mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.83 1.08 0.49 0.00 2.03 919.92 1.00 E0 5.22 5.94 3.44 0.00 11.93 112.62 1.01 H0 1.26 1.30 0.86 0.00 2.82 1157.96 1.00 I0 5.35 4.24 4.16 0.49 10.59 58.17 1.02 beta0 1.73 0.48 1.69 1.01 2.49 13.97 1.04 confirmed_dispersion 0.43 0.07 0.43 0.32 0.54 707.62 1.00 death_dispersion 0.31 0.02 0.31 0.27 0.35 869.00 1.01 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 888.67 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.10 678.79 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.20 0.40 936.15 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 890.60 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 785.05 1.01 rw[0] -0.08 1.04 -0.04 -1.91 1.51 167.89 1.01 rw[1] 0.04 1.41 0.11 -2.37 2.08 75.39 1.01 rw[2] 0.25 1.72 0.24 -2.73 2.79 48.78 1.01 rw[3] 0.51 1.97 0.60 -2.77 3.72 34.24 1.02 rw[4] 0.81 2.21 0.89 -2.74 4.45 28.45 1.02 rw[5] 1.15 2.35 1.24 -3.05 4.56 24.86 1.02 rw[6] 1.48 2.51 1.56 -2.82 5.12 22.20 1.02 rw[7] 1.76 2.74 1.75 -2.49 6.13 20.11 1.02 rw[8] 2.00 2.86 1.91 -2.81 6.28 18.95 1.03 rw[9] 2.20 2.92 2.13 -2.23 7.11 18.75 1.03 rw[10] 2.26 3.06 2.05 -2.76 7.04 18.21 1.03 rw[11] 2.24 3.11 1.99 -2.84 6.87 17.94 1.04 rw[12] 2.10 3.13 1.91 -2.95 6.67 17.44 1.04 rw[13] 1.92 3.19 1.81 -3.21 6.80 16.82 1.05 rw[14] 1.57 3.25 1.48 -3.48 6.70 16.79 1.05 rw[15] 1.17 3.26 1.12 -4.33 6.07 16.67 1.05 rw[16] 0.71 3.25 0.68 -4.57 5.59 16.51 1.05 rw[17] 0.18 3.26 0.18 -5.79 4.61 16.23 1.06 rw[18] -0.46 3.23 -0.44 -5.81 4.43 16.36 1.05 rw[19] -1.10 3.22 -0.99 -5.78 4.32 16.44 1.05 rw[20] -1.80 3.22 -1.80 -6.63 3.63 16.80 1.04 rw[21] -2.59 3.21 -2.55 -7.81 2.27 17.09 1.04 rw[22] -3.42 3.22 -3.48 -8.21 1.97 16.72 1.04 rw[23] -4.24 3.21 -4.29 -9.47 0.79 16.94 1.04 rw[24] -5.09 3.18 -5.16 -10.97 -0.76 16.59 1.04 rw[25] -5.95 3.14 -6.08 -11.69 -1.50 16.93 1.03 rw[26] -6.77 3.11 -6.87 -11.97 -1.95 16.65 1.05 rw[27] -7.56 3.05 -7.62 -12.96 -3.07 17.42 1.04 rw[28] -8.24 3.02 -8.32 -13.22 -3.60 16.98 1.04 rw[29] -8.92 3.02 -8.85 -13.87 -4.29 17.04 1.04 rw[30] -9.56 3.01 -9.57 -14.60 -5.08 17.08 1.04 rw[31] -10.06 3.07 -10.14 -15.08 -5.35 17.41 1.04 rw[32] -10.58 3.14 -10.56 -15.63 -5.61 17.57 1.04 rw[33] -11.03 3.12 -11.05 -16.46 -6.58 17.87 1.05 