mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.83 1.07 0.50 0.00 1.93 1277.35 1.00 E0 5.50 6.35 3.43 0.00 12.78 185.34 1.03 H0 1.22 1.17 0.84 0.01 2.80 2152.90 1.00 I0 5.46 4.32 4.37 0.62 11.04 52.48 1.06 beta0 1.74 0.45 1.72 0.92 2.42 16.01 1.21 confirmed_dispersion 0.45 0.07 0.44 0.34 0.55 1422.65 1.00 death_dispersion 0.31 0.03 0.31 0.27 0.35 2557.53 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1543.60 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.09 830.70 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.21 0.41 1725.67 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1517.38 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1626.89 1.00 rw[0] -0.05 0.99 -0.05 -1.74 1.48 130.88 1.03 rw[1] 0.05 1.37 0.04 -2.16 2.26 61.03 1.05 rw[2] 0.23 1.69 0.11 -2.54 2.93 44.63 1.07 rw[3] 0.49 1.96 0.36 -2.85 3.51 33.90 1.10 rw[4] 0.82 2.14 0.70 -2.43 4.40 28.05 1.12 rw[5] 1.17 2.36 0.93 -2.89 4.70 27.80 1.12 rw[6] 1.48 2.51 1.32 -2.30 5.80 26.00 1.13 rw[7] 1.72 2.67 1.50 -3.03 5.78 24.96 1.12 rw[8] 1.95 2.75 1.65 -2.50 6.34 22.80 1.14 rw[9] 2.10 2.92 1.74 -2.50 7.25 21.41 1.15 rw[10] 2.20 2.94 2.04 -2.96 6.72 20.88 1.15 rw[11] 2.18 2.99 1.96 -3.29 6.60 20.62 1.15 rw[12] 2.06 3.08 1.76 -3.63 6.52 19.57 1.16 rw[13] 1.84 3.11 1.48 -3.87 6.41 19.61 1.15 rw[14] 1.50 3.16 1.21 -3.67 6.55 19.13 1.16 rw[15] 1.08 3.16 0.80 -3.72 6.59 20.73 1.14 rw[16] 0.64 3.18 0.40 -3.88 6.66 19.89 1.15 rw[17] 0.15 3.18 -0.15 -5.38 4.90 19.06 1.17 rw[18] -0.46 3.21 -0.68 -6.21 4.20 18.41 1.17 rw[19] -1.16 3.19 -1.44 -6.12 4.15 18.54 1.18 rw[20] -1.94 3.17 -2.22 -7.46 2.69 19.30 1.16 rw[21] -2.67 3.20 -2.96 -7.66 2.74 19.85 1.16 rw[22] -3.43 3.15 -3.75 -9.10 1.06 18.72 1.18 rw[23] -4.30 3.11 -4.59 -10.01 0.29 18.22 1.19 rw[24] -5.19 3.12 -5.42 -10.10 0.27 17.54 1.20 rw[25] -6.06 3.10 -6.34 -11.29 -1.25 17.91 1.19 rw[26] -6.90 3.07 -7.08 -12.11 -2.01 18.28 1.18 rw[27] -7.65 3.11 -7.81 -13.21 -3.18 17.85 1.20 rw[28] -8.38 3.12 -8.63 -13.96 -3.75 17.65 1.20 rw[29] -9.05 3.10 -9.24 -14.88 -4.73 17.98 1.19 rw[30] -9.61 3.15 -9.85 -14.38 -3.93 18.00 1.20 rw[31] -10.20 3.11 -10.41 -15.63 -5.32 18.11 1.19 rw[32] -10.68 3.12 -10.81 -16.29 -5.96 18.68 1.19 rw[33] -11.19 3.08 -11.32 -16.26 -6.15 18.86 1.18 rw[34] -11.57 3.08 -11.73 -16.99 -7.11 19.09 1.17 rw[35] -11.86 3.10 -12.01 -17.39 -7.15 