mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 14.24 4.82 13.70 7.15 21.64 1333.43 1.00 E0 415.55 384.26 311.85 0.98 907.67 128.48 1.01 H0 27.21 12.75 25.79 6.06 46.09 104.45 1.01 I0 396.64 228.56 346.73 84.18 686.61 36.63 1.02 beta0 1.81 0.51 1.74 1.06 2.60 9.86 1.07 confirmed_dispersion 0.42 0.06 0.42 0.33 0.50 1161.17 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.11 1505.05 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 1117.88 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.10 692.39 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.41 1286.27 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1415.51 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1517.82 1.00 rw[0] -0.04 1.02 0.01 -1.74 1.64 58.80 1.00 rw[1] 0.11 1.43 0.14 -2.42 2.27 28.02 1.01 rw[2] 0.32 1.77 0.37 -2.61 3.20 19.93 1.01 rw[3] 0.54 2.05 0.54 -2.61 4.05 16.12 1.01 rw[4] 0.79 2.27 0.82 -3.19 4.00 14.60 1.02 rw[5] 1.03 2.51 1.10 -3.01 4.91 13.05 1.02 rw[6] 1.25 2.72 1.32 -2.78 5.70 12.37 1.03 rw[7] 1.46 2.87 1.46 -3.11 5.94 11.70 1.04 rw[8] 1.54 3.03 1.58 -3.31 6.31 11.15 1.04 rw[9] 1.49 3.16 1.48 -3.38 6.51 11.21 1.04 rw[10] 1.23 3.19 1.19 -3.58 6.56 11.33 1.04 rw[11] 0.86 3.18 0.73 -3.85 6.04 11.34 1.04 rw[12] 0.35 3.19 0.19 -4.75 5.38 11.08 1.04 rw[13] -0.15 3.19 -0.17 -5.23 4.74 11.27 1.04 rw[14] -0.67 3.19 -0.74 -5.53 4.56 11.24 1.04 rw[15] -1.16 3.13 -1.24 -6.20 3.55 11.09 1.04 rw[16] -1.71 3.16 -1.75 -6.64 3.10 11.19 1.04 rw[17] -2.32 3.13 -2.42 -7.36 2.47 11.44 1.04 rw[18] -2.91 3.12 -3.08 -8.02 1.92 11.48 1.04 rw[19] -3.61 3.15 -3.75 -8.87 1.03 11.34 1.04 rw[20] -4.36 3.12 -4.34 -9.27 0.68 11.38 1.05 rw[21] -5.13 3.11 -5.21 -9.74 -0.01 11.62 1.04 rw[22] -5.99 3.10 -6.20 -10.38 -0.56 11.41 1.05 rw[23] -6.87 3.14 -7.00 -11.62 -1.65 11.47 1.04 rw[24] -7.77 3.17 -7.94 -12.51 -2.76 11.57 1.04 rw[25] -8.70 3.21 -8.85 -13.56 -3.50 11.56 1.05 rw[26] -9.64 3.14 -9.87 -14.36 -4.51 11.71 1.05 rw[27] -10.50 3.13 -10.66 -15.35 -5.76 11.72 1.04 rw[28] -11.27 3.15 -11.43 -15.87 -6.07 11.74 1.04 rw[29] -12.01 3.16 -12.17 -17.30 -7.39 11.81 1.03 rw[30] -12.70 3.18 -12.85 -18.01 -8.11 12.03 1.03 rw[31] -13.27 3.18 -13.45 -18.39 -8.46 12.19 1.03 rw[32] -13.74 3.20 -13.76 -18.65 -8.64 12.07 1.03 rw[33] -14.16 