mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.88 1.13 0.51 0.00 2.17 1262.64 1.00 E0 1.48 1.73 0.95 0.00 3.25 100.82 1.00 H0 1.04 1.04 0.71 0.00 2.38 1187.98 1.00 I0 0.77 1.15 0.40 0.00 1.75 100.74 1.01 beta0 1.87 0.56 1.81 0.99 2.69 19.99 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.47 0.07 0.47 0.36 0.59 906.59 1.00 death_dispersion 0.34 0.03 0.34 0.29 0.39 873.85 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.05 839.68 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.10 736.37 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.40 690.33 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.91 0.86 0.95 702.35 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 919.09 1.00 rw[0] -0.12 1.01 -0.15 -1.62 1.65 184.07 1.02 rw[1] -0.19 1.38 -0.21 -2.53 2.04 115.32 1.04 rw[2] -0.15 1.64 -0.20 -2.72 2.57 74.88 1.05 rw[3] -0.08 1.92 -0.06 -3.29 2.84 60.36 1.05 rw[4] 0.05 2.14 -0.02 -3.31 3.66 50.48 1.05 rw[5] 0.20 2.28 0.13 -3.68 3.78 42.97 1.05 rw[6] 0.32 2.44 0.27 -3.46 4.51 35.21 1.05 rw[7] 0.45 2.55 0.38 -3.59 4.56 31.81 1.06 rw[8] 0.58 2.70 0.43 -3.59 5.06 29.02 1.05 rw[9] 0.62 2.79 0.55 -3.68 5.26 27.64 1.05 rw[10] 0.64 2.91 0.56 -4.25 5.06 26.60 1.05 rw[11] 0.59 2.98 0.51 -3.96 5.66 24.94 1.05 rw[12] 0.48 3.04 0.41 -4.66 4.98 24.38 1.05 rw[13] 0.26 3.13 0.21 -4.81 5.19 23.68 1.05 rw[14] -0.07 3.20 -0.18 -5.44 5.11 23.94 1.05 rw[15] -0.56 3.21 -0.61 -5.90 4.55 23.29 1.05 rw[16] -1.13 3.31 -1.24 -6.76 4.09 22.80 1.05 rw[17] -1.79 3.37 -1.81 -7.07 4.08 22.32 1.05 rw[18] -2.55 3.42 -2.67 -7.79 3.43 22.52 1.06 rw[19] -3.43 3.41 -3.47 -9.53 1.68 21.98 1.06 rw[20] -4.32 3.40 -4.48 -10.19 0.87 23.00 1.05 rw[21] -5.17 3.41 -5.35 -11.00 0.18 22.45 1.06 rw[22] -6.02 3.40 -6.00 -11.00 0.02 22.63 1.06 rw[23] -6.81 3.41 -6.81 -12.23 -1.46 22.97 1.05 rw[24] -7.59 3.39 -7.73 -12.93 -2.16 23.74 1.05 rw[25] -8.29 3.43 -8.43 -13.44 -2.64 23.33 1.05 rw[26] -8.98 3.46 -9.05 -15.07 -4.06 23.61 1.05 rw[27] -9.65 3.41 -9.65 -14.97 -4.11 24.33 1.05 rw[28] -10.19 3.44 -10.13 -15.68 -4.87 23.97 1.04 rw[29] -10.73 3.43 -10.69 -16.00 -5.12 23.46 1.05 rw[30] -11.15 3.44 -11.16 -16.90 -6.00 23.69 1.05 rw[31] -11.57 3.48 -11.65 -17.15 -6.19 23.15 1.04 rw[32] -11.86 3.47 -11.96 -17.15 -6.16 22.59 1.04 rw[33] -12.14 3.44 -12.28 -17.26 -6.45 22.73 1.04 rw[34] -12.26 3.43 -12.42 -17.65 -6.77 22.24 1.05 rw[35] -12.40 3.40 -12.49 -17.97 -7.33 22.49 1.05 rw[36] -12.47 3.40 -12.57 -17.94 -7.30 23.73 1.05 rw[37] -12.51 3.41 -12.70 -17.82 -7.15 23.29 1.05 rw[38] -12.52 3.39 -12.56 -17.42 -6.66 24.15 1.05 rw[39] -12.51 3.33 -12.55 -17.96 -7.31 23.83 1.06 rw[40] -12.46 3.38 -12.57 -18.26 -7.27 23.63 1.05 rw[41] -12.38 3.36 -12.34 -18.02 -7.03 24.54 1.05 rw[42] -12.29 3.34 -12.24 -17.99 -7.24 23.96 1.06 rw[43] -12.23 3.34 -12.34 -17.58 -7.00 23.22 1.06 rw[44] -12.11 3.38 -12.14 -17.88 -7.04 23.55 1.06 rw[45] -12.03 3.43 -12.14 -17.45 -6.60 23.10 1.06 rw[46] -11.91 3.45 -12.02 -16.91 -6.13 22.90 1.05 rw[47] -11.89 3.44 -11.99 -17.81 -6.72 23.78 1.05 rw[48] -11.81 3.42 -11.97 -17.06 -6.20 22.89 1.05 rw[49] -11.75 3.42 -11.89 -17.48 -6.65 22.78 1.05 rw[50] -11.68 3.41 -11.83 -17.66 -6.58 22.59 1.05 rw[51] -11.71 3.38 -11.87 -16.83 -6.30 22.75 1.05 rw[52] -11.75 3.42 -11.94 -17.38 -6.30 22.97 1.05 rw[53] -11.81 3.39 -11.99 -17.39 -6.33 22.76 1.05 rw[54] -11.90 3.41 -12.04 -17.04 -6.24 22.45 1.06 rw[55] -12.03 3.42 -12.16 -17.28 -6.40 22.54 1.06 rw[56] -12.20 3.40 -12.19 -17.94 -7.13 22.84 1.06 rw[57] -12.39 3.41 -12.50 -17.87 -7.12 22.46 1.06 rw[58] -12.49 3.36 -12.57 -18.34 -7.58 21.84 1.06 rw[59] -12.70 3.33 -12.71 -17.76 -7.55 22.11 1.06 rw[60] -12.86 3.34 -12.91 -18.11 -7.59 22.46 1.05 rw[61] -13.00 3.31 -13.04 -18.16 -7.75 22.52 1.05 rw[62] -13.10 3.26 -13.07 -18.84 -8.62 23.59 1.05 rw[63] -13.22 3.27 -13.19 -18.57 -8.27 24.01 1.05 rw[64] -13.29 3.34 -13.35 -18.43 -7.73 24.18 1.04 rw[65] -13.38 3.36 -13.39 -19.11 -8.32 25.18 1.04 rw[66] -13.46 3.36 -13.56 -19.18 -8.52 25.57 1.04 rw[67] -13.56 3.41 -13.68 -18.64 -7.76 27.11 1.04 rw[68] -13.56 3.44 -13.79 -19.82 -8.66 27.75 1.04 rw[69] -13.61 3.42 -13.80 -18.91 -8.14 25.95 1.05 rw[70] -13.61 3.38 -13.63 -19.12 -8.36 25.61 1.04 rw[71] -13.65 3.40 -13.77 -19.24 -8.63 25.58 1.05 rw[72] -13.67 3.40 -13.84 -18.58 -7.76 25.21 1.05 rw[73] -13.70 3.42 -13.79 -19.39 -8.33 25.55 1.06 rw[74] -13.75 3.39 -13.82 -19.00 -8.18 25.58 1.06 rw[75] -13.78 3.41 -13.93 -19.03 -8.20 24.88 1.06 rw[76] -13.79 3.45 -13.85 -19.16 -8.05 25.79 1.05 rw[77] -13.86 3.46 -13.88 -19.11 -7.89 24.60 1.05 rw[78] -13.86 3.41 -13.94 -18.95 -7.92 24.15 1.06 rw[79] -13.91 3.41 -14.06 -19.70 -8.59 24.68 1.06 rw[80] -13.93 3.36 -14.01 -19.22 -8.56 23.28 1.06 rw[81] -13.94 3.35 -14.15 -19.52 -8.64 23.95 1.06 rw[82] -13.97 3.36 -14.10 -19.37 -8.45 23.45 1.05 rw[83] -13.98 3.38 -14.14 -19.16 -8.49 23.71 1.05 rw[84] -13.98 3.40 -14.19 -19.09 -8.32 23.76 1.05 rw[85] -13.99 3.40 -14.17 -19.15 -8.30 23.32 1.06 rw[86] -13.98 3.43 -14.16 -19.59 -8.85 22.66 1.06 rw[87] -13.91 3.43 -14.07 -19.54 -8.67 22.87 1.05 rw[88] -13.85 3.41 -14.07 -19.25 -8.29 22.94 1.05 rw[89] -13.80 3.42 -13.94 -19.27 -8.38 23.07 1.06 rw[90] -13.63 3.45 -13.70 -19.01 -7.82 23.07 1.05 rw[91] -13.50 3.45 -13.55 -19.17 -8.38 23.53 1.05 rw[92] -13.35 3.43 -13.45 -18.71 -7.78 23.81 1.05 rw[93] -13.15 3.38 -13.25 -18.17 -7.43 24.14 1.05 rw[94] -12.97 3.42 -13.05 -18.75 -8.07 23.23 1.05 rw[95] -12.77 3.41 -12.83 -19.06 -8.18 22.77 1.05 rw[96] -12.56 3.43 -12.63 -18.31 -7.50 23.27 1.05 rw[97] -12.34 3.43 -12.41 -17.44 -6.85 23.22 1.05 rw[98] -12.11 3.37 -12.13 -17.50 -6.87 23.37 1.05 rw[99] -11.94 3.32 -11.96 -17.12 -6.51 23.42 1.05 rw[100] -11.71 3.31 -11.67 -16.46 -6.01 23.55 1.05 rw[101] -11.54 3.31 -11.48 -16.95 -6.42 23.00 1.05 rw[102] -11.37 3.30 -11.32 -16.51 -5.86 23.32 1.05 rw[103] -11.16 