mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.64 0.71 0.39 0.00 1.58 1405.01 1.00 E0 11.85 12.83 7.80 0.02 27.65 97.59 1.02 H0 1.43 1.52 0.96 0.00 3.26 1178.04 1.00 I0 5.05 6.08 3.06 0.02 12.00 67.47 1.01 beta0 2.08 0.60 1.98 1.15 3.01 11.63 1.10 confirmed_dispersion 0.63 0.07 0.62 0.50 0.74 1110.61 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1825.00 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1712.27 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.05 0.10 835.03 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 1545.13 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1783.36 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.01 0.50 0.48 0.53 1709.92 1.00 rw[0] 0.06 1.00 0.04 -1.62 1.65 152.22 1.00 rw[1] 0.23 1.40 0.23 -1.98 2.70 85.43 1.00 rw[2] 0.41 1.71 0.46 -2.45 3.10 50.62 1.01 rw[3] 0.58 1.97 0.68 -2.87 3.54 35.81 1.01 rw[4] 0.74 2.14 0.82 -2.71 4.27 29.92 1.02 rw[5] 0.87 2.33 0.87 -3.41 4.34 26.20 1.02 rw[6] 0.96 2.48 1.00 -3.46 4.66 21.67 1.03 rw[7] 1.01 2.65 1.09 -3.24 5.32 18.82 1.04 rw[8] 0.83 2.78 0.87 -3.57 5.12 17.44 1.04 rw[9] 0.61 2.96 0.62 -4.01 5.48 17.28 1.04 rw[10] 0.24 3.04 0.27 -4.10 5.79 16.50 1.05 rw[11] -0.26 3.11 -0.21 -5.12 4.83 15.27 1.06 rw[12] -0.84 3.17 -0.84 -6.40 3.70 14.43 1.05 rw[13] -1.56 3.20 -1.48 -6.98 3.32 14.35 1.06 rw[14] -2.37 3.18 -2.45 -7.89 2.29 13.91 1.07 rw[15] -3.20 3.23 -3.19 -9.10 1.51 13.27 1.07 rw[16] -4.06 3.24 -3.98 -9.71 0.76 13.25 1.07 rw[17] -4.89 3.25 -4.84 -10.52 0.11 13.13 1.08 rw[18] -5.72 3.26 -5.78 -10.92 -0.14 13.14 1.08 rw[19] -6.56 3.28 -6.50 -12.25 -1.48 12.96 1.08 rw[20] -7.34 3.26 -7.26 -12.78 -2.19 13.45 1.08 rw[21] -8.21 3.29 -8.18 -13.61 -3.13 13.34 1.07 rw[22] -9.07 3.28 -9.04 -13.90 -3.44 13.19 1.08 rw[23] -9.89 3.25 -9.88 -15.28 -4.88 13.54 1.07 rw[24] -10.72 3.23 -10.72 -15.95 -5.74 13.72 1.06 rw[25] -11.49 3.20 -11.40 -16.87 -6.84 13.68 1.07 rw[26] -12.13 3.16 -12.08 -17.13 -7.18 13.71 1.07 rw[27] -12.72 3.17 -12.81 -17.94 -8.01 13.94 1.07 rw[28] -13.23 3.09 -13.23 -18.46 -8.54 13.45 1.07 rw[29] -13.67 3.10 -13.73 -18.76 -8.74 13.42 1.07 rw[30] -14.01 3.12 -13.99 -19.39 -9.47 13.88 1.06 rw[31] -14.20 3.10 -14.17 -19.38 -9.51 14.27 1.07 rw[32] -14.34 3.12 -14.38 -19.79 -9.49 14.17 1.07 rw[33] -14.43 