3.20 -14.17 -19.18 -9.15 12.18 1.04 rw[34] -14.46 3.20 -14.52 -19.77 -9.72 12.14 1.03 rw[35] -14.66 3.23 -14.81 -19.91 -9.64 12.30 1.03 rw[36] -14.87 3.27 -15.06 -20.01 -9.50 12.55 1.03 rw[37] -14.95 3.27 -15.15 -20.68 -10.19 12.84 1.03 rw[38] -15.01 3.28 -15.05 -20.48 -9.90 12.53 1.03 rw[39] -15.02 3.29 -15.13 -19.80 -9.13 12.90 1.04 rw[40] -15.03 3.33 -15.14 -20.27 -9.43 12.85 1.03 rw[41] -14.96 3.34 -15.13 -20.31 -9.61 12.74 1.03 rw[42] -14.93 3.35 -15.03 -20.21 -9.10 12.86 1.03 rw[43] -14.88 3.37 -15.01 -20.66 -9.65 12.97 1.04 rw[44] -14.83 3.37 -14.94 -20.30 -9.36 12.72 1.04 rw[45] -14.76 3.35 -14.97 -20.62 -9.76 12.85 1.04 rw[46] -14.69 3.35 -14.85 -20.64 -9.72 12.66 1.05 rw[47] -14.63 3.35 -14.74 -20.13 -9.46 12.73 1.05 rw[48] -14.54 3.33 -14.60 -19.73 -9.19 12.64 1.05 rw[49] -14.46 3.33 -14.70 -19.87 -9.09 12.42 1.04 rw[50] -14.35 3.34 -14.46 -20.18 -9.35 12.36 1.05 rw[51] -14.33 3.29 -14.47 -19.88 -9.55 12.33 1.04 rw[52] -14.28 3.28 -14.46 -19.21 -9.08 12.72 1.04 rw[53] -14.23 3.29 -14.43 -19.00 -8.80 12.57 1.05 rw[54] -14.20 3.29 -14.35 -19.65 -9.30 12.33 1.05 rw[55] -14.25 3.32 -14.47 -19.43 -8.89 12.12 1.04 rw[56] -14.24 3.26 -14.52 -19.41 -8.78 12.20 1.04 rw[57] -14.26 3.24 -14.41 -19.27 -8.78 11.83 1.04 rw[58] -14.24 3.27 -14.43 -19.57 -9.29 11.94 1.04 rw[59] -14.23 3.21 -14.29 -19.35 -9.10 12.19 1.04 rw[60] -14.25 3.20 -14.36 -19.53 -9.46 12.19 1.04 rw[61] -14.27 3.21 -14.28 -19.46 -9.35 12.20 1.04 rw[62] -14.29 3.23 -14.38 -19.23 -8.75 11.97 1.03 rw[63] -14.26 3.18 -14.39 -19.19 -9.20 12.29 1.03 rw[64] -14.25 3.18 -14.23 -19.56 -9.57 12.12 1.03 rw[65] -14.28 3.19 -14.27 -19.55 -9.41 12.14 1.03 rw[66] -14.25 3.19 -14.37 -19.81 -9.61 12.25 1.03 rw[67] -14.23 3.21 -14.25 -19.70 -9.35 12.28 1.03 rw[68] -14.20 3.17 -14.22 -19.22 -8.97 12.57 1.03 rw[69] -14.16 3.18 -14.17 -19.27 -9.30 12.39 1.03 rw[70] -14.13 3.17 -14.06 -19.11 -9.07 12.43 1.03 rw[71] -14.09 3.20 -14.13 -19.45 -9.00 12.37 1.03 rw[72] -13.98 3.21 -14.11 -19.67 -9.16 12.29 1.03 rw[73] -13.96 3.22 -14.03 -19.70 -9.30 12.60 1.04 rw[74] -13.90 3.23 -14.01 -18.86 -8.55 12.72 1.03 rw[75] -13.87 3.25 -14.02 -19.62 -9.11 12.59 1.03 rw[76] -13.81 3.28 -13.97 -18.81 -8.40 12.90 1.03 rw[77] -13.77 3.31 -13.93 -19.07 -8.71 12.93 1.03 rw[78] -13.72 