mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.22 2.28 0.57 0.00 2.89 755.14 1.00 E0 28.24 26.51 20.83 0.03 64.72 269.89 1.00 H0 1.73 1.70 1.21 0.01 3.94 1323.60 1.00 I0 9.85 10.08 6.62 0.00 23.61 137.37 1.01 beta0 2.00 0.53 1.95 1.19 2.82 21.78 1.05 confirmed_dispersion 0.94 0.08 0.94 0.80 1.08 1308.38 1.00 death_dispersion 0.48 0.04 0.47 0.41 0.54 1418.90 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 817.92 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.07 472.26 1.00 det_prob0 0.29 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 1122.77 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 984.17 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1310.05 1.00 rw[0] 0.03 1.01 0.02 -1.69 1.64 248.62 1.00 rw[1] 0.13 1.39 0.12 -2.02 2.49 103.40 1.01 rw[2] 0.30 1.67 0.24 -2.73 2.87 67.19 1.02 rw[3] 0.51 1.94 0.34 -2.71 3.81 64.05 1.02 rw[4] 0.67 2.11 0.54 -2.76 4.33 51.05 1.02 rw[5] 0.79 2.26 0.73 -2.82 4.69 44.65 1.03 rw[6] 0.92 2.40 0.83 -2.87 4.83 37.38 1.03 rw[7] 0.88 2.52 0.89 -2.94 5.22 35.21 1.03 rw[8] 0.77 2.60 0.64 -3.03 5.51 33.50 1.03 rw[9] 0.57 2.74 0.45 -3.63 5.51 31.03 1.03 rw[10] 0.26 2.78 0.21 -3.72 5.45 28.87 1.03 rw[11] -0.10 2.79 -0.11 -5.22 4.04 27.11 1.03 rw[12] -0.61 2.81 -0.68 -4.91 4.32 25.44 1.03 rw[13] -1.25 2.86 -1.25 -5.94 3.49 25.42 1.03 rw[14] -1.99 2.96 -2.06 -6.58 3.03 24.67 1.04 rw[15] -2.85 3.00 -2.90 -7.18 2.56 25.06 1.04 rw[16] -3.71 2.98 -3.70 -8.90 0.82 24.91 1.04 rw[17] -4.61 3.01 -4.70 -9.76 0.17 24.89 1.04 rw[18] -5.57 3.02 -5.60 -11.03 -1.10 25.05 1.04 rw[19] -6.57 3.07 -6.44 -12.50 -2.23 25.25 1.04 rw[20] -7.54 3.05 -7.56 -12.56 -2.72 24.40 1.05 rw[21] -8.49 3.01 -8.52 -13.73 -3.71 25.09 1.04 rw[22] -9.40 3.03 -9.39 -14.59 -4.71 24.77 1.04 rw[23] -10.21 3.02 -10.23 -15.18 -5.48 24.50 1.05 rw[24] -11.02 3.00 -11.00 -15.73 -6.06 24.25 1.05 rw[25] -11.86 3.00 -11.83 -16.69 -7.13 24.32 1.05 rw[26] -12.57 3.02 -12.61 -17.67 -7.94 25.26 1.04 rw[27] -13.28 3.06 -13.33 -18.29 -8.38 24.83 1.05 rw[28] -13.90 3.08 -13.90 -19.60 -9.70 25.93 1.05 rw[29] -14.54 3.15 -14.47 -19.63 -9.60 26.77 1.05 rw[30] -15.10 3.12 -15.03 -20.16 -10.20 27.52 1.04 rw[31] -15.57 3.16 -15.47 -20.69 -10.58 27.91 1.04 rw[32] -16.06 3.17 -15.98 -21.33 -11.14 28.50 1.04 rw[33] -16.46 3.15 -16.30 -22.22 -11.96 27.75 1.04 rw[34] -16.85 3.15 -16.82 -21.97 -11.79 28.59 1.04 