18.94 1.17 rw[36] -12.10 3.08 -12.32 -17.38 -7.42 19.25 1.18 rw[37] -12.30 3.09 -12.54 -17.42 -7.59 19.61 1.16 rw[38] -12.36 3.11 -12.68 -17.44 -7.69 20.01 1.16 rw[39] -12.49 3.10 -12.68 -17.54 -7.66 20.54 1.16 rw[40] -12.52 3.15 -12.70 -17.55 -7.46 21.06 1.15 rw[41] -12.51 3.18 -12.76 -18.02 -7.74 20.98 1.15 rw[42] -12.47 3.25 -12.66 -17.60 -6.80 20.47 1.15 rw[43] -12.42 3.23 -12.72 -18.01 -7.50 20.48 1.15 rw[44] -12.35 3.20 -12.53 -17.16 -6.74 20.91 1.15 rw[45] -12.24 3.19 -12.54 -17.61 -7.25 21.13 1.15 rw[46] -12.15 3.21 -12.44 -17.72 -7.53 20.37 1.16 rw[47] -12.07 3.24 -12.42 -16.82 -6.24 19.79 1.17 rw[48] -12.03 3.20 -12.30 -17.46 -7.03 19.31 1.17 rw[49] -11.97 3.21 -12.17 -17.28 -6.68 19.14 1.17 rw[50] -11.94 3.24 -12.14 -17.11 -6.54 18.52 1.18 rw[51] -11.92 3.22 -12.14 -17.08 -6.54 19.47 1.17 rw[52] -11.97 3.22 -12.17 -17.32 -6.64 19.15 1.18 rw[53] -11.95 3.22 -12.16 -17.29 -6.75 18.94 1.17 rw[54] -12.00 3.19 -12.19 -17.28 -6.81 18.88 1.18 rw[55] -12.04 3.18 -12.23 -17.97 -7.65 19.10 1.18 rw[56] -12.07 3.14 -12.25 -17.43 -7.21 18.66 1.18 rw[57] -12.14 3.12 -12.32 -17.01 -6.86 18.34 1.17 rw[58] -12.27 3.15 -12.57 -17.35 -7.08 18.79 1.17 rw[59] -12.42 3.17 -12.76 -17.40 -7.10 18.86 1.16 rw[60] -12.58 3.16 -12.77 -17.53 -7.19 18.68 1.17 rw[61] -12.69 3.18 -12.97 -18.47 -8.19 18.89 1.16 rw[62] -12.80 3.17 -13.15 -18.55 -8.47 19.06 1.16 rw[63] -12.95 3.16 -13.19 -18.50 -8.57 18.96 1.16 rw[64] -13.09 3.18 -13.42 -18.67 -8.48 18.75 1.16 rw[65] -13.17 3.25 -13.38 -18.50 -8.32 19.25 1.16 rw[66] -13.29 3.23 -13.53 -18.40 -8.11 19.87 1.16 rw[67] -13.39 3.27 -13.69 -18.72 -8.42 20.86 1.14 rw[68] -13.47 3.28 -13.75 -19.00 -8.48 20.81 1.15 rw[69] -13.59 3.32 -13.92 -18.72 -7.94 20.71 1.14 rw[70] -13.71 3.29 -14.03 -19.36 -8.62 20.38 1.15 rw[71] -13.82 3.29 -14.14 -18.98 -8.30 20.85 1.15 rw[72] -13.92 3.26 -14.32 -19.14 -8.72 20.56 1.15 rw[73] -13.99 3.25 -14.32 -19.14 -8.48 20.56 1.16 rw[74] -14.05 3.27 -14.33 -19.59 -9.04 21.85 1.14 rw[75] -14.14 3.23 -14.38 -19.57 -9.39 21.49 1.14 rw[76] -14.21 3.21 -14.37 -19.59 -9.54 21.77 1.15 rw[77] -14.29 3.16 -14.45 -19.73 -9.43 22.53 1.14 rw[78] -14.37 3.16 -14.57 -19.97 -9.87 22.69 1.14 rw[79] -14.43 3.16 -14.60 -20.15 -9.61 21.71 1.14 rw[80] -14.56 3.19 -14.76 -19.66 -9.31 21.37 1.15 rw[81] -14.66 3.18 -14.82 -19.67 -9.31 21.41 1.15 rw[82] -14.73 