3.31 -13.78 -19.05 -8.49 12.96 1.04 rw[79] -13.70 3.30 -13.83 -18.92 -8.39 12.78 1.04 rw[80] -13.59 3.25 -13.69 -18.30 -7.81 12.65 1.04 rw[81] -13.64 3.27 -13.78 -18.63 -8.16 12.33 1.04 rw[82] -13.63 3.20 -13.75 -18.92 -8.71 12.43 1.04 rw[83] -13.70 3.24 -13.74 -18.55 -8.24 12.17 1.05 rw[84] -13.73 3.27 -13.68 -19.46 -8.85 12.01 1.05 rw[85] -13.69 3.27 -13.73 -19.08 -8.48 12.19 1.04 rw[86] -13.68 3.26 -13.82 -19.06 -8.73 12.34 1.04 rw[87] -13.65 3.29 -13.70 -19.22 -8.74 12.60 1.04 rw[88] -13.64 3.25 -13.63 -18.79 -8.35 12.03 1.04 rw[89] -13.64 3.29 -13.66 -19.05 -8.77 12.31 1.04 rw[90] -13.56 3.34 -13.60 -18.44 -7.82 12.41 1.04 rw[91] -13.47 3.31 -13.57 -18.89 -8.49 12.03 1.04 rw[92] -13.39 3.30 -13.49 -18.67 -8.34 12.32 1.04 rw[93] -13.31 3.23 -13.47 -18.22 -8.10 12.42 1.04 rw[94] -13.21 3.23 -13.46 -18.23 -7.98 12.39 1.04 rw[95] -13.11 3.18 -13.25 -18.56 -8.37 12.42 1.04 rw[96] -12.99 3.16 -13.06 -18.13 -7.89 12.27 1.04 rw[97] -12.86 3.17 -12.94 -17.82 -7.68 12.71 1.04 rw[98] -12.77 3.15 -12.80 -18.15 -7.91 12.41 1.04 rw[99] -12.59 3.15 -12.69 -17.70 -7.72 12.31 1.04 rw[100] -12.45 3.15 -12.58 -17.28 -7.21 12.67 1.04 rw[101] -12.31 3.14 -12.43 -17.45 -7.58 12.77 1.04 rw[102] -12.16 3.12 -12.32 -17.05 -7.15 12.69 1.04 rw[103] -11.95 3.11 -12.03 -16.94 -7.08 12.74 1.04 rw[104] -11.74 3.14 -11.78 -16.52 -6.57 12.63 1.04 rw[105] -11.52 3.18 -11.62 -16.54 -6.39 12.41 1.04 rw[106] -11.28 3.14 -11.36 -16.32 -6.26 12.33 1.04 rw[107] -11.09 3.17 -11.29 -16.23 -6.10 12.10 1.04 rw[108] -10.88 3.18 -11.03 -15.95 -5.89 11.89 1.04 rw[109] -10.72 3.19 -10.81 -16.27 -6.16 11.74 1.04 rw[110] -10.54 3.19 -10.61 -15.86 -5.60 11.89 1.04 rw[111] -10.35 3.17 -10.43 -15.07 -4.96 12.12 1.03 rw[112] -10.13 3.19 -10.24 -15.30 -5.28 11.79 1.04 rw[113] -10.08 3.16 -10.12 -15.04 -5.12 11.81 1.04 rw[114] -9.95 3.18 -10.02 -14.96 -4.83 11.85 1.04 rw[115] -9.91 3.13 -9.99 -15.20 -5.11 12.21 1.04 rw[116] -9.93 3.11 -10.04 -15.03 -5.17 12.03 1.04 rw[117] -9.95 3.12 -9.99 -14.96 -4.74 12.17 1.04 rw[118] -9.98 3.15 -10.11 -15.27 -5.14 12.20 1.04 rw[119] -10.06 3.13 -10.11 -15.59 -5.28 11.96 1.03 rw[120] -10.17 3.15 -10.24 -15.45 -5.29 11.73 1.04 rw[121] -10.28 3.15 -10.44 -15.26 -5.29 11.98 1.04 rw[122] -10.39 3.18 -10.44 -15.41 -5.58 