mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.62 0.64 0.41 0.00 1.40 1435.05 1.00 E0 9.89 10.08 6.86 0.08 21.83 127.57 1.00 H0 1.31 1.30 0.96 0.00 2.99 1213.43 1.00 I0 4.15 4.50 2.63 0.00 10.12 95.31 1.01 beta0 2.18 0.59 2.07 1.35 3.12 16.38 1.02 confirmed_dispersion 0.61 0.07 0.62 0.49 0.73 1132.35 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1618.16 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 865.29 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.02 0.08 0.05 0.10 700.46 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 1422.54 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 954.68 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.52 1415.83 1.00 rw[0] -0.01 0.92 0.03 -1.42 1.55 245.03 1.00 rw[1] 0.08 1.31 0.13 -1.90 2.25 84.11 1.01 rw[2] 0.13 1.61 0.15 -2.43 2.77 65.02 1.01 rw[3] 0.27 1.79 0.27 -2.81 3.00 50.53 1.02 rw[4] 0.39 2.00 0.44 -2.74 3.63 43.83 1.02 rw[5] 0.42 2.15 0.49 -2.97 3.92 38.50 1.02 rw[6] 0.49 2.29 0.59 -3.40 3.96 32.63 1.02 rw[7] 0.48 2.42 0.55 -3.69 4.06 30.51 1.02 rw[8] 0.34 2.56 0.50 -3.77 4.42 27.40 1.03 rw[9] 0.08 2.67 0.21 -4.41 4.15 25.69 1.03 rw[10] -0.28 2.73 -0.09 -4.36 4.33 23.54 1.03 rw[11] -0.78 2.81 -0.74 -5.22 3.77 22.75 1.02 rw[12] -1.41 2.87 -1.30 -5.79 3.50 21.79 1.02 rw[13] -2.14 2.94 -2.10 -7.00 2.35 20.81 1.02 rw[14] -2.96 2.97 -2.78 -7.48 1.69 20.29 1.02 rw[15] -3.82 2.96 -3.67 -8.17 1.04 18.83 1.03 rw[16] -4.65 2.94 -4.54 -9.43 -0.18 19.24 1.02 rw[17] -5.46 3.01 -5.27 -10.47 -0.85 19.95 1.03 rw[18] -6.28 3.01 -6.16 -10.87 -1.19 18.58 1.02 rw[19] -7.09 2.96 -6.99 -12.07 -2.43 17.66 1.02 rw[20] -7.90 3.01 -7.88 -12.91 -3.20 17.63 1.02 rw[21] -8.70 3.03 -8.54 -13.45 -3.64 18.02 1.02 rw[22] -9.58 3.03 -9.52 -14.71 -4.94 18.32 1.02 rw[23] -10.41 3.03 -10.24 -15.60 -5.89 18.67 1.02 rw[24] -11.23 3.04 -11.11 -16.29 -6.60 18.78 1.02 rw[25] -11.98 3.03 -11.87 -16.65 -6.98 19.12 1.02 rw[26] -12.63 3.02 -12.59 -17.27 -7.59 19.23 1.02 rw[27] -13.22 2.97 -13.08 -18.18 -8.74 19.72 1.02 rw[28] -13.78 2.97 -13.67 -18.90 -9.25 20.38 1.02 rw[29] -14.14 2.92 -14.07 -18.94 -9.47 19.97 1.03 rw[30] -14.42 2.91 -14.20 -19.16 -9.84 20.49 1.03 rw[31] -14.63 2.95 -14.47 -19.37 -9.81 20.76 1.02 rw[32] -14.77 2.98 -14.60 -19.75 -10.38 21.16 1.02 rw[33] -14.89 2.93 -14.72 -19.94 -10.61 19.86 1.02 rw[34] -14.91 2.94 -14.80 -19.70 -10.37 20.17 1.03 rw[35] -14.91 2.94 -14.70 -19.81 -10.54 20.37 1.03 rw[36] -14.88 2.95 -14.61 -19.63 -10.17 20.70 1.03 rw[37] -14.86 2.96 -14.67 -19.48 -10.25 21.38 1.03 rw[38] -14.85 2.97 -14.71 -19.79 -10.49 21.61 1.02 rw[39] -14.88 2.98 -14.67 -19.22 -9.91 21.50 1.02 rw[40] -14.85 2.97 -14.81 -19.46 -10.02 20.22 1.03 rw[41] -14.82 2.97 -14.69 -19.15 -9.64 18.71 1.02 rw[42] -14.80 2.95 -14.69 -19.75 -10.25 19.10 1.02 rw[43] -14.87 2.97 -14.70 -19.97 -10.44 20.53 1.02 rw[44] -14.88 3.03 -14.80 -19.86 -9.96 19.63 1.02 rw[45] -14.94 3.01 -14.84 -20.05 -10.16 20.48 1.01 rw[46] -14.98 3.04 -14.92 -19.51 -9.73 20.20 1.01 rw[47] -15.08 2.99 -15.04 -19.56 -9.82 21.13 1.01 rw[48] -15.13 3.02 -15.12 -19.75 -9.99 22.02 1.01 rw[49] -15.21 3.01 -15.19 -20.37 -10.62 22.00 1.02 rw[50] -15.29 3.04 -15.29 -19.79 -10.05 21.48 1.02 rw[51] -15.39 3.06 -15.28 -20.33 -10.47 21.79 1.02 rw[52] -15.49 3.06 -15.38 -20.79 -10.86 21.95 1.01 rw[53] -15.61 3.11 -15.43 -20.96 -11.04 21.35 1.02 rw[54] -15.71 3.08 -15.47 -21.07 -11.17 21.70 1.02 rw[55] -15.85 3.08 -15.72 -21.38 -11.56 21.27 1.02 rw[56] -15.96 3.03 -15.85 -21.24 -11.35 21.88 1.02 rw[57] -16.12 3.06 -15.87 -21.30 -11.39 22.26 1.02 rw[58] -16.24 3.04 -16.15 -20.80 -11.04 20.14 1.03 rw[59] -16.37 3.06 -16.26 -20.79 -10.91 20.54 1.03 rw[60] -16.45 3.07 -16.35 -21.38 -11.54 20.74 1.03 rw[61] -16.57 3.09 -16.42 -21.49 -11.69 20.61 1.03 rw[62] -16.61 3.07 -16.45 -21.58 -11.66 21.47 1.03 rw[63] -16.75 3.09 -16.59 -21.93 -12.20 20.85 1.03 rw[64] -16.83 3.07 -16.60 -21.50 -11.67 20.75 1.03 rw[65] -16.91 3.09 -16.75 -21.86 -11.95 20.60 1.03 rw[66] -16.96 3.07 -16.93 -22.43 -12.50 20.78 1.03 rw[67] -16.92 3.01 -16.89 -21.88 -12.22 21.29 1.04 rw[68] -16.95 3.02 -16.78 -21.85 -12.05 20.87 1.03 rw[69] -16.88 3.04 -16.75 -21.77 -11.80 20.76 1.03 rw[70] -16.82 3.06 -16.69 -21.85 -11.85 20.86 1.03 rw[71] -16.78 3.04 -16.53 -22.01 -11.95 21.26 1.02 rw[72] -16.70 3.04 -16.46 -21.72 -12.15 22.05 1.02 rw[73] -16.56 3.03 -16.46 -21.15 -11.48 21.72 1.02 rw[74] -16.48 3.03 -16.42 -21.44 -11.94 21.85 1.02 rw[75] -16.31 3.00 -16.25 -21.39 -11.60 21.83 1.01 rw[76] -16.18 3.04 -16.15 -20.48 -10.49 21.93 1.01 rw[77] -16.02 3.01 -15.89 -20.77 -11.10 21.47 1.01 rw[78] -15.82 3.02 -15.73 -21.18 -11.44 21.76 1.01 rw[79] -15.64 2.97 -15.65 -20.79 -11.21 21.13 1.01 rw[80] -15.53 2.98 -15.32 -20.20 -10.69 20.77 1.01 rw[81] -15.41 3.02 -15.25 -20.27 -10.65 21.53 1.02 rw[82] -15.35 3.05 -15.22 -20.67 -10.83 21.20 1.02 rw[83] -15.25 3.02 -15.15 -20.01 -10.41 21.20 1.01 rw[84] -15.27 3.01 -15.20 -20.32 -10.55 21.12 1.01 rw[85] -15.33 2.97 -15.29 -20.34 -10.79 21.90 1.01 rw[86] -15.33 2.97 -15.15 -20.37 -10.56 22.14 1.01 rw[87] -15.40 2.99 -15.16 -20.50 -10.85 21.60 1.02 rw[88] -15.46 3.03 -15.36 -21.07 -11.23 21.90 1.02 rw[89] -15.54 3.06 -15.38 -21.12 -11.06 21.92 1.02 rw[90] -15.61 3.03 -15.34 -21.25 -11.19 21.61 1.02 rw[91] -15.70 3.06 -15.45 -21.10 -11.13 22.48 1.03 rw[92] -15.77 3.02 -15.57 -20.87 -11.07 22.01 1.03 rw[93] -15.78 2.97 -15.76 -20.74 -11.25 21.94 1.02 rw[94] -15.84 2.96 -15.72 -20.72 -11.23 22.41 1.02 rw[95] -15.88 2.99 -15.70 -20.38 -10.68 22.22 1.02 rw[96] -15.95 2.96 -15.87 -20.37 -10.88 22.79 1.02 rw[97] -16.01 3.00 -15.82 -20.97 -11.29 22.72 1.02 rw[98] -15.98 