3.16 -14.43 -19.40 -9.07 14.24 1.07 rw[34] -14.45 3.23 -14.41 -19.59 -9.12 13.95 1.07 rw[35] -14.41 3.23 -14.38 -19.52 -8.97 13.86 1.07 rw[36] -14.36 3.23 -14.51 -19.59 -9.21 14.37 1.06 rw[37] -14.32 3.20 -14.38 -19.18 -9.08 14.20 1.07 rw[38] -14.35 3.20 -14.38 -19.98 -9.68 13.95 1.07 rw[39] -14.35 3.18 -14.34 -19.02 -8.76 14.28 1.07 rw[40] -14.31 3.21 -14.28 -19.37 -9.08 13.98 1.06 rw[41] -14.26 3.23 -14.31 -19.65 -9.13 14.31 1.06 rw[42] -14.27 3.29 -14.25 -19.37 -8.82 14.20 1.06 rw[43] -14.30 3.34 -14.28 -19.64 -8.69 14.03 1.07 rw[44] -14.36 3.31 -14.31 -19.82 -9.18 14.45 1.07 rw[45] -14.42 3.26 -14.34 -19.85 -9.18 14.35 1.07 rw[46] -14.50 3.24 -14.37 -19.94 -9.39 14.47 1.07 rw[47] -14.59 3.24 -14.59 -20.03 -9.44 13.95 1.07 rw[48] -14.68 3.24 -14.58 -20.90 -10.17 14.11 1.07 rw[49] -14.73 3.26 -14.60 -20.16 -9.50 14.25 1.07 rw[50] -14.80 3.30 -14.79 -20.60 -9.91 14.05 1.07 rw[51] -14.92 3.30 -14.83 -20.02 -9.44 14.11 1.07 rw[52] -15.05 3.31 -15.02 -20.56 -10.02 14.28 1.07 rw[53] -15.20 3.30 -15.11 -20.45 -9.80 14.54 1.06 rw[54] -15.32 3.32 -15.17 -20.92 -10.17 14.58 1.06 rw[55] -15.43 3.29 -15.39 -20.55 -9.93 14.22 1.07 rw[56] -15.59 3.30 -15.55 -20.85 -9.98 14.44 1.06 rw[57] -15.70 3.27 -15.76 -20.73 -10.38 14.24 1.06 rw[58] -15.85 3.23 -15.87 -21.22 -11.02 14.54 1.07 rw[59] -15.89 3.28 -15.88 -21.19 -10.81 14.31 1.07 rw[60] -15.98 3.28 -16.05 -21.29 -10.77 13.99 1.07 rw[61] -15.98 3.24 -16.01 -21.35 -11.10 14.19 1.06 rw[62] -16.13 3.25 -16.07 -21.42 -11.07 13.85 1.06 rw[63] -16.20 3.23 -16.16 -21.22 -10.79 13.93 1.06 rw[64] -16.30 3.15 -16.23 -21.21 -11.04 14.10 1.06 rw[65] -16.31 3.20 -16.32 -21.82 -11.58 14.63 1.07 rw[66] -16.36 3.18 -16.33 -21.45 -11.17 14.18 1.07 rw[67] -16.42 3.24 -16.54 -21.52 -11.22 14.17 1.07 rw[68] -16.42 3.24 -16.66 -21.66 -11.30 14.36 1.06 rw[69] -16.32 3.21 -16.39 -22.05 -11.59 14.80 1.05 rw[70] -16.33 3.27 -16.34 -22.11 -11.52 14.22 1.06 rw[71] -16.26 3.26 -16.26 -21.73 -11.24 14.92 1.06 rw[72] -16.16 3.27 -16.20 -21.83 -11.29 14.64 1.06 rw[73] -16.03 3.30 -15.99 -21.97 -11.32 14.64 1.07 rw[74] -15.87 3.27 -15.91 -21.24 -10.77 14.90 1.06 rw[75] -15.79 3.25 -15.76 -20.92 -10.40 14.54 1.07 rw[76] -15.61 3.27 -15.72 -20.96 -10.60 15.05 1.05 rw[77] -15.50 3.30 -15.56 -20.86 -10.32 14.92 1.06 