rw[35] -17.19 3.14 -17.06 -22.41 -12.27 30.13 1.04 rw[36] -17.49 3.18 -17.38 -22.40 -12.19 31.97 1.03 rw[37] -17.73 3.17 -17.62 -23.17 -12.97 31.38 1.03 rw[38] -17.95 3.19 -17.80 -22.99 -12.63 30.83 1.04 rw[39] -18.07 3.18 -17.91 -23.12 -12.92 31.15 1.03 rw[40] -18.23 3.26 -18.10 -23.68 -13.29 32.57 1.03 rw[41] -18.30 3.22 -18.20 -23.27 -12.99 31.86 1.02 rw[42] -18.37 3.28 -18.15 -23.51 -12.97 34.54 1.02 rw[43] -18.40 3.28 -18.31 -23.97 -13.36 36.55 1.02 rw[44] -18.42 3.28 -18.28 -23.70 -13.01 35.24 1.03 rw[45] -18.38 3.30 -18.31 -23.69 -13.12 34.79 1.02 rw[46] -18.29 3.30 -18.32 -23.82 -13.20 34.20 1.02 rw[47] -18.21 3.28 -18.06 -23.45 -12.83 32.15 1.03 rw[48] -18.10 3.26 -17.93 -23.42 -12.65 29.71 1.03 rw[49] -18.02 3.21 -17.96 -23.03 -12.65 28.78 1.03 rw[50] -17.91 3.14 -17.84 -22.58 -12.43 28.68 1.03 rw[51] -17.77 3.23 -17.73 -22.80 -12.29 26.98 1.03 rw[52] -17.59 3.23 -17.53 -22.62 -12.24 27.06 1.03 rw[53] -17.43 3.20 -17.28 -22.57 -12.03 27.63 1.03 rw[54] -17.25 3.20 -17.23 -22.47 -11.60 27.81 1.03 rw[55] -17.04 3.15 -17.09 -22.46 -11.79 27.10 1.04 rw[56] -16.89 3.13 -17.03 -21.82 -11.43 26.17 1.03 rw[57] -16.68 3.10 -16.70 -21.64 -11.34 26.29 1.03 rw[58] -16.54 3.10 -16.68 -21.12 -11.09 26.43 1.03 rw[59] -16.33 3.12 -16.45 -21.22 -11.21 26.61 1.04 rw[60] -16.11 3.17 -16.17 -20.72 -10.64 27.27 1.03 rw[61] -15.95 3.16 -16.02 -20.91 -10.84 26.03 1.03 rw[62] -15.78 3.21 -15.74 -20.99 -10.40 26.04 1.04 rw[63] -15.56 3.16 -15.62 -20.61 -10.16 26.95 1.04 rw[64] -15.34 3.13 -15.53 -20.58 -10.35 27.65 1.04 rw[65] -15.22 3.14 -15.38 -20.59 -10.21 27.70 1.04 rw[66] -15.05 3.15 -15.07 -20.56 -10.06 26.75 1.04 rw[67] -14.91 3.13 -15.01 -19.80 -9.47 27.12 1.05 rw[68] -14.79 3.14 -14.81 -19.93 -9.60 27.49 1.04 rw[69] -14.67 3.13 -14.76 -19.85 -9.80 28.27 1.04 rw[70] -14.61 3.13 -14.74 -20.00 -9.80 27.47 1.04 rw[71] -14.47 3.06 -14.53 -19.77 -9.85 27.93 1.05 rw[72] -14.35 3.08 -14.38 -19.10 -9.21 29.01 1.05 rw[73] -14.26 3.08 -14.23 -19.11 -9.05 28.96 1.04 rw[74] -14.17 3.07 -14.08 -18.96 -9.13 27.57 1.04 rw[75] -14.10 3.08 -14.04 -19.61 -9.56 29.72 1.04 rw[76] -14.01 3.04 -14.02 -18.66 -8.83 30.12 1.03 rw[77] -13.98 3.04 -13.99 -19.09 -9.32 29.49 1.03 rw[78] -13.95 3.05 -13.92 -18.63 -8.77 29.14 1.03 rw[79] -13.90 3.08 -13.98 -18.77 -8.60 29.85 1.03 rw[80] -13.80 3.06 -13.75 -18.48 -8.24 30.06 1.03 rw[81] -13.77 3.08 -13.76 -18.76 -8.53 29.95 1.03 rw[82] -13.73 3.06 -13.71 -19.19 -8.92 30.98 1.04 rw[83] -13.65 3.06 -13.54 -19.00 -9.04 30.51 1.04 rw[84] -13.62 3.05 -13.54 -18.61 -8.52 30.40 1.03 rw[85] -13.63 3.05 -13.57 -18.63 -8.74 30.11 1.04 rw[86] -13.57 3.06 -13.54 -18.39 -8.38 31.02 1.04 rw[87] -13.49 2.97 -13.52 -18.14 -8.61 30.26 1.03 rw[88] -13.39 3.01 -13.36 -18.05 -8.29 29.40 1.03 rw[89] -13.32 3.06 -13.30 -18.09 -8.21 31.61 1.03 rw[90] -13.28 3.07 -13.19 -18.77 -8.66 31.23 1.03 rw[91] -13.21 3.10 -13.12 -18.77 -8.43 31.61 1.04 rw[92] -13.10 3.08 -13.06 -17.78 -7.41 30.57 1.04 rw[93] -13.01 3.09 -12.98 -18.56 -8.26 29.58 1.04 rw[94] -12.91 3.10 -12.91 -17.68 -7.56 29.78 1.04 rw[95] -12.83 3.07 -12.78 -17.69 -7.65 29.09 1.05 rw[96] -12.67 3.04 -12.66 -17.98 -7.87 28.65 1.05 rw[97] -12.56 3.07 -12.57 -17.32 -7.17 27.89 1.04 rw[98] -12.48 3.04 -12.50 -17.48 -7.54 28.11 1.04 rw[99] -12.38 3.05 -12.35 -17.41 -7.24 28.19 1.04 rw[100] -12.28 3.03 -12.27 -17.01 -6.89 29.29 1.04 rw[101] -12.20 3.00 -12.23 -16.96 -6.90 30.01 1.04 rw[102] -12.13 2.99 -12.07 -17.62 -7.74 29.45 1.04 rw[103] -12.00 3.04 -12.01 -17.40 -7.31 30.32 1.04 rw[104] -11.89 3.01 -11.95 -16.85 -6.77 28.77 1.04 rw[105] -11.80 3.00 -11.79 -17.34 -7.18 29.29 1.04 rw[106] -11.62 3.00 -11.49 -16.62 -6.85 28.78 1.04 rw[107] -11.52 3.01 -11.40 -16.96 -7.16 28.62 1.04 rw[108] -11.41 3.00 -11.40 -16.17 -6.42 28.55 1.04 rw[109] -11.29 3.00 -11.32 -16.01 -6.03 27.86 1.05 rw[110] -11.17 3.03 -11.17 -15.96 -6.01 27.49 1.04 rw[111] -11.02 3.08 -11.03 -15.90 -5.96 28.24 1.04 rw[112] -10.96 3.07 -10.84 -15.75 -5.70 26.84 1.04 rw[113] -10.87 3.03 -10.75 -16.22 -6.49 26.26 1.05 rw[114] -10.81 3.04 -10.73 -16.29 -6.36 27.51 1.04 rw[115] -10.72 3.01 -10.59 -15.49 -5.77 28.67 1.04 rw[116] -10.67 2.97 -10.59 -15.33 -5.63 27.85 1.03 rw[117] -10.63 2.97 -10.57 -16.05 -6.28 26.87 1.03 rw[118] -10.61 2.96 -10.52 -16.15 -6.29 26.47 1.03 rw[119] -10.59 2.94 -10.50 -15.28 -5.84 26.86 1.03 rw[120] -10.59 2.95 -10.55 -15.44 -5.70 26.05 1.03 rw[121] -10.59 2.95 -10.54 -15.61 -5.82 26.44 1.03 rw[122] -10.57 2.92 -10.52 -15.16 -5.31 26.76 1.03 rw[123] -10.58 2.94 -10.43 -15.39 -5.80 25.79 1.05 rw[124] -10.62 2.94 -10.50 -16.00 -6.38 26.34 1.04 rw[125] -10.66 2.91 -10.54 -15.57 -5.99 27.17 1.04 rw[126] -10.75 2.96 -10.71 -16.08 -6.18 26.21 1.04 rw[127] -10.84 2.96 -10.82 -15.41 -5.72 26.32 