3.04 -15.82 -21.26 -11.41 22.45 1.02 rw[99] -15.91 3.04 -15.70 -20.60 -10.95 21.58 1.03 rw[100] -15.91 3.05 -15.78 -20.78 -10.84 20.57 1.03 rw[101] -15.90 3.05 -15.82 -20.81 -10.95 20.35 1.03 rw[102] -15.82 3.06 -15.75 -20.87 -10.91 20.85 1.03 rw[103] -15.75 3.05 -15.64 -20.31 -10.51 20.46 1.02 rw[104] -15.60 3.00 -15.50 -20.10 -10.45 20.15 1.02 rw[105] -15.45 2.99 -15.32 -20.35 -10.44 20.53 1.02 rw[106] -15.25 2.99 -15.16 -20.35 -10.59 20.87 1.02 rw[107] -15.05 3.00 -14.97 -19.93 -10.19 19.88 1.02 rw[108] -14.88 3.02 -14.81 -19.52 -9.74 19.60 1.02 rw[109] -14.64 3.03 -14.56 -19.53 -9.98 19.84 1.02 rw[110] -14.45 3.04 -14.35 -19.21 -9.46 19.65 1.02 rw[111] -14.31 3.03 -14.16 -18.98 -9.08 19.45 1.02 rw[112] -14.16 3.01 -13.99 -18.96 -9.24 19.47 1.02 rw[113] -14.01 2.98 -13.87 -19.03 -9.44 19.82 1.02 rw[114] -13.91 3.00 -13.78 -18.53 -8.84 19.77 1.02 rw[115] -13.78 2.97 -13.64 -18.51 -8.91 19.68 1.02 rw[116] -13.69 2.98 -13.43 -18.78 -9.22 19.96 1.02 rw[117] -13.62 2.97 -13.41 -18.32 -8.67 19.40 1.02 rw[118] -13.54 2.97 -13.34 -18.26 -8.81 19.66 1.01 rw[119] -13.49 2.96 -13.27 -18.41 -9.07 19.97 1.01 rw[120] -13.48 2.92 -13.29 -18.38 -9.11 20.09 1.01 rw[121] -13.46 2.91 -13.25 -18.45 -9.06 20.96 1.01 rw[122] -13.46 2.92 -13.27 -17.98 -8.81 21.43 1.01 rw[123] -13.39 2.96 -13.25 -17.91 -8.41 22.01 1.01 rw[124] -13.35 2.96 -13.21 -17.99 -8.34 21.95 1.02 rw[125] -13.34 2.95 -13.11 -17.91 -8.48 21.19 1.02 rw[126] -13.32 2.97 -13.05 -18.16 -8.92 20.82 1.02 rw[127] -13.28 2.95 -13.10 -18.26 -8.85 20.79 1.02 rw[128] -13.25 2.95 -13.08 -18.30 -8.76 20.82 1.02 rw[129] -13.26 2.95 -13.10 -18.55 -9.12 21.72 1.02 rw[130] -13.23 2.97 -13.14 -17.89 -8.35 22.04 1.02 rw[131] -13.24 2.96 -13.08 -18.18 -8.48 21.59 1.02 rw[132] -13.27 2.96 -13.11 -18.44 -8.75 20.77 1.03 rw[133] -13.28 2.95 -13.18 -18.14 -8.63 20.64 1.03 rw[134] -13.26 2.96 -13.18 -18.26 -8.80 20.40 1.03 rw[135] -13.27 2.96 -13.13 -18.58 -9.07 20.47 1.03 rw[136] -13.37 2.98 -13.20 -18.76 -9.20 19.99 1.03 rw[137] -13.41 2.98 -13.26 -18.63 -8.85 20.12 1.02 rw[138] -13.43 2.94 -13.25 -17.78 -8.27 19.71 1.02 rw[139] -13.47 2.97 -13.35 -18.01 -8.38 18.80 1.02 rw[140] -13.50 2.98 -13.43 -18.40 -8.91 19.67 1.02 rw[141] -13.54 2.96 -13.44 -18.62 -8.91 20.43 1.02 rw[142] -13.57 2.99 -13.49 -18.42 -8.68 20.49 1.02 rw[143] -13.61 2.97 -13.51 -18.37 -8.83 20.29 1.02 rw[144] -13.63 2.97 -13.55 -18.54 -8.93 19.60 1.02 rw[145] -13.69 2.96 -13.67 -18.33 -8.61 19.74 1.01 rw[146] -13.68 2.89 -13.60 -18.81 -9.40 19.04 1.02 rw[147] -13.71 2.86 -13.68 -18.62 -9.55 18.91 1.02 rw[148] -13.76 2.80 -13.67 -18.32 -9.35 19.24 1.02 rw[149] -13.80 2.72 -13.70 -18.42 -9.83 18.38 1.03 rw[150] -13.82 2.66 -13.72 -18.36 -9.89 17.05 1.03 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1502.61 1.00 Number of divergences: 0