3.28 -11.10 -16.91 -6.48 23.01 1.05 rw[104] -10.99 3.32 -11.00 -16.56 -5.79 24.26 1.05 rw[105] -10.76 3.32 -10.91 -16.51 -5.84 23.37 1.05 rw[106] -10.64 3.31 -10.63 -16.09 -5.19 23.73 1.05 rw[107] -10.48 3.30 -10.50 -16.23 -5.41 23.61 1.06 rw[108] -10.40 3.28 -10.47 -15.60 -5.05 24.71 1.05 rw[109] -10.44 3.32 -10.45 -15.75 -4.97 25.10 1.05 rw[110] -10.46 3.30 -10.51 -16.10 -5.48 24.85 1.05 rw[111] -10.51 3.28 -10.58 -15.98 -5.51 24.21 1.05 rw[112] -10.56 3.30 -10.68 -15.67 -5.17 23.45 1.05 rw[113] -10.68 3.30 -10.71 -16.13 -5.52 23.80 1.05 rw[114] -10.77 3.32 -10.83 -15.97 -5.63 23.34 1.05 rw[115] -10.82 3.27 -10.79 -16.26 -5.81 23.74 1.05 rw[116] -10.87 3.28 -10.97 -16.33 -6.11 23.67 1.05 rw[117] -10.93 3.25 -11.09 -16.67 -6.42 23.59 1.05 rw[118] -10.98 3.26 -11.05 -16.28 -5.91 23.01 1.05 rw[119] -11.04 3.28 -11.22 -15.93 -5.48 23.11 1.05 rw[120] -11.09 3.30 -11.30 -15.87 -5.55 21.81 1.05 rw[121] -11.17 3.28 -11.30 -16.06 -5.70 21.23 1.06 rw[122] -11.21 3.29 -11.36 -16.06 -5.47 21.85 1.06 rw[123] -11.27 3.30 -11.39 -16.91 -6.32 22.86 1.05 rw[124] -11.29 3.29 -11.36 -16.69 -6.06 22.33 1.05 rw[125] -11.26 3.26 -11.34 -16.60 -5.95 22.81 1.05 rw[126] -11.17 3.32 -11.16 -16.43 -5.69 23.06 1.05 rw[127] -11.11 3.28 -11.15 -15.70 -5.12 22.77 1.05 rw[128] -11.04 3.31 -10.92 -16.15 -5.60 22.53 1.05 rw[129] -10.99 3.30 -11.00 -16.59 -5.90 22.84 1.05 rw[130] -10.92 3.36 -10.99 -16.32 -5.52 22.73 1.05 rw[131] -10.87 3.35 -10.91 -16.38 -5.82 23.06 1.05 rw[132] -10.83 3.33 -10.88 -16.31 -5.88 23.23 1.05 rw[133] -10.85 3.34 -10.94 -16.28 -5.66 23.04 1.05 rw[134] -10.83 3.31 -10.86 -15.80 -5.35 22.84 1.05 rw[135] -10.96 3.35 -11.04 -15.70 -5.14 24.48 1.05 rw[136] -11.03 3.34 -11.09 -16.37 -5.62 24.01 1.05 rw[137] -11.18 3.35 -11.30 -16.86 -6.07 23.36 1.06 rw[138] -11.33 3.31 -11.42 -16.35 -5.57 22.60 1.06 rw[139] -11.54 3.34 -11.68 -16.96 -6.31 22.42 1.06 rw[140] -11.75 3.36 -11.92 -17.42 -6.60 22.40 1.06 rw[141] -11.97 3.36 -12.12 -17.16 -6.44 24.18 1.06 rw[142] -12.23 3.40 -12.30 -17.53 -6.57 23.24 1.06 rw[143] -12.45 3.37 -12.64 -17.48 -6.49 24.00 1.05 rw[144] -12.67 3.38 -12.80 -17.90 -6.96 23.86 1.05 rw[145] -12.88 3.36 -13.00 -18.12 -7.47 24.45 1.05 rw[146] -13.08 3.34 -13.27 -18.55 -7.68 23.27 1.05 rw[147] -13.25 3.36 -13.36 -18.64 -7.70 23.39 1.05 rw[148] -13.45 3.35 -13.45 -19.24 -8.35 22.97 1.05 rw[149] -13.55 3.33 -13.66 -18.93 -8.15 23.09 1.05 rw[150] -13.64 3.35 -13.93 -18.95 -8.19 21.73 1.05 rw[151] -13.64 3.32 -13.87 -19.64 -9.18 21.39 1.05 rw[152] -13.69 3.28 -13.84 -19.00 -8.82 21.57 1.05 rw[153] -13.70 3.24 -13.81 -18.78 -8.75 21.78 1.05 rw[154] -13.68 3.29 -13.88 -18.85 -8.39 21.49 1.06 rw[155] -13.65 3.22 -13.80 -18.73 -8.59 20.81 1.06 rw[156] -13.52 3.18 -13.68 -18.42 -8.28 20.98 1.06 rw[157] -13.45 3.07 -13.60 -18.70 -8.96 20.08 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1065.63 1.00 Number of divergences: 0