mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.29 2.49 0.62 0.00 2.84 744.91 1.00 E0 10.85 11.64 7.20 0.00 24.50 362.08 1.01 H0 2.38 2.25 1.66 0.01 5.48 1132.05 1.00 I0 7.84 6.70 6.01 0.39 16.22 157.60 1.02 beta0 1.96 0.48 1.90 1.22 2.70 14.04 1.12 confirmed_dispersion 0.41 0.07 0.40 0.29 0.52 897.44 1.00 death_dispersion 0.55 0.04 0.54 0.47 0.61 1130.55 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 1082.65 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.02 0.07 0.05 0.10 799.83 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1123.18 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 1143.06 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1523.76 1.00 rw[0] -0.08 0.94 -0.11 -1.61 1.36 281.23 1.01 rw[1] -0.05 1.29 -0.06 -2.16 1.99 107.26 1.02 rw[2] 0.02 1.54 0.01 -2.40 2.57 66.24 1.03 rw[3] 0.17 1.79 0.18 -2.69 3.14 45.60 1.05 rw[4] 0.32 1.99 0.36 -3.22 3.30 37.00 1.05 rw[5] 0.44 2.11 0.49 -2.78 4.13 31.98 1.05 rw[6] 0.51 2.26 0.55 -3.13 4.13 28.87 1.06 rw[7] 0.48 2.36 0.58 -3.68 4.05 26.22 1.06 rw[8] 0.36 2.48 0.41 -3.57 4.58 24.91 1.07 rw[9] 0.07 2.55 0.16 -3.94 4.48 24.52 1.07 rw[10] -0.28 2.62 -0.14 -4.69 3.72 22.36 1.08 rw[11] -0.83 2.67 -0.76 -5.23 3.42 21.59 1.08 rw[12] -1.44 2.75 -1.49 -5.55 3.38 21.62 1.08 rw[13] -2.21 2.78 -2.26 -7.05 2.20 21.39 1.07 rw[14] -2.98 2.85 -3.10 -7.92 1.66 21.18 1.07 rw[15] -3.74 2.86 -3.82 -8.46 1.17 20.73 1.08 rw[16] -4.48 2.85 -4.54 -9.09 0.23 20.06 1.07 rw[17] -5.23 2.86 -5.31 -10.04 -0.51 20.58 1.07 rw[18] -5.91 2.89 -5.98 -10.29 -0.74 20.23 1.08 rw[19] -6.61 2.83 -6.43 -11.27 -1.90 19.68 1.08 rw[20] -7.29 2.83 -7.21 -12.06 -2.79 19.44 1.09 rw[21] -7.95 2.84 -7.84 -12.77 -3.44 21.53 1.07 rw[22] -8.55 2.85 -8.43 -13.33 -3.93 21.60 1.07 rw[23] -9.20 2.87 -9.13 -14.08 -4.78 21.61 1.07 rw[24] -9.84 2.87 -9.79 -14.59 -5.32 21.75 1.07 rw[25] -10.40 2.85 -10.27 -14.51 -5.63 21.71 1.07 rw[26] -10.95 2.89 -10.80 -15.51 -6.45 20.96 1.07 rw[27] -11.46 2.89 -11.32 -15.95 -6.75 21.72 1.07 rw[28] -11.94 2.85 -11.74 -16.66 -7.45 21.96 1.07 rw[29] -12.40 2.83 -12.35 -17.57 -8.30 22.50 1.07 rw[30] -12.82 2.78 -12.82 -17.60 -8.58 23.85 1.06 rw[31] -13.19 2.80 -13.20 -17.75 -8.64 22.36 1.07 rw[32] -13.47 2.82 -13.40 -18.59 -9.32 22.72 1.06 rw[33] -13.78 2.83 -13.74 -18.39 -9.16 23.55 1.07 rw[34] -14.07 2.86 -14.03 -18.81 -9.38 22.33 1.06 rw[35] -14.29 2.85 -14.31 -18.74 -9.47 22.85 1.07 rw[36] -14.49 2.85 -14.37 -19.07 -9.71 23.54 1.07 rw[37] -14.60 2.87 -14.40 -19.88 -10.60 22.38 1.08 rw[38] -14.71 2.88 -14.51 -19.61 -10.28 21.28 1.08 rw[39] -14.77 2.91 -14.69 -19.12 -9.76 21.26 1.08 rw[40] -14.88 2.90 -14.66 -19.28 -10.11 20.32 1.07 rw[41] -14.94 2.86 -14.78 -18.99 -9.61 20.29 1.08 rw[42] -14.98 2.91 -14.78 -19.91 -10.38 20.08 1.08 rw[43] -15.08 2.85 -15.02 -19.87 -10.72 20.56 1.07 rw[44] -15.10 2.88 -15.09 -20.05 -10.55 20.96 1.06 rw[45] -15.12 2.88 -15.11 -19.42 -9.90 22.00 1.06 rw[46] -15.11 2.87 -14.94 -19.87 -10.48 20.86 1.06 rw[47] -15.05 2.94 -15.04 -19.83 -10.22 20.54 1.06 rw[48] -15.04 2.90 -14.97 -19.34 -10.03 19.87 1.06 rw[49] -15.01 2.89 -14.99 -19.53 -10.12 20.72 1.06 rw[50] -14.95 2.84 -15.04 -19.42 -10.26 21.18 1.06 rw[51] -14.85 2.87 -14.89 -19.84 -10.58 21.67 1.06 rw[52] -14.78 2.88 -14.81 -18.99 -9.69 21.63 1.07 rw[53] -14.70 2.88 -14.65 -19.71 -10.31 20.13 1.08 rw[54] -14.64 2.86 -14.59 -19.23 -9.90 19.88 1.07 rw[55] -14.53 2.83 -14.54 -18.97 -9.60 19.42 1.08 rw[56] -14.41 2.82 -14.33 -19.40 -10.29 20.16 1.08 rw[57] -14.29 2.82 -14.34 -19.17 -9.88 18.89 1.09 rw[58] -14.21 2.79 -14.20 -18.85 -9.65 19.18 1.09 rw[59] -14.09 2.79 -13.96 -19.18 -9.84 19.63 1.09 rw[60] -14.04 2.81 -14.09 -18.42 -9.30 20.26 1.08 rw[61] -13.94 2.83 -13.90 -18.51 -9.21 20.30 1.08 rw[62] -13.77 2.84 -13.81 -17.99 -8.61 20.66 1.09 rw[63] -13.70 2.85 -13.59 -18.01 -8.61 19.94 1.09 rw[64] -13.63 2.82 -13.56 -18.38 -9.15 19.91 1.08 rw[65] -13.54 2.86 -13.41 -17.95 -8.45 21.69 1.07 rw[66] -13.51 2.86 -13.51 -18.52 -9.19 22.54 1.06 rw[67] -13.43 2.85 -13.48 -17.66 -8.52 23.16 1.07 rw[68] -13.38 2.81 -13.34 -18.10 -8.95 22.92 1.07 rw[69] -13.38 2.84 -13.28 -17.79 -8.62 23.48 1.06 rw[70] -13.34 2.83 -13.16 -17.93 -8.79 25.42 1.05 rw[71] -13.36 2.84 -13.24 -17.50 -8.17 25.08 1.06 rw[72] -13.30 2.89 -13.16 -17.85 -8.38 25.41 1.06 rw[73] -13.26 2.86 -13.21 -17.73 -8.55 24.60 1.06 rw[74] -13.26 2.86 -13.19 -17.80 -8.42 24.34 1.06 rw[75] -13.32 2.85 -13.29 -17.91 -8.64 22.26 1.06 rw[76] -13.36 2.82 -13.31 -17.91 -8.71 21.29 1.08 rw[77] -13.37 2.83 -13.29 -18.01 -8.93 20.88 1.08 rw[78] -13.47 2.83 -13.53 -17.73 -8.59 21.80 1.09 rw[79] -13.55 2.87 -13.45 -18.40 -9.16 20.56 1.09 rw[80] -13.59 2.87 -13.49 -18.38 -9.30 20.88 1.10 rw[81] -13.61 2.84 -13.60 -17.62 -8.55 21.34 1.10 rw[82] -13.65 2.87 -13.61 -18.26 -8.88 20.84 1.09 rw[83] -13.68 2.83 -13.57 -18.03 -9.03 20.29 1.09 rw[84] -13.72 2.84 -13.62 -18.72 -9.52 20.87 1.09 rw[85] -13.76 2.83 -13.70 -18.24 -9.06 21.34 1.09 rw[86] -13.82 2.80 -13.77 -18.55 -9.51 22.07 1.08 rw[87] -13.84 2.77 -13.72 -18.38 -9.38 22.67 1.08 rw[88] -13.80 2.76 -13.69 -18.52 -9.43 22.90 1.07 rw[89] -13.84 2.80 -13.74 -19.01 -9.75 22.91 1.07 rw[90] -13.89 2.79 -13.82 -18.88 -9.69 23.18 1.06 rw[91] -13.91 2.78 -13.85 -18.38 -9.38 23.01 1.07 rw[92] -13.91 2.76 -13.89 -18.56 -9.74 25.36 1.06 rw[93] -13.90 2.77 -13.86 -18.40 -9.68 25.41 1.07 rw[94] -13.92 2.77 -13.78 -18.34 -9.37 23.06 1.07 rw[95] -13.90 2.74 -13.90 -18.56 -9.59 24.11 1.07 rw[96] -13.88 2.74 -14.00 -18.14 -9.22 25.22 1.06 rw[97] -13.79 2.79 -13.85 -18.37 -9.23 22.19 1.07 rw[98] -13.75 2.80 -13.78 -18.72 -9.54 23.16 1.07 rw[99] -13.64 2.79 -13.62 -18.33 -9.14 22.86 1.08 rw[100] -13.54 2.80 -13.50 -18.35 -9.11 21.37 1.09 rw[101] -13.36 2.75 -13.31 -17.75 -8.70 20.49 1.09 rw[102] -13.17 2.77 -13.14 -17.84 -8.83 19.64 1.08 rw[103] -12.95 2.77 -12.87 -17.89 -8.70 19.57 1.07 rw[104] -12.71 2.79 -12.52 -17.25 -8.10 19.77 1.08 rw[105] -12.45 2.83 -12.29 -17.48 -8.28 19.40 1.08 rw[106] -12.26 2.77 -12.19 -17.17 -8.01 18.91 1.07 rw[107] -12.04 2.79 -11.86 -16.79 -7.52 19.35 1.08 rw[108] -11.87 2.75 -11.81 -16.16 -7.33 19.25 1.08 rw[109] -11.66 2.68 -11.54 -16.08 -7.44 19.18 1.08 rw[110] -11.47 2.70 -11.43 -16.04 -7.12 20.41 1.07 rw[111] -11.33 2.68 -11.34 -15.38 -6.69 21.38 1.06 rw[112] -11.21 2.72 -11.09 -15.76 -7.07 19.37 1.08 rw[113] -11.04 2.70 -10.92 -15.41 -6.65 19.49 1.07 rw[114] -10.93 2.68 -10.87 -15.56 -6.69 19.13 1.08 rw[115] -10.88 2.68 -10.81 -15.08 -6.36 19.60 1.08 rw[116] -10.80 2.65 -10.76 -14.98 -6.29 19.80 1.08 rw[117] -10.72 2.65 -10.77 -14.79 -6.34 21.17 1.08 rw[118] -10.67 2.73 -10.56 -14.89 -6.14 21.48 1.08 rw[119] -10.64 2.73 -10.53 -15.12 -6.43 20.44 1.09 rw[120] -10.68 2.71 -10.54 -15.20 -6.38 19.66 1.09 rw[121] -10.67 2.70 -10.61 -15.38 -6.32 19.40 1.09 rw[122] -10.73 2.71 -10.72 -14.83 -5.97 19.53 1.10 rw[123] -10.74 2.70 -10.70 -15.56 -6.69 19.12 1.10 rw[124] -10.80 2.68 -10.71 -15.19 -6.43 19.38 1.09 rw[125] -10.86 2.73 -10.84 -14.95 -6.21 19.80 1.10 rw[126] -10.95 2.70 -10.86 -15.60 -6.89 19.99 1.10 rw[127] -10.98 2.72 -10.96 -15.78 -6.95 20.19 1.09 rw[128] -11.09 2.71 -11.04 -15.61 -6.88 19.68 1.09 rw[129] -11.21 2.76 -11.08 -15.54 -6.58 19.43 1.09 rw[130] -11.31 2.77 -11.23 -15.51 -6.58 18.98 1.10 rw[131] -11.40 2.76 -11.38 -15.42 -6.51 18.75 1.09 rw[132] -11.49 2.73 -11.49 -15.98 -7.39 19.27 1.08 rw[133] -11.66 2.74 -11.63 -16.27 -7.49 19.66 1.08 rw[134] -11.74 2.76 -11.71 -16.78 -7.61 20.22 1.08 rw[135] -11.86 2.77 -11.81 -17.01 -7.73 20.56 1.07 rw[136] -12.02 2.74 -11.99 -16.69 -7.55 21.09 1.06 rw[137] -12.12 2.77 -12.12 -16.62 -7.47 22.02 1.06 rw[138] -12.24 2.78 -12.25 -17.23 -8.03 23.01 1.05 rw[139] -12.38 2.75 -12.42 -16.37 -7.31 23.98 1.05 rw[140] -12.46 2.76 -12.44 -17.03 -8.11 22.61 1.05 rw[141] -12.55 2.81 -12.52 -17.14 -7.87 23.21 1.05 rw[142] -12.67 2.78 -12.69 -17.27 -8.13 23.20 1.06 rw[143] -12.80 2.78 -12.78 -17.32 -8.21 23.12 1.06 rw[144] -12.88 2.80 -12.77 -17.21 -8.17 21.81 1.06 rw[145] -12.97 2.78 -12.91 -17.37 -8.38 20.34 1.07 rw[146] -13.06 2.70 -13.00 -17.34 -8.70 20.46 1.08 rw[147] -13.15 2.71 -13.11 -18.03 -9.14 20.74 1.08 rw[148] -13.27 2.67 -13.16 -17.37 -8.80 18.52 1.10 rw[149] -13.41 2.61 -13.40 -17.70 -9.13 17.02 1.10 rw[150] -13.48 2.48 -13.39 -17.45 -9.59 15.56 1.10 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1376.31 1.00 Number of divergences: 0