rw[34] -11.43 3.18 -11.57 -16.61 -6.54 18.14 1.05 rw[35] -11.74 3.15 -11.99 -16.96 -7.04 18.37 1.05 rw[36] -11.98 3.16 -12.15 -17.21 -7.22 18.02 1.05 rw[37] -12.17 3.20 -12.32 -17.57 -7.38 17.65 1.05 rw[38] -12.30 3.19 -12.51 -17.27 -7.13 18.20 1.06 rw[39] -12.36 3.25 -12.47 -17.29 -7.02 18.27 1.05 rw[40] -12.44 3.23 -12.52 -18.00 -7.75 18.56 1.05 rw[41] -12.49 3.20 -12.60 -17.95 -7.72 17.90 1.05 rw[42] -12.45 3.23 -12.51 -17.68 -7.39 17.30 1.05 rw[43] -12.43 3.22 -12.55 -17.68 -7.66 17.97 1.05 rw[44] -12.38 3.23 -12.47 -17.97 -7.70 17.63 1.05 rw[45] -12.30 3.26 -12.40 -17.88 -7.55 17.27 1.05 rw[46] -12.18 3.29 -12.42 -17.45 -6.83 17.44 1.05 rw[47] -12.11 3.29 -12.29 -17.29 -6.86 17.92 1.04 rw[48] -12.02 3.31 -12.11 -17.26 -6.87 18.01 1.04 rw[49] -12.00 3.30 -12.15 -16.86 -6.34 18.40 1.05 rw[50] -11.91 3.27 -12.00 -17.05 -6.66 17.81 1.05 rw[51] -11.87 3.26 -11.83 -17.50 -7.13 17.81 1.04 rw[52] -11.82 3.30 -11.76 -16.95 -6.51 17.91 1.04 rw[53] -11.91 3.31 -12.04 -17.24 -6.76 17.53 1.04 rw[54] -11.92 3.29 -11.95 -16.91 -6.54 18.21 1.04 rw[55] -11.90 3.28 -11.89 -17.17 -6.72 18.17 1.04 rw[56] -11.98 3.25 -11.99 -17.32 -6.90 17.90 1.03 rw[57] -12.08 3.22 -12.20 -17.53 -7.37 17.80 1.04 rw[58] -12.15 3.18 -12.26 -17.47 -7.36 17.92 1.04 rw[59] -12.28 3.16 -12.34 -17.51 -7.36 17.99 1.04 rw[60] -12.37 3.10 -12.39 -17.25 -7.39 18.33 1.04 rw[61] -12.51 3.10 -12.57 -17.45 -7.59 18.52 1.05 rw[62] -12.61 3.10 -12.57 -18.11 -8.26 18.02 1.04 rw[63] -12.73 3.14 -12.73 -18.42 -8.49 17.89 1.04 rw[64] -12.90 3.14 -12.89 -18.04 -8.08 17.47 1.04 rw[65] -12.96 3.12 -12.98 -17.73 -7.76 17.74 1.04 rw[66] -13.11 3.15 -13.10 -18.44 -8.59 17.00 1.05 rw[67] -13.25 3.15 -13.22 -18.35 -8.43 16.91 1.04 rw[68] -13.35 3.18 -13.47 -18.34 -8.34 17.32 1.04 rw[69] -13.46 3.18 -13.49 -18.66 -8.57 17.94 1.05 rw[70] -13.55 3.14 -13.69 -18.37 -8.58 18.11 1.04 rw[71] -13.65 3.23 -13.73 -18.72 -8.54 17.53 1.04 rw[72] -13.75 3.23 -13.86 -18.38 -8.04 17.59 1.05 rw[73] -13.85 3.25 -14.05 -19.34 -9.12 18.24 1.04 rw[74] -13.97 3.29 -14.18 -18.95 -8.54 18.25 1.04 rw[75] -14.07 3.32 -14.27 -19.62 -9.18 18.09 1.04 rw[76] -14.18 3.32 -14.32 -19.28 -9.02 18.34 1.04 rw[77] -14.24 3.35 -14.25 -19.45 -9.10 18.97 1.05 rw[78] -14.36 3.33 -14.42 -19.63 -9.23 