.14 -1.74 -17.89 15.71 67.72 1.09 rw[113] -1.55 10.19 -1.81 -17.00 16.69 67.43 1.09 rw[114] -1.55 10.28 -1.98 -18.02 15.62 69.00 1.09 rw[115] -1.54 10.30 -1.78 -17.24 16.44 68.46 1.09 rw[116] -1.56 10.37 -1.73 -19.41 14.41 68.44 1.10 rw[117] -1.55 10.40 -1.60 -19.20 14.69 68.61 1.10 rw[118] -1.56 10.42 -1.71 -18.62 14.56 70.96 1.09 rw[119] -1.60 10.48 -1.72 -17.99 15.14 71.26 1.09 rw[120] -1.58 10.56 -1.64 -18.54 15.28 71.12 1.09 rw[121] -1.55 10.53 -1.42 -19.25 14.74 72.31 1.09 rw[122] -1.55 10.59 -1.67 -19.31 14.81 73.27 1.09 rw[123] -1.52 10.64 -1.52 -18.93 15.43 73.87 1.09 rw[124] -1.49 10.61 -1.43 -19.24 15.04 73.88 1.09 rw[125] -1.47 10.65 -1.35 -19.07 15.03 75.13 1.09 rw[126] -1.48 10.73 -1.62 -18.13 16.42 74.55 1.09 rw[127] -1.48 10.76 -1.43 -19.22 15.26 75.30 1.09 rw[128] -1.50 10.83 -1.55 -19.74 15.07 75.45 1.09 rw[129] -1.54 10.94 -1.62 -19.32 16.14 75.46 1.09 rw[130] -1.58 10.97 -1.47 -19.45 16.03 76.28 1.09 rw[131] -1.57 11.02 -1.51 -19.78 16.05 75.90 1.09 rw[132] -1.59 11.05 -1.51 -19.00 16.70 78.04 1.09 rw[133] -1.59 11.04 -1.49 -19.99 15.68 77.88 1.09 rw[134] -1.64 11.11 -1.57 -20.17 15.68 78.08 1.09 rw[135] -1.61 11.09 -1.65 -20.62 15.51 78.85 1.09 rw[136] -1.61 11.16 -1.53 -19.69 16.36 78.00 1.09 rw[137] -1.64 11.14 -1.58 -18.69 17.42 78.97 1.09 rw[138] -1.61 11.22 -1.40 -19.04 17.53 80.19 1.09 rw[139] -1.58 11.23 -1.17 -19.68 17.42 80.41 1.09 rw[140] -1.56 11.26 -1.15 -18.39 18.83 79.79 1.09 rw[141] -1.58 11.30 -1.39 -20.23 16.90 81.11 1.08 rw[142] -1.56 11.32 -1.48 -19.53 17.95 81.28 1.09 rw[143] -1.57 11.42 -1.46 -18.35 19.17 81.12 1.09 rw[144] -1.58 11.44 -1.59 -19.31 18.25 82.13 1.09 rw[145] -1.64 11.46 -1.34 -21.22 16.02 81.71 1.09 rw[146] -1.60 11.56 -1.35 -21.03 16.76 83.01 1.08 rw[147] -1.65 11.64 -1.27 -20.81 17.13 84.82 1.08 rw[148] -1.69 11.66 -1.59 -20.69 17.64 85.77 1.08 rw[149] -1.69 11.72 -1.38 -21.70 16.64 86.87 1.08 rw[150] -1.62 11.79 -1.55 -21.74 16.61 87.57 1.08 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1669.62 1.00 Number of divergences: 0