1.04 rw[128] -11.01 3.01 -11.10 -16.07 -6.39 27.20 1.04 rw[129] -11.14 2.99 -11.24 -15.93 -6.33 27.70 1.05 rw[130] -11.27 2.96 -11.23 -16.10 -6.50 29.35 1.05 rw[131] -11.43 2.99 -11.40 -16.51 -6.70 28.72 1.05 rw[132] -11.60 2.98 -11.58 -16.76 -7.01 26.36 1.06 rw[133] -11.75 2.95 -11.73 -16.55 -7.00 26.58 1.06 rw[134] -11.88 3.00 -11.86 -16.98 -7.14 26.24 1.05 rw[135] -12.11 3.00 -12.03 -16.86 -7.11 27.34 1.04 rw[136] -12.34 2.98 -12.26 -17.11 -7.33 28.31 1.04 rw[137] -12.56 2.98 -12.46 -17.43 -7.69 27.65 1.04 rw[138] -12.72 3.01 -12.78 -17.41 -7.64 25.71 1.04 rw[139] -12.93 2.96 -12.98 -17.92 -8.45 25.37 1.04 rw[140] -13.18 2.99 -13.29 -18.10 -8.27 26.63 1.04 rw[141] -13.37 2.98 -13.46 -18.34 -8.66 27.39 1.04 rw[142] -13.54 3.02 -13.60 -18.13 -8.21 26.68 1.04 rw[143] -13.75 3.02 -13.79 -18.29 -8.47 26.79 1.03 rw[144] -13.92 3.03 -13.90 -18.56 -8.78 26.50 1.03 rw[145] -14.11 3.02 -14.01 -18.95 -9.18 26.02 1.03 rw[146] -14.29 3.08 -14.22 -19.39 -9.17 26.41 1.03 rw[147] -14.46 3.10 -14.34 -19.94 -9.70 26.51 1.03 rw[148] -14.61 3.08 -14.54 -19.48 -9.44 27.67 1.03 rw[149] -14.78 3.08 -14.63 -20.49 -10.13 27.08 1.03 rw[150] -14.88 3.07 -14.85 -20.04 -9.73 26.73 1.03 rw[151] -14.99 3.07 -14.85 -20.61 -10.22 26.64 1.03 rw[152] -15.16 3.07 -15.14 -19.86 -9.72 26.40 1.03 rw[153] -15.34 3.11 -15.38 -20.16 -9.92 27.55 1.03 rw[154] -15.46 3.13 -15.42 -20.69 -10.40 27.46 1.02 rw[155] -15.53 3.09 -15.56 -20.47 -10.27 27.60 1.02 rw[156] -15.63 3.12 -15.62 -21.09 -10.80 26.81 1.02 rw[157] -15.60 3.11 -15.70 -21.05 -10.93 26.97 1.02 rw[158] -15.57 3.09 -15.70 -20.53 -10.57 26.60 1.02 rw[159] -15.60 3.07 -15.62 -19.96 -9.84 27.61 1.03 rw[160] -15.54 3.04 -15.55 -21.15 -11.28 25.80 1.04 rw[161] -15.53 3.04 -15.48 -20.42 -10.52 25.53 1.03 rw[162] -15.43 3.01 -15.39 -20.32 -10.49 25.10 1.04 rw[163] -15.33 3.04 -15.33 -20.13 -10.34 25.31 1.04 rw[164] -15.16 2.99 -15.10 -19.97 -10.43 26.13 1.04 rw[165] -15.02 2.98 -15.06 -19.75 -10.02 26.26 1.05 rw[166] -14.80 3.00 -14.86 -19.35 -9.53 26.82 1.04 rw[167] -14.63 2.95 -14.71 -19.45 -9.57 25.76 1.04 rw[168] -14.43 2.93 -14.39 -19.15 -9.60 25.57 1.04 rw[169] -14.20 2.89 -14.21 -19.09 -9.51 24.03 1.05 rw[170] -13.97 2.80 -13.93 -18.17 -9.11 24.23 1.05 rw[171] -13.74 2.73 -13.64 -18.56 -9.62 23.69 1.05 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1285.86 1.00 Number of divergences: 0