19.09 1.05 rw[79] -14.47 3.37 -14.64 -20.13 -9.53 18.96 1.04 rw[80] -14.60 3.34 -14.74 -20.22 -9.80 18.64 1.04 rw[81] -14.71 3.30 -14.66 -19.96 -9.51 19.21 1.04 rw[82] -14.77 3.29 -14.93 -20.05 -9.55 18.52 1.05 rw[83] -14.87 3.30 -15.09 -20.63 -10.00 18.16 1.05 rw[84] -14.91 3.28 -15.14 -20.29 -9.83 18.54 1.05 rw[85] -15.00 3.29 -15.27 -19.96 -9.43 19.33 1.05 rw[86] -15.05 3.31 -15.34 -20.27 -9.85 19.17 1.04 rw[87] -15.10 3.35 -15.28 -20.44 -10.06 19.54 1.04 rw[88] -15.15 3.33 -15.22 -20.84 -10.18 19.32 1.04 rw[89] -15.14 3.29 -15.27 -20.38 -10.00 19.10 1.04 rw[90] -15.08 3.28 -15.17 -20.53 -10.23 19.33 1.04 rw[91] -15.10 3.29 -15.23 -20.59 -10.12 18.87 1.04 rw[92] -15.07 3.30 -15.12 -20.52 -10.10 18.80 1.04 rw[93] -14.99 3.24 -15.14 -19.97 -9.75 18.91 1.04 rw[94] -14.91 3.23 -15.05 -20.43 -10.23 19.46 1.03 rw[95] -14.77 3.29 -14.82 -20.25 -9.92 19.29 1.04 rw[96] -14.68 3.28 -14.76 -19.80 -9.29 19.48 1.04 rw[97] -14.49 3.32 -14.59 -20.12 -9.27 19.66 1.04 rw[98] -14.32 3.25 -14.35 -19.49 -9.11 19.26 1.04 rw[99] -14.11 3.24 -14.18 -18.93 -8.84 19.55 1.03 rw[100] -13.93 3.21 -14.03 -18.81 -8.50 18.71 1.04 rw[101] -13.74 3.22 -13.84 -18.70 -8.49 18.39 1.04 rw[102] -13.54 3.25 -13.68 -18.63 -8.30 18.03 1.04 rw[103] -13.36 3.26 -13.47 -18.51 -8.05 18.33 1.04 rw[104] -13.16 3.27 -13.31 -18.54 -8.00 18.59 1.04 rw[105] -12.92 3.21 -13.06 -18.57 -8.19 17.96 1.04 rw[106] -12.75 3.30 -12.91 -17.89 -7.32 17.97 1.04 rw[107] -12.60 3.22 -12.63 -17.56 -7.31 18.12 1.05 rw[108] -12.47 3.16 -12.58 -17.52 -7.44 17.19 1.05 rw[109] -12.36 3.25 -12.41 -17.89 -7.39 17.26 1.05 rw[110] -12.18 3.28 -12.29 -17.84 -7.48 17.12 1.05 rw[111] -12.05 3.24 -12.16 -17.50 -7.13 17.28 1.05 rw[112] -12.04 3.28 -12.01 -18.01 -7.52 17.62 1.05 rw[113] -11.98 3.27 -12.04 -17.28 -7.00 17.00 1.05 rw[114] -12.04 3.24 -12.10 -17.74 -7.45 17.33 1.05 rw[115] -12.13 3.26 -12.15 -17.58 -7.16 17.65 1.05 rw[116] -12.23 3.26 -12.25 -17.45 -7.12 17.04 1.06 rw[117] -12.32 3.22 -12.38 -17.57 -7.29 17.08 1.05 rw[118] -12.39 3.22 -12.43 -17.69 -7.42 17.32 1.05 rw[119] -12.57 3.22 -12.70 -18.29 -7.85 17.24 1.05 rw[120] -12.78 3.19 -12.92 -18.00 -7.63 17.36 1.04 rw[121] -12.86 3.23 -12.97 -18.02 -7.52 17.89 1.05 rw[122] -12.93 3.23 -13.02 -18.01 -7.51 