mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.63 0.64 0.41 0.00 1.46 1253.31 1.00 E0 3.99 4.68 2.62 0.00 8.82 82.19 1.01 H0 0.96 0.89 0.71 0.00 2.10 1108.37 1.00 I0 1.88 2.59 1.07 0.00 4.47 75.57 1.01 beta0 2.25 0.77 2.07 1.20 3.65 12.52 1.02 confirmed_dispersion 0.62 0.07 0.62 0.51 0.75 975.17 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1363.31 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.02 983.77 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.07 0.12 766.04 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.40 1345.75 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.94 1181.63 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1262.27 1.00 rw[0] -0.03 0.99 -0.04 -1.67 1.55 202.01 1.01 rw[1] -0.01 1.36 0.05 -2.27 2.15 80.92 1.02 rw[2] 0.06 1.68 0.08 -2.59 2.79 48.12 1.03 rw[3] 0.15 1.95 0.20 -2.92 3.47 32.79 1.03 rw[4] 0.23 2.19 0.26 -3.42 3.86 26.92 1.03 rw[5] 0.37 2.43 0.50 -3.09 4.71 22.82 1.04 rw[6] 0.48 2.61 0.59 -3.78 4.73 20.35 1.04 rw[7] 0.53 2.81 0.75 -3.92 5.25 18.73 1.05 rw[8] 0.58 2.99 0.71 -4.18 5.36 18.26 1.05 rw[9] 0.58 3.16 0.92 -4.74 5.45 16.59 1.05 rw[10] 0.42 3.30 0.71 -4.67 5.92 15.53 1.05 rw[11] 0.19 3.42 0.45 -5.73 5.23 14.98 1.05 rw[12] -0.19 3.47 0.10 -5.51 5.55 14.65 1.05 rw[13] -0.65 3.55 -0.37 -6.31 5.23 14.43 1.04 rw[14] -1.23 3.67 -0.95 -7.17 4.55 14.33 1.04 rw[15] -1.92 3.71 -1.66 -7.94 4.00 13.68 1.04 rw[16] -2.66 3.75 -2.26 -8.47 3.44 13.39 1.05 rw[17] -3.57 3.74 -3.25 -9.71 2.24 13.25 1.05 rw[18] -4.64 3.67 -4.24 -11.04 0.88 13.66 1.05 rw[19] -5.89 3.66 -5.58 -11.98 -0.08 13.44 1.04 rw[20] -7.16 3.65 -6.83 -13.22 -1.22 13.37 1.04 rw[21] -8.51 3.61 -8.17 -14.54 -2.86 13.45 1.04 rw[22] -9.75 3.65 -9.53 -15.42 -3.70 13.66 1.04 rw[23] -11.02 3.62 -10.72 -16.83 -5.20 13.36 1.04 rw[24] -12.25 3.61 -12.01 -18.25 -6.69 13.38 1.04 rw[25] -13.44 3.62 -13.24 -20.14 -8.44 13.59 1.04 rw[26] -14.48 3.64 -14.29 -20.54 -8.89 13.24 1.04 rw[27] -15.41 3.62 -15.22 -21.47 -9.83 12.89 1.05 rw[28] -16.16 3.62 -15.83 -22.40 -10.91 13.04 1.04 rw[29] -16.77 3.63 -16.49 -22.79 -11.38 13.08 1.04 rw[30] -17.23 3.61 -16.91 -23.52 -12.01 13.33 1.04 rw[31] -17.59 3.64 -17.25 -23.66 -11.70 13.38 1.04 rw[32] -17.77 3.63 -17.40 -23.97 -12.52 13.68 1.04 rw[33] -17.92 3.62 -17.52 -24.35 -12.56 13.66 1.04 rw[34] -17.94 3.64 -17.63 -23.63 -11.78 13.72 1.04 rw[35] -17.90 3.68 -17.65 -24.53 -12.58 13.91 1.05 rw[36] -17.81 3.59 -17.61 -24.65 -12.95 13.69 1.04 rw[37] -17.66 3.64 -17.44 -23.61 -11.81 13.69 1.04 rw[38] -17.47 3.63 -17.22 -24.26 -12.35 13.72 1.04 rw[39] -17.20 3.63 -16.94 -23.26 -11.26 13.86 1.03 rw[40] -16.90 3.62 -16.61 -22.88 -11.20 13.80 1.04 rw[41] -16.64 3.61 -16.47 -23.27 -11.44 13.48 1.04 rw[42] -16.33 3.62 -16.22 -22.55 -10.80 12.94 1.04 rw[43] -15.98 3.60 -15.71 -22.62 -10.70 12.88 1.03 rw[44] -15.67 3.60 -15.41 -21.79 -10.23 13.14 1.03 rw[45] -15.44 3.63 -15.15 -21.48 -9.83 13.25 1.03 rw[46] -15.19 3.59 -14.84 -21.31 -9.48 13.35 1.03 rw[47] -14.95 3.63 -14.60 -21.19 -9.33 13.52 1.03 rw[48] -14.77 3.64 -14.45 -21.14 -9.29 13.50 1.03 rw[49] -14.62 3.63 -14.25 -21.06 -9.16 13.22 1.03 rw[50] -14.48 3.58 -14.04 -20.64 -8.93 13.46 1.03 rw[51] -14.45 3.60 -14.06 -20.60 -9.11 13.69 1.03 rw[52] -14.32 3.59 -13.99 -20.32 -8.85 13.71 1.03 rw[53] -14.22 3.60 -14.01 -20.66 -8.85 13.82 1.04 rw[54] -14.14 3.55 -13.90 -20.73 -9.19 13.82 1.04 rw[55] -14.01 3.59 -13.81 -20.34 -8.72 14.33 1.04 rw[56] -13.89 3.59 -13.66 -20.11 -8.52 14.78 1.04 rw[57] -13.83 3.61 -13.59 -19.78 -8.22 14.81 1.04 rw[58] -13.73 3.61 -13.58 -20.54 -8.55 14.66 1.05 rw[59] -13.67 3.59 -13.48 -20.26 -8.66 14.92 1.04 rw[60] -13.57 3.57 -13.26 -20.35 -8.71 14.41 1.04 rw[61] -13.45 3.59 -13.21 -19.47 -7.99 14.62 1.04 rw[62] -13.36 3.62 -13.03 -19.48 -7.79 14.68 1.04 rw[63] -13.31 3.60 -12.89 -19.35 -7.74 14.25 1.04 rw[64] -13.22 3.57 -12.87 -19.49 -7.93 13.90 1.04 rw[65] -13.22 3.57 -13.09 -19.09 -7.41 13.73 1.05 rw[66] -13.20 3.57 -12.97 -19.19 -7.69 13.88 1.04 rw[67] -13.13 3.66 -12.92 -19.14 -7.56 13.19 1.04 rw[68] -13.13 3.68 -12.75 -18.93 -7.20 13.11 1.04 rw[69] -13.22 3.70 -12.92 -19.12 -7.13 13.19 1.04 rw[70] -13.33 3.65 -13.16 -18.62 -6.67 13.20 1.04 rw[71] -13.58 3.63 -13.31 -19.40 -7.65 13.86 1.04 rw[72] -13.84 3.64 -13.60 -20.56 -8.66 13.80 1.04 rw[73] -14.14 3.67 -13.70 -20.40 -8.62 13.63 1.04 rw[74] -14.53 3.62 -14.15 -21.23 -9.33 13.26 1.03 rw[75] -14.96 3.64 -14.60 -21.79 -9.93 13.43 1.04 rw[76] -15.33 3.61 -14.88 -21.55 -9.62 13.20 1.04 rw[77] -15.75 3.62 -15.32 -21.98 -10.26 13.39 1.04 rw[78] -16.15 3.63 -15.83 -22.28 -10.44 13.86 1.04 rw[79] -16.58 3.64 -16.18 -23.04 -11.14 14.06 1.04 rw[80] -16.93 3.59 -16.76 -22.97 -11.23 14.41 1.04 rw[81] -17.19 3.60 -16.83 -23.27 -11.43 14.19 1.04 rw[82] -17.38 3.58 -17.11 -23.57 -11.89 14.43 1.04 rw[83] -17.53 3.60 -17.28 -23.43 -11.76 14.55 1.04 rw[84] -17.65 3.63 -17.41 -23.97 -12.13 14.24 1.04 rw[85] -17.67 3.63 -17.55 -23.46 -11.63 14.46 1.04 rw[86] -17.75 3.61 -17.58 -23.56 -11.85 14.80 1.03 rw[87] -17.79 3.60 -17.61 -24.26 -12.45 13.82 1.03 rw[88] -17.73 3.61 -17.50 -23.86 -11.99 14.09 1.03 rw[89] -17.67 3.61 -17.38 -23.65 -12.10 14.05 1.03 rw[90] -17.58 3.61 -17.19 -23.97 -12.24 13.92 1.03 rw[91] -17.50 3.62 -17.32 -23.24 -11.50 13.97 1.03 rw[92] -17.38 3.60 -17.16 -23.23 -11.53 13.86 1.04 rw[93] -17.31 3.58 -17.20 -22.99 -11.43 13.85 1.04 rw[94] -17.16 3.57 -16.96 -23.15 -11.73 13.88 1.04 rw[95] -17.07 3.55 -16.84 -22.86 -11.51 13.75 1.04 rw[96] -16.93 3.53 -16.58 -22.65 -11.41 13.66 1.04 rw[97] -16.81 3.55 -16.58 -22.66 -11.48 13.80 1.04 rw[98] -16.67 3.56 -16.35 -22.32 -10.79 13.40 1.05 rw[99] -16.48 3.63 -16.22 -22.65 -11.08 13.53 1.04 rw[100] -16.32 3.62 -16.02 -22.77 -11.04 13.31 1.04 rw[101] -16.21 3.64 -15.98 -22.21 -10.29 14.09 1.04 rw[102] -16.02 3.65 -15.86 -22.08 -10.42 13.90 1.04 rw[103] -15.78 3.66 -15.62 -22.14 -10.06 14.03 1.04 rw[104] -15.55 3.66 -15.25 -21.43 -9.49 14.48 1.04 rw[105] -15.34 3.65 -15.08 -21.58 -9.73 14.21 1.04 rw[106] -15.16 3.68 -15.02 -21.59 -9.71 14.18 1.04 rw[107] -14.91 3.69 -14.80 -21.69 -9.79 14.32 1.04 rw[108] -14.66 3.69 -14.51 -21.17 -9.29 14.04 1.04 rw[109] -14.41 3.64 -14.15 -20.93 -9.38 13.77 1.04 rw[110] -14.16 3.62 -13.85 -20.30 -8.72 13.39 1.04 rw[111] -13.88 3.60 -13.53 -19.55 -7.99 13.49 1.04 rw[112] -13.60 3.59 -13.33 -19.80 -8.27 13.90 1.04 rw[113] -13.38 3.58 -12.96 -19.30 -7.77 13.75 1.04 rw[114] -13.11 3.55 -12.72 -19.38 -7.87 13.66 1.03 rw[115] -12.86 3.57 -12.48 -19.22 -7.64 13.43 1.03 rw[116] -12.53 3.59 -12.18 -18.55 -6.93 13.43 1.03 rw[117] -12.32 3.55 -11.99 -19.02 -7.10 13.13 1.03 rw[118] -12.08 3.53 -11.74 -17.84 -6.55 13.17 1.04 rw[119] -11.82 3.53 -11.51 -17.81 -6.48 13.17 1.03 rw[120] -11.63 3.49 -11.23 -17.62 -6.35 13.27 1.04 rw[121] -11.47 3.46 -11.15 -17.28 -6.01 13.37 1.04 rw[122] -11.30 3.48 -10.91 -17.20 -6.03 13.44 1.04 rw[123] -11.20 3.54 -10.92 -17.08 -5.68 13.57 1.04 rw[124] -11.13 3.51 -10.87 -17.15 -5.88 13.32 1.04 rw[125] -11.09 3.52 -10.77 -17.13 -5.81 13.47 1.04 rw[126] -11.10 3.52 -10.77 -17.38 -5.90 13.60 1.04 rw[127] -11.18 3.54 -10.90 -16.99 -5.37 13.70 1.04 rw[128] -11.35 3.56 -11.04 -16.95 -5.33 13.97 1.04 rw[129] -11.53 3.60 -11.21 -17.19 -5.46 13.14 1.04 rw[130] -11.71 3.61 -11.31 -18.46 -6.65 13.27 1.04 rw[131] -12.03 3.60 -11.84 -18.41 -6.65 13.37 1.04 rw[132] -12.36 3.59 -12.14 -18.30 -6.71 13.50 1.04 rw[133] -12.68 3.58 -12.48 -18.72 -7.20 13.44 1.04 rw[134] -13.03 3.57 -12.88 -18.55 -6.85 13.27 1.04 rw[135] -13.38 3.58 -13.17 -19.24 -7.59 13.23 1.04 rw[136] -13.69 3.57 -13.40 -19.80 -8.29 13.73 1.05 rw[137] -14.02 3.57 -13.72 -20.46 -8.73 13.09 1.04 rw[138] -14.34 3.58 -14.01 -20.50 -8.78 13.33 1.05 rw[139] -14.57 3.57 -14.32 -21.22 -9.47 13.36 1.05 rw[140] -14.84 3.58 -14.63 -21.04 -9.40 13.64 1.04 rw[141] -15.07 3.60 -14.86 -21.17 -9.44 13.50 1.04 rw[142] -15.17 3.56 -14.91 -21.05 -9.80 13.88 1.03 rw[143] -15.23 3.61 -15.11 -21.22 -9.59 13.43 1.04 rw[144] -15.32 3.59 -15.08 -21.43 -9.76 13.12 1.04 rw[145] -15.32 3.60 -15.04 -20.86 -8.86 13.39 1.03 rw[146] -15.25 3.57 -14.97 -21.44 -9.81 13.39 1.03 rw[147] -15.22 3.50 -14.82 -20.79 -9.43 13.35 1.04 rw[148] -15.14 3.43 -14.75 -20.86 -9.78 12.89 1.04 rw[149] -14.99 3.42 -14.68 -21.30 -10.20 12.52 1.04 rw[150] -14.80 3.35 -14.48 -20.61 -9.77 12.19 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1134.42 1.00 Number of divergences: 0