rw[78] -15.33 3.30 -15.21 -20.66 -9.88 15.08 1.05 rw[79] -15.18 3.27 -15.21 -20.32 -9.60 15.20 1.06 rw[80] -15.08 3.28 -15.12 -19.84 -9.19 14.98 1.06 rw[81] -14.92 3.26 -14.95 -20.27 -9.73 14.90 1.07 rw[82] -14.84 3.26 -14.90 -20.62 -10.11 15.09 1.06 rw[83] -14.83 3.26 -14.85 -20.39 -9.68 14.76 1.07 rw[84] -14.79 3.24 -14.86 -20.01 -9.46 14.80 1.07 rw[85] -14.76 3.29 -14.71 -20.54 -9.81 14.50 1.06 rw[86] -14.82 3.33 -14.77 -20.48 -9.72 14.77 1.06 rw[87] -14.85 3.34 -14.65 -20.41 -9.56 14.79 1.07 rw[88] -14.93 3.34 -14.80 -20.61 -9.82 14.86 1.06 rw[89] -14.94 3.34 -14.84 -19.72 -8.97 14.95 1.06 rw[90] -15.00 3.35 -14.84 -20.42 -9.59 14.64 1.06 rw[91] -15.06 3.34 -14.99 -20.58 -9.81 14.46 1.07 rw[92] -15.14 3.28 -15.12 -20.70 -10.27 14.68 1.07 rw[93] -15.20 3.27 -15.19 -20.58 -9.99 14.96 1.06 rw[94] -15.26 3.27 -15.21 -20.46 -9.87 14.83 1.06 rw[95] -15.26 3.27 -15.20 -20.90 -10.47 14.56 1.06 rw[96] -15.34 3.22 -15.28 -20.24 -9.59 14.34 1.06 rw[97] -15.38 3.27 -15.25 -20.84 -10.39 14.56 1.06 rw[98] -15.41 3.25 -15.28 -20.52 -10.48 15.15 1.06 rw[99] -15.43 3.25 -15.42 -20.61 -10.30 14.62 1.07 rw[100] -15.39 3.27 -15.42 -20.39 -9.96 14.40 1.07 rw[101] -15.41 3.22 -15.40 -20.68 -10.54 14.53 1.07 rw[102] -15.30 3.27 -15.35 -20.84 -10.39 14.58 1.07 rw[103] -15.23 3.31 -15.15 -21.02 -10.36 14.25 1.07 rw[104] -15.07 3.28 -15.01 -20.84 -10.41 14.43 1.06 rw[105] -14.89 3.25 -14.85 -20.42 -10.02 14.62 1.06 rw[106] -14.72 3.21 -14.65 -20.41 -10.09 14.36 1.06 rw[107] -14.55 3.25 -14.62 -20.16 -9.60 14.16 1.07 rw[108] -14.41 3.27 -14.42 -20.03 -9.56 14.07 1.07 rw[109] -14.19 3.25 -14.22 -19.13 -8.53 14.16 1.07 rw[110] -13.95 3.31 -13.95 -19.49 -8.81 14.29 1.07 rw[111] -13.73 3.26 -13.81 -18.69 -7.99 14.21 1.07 rw[112] -13.56 3.19 -13.50 -18.81 -8.68 14.01 1.07 rw[113] -13.38 3.21 -13.43 -18.71 -8.27 14.48 1.06 rw[114] -13.31 3.16 -13.43 -18.28 -8.14 14.56 1.06 rw[115] -13.21 3.23 -13.26 -18.21 -7.68 14.79 1.06 rw[116] -13.08 3.23 -13.14 -17.79 -7.07 14.94 1.07 rw[117] -12.99 3.22 -13.00 -18.71 -8.06 15.12 1.07 rw[118] -12.91 3.19 -12.88 -18.35 -7.82 14.88 1.06 rw[119] -12.89 3.22 -12.91 -18.90 -8.34 14.88 1.07 rw[120] -12.83 3.23 -12.81 -18.00 -7.10 14.70 1.06 rw[121] -12.86 3.20 -12.77 -18.61 -8.12 14.44 1.06 rw[122] -12.87 3.18 -12.84 -17.92 -7.65 14.52 1.06 rw[123] -12.83 3.19 -12.85 -17.92 -7.78 14.35 1.06 rw[124] -12.84 3.19 -12.79 -17.54 -7.27 14.25 1.06 rw[125] -12.75 3.17 -12.73 -18.43 -8.16 14.25 1.06 rw[126] -12.73 3.21 -12.60 -17.95 -7.57 14.31 1.07 rw[127] -12.70 3.26 -12.76 -17.75 -7.10 14.46 1.07 rw[128] -12.68 3.23 -12.72 -18.53 -7.87 14.39 1.07 rw[129] -12.61 3.24 -12.61 -17.85 -7.25 14.48 1.07 rw[130] -12.68 3.26 -12.63 -18.25 -7.76 14.36 1.07 rw[131] -12.67 3.33 -12.64 -18.05 -7.40 14.15 1.07 rw[132] -12.66 3.27 -12.58 -17.92 -7.42 14.08 1.07 rw[133] -12.71 3.28 -12.65 -18.46 -7.80 13.90 1.06 rw[134] -12.77 3.22 -12.75 -18.52 -8.01 14.20 1.06 rw[135] -12.78 3.23 -12.77 -18.34 -8.01 14.46 1.06 rw[136] -12.85 3.22 -12.81 -18.23 -7.88 14.16 1.06 rw[137] -12.83 3.22 -12.72 -18.26 -7.86 13.43 1.06 rw[138] -12.84 3.20 -12.73 -18.17 -7.92 13.48 1.06 rw[139] -12.87 3.17 -12.75 -18.23 -7.95 13.91 1.07 rw[140] -12.91 3.18 -12.82 -18.16 -8.04 14.41 1.07 rw[141] -12.95 3.18 -12.95 -18.37 -7.92 14.48 1.06 rw[142] -12.96 3.17 -12.95 -18.33 -8.04 13.58 1.05 rw[143] -12.99 3.20 -13.01 -18.30 -7.88 13.71 1.06 rw[144] -13.04 3.19 -13.15 -18.70 -8.23 13.54 1.07 rw[145] -13.07 3.15 -13.16 -18.03 -7.74 13.73 1.08 rw[146] -13.10 3.17 -13.23 -18.17 -7.85 14.15 1.07 rw[147] -13.20 3.20 -13.24 -18.17 -7.86 14.34 1.07 rw[148] -13.27 3.23 -13.28 -18.76 -8.08 14.56 1.07 rw[149] -13.31 3.18 -13.41 -18.10 -7.72 14.71 1.07 rw[150] -13.38 3.14 -13.37 -18.25 -7.87 14.50 1.07 rw[151] -13.51 3.15 -13.59 -19.34 -8.83 14.66 1.06 rw[152] -13.58 3.22 -13.74 -18.50 -7.87 14.56 1.06 rw[153] -13.68 3.21 -13.76 -19.30 -8.71 14.49 1.06 rw[154] -13.79 3.23 -13.76 -19.35 -8.77 14.53 1.06 rw[155] -14.01 3.23 -14.01 -19.57 -8.80 14.20 1.07 rw[156] -14.17 3.19 -14.32 -18.95 -8.48 14.18 1.07 rw[157] -14.26 3.17 -14.22 -19.19 -9.09 14.15 1.07 rw[158] -14.30 3.16 -14.33 -19.44 -9.34 14.00 1.07 rw[159] -14.29 3.13 -14.36 -19.02 -8.80 14.24 1.07 rw[160] -14.27 3.13 -14.34 -19.35 -9.15 13.80 1.06 rw[161] -14.19 3.17 -14.22 -19.72 -9.30 13.48 1.07 rw[162] -13.99 3.10 -13.98 -19.18 -9.13 13.11 1.07 rw[163] -13.79 3.04 -13.73 -18.49 -8.68 12.57 1.08 rw[164] -13.42 2.95 -13.30 -17.92 -8.76 11.89 1.08 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1708.37 1.00 Number of divergences: 0