17.87 1.04 rw[123] -12.96 3.24 -12.99 -18.47 -8.14 17.67 1.05 rw[124] -12.97 3.25 -12.96 -18.72 -8.11 17.63 1.04 rw[125] -12.94 3.28 -12.98 -18.62 -7.86 17.71 1.04 rw[126] -12.87 3.28 -12.89 -17.80 -7.13 18.06 1.03 rw[127] -12.74 3.20 -12.84 -18.23 -7.77 18.07 1.04 rw[128] -12.61 3.27 -12.83 -17.92 -7.38 17.76 1.04 rw[129] -12.47 3.22 -12.58 -17.48 -7.22 17.99 1.04 rw[130] -12.26 3.21 -12.42 -17.43 -7.02 18.24 1.04 rw[131] -12.07 3.26 -12.17 -17.20 -6.71 17.96 1.04 rw[132] -11.88 3.19 -11.92 -16.66 -6.58 18.01 1.04 rw[133] -11.71 3.17 -11.76 -17.31 -6.98 18.12 1.04 rw[134] -11.56 3.15 -11.63 -16.52 -6.47 17.17 1.04 rw[135] -11.42 3.16 -11.50 -16.56 -6.50 17.29 1.04 rw[136] -11.28 3.18 -11.40 -16.16 -5.92 17.59 1.04 rw[137] -11.15 3.17 -11.35 -16.20 -5.90 17.71 1.04 rw[138] -11.05 3.17 -11.14 -16.32 -6.18 17.10 1.04 rw[139] -10.99 3.16 -10.99 -15.97 -6.03 16.64 1.04 rw[140] -10.92 3.12 -10.90 -15.54 -5.47 16.51 1.04 rw[141] -10.93 3.11 -10.91 -16.26 -6.51 16.47 1.04 rw[142] -10.91 3.12 -10.87 -16.41 -6.65 17.05 1.04 rw[143] -10.92 3.12 -10.97 -15.76 -6.00 17.45 1.04 rw[144] -10.90 3.12 -10.93 -15.47 -5.65 17.71 1.05 rw[145] -10.89 3.11 -10.99 -15.75 -6.14 17.10 1.05 rw[146] -10.93 3.13 -11.09 -16.24 -6.56 17.38 1.05 rw[147] -10.96 3.18 -11.09 -15.46 -5.43 16.99 1.05 rw[148] -10.99 3.20 -11.10 -16.19 -6.33 16.69 1.05 rw[149] -11.06 3.17 -11.16 -16.20 -6.11 17.13 1.04 rw[150] -11.16 3.15 -11.30 -16.01 -6.09 17.15 1.05 rw[151] -11.19 3.17 -11.37 -16.04 -6.27 17.42 1.04 rw[152] -11.26 3.16 -11.42 -16.56 -6.59 17.41 1.04 rw[153] -11.30 3.18 -11.45 -16.95 -6.89 17.50 1.04 rw[154] -11.31 3.19 -11.51 -16.54 -6.36 17.79 1.03 rw[155] -11.29 3.18 -11.49 -16.02 -6.06 17.78 1.04 rw[156] -11.27 3.17 -11.45 -15.97 -6.09 17.60 1.04 rw[157] -11.30 3.12 -11.47 -16.28 -6.42 17.70 1.04 rw[158] -11.26 3.11 -11.26 -16.44 -6.29 17.69 1.04 rw[159] -11.21 3.15 -11.34 -16.44 -6.47 17.67 1.04 rw[160] -11.15 3.13 -11.23 -15.86 -5.93 17.87 1.04 rw[161] -11.03 3.11 -11.14 -16.38 -6.42 16.95 1.05 rw[162] -10.93 3.03 -10.97 -16.06 -6.26 16.44 1.05 rw[163] -10.82 3.00 -10.89 -15.26 -5.61 15.36 1.05 rw[164] -10.71 2.88 -10.81 -15.58 -6.43 14.42 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 888.65 1.00 Number of divergences: 0