3.16 -14.95 -20.00 -9.46 21.53 1.15 rw[83] -14.83 3.16 -15.14 -19.55 -9.05 21.08 1.15 rw[84] -14.88 3.18 -15.23 -20.40 -9.77 20.73 1.15 rw[85] -14.96 3.15 -15.33 -20.23 -9.82 20.63 1.15 rw[86] -15.07 3.17 -15.38 -20.02 -9.47 20.76 1.15 rw[87] -15.04 3.19 -15.40 -20.35 -9.89 20.94 1.15 rw[88] -15.08 3.16 -15.50 -19.85 -9.41 20.96 1.16 rw[89] -15.13 3.23 -15.49 -19.97 -9.22 20.63 1.16 rw[90] -15.18 3.25 -15.50 -20.66 -9.66 20.47 1.17 rw[91] -15.13 3.28 -15.50 -20.18 -9.34 19.74 1.17 rw[92] -15.07 3.25 -15.39 -20.12 -9.35 19.26 1.18 rw[93] -15.03 3.27 -15.32 -19.70 -9.08 19.09 1.17 rw[94] -14.95 3.31 -15.24 -20.59 -9.88 19.38 1.16 rw[95] -14.88 3.28 -15.25 -19.87 -9.35 19.80 1.17 rw[96] -14.73 3.29 -15.03 -19.93 -9.38 19.64 1.18 rw[97] -14.56 3.27 -14.88 -20.55 -9.86 19.29 1.19 rw[98] -14.38 3.24 -14.67 -19.30 -8.48 19.03 1.19 rw[99] -14.27 3.28 -14.70 -19.42 -8.64 19.37 1.18 rw[100] -14.06 3.26 -14.46 -19.36 -8.85 19.73 1.18 rw[101] -13.84 3.26 -14.16 -19.00 -8.74 20.53 1.18 rw[102] -13.60 3.24 -13.93 -19.29 -9.14 20.72 1.18 rw[103] -13.36 3.21 -13.64 -19.24 -8.88 20.29 1.18 rw[104] -13.17 3.22 -13.40 -19.10 -8.69 19.64 1.18 rw[105] -12.99 3.24 -13.18 -18.77 -8.03 20.15 1.17 rw[106] -12.78 3.22 -13.05 -18.71 -7.93 19.68 1.18 rw[107] -12.58 3.20 -12.86 -17.75 -7.26 20.17 1.17 rw[108] -12.50 3.19 -12.67 -18.31 -7.91 20.06 1.18 rw[109] -12.31 3.20 -12.53 -17.64 -7.30 20.16 1.18 rw[110] -12.21 3.21 -12.43 -17.27 -6.82 21.28 1.17 rw[111] -12.10 3.23 -12.34 -17.12 -6.96 20.74 1.16 rw[112] -12.08 3.23 -12.33 -17.25 -6.71 20.50 1.16 rw[113] -12.06 3.23 -12.32 -17.10 -6.74 20.26 1.15 rw[114] -12.13 3.21 -12.42 -17.33 -7.04 20.44 1.15 rw[115] -12.20 3.20 -12.42 -17.33 -7.29 20.68 1.15 rw[116] -12.28 3.19 -12.52 -17.66 -7.27 20.62 1.15 rw[117] -12.36 3.15 -12.65 -17.48 -7.46 20.97 1.14 rw[118] -12.53 3.17 -12.91 -17.99 -7.67 21.12 1.15 rw[119] -12.64 3.13 -12.94 -18.15 -7.92 21.69 1.14 rw[120] -12.82 3.17 -13.06 -18.24 -7.66 21.31 1.13 rw[121] -12.97 3.17 -13.23 -18.96 -8.56 21.00 1.14 rw[122] -13.04 3.15 -13.32 -18.35 -8.23 22.13 1.14 rw[123] -13.08 3.18 -13.37 -18.27 -8.02 22.19 1.13 rw[124] -13.09 3.17 -13.40 -18.41 -7.90 21.77 1.14 rw[125] -13.03 3.16 -13.40 -18.16 -7.88 20.88 1.15 rw[126] -12.96 3.14 -13.30 -17.86 -7.86 21.28 1.15 rw[127] -12.87 3.19 -13.27 -17.51 -7.13 20.66 1.16 rw[128] -12.72 