mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.98 2.05 0.53 0.00 2.06 1161.49 1.00 E0 25.92 26.35 18.26 0.01 60.04 132.78 1.03 H0 1.77 1.68 1.28 0.00 3.92 1450.27 1.00 I0 9.74 10.91 6.02 0.01 23.60 191.10 1.01 beta0 2.09 0.58 1.99 1.23 3.02 32.44 1.07 confirmed_dispersion 0.90 0.08 0.89 0.76 1.03 1548.80 1.00 death_dispersion 0.44 0.04 0.44 0.38 0.50 2176.23 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 1065.19 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.07 752.84 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 1666.82 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1349.88 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.52 2328.33 1.00 rw[0] 0.01 0.93 0.01 -1.45 1.52 518.50 1.00 rw[1] 0.08 1.33 0.11 -1.93 2.27 184.55 1.00 rw[2] 0.16 1.55 0.19 -2.24 2.75 129.94 1.01 rw[3] 0.28 1.77 0.29 -2.87 3.01 86.68 1.02 rw[4] 0.43 2.00 0.44 -2.83 3.64 73.68 1.03 rw[5] 0.55 2.14 0.58 -2.89 4.15 67.12 1.03 rw[6] 0.55 2.22 0.63 -3.15 4.07 58.64 1.03 rw[7] 0.51 2.33 0.56 -3.32 4.15 51.57 1.04 rw[8] 0.44 2.47 0.54 -3.36 4.54 50.20 1.04 rw[9] 0.17 2.61 0.26 -4.05 4.23 47.58 1.04 rw[10] -0.11 2.70 -0.03 -4.71 4.13 43.83 1.04 rw[11] -0.54 2.82 -0.40 -5.02 4.08 41.67 1.05 rw[12] -1.02 2.90 -0.78 -5.81 3.55 41.26 1.04 rw[13] -1.63 2.96 -1.36 -6.47 3.21 40.63 1.04 rw[14] -2.36 3.03 -2.16 -7.35 2.60 39.82 1.05 rw[15] -3.14 3.06 -3.05 -7.98 2.06 38.74 1.06 rw[16] -4.05 3.06 -4.01 -8.95 0.69 37.78 1.06 rw[17] -5.00 3.07 -4.90 -10.17 -0.29 37.09 1.06 rw[18] -5.99 3.05 -6.00 -10.71 -0.90 36.55 1.06 rw[19] -6.97 3.08 -6.84 -11.61 -1.73 37.78 1.06 rw[20] -7.90 3.13 -7.91 -13.27 -3.13 36.86 1.06 rw[21] -8.87 3.13 -8.74 -13.66 -3.58 38.25 1.05 rw[22] -9.79 3.15 -9.72 -14.37 -3.98 39.14 1.05 rw[23] -10.70 3.14 -10.59 -15.77 -5.55 39.72 1.05 rw[24] -11.56 3.13 -11.52 -17.35 -7.22 37.43 1.05 rw[25] -12.34 3.16 -12.24 -17.42 -7.03 38.78 1.05 rw[26] -13.10 3.16 -12.89 -18.30 -8.19 40.85 1.05 rw[27] -13.81 3.13 -13.70 -19.28 -9.14 41.14 1.06 rw[28] -14.44 3.12 -14.22 -19.54 -9.33 43.31 1.05 rw[29] -15.04 3.11 -14.85 -20.14 -10.13 44.42 1.05 rw[30] -15.59 3.14 -15.44 -20.44 -10.23 46.63 1.05 rw[31] -16.13 3.15 -15.97 -21.25 -10.96 48.35 1.04 rw[32] -16.60 3.11 -16.39 -21.55 -11.41 50.49 1.04 rw[33] -17.06 3.15 -16.92 -22.03 -11.75 50.65 1.05 rw[34] -17.44 3.14 -17.25 -23.00 -12.79 50.02 1.05 rw[35] -17.77 3.19 -17.61 -22.79 -12.46 49.84 1.04 rw[36] -18.06 3.20 -17.88 -23.17 -12.90 47.38 1.05 rw[37] -18.25 3.24 -18.01 -23.18 -12.64 45.83 1.05 rw[38] -18.43 3.27 -18.14 -23.90 -13.26 47.65 1.05 rw[39] -18.60 3.21 -18.43 -23.69 -13.19 47.48 1.05 rw[40] -18.72 3.27 -18.57 -23.93 -13.24 46.92 1.05 rw[41] -18.81 3.24 -18.64 -23.90 -13.04 47.76 1.04 rw[42] -18.89 3.27 -18.69 -24.48 -13.58 47.54 1.04 rw[43] -18.90 3.24 -18.84 -24.31 -13.93 46.96 1.04 rw[44] -18.93 3.17 -18.92 -24.06 -13.63 47.38 1.05 rw[45] -18.86 3.18 -18.84 -24.34 -13.89 46.95 1.05 rw[46] -18.79 3.24 -18.80 -24.15 -13.40 46.73 1.05 rw[47] -18.74 3.25 -18.61 -24.61 -13.87 46.83 1.05 rw[48] -18.58 3.31 -18.50 -23.98 -13.07 46.50 1.05 rw[49] -18.43 3.32 -18.34 -24.31 -13.25 44.35 1.05 rw[50] -18.29 3.31 -18.28 -23.96 -13.12 42.00 1.05 rw[51] -18.12 3.28 -17.96 -23.41 -12.67 42.54 1.06 rw[52] -17.97 3.24 -17.84 -22.94 -12.49 43.90 1.05 rw[53] -17.81 3.22 -17.72 -22.80 -12.51 43.74 1.05 rw[54] -17.63 3.17 -17.56 -22.62 -12.39 43.61 1.06 rw[55] -17.42 3.17 -17.36 -22.39 -12.22 40.85 1.06 rw[56] -17.32 3.17 -17.26 -21.98 -11.71 40.45 1.06 rw[57] -17.07 3.15 -16.95 -21.65 -11.55 40.20 1.06 rw[58] -16.88 3.14 -16.78 -21.83 -11.89 40.06 1.06 rw[59] -16.68 3.14 -16.62 -21.48 -11.44 40.64 1.06 rw[60] -16.47 3.12 -16.38 -21.26 -11.07 41.13 1.07 rw[61] -16.28 3.12 -16.23 -21.18 -10.99 43.54 1.06 rw[62] -16.07 3.13 -16.04 -20.68 -10.75 45.15 1.05 rw[63] -15.86 3.16 -15.81 -20.53 -10.34 42.45 1.06 rw[64] -15.68 3.10 -15.58 -20.41 -10.37 42.97 1.06 rw[65] -15.50 3.19 -15.53 -20.81 -10.39 44.89 1.05 rw[66] -15.38 3.14 -15.25 -21.02 -10.83 45.75 1.05 rw[67] -15.26 3.18 -15.24 -20.68 -10.28 44.73 1.05 rw[68] -15.21 3.10 -15.11 -20.59 -10.35 45.55 1.04 rw[69] -15.08 3.09 -14.95 -20.12 -10.16 45.79 1.04 rw[70] -14.96 3.10 -14.89 -20.50 -10.33 46.18 1.03 rw[71] -14.88 3.11 -14.81 -20.29 -10.36 45.14 1.04 rw[72] -14.72 3.12 -14.64 -20.09 -9.87 45.03 1.04 rw[73] -14.61 3.14 -14.60 -19.17 -8.93 44.44 1.04 rw[74] -14.50 3.12 -14.43 -19.04 -8.99 45.92 1.04 rw[75] -14.45 3.15 -14.49 -19.22 -8.99 42.75 1.05 rw[76] -14.40 3.15 -14.38 -19.83 -9.45 41.84 1.05 rw[77] -14.32 3.14 -14.26 -18.80 -8.70 41.86 1.05 rw[78] -14.32 3.16 -14.37 -19.53 -9.49 42.02 1.05 rw[79] -14.29 3.18 -14.24 -19.36 -9.07 41.34 1.06 rw[80] -14.22 3.22 -14.07 -19.00 -8.67 40.95 1.05 rw[81] -14.17 3.24 -14.07 -18.95 -8.37 40.48 1.05 rw[82] -14.10 3.19 -13.96 -19.70 -9.36 40.40 1.05 rw[83] -14.05 3.18 -13.89 -18.90 -8.56 41.13 1.06 rw[84] -14.01 3.22 -13.99 -19.34 -8.89 40.57 1.06 rw[85] -13.99 3.18 -13.86 -19.12 -8.96 41.91 1.06 rw[86] -13.91 3.15 -13.81 -19.30 -9.03 43.27 1.06 rw[87] -13.85 3.16 -13.75 -19.24 -9.10 44.71 1.06 rw[88] -13.78 3.19 -13.64 -19.56 -9.13 44.74 1.05 rw[89] -13.69 3.13 -13.54 -19.14 -8.75 44.28 1.06 rw[90] -13.63 3.11 -13.49 -18.50 -8.47 43.93 1.05 rw[91] -13.52 3.16 -13.44 -19.08 -8.56 44.58 1.05 rw[92] -13.40 3.12 -13.22 -18.62 -8.36 43.30 1.06 rw[93] -13.35 3.13 -13.28 -18.12 -7.69 43.50 1.06 rw[94] -13.21 3.11 -13.02 -18.15 -8.06 44.11 1.05 rw[95] -13.08 3.16 -12.89 -18.55 -8.25 44.05 1.05 rw[96] -12.99 3.15 -12.83 -18.02 -7.70 43.06 1.05 rw[97] -12.92 3.11 -12.82 -18.52 -8.29 41.45 1.05 rw[98] -12.80 3.12 -12.63 -17.83 -7.73 42.71 1.05 rw[99] -12.71 3.11 -12.63 -17.47 -7.50 41.70 1.05 rw[100] -12.68 3.12 -12.55 -18.39 -8.27 41.36 1.05 rw[101] -12.61 3.10 -12.52 -17.17 -7.28 40.51 1.05 rw[102] -12.51 3.08 -12.34 -17.33 -7.09 39.37 1.05 rw[103] -12.36 3.11 -12.23 -17.71 -7.37 39.65 1.06 rw[104] -12.24 3.10 -12.22 -16.81 -6.77 38.55 1.06 rw[105] -12.15 3.11 -12.12 -17.00 -7.08 38.59 1.06 rw[106] -12.05 3.14 -12.10 -16.87 -6.59 39.64 1.06 rw[107] -11.95 3.12 -11.92 -17.03 -6.84 39.44 1.06 rw[108] -11.84 3.11 -11.76 -16.63 -6.50 39.03 1.06 rw[109] -11.67 3.03 -11.62 -16.39 -6.31 39.28 1.07 rw[110] -11.54 3.00 -11.50 -16.23 -6.47 40.38 1.06 rw[111] -11.45 2.99 -11.39 -16.59 -6.96 42.01 1.06 rw[112] -11.35 3.02 -11.27 -16.04 -6.26 41.49 1.06 rw[113] -11.28 2.98 -11.17 -16.19 -6.58 41.12 1.06 rw[114] -11.16 2.97 -11.04 -16.09 -6.60 40.34 1.06 rw[115] -11.07 2.97 -10.97 -15.81 -6.24 40.93 1.06 rw[116] -11.04 3.02 -10.92 -16.03 -6.18 40.37 1.06 rw[117] -10.98 3.05 -10.82 -15.58 -5.59 41.29 1.06 rw[118] -10.99 3.08 -10.81 -15.62 -5.33 41.15 1.05 rw[119] -11.02 3.07 -11.01 -15.85 -5.94 40.75 1.05 rw[120] -11.01 3.02 -10.97 -15.77 -6.02 41.06 1.04 rw[121] -10.96 2.99 -10.98 -15.28 -5.68 40.87 1.05 rw[122] -10.99 2.96 -11.03 -15.55 -6.18 41.21 1.05 rw[123] -11.03 2.98 -10.88 -16.19 -6.46 41.77 1.05 rw[124] -11.08 3.00 -10.91 -15.75 -6.29 40.20 1.05 rw[125] -11.17 2.97 -10.96 -16.02 -6.48 42.46 1.04 rw[126] -11.27 2.98 -11.25 -16.33 -6.47 42.19 1.05 rw[127] -11.37 2.97 -11.29 -16.38 -6.76 40.63 1.06 rw[128] -11.45 2.98 -11.37 -16.40 -6.84 40.09 1.05 rw[129] -11.56 2.99 -11.48 -16.53 -6.84 39.43 1.06 rw[130] -11.68 3.00 -11.44 -16.57 -6.91 39.88 1.05 rw[131] -11.83 3.02 -11.75 -16.75 -6.92 40.10 1.06 rw[132] -11.93 3.07 -11.81 -16.79 -6.85 38.79 1.05 rw[133] -12.09 3.05 -11.91 -16.79 -6.74 39.17 1.05 rw[134] -12.32 2.99 -12.20 -17.12 -7.40 38.19 1.05 rw[135] -12.52 3.02 -12.43 -17.05 -7.01 38.66 1.05 rw[136] -12.71 3.06 -12.57 -17.85 -7.79 39.64 1.05 rw[137] -12.94 3.06 -12.77 -18.17 -8.08 39.15 1.05 rw[138] -13.10 3.11 -13.01 -18.00 -7.99 39.32 1.05 rw[139] -13.28 3.12 -13.17 -18.05 -7.93 39.29 1.05 rw[140] -13.46 3.10 -13.47 -18.25 -8.14 40.58 1.05 rw[141] -13.63 3.09 -13.50 -18.55 -8.54 40.41 1.05 rw[142] -13.86 3.08 -13.86 -19.05 -8.83 42.98 1.04 rw[143] -14.00 3.12 -13.98 -19.60 -9.28 41.58 1.05 rw[144] -14.22 3.10 -14.17 -19.66 -9.45 40.91 1.05 rw[145] -14.35 3.08 -14.29 -20.08 -9.87 40.91 1.05 rw[146] -14.48 3.03 -14.34 -19.36 -9.40 40.01 1.06 rw[147] -14.57 2.95 -14.39 -20.15 -10.36 40.13 1.06 rw[148] -14.74 2.93 -14.55 -19.37 -9.83 38.62 1.07 rw[149] -14.86 2.86 -14.69 -20.08 -10.56 37.16 1.08 rw[150] -14.99 2.81 -14.83 -19.74 -10.57 35.85 1.07 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1305.79 1.00 Number of divergences: 0