11.92 1.04 rw[123] -10.55 3.18 -10.59 -15.43 -5.38 11.94 1.04 rw[124] -10.69 3.17 -10.88 -15.36 -5.57 11.85 1.05 rw[125] -10.80 3.18 -10.99 -15.38 -5.56 11.87 1.04 rw[126] -10.92 3.19 -11.14 -16.09 -6.10 11.89 1.04 rw[127] -10.96 3.18 -11.18 -15.93 -5.78 12.07 1.04 rw[128] -10.99 3.19 -11.13 -16.14 -5.99 12.04 1.04 rw[129] -11.08 3.20 -11.12 -16.17 -5.97 12.00 1.04 rw[130] -11.10 3.24 -11.22 -16.69 -6.29 12.17 1.04 rw[131] -11.19 3.21 -11.22 -16.27 -6.28 12.12 1.04 rw[132] -11.28 3.21 -11.39 -16.27 -6.27 12.14 1.04 rw[133] -11.36 3.21 -11.51 -16.48 -6.53 11.86 1.04 rw[134] -11.43 3.15 -11.47 -16.37 -6.54 11.88 1.04 rw[135] -11.58 3.14 -11.73 -16.70 -6.77 11.75 1.04 rw[136] -11.73 3.19 -12.04 -17.25 -7.04 11.56 1.04 rw[137] -11.91 3.22 -12.16 -16.73 -6.52 11.61 1.04 rw[138] -12.03 3.19 -12.15 -17.48 -7.23 11.63 1.04 rw[139] -12.24 3.17 -12.40 -17.15 -6.92 11.85 1.04 rw[140] -12.41 3.19 -12.56 -17.57 -7.30 12.00 1.04 rw[141] -12.54 3.19 -12.63 -17.65 -7.40 12.11 1.04 rw[142] -12.68 3.22 -12.78 -17.84 -7.42 12.07 1.04 rw[143] -12.80 3.23 -12.79 -17.80 -7.33 11.93 1.04 rw[144] -12.90 3.22 -12.97 -17.61 -7.46 12.08 1.04 rw[145] -13.03 3.16 -13.23 -18.53 -8.46 11.87 1.04 rw[146] -13.13 3.17 -13.31 -18.45 -8.51 11.93 1.04 rw[147] -13.20 3.17 -13.32 -18.26 -8.22 12.23 1.04 rw[148] -13.26 3.13 -13.40 -18.14 -8.23 12.06 1.04 rw[149] -13.27 3.17 -13.34 -18.48 -8.51 12.10 1.04 rw[150] -13.26 3.17 -13.38 -18.44 -8.44 11.89 1.04 rw[151] -13.25 3.16 -13.35 -18.66 -8.60 11.98 1.04 rw[152] -13.23 3.16 -13.41 -18.63 -8.45 12.10 1.04 rw[153] -13.18 3.17 -13.32 -18.12 -8.14 11.99 1.04 rw[154] -13.17 3.20 -13.42 -18.04 -8.04 11.72 1.04 rw[155] -13.12 3.17 -13.30 -17.79 -7.90 11.95 1.04 rw[156] -13.16 3.20 -13.46 -18.67 -8.51 12.09 1.04 rw[157] -13.17 3.19 -13.50 -17.90 -7.62 11.92 1.04 rw[158] -13.16 3.17 -13.37 -18.51 -8.32 11.80 1.04 rw[159] -13.16 3.18 -13.22 -18.29 -8.29 11.70 1.04 rw[160] -13.05 3.18 -13.14 -17.86 -7.83 11.73 1.04 rw[161] -12.98 3.13 -13.03 -18.09 -8.15 11.63 1.04 rw[162] -12.89 3.07 -13.06 -17.96 -8.30 11.34 1.04 rw[163] -12.79 3.03 -12.92 -17.58 -8.04 10.85 1.05 rw[164] -12.73 2.92 -12.71 -17.08 -8.04 10.27 1.04 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1191.84 1.00 Number of divergences: 0