3.20 -12.99 -18.13 -7.70 20.29 1.17 rw[129] -12.58 3.20 -12.94 -17.77 -7.67 20.29 1.16 rw[130] -12.40 3.15 -12.75 -16.97 -6.77 20.69 1.17 rw[131] -12.16 3.15 -12.47 -17.61 -7.17 19.92 1.18 rw[132] -11.95 3.12 -12.25 -17.22 -7.04 19.79 1.18 rw[133] -11.80 3.07 -12.15 -17.40 -7.12 18.78 1.19 rw[134] -11.65 3.10 -11.95 -16.81 -6.60 19.38 1.18 rw[135] -11.51 3.09 -11.83 -16.29 -5.96 19.34 1.18 rw[136] -11.35 3.08 -11.70 -16.22 -5.95 19.04 1.19 rw[137] -11.18 3.07 -11.50 -15.81 -5.69 18.81 1.18 rw[138] -11.10 3.03 -11.41 -16.78 -6.78 19.91 1.17 rw[139] -11.00 3.12 -11.20 -15.91 -5.67 20.15 1.17 rw[140] -10.93 3.11 -11.09 -15.55 -5.22 19.36 1.18 rw[141] -10.92 3.07 -11.09 -15.77 -5.63 18.50 1.19 rw[142] -10.89 3.05 -11.16 -16.27 -6.41 18.62 1.17 rw[143] -10.92 3.08 -11.15 -16.13 -6.00 17.99 1.19 rw[144] -10.90 3.10 -11.19 -16.21 -6.04 18.40 1.17 rw[145] -10.93 3.04 -11.22 -15.96 -5.90 18.77 1.18 rw[146] -10.97 3.07 -11.20 -16.41 -6.37 18.45 1.19 rw[147] -10.98 3.16 -11.17 -16.08 -5.96 18.23 1.18 rw[148] -11.01 3.18 -11.31 -16.34 -6.22 18.97 1.16 rw[149] -11.07 3.20 -11.38 -16.56 -6.12 19.58 1.15 rw[150] -11.11 3.22 -11.37 -17.05 -6.29 19.41 1.14 rw[151] -11.17 3.20 -11.36 -16.90 -6.32 19.69 1.14 rw[152] -11.18 3.16 -11.49 -16.32 -6.21 18.41 1.16 rw[153] -11.22 3.16 -11.50 -16.40 -6.39 18.79 1.15 rw[154] -11.25 3.13 -11.55 -15.93 -6.00 19.67 1.14 rw[155] -11.29 3.13 -11.59 -16.98 -6.73 19.94 1.14 rw[156] -11.32 3.13 -11.65 -16.85 -6.47 19.82 1.14 rw[157] -11.33 3.13 -11.60 -16.57 -6.37 20.07 1.14 rw[158] -11.32 3.11 -11.54 -16.97 -6.49 19.73 1.15 rw[159] -11.36 3.10 -11.66 -15.93 -5.84 19.73 1.16 rw[160] -11.33 3.11 -11.45 -16.39 -6.21 19.56 1.17 rw[161] -11.34 3.04 -11.59 -16.28 -6.07 19.41 1.19 rw[162] -11.34 3.07 -11.71 -16.30 -6.16 19.15 1.19 rw[163] -11.32 3.05 -11.60 -16.72 -6.63 18.66 1.19 rw[164] -11.32 3.06 -11.60 -15.95 -6.04 19.53 1.19 rw[165] -11.30 3.08 -11.54 -16.68 -6.83 19.15 1.19 rw[166] -11.32 3.07 -11.63 -16.52 -6.76 19.45 1.19 rw[167] -11.25 3.07 -11.55 -16.06 -6.34 19.44 1.18 rw[168] -11.25 3.07 -11.56 -16.21 -6.33 18.57 1.19 rw[169] -11.22 3.01 -11.50 -16.08 -6.10 17.44 1.20 rw[170] -11.19 2.93 -11.45 -16.36 -6.88 17.14 1.20 rw[171] -11.12 2.82 -11.37 -15.40 -6.12 16.07 1.20 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1555.11 1.00 Number of divergences: 0