mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.83 1.17 0.47 0.00 1.91 818.34 1.00 E0 54.27 47.20 42.34 0.01 121.68 345.53 1.01 H0 1.58 1.52 1.11 0.00 3.60 1298.42 1.00 I0 31.21 19.57 27.01 3.96 56.21 142.09 1.02 beta0 2.63 0.61 2.57 1.77 3.47 22.57 1.07 confirmed_dispersion 0.48 0.06 0.48 0.38 0.58 1186.92 1.00 death_dispersion 0.30 0.03 0.30 0.25 0.34 1199.04 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 451.38 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.09 399.67 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1233.97 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1169.12 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.01 0.50 0.48 0.53 1131.34 1.00 rw[0] 0.04 0.96 0.04 -1.44 1.63 237.45 1.01 rw[1] 0.24 1.36 0.21 -2.09 2.29 83.11 1.02 rw[2] 0.51 1.60 0.50 -1.97 3.27 55.45 1.02 rw[3] 0.77 1.86 0.78 -2.00 4.11 46.73 1.04 rw[4] 1.07 2.02 1.00 -1.88 4.75 39.04 1.03 rw[5] 1.31 2.15 1.34 -2.29 4.85 36.08 1.03 rw[6] 1.40 2.26 1.41 -2.15 5.14 32.08 1.04 rw[7] 1.37 2.38 1.45 -2.92 4.88 28.74 1.05 rw[8] 1.13 2.47 1.26 -2.44 5.81 29.30 1.05 rw[9] 0.74 2.50 0.85 -3.64 4.63 29.34 1.05 rw[10] 0.08 2.55 0.25 -3.90 4.42 30.05 1.05 rw[11] -0.61 2.55 -0.52 -4.72 3.42 27.47 1.06 rw[12] -1.42 2.52 -1.42 -5.78 2.36 26.98 1.05 rw[13] -2.30 2.54 -2.23 -6.35 2.15 26.70 1.05 rw[14] -3.12 2.57 -3.07 -7.13 1.01 26.81 1.05 rw[15] -4.05 2.56 -3.95 -8.16 0.34 26.19 1.06 rw[16] -4.93 2.54 -4.78 -9.12 -0.95 27.27 1.05 rw[17] -5.83 2.56 -5.63 -9.85 -1.69 27.37 1.06 rw[18] -6.85 2.58 -6.79 -10.82 -2.58 27.32 1.06 rw[19] -7.92 2.59 -7.78 -11.58 -3.22 27.72 1.06 rw[20] -9.01 2.59 -8.88 -12.99 -4.85 26.79 1.06 rw[21] -10.11 2.57 -10.06 -14.32 -6.00 26.33 1.05 rw[22] -11.26 2.58 -11.18 -14.96 -6.85 23.71 1.06 rw[23] -12.39 2.57 -12.34 -15.93 -7.79 24.71 1.07 rw[24] -13.55 2.60 -13.44 -17.70 -9.49 24.84 1.07 rw[25] -14.71 2.60 -14.65 -18.73 -10.20 25.30 1.07 rw[26] -15.76 2.63 -15.76 -19.78 -11.46 25.93 1.07 rw[27] -16.80 2.69 -16.74 -20.68 -12.12 26.68 1.07 rw[28] -17.80 2.72 -17.77 -21.91 -13.21 27.68 1.07 rw[29] -18.72 2.75 -18.66 -23.12 -14.34 27.65 1.07 rw[30] -19.54 2.76 -19.46 -23.89 -14.94 30.05 1.06 rw[31] -20.24 2.79 -20.20 -24.50 -15.46 29.96 1.06 rw[32] -20.90 2.84 -20.82 -25.53 -16.32 30.00 1.06 rw[33] -21.40 2.82 -21.29 -25.73 -16.62 30.39 1.06 rw[34] -21.90 2.81 -21.80 -26.23 -17.12 30.74 1.06 rw[35] -22.28 2.80 -22.16 -26.10 -17.23 33.38 1.05 rw[36] -22.56 2.79 -22.47 -26.65 -17.70 36.18 1.05 rw[37] -22.78 2.78 -22.70 -26.99 -17.99 37.75 1.05 rw[38] -22.95 2.81 -22.81 -27.63 -18.38 38.11 1.05 rw[39] -23.01 2.81 -22.80 -27.82 -18.55 39.81 1.04 rw[40] -23.08 2.86 -22.99 -27.64 -18.30 40.29 1.04 rw[41] -23.05 2.86 -22.93 -27.86 -18.44 39.93 1.03 rw[42] -22.99 2.89 -22.85 -27.69 -18.20 42.35 1.03 rw[43] -22.90 2.91 -22.83 -27.70 -18.13 43.77 1.03 rw[44] -22.80 2.92 -22.61 -27.90 -18.15 42.70 1.03 rw[45] -22.66 2.93 -22.50 -27.12 -17.59 41.86 1.03 rw[46] -22.48 2.92 -22.37 -26.89 -17.48 39.92 1.03 rw[47] -22.29 2.91 -22.14 -26.64 -17.28 36.95 1.04 rw[48] -22.07 2.86 -21.92 -27.03 -17.73 34.32 1.04 rw[49] -21.87 2.81 -21.69 -26.30 -17.09 33.75 1.04 rw[50] -21.71 2.82 -21.57 -26.30 -17.01 31.72 1.05 rw[51] -21.54 2.85 -21.46 -25.98 -16.73 29.45 1.05 rw[52] -21.36 2.84 -21.20 -25.90 -16.63 30.10 1.05 rw[53] -21.23 2.84 -21.08 -25.99 -16.70 30.15 1.05 rw[54] -21.00 2.83 -20.86 -25.57 -16.23 30.83 1.04 rw[55] -20.78 2.79 -20.68 -25.17 -15.79 29.22 1.04 rw[56] -20.64 2.78 -20.47 -24.92 -15.96 29.12 1.04 rw[57] -20.48 2.77 -20.42 -24.62 -15.41 29.78 1.04 rw[58] -20.33 2.77 -20.31 -24.46 -15.40 28.45 1.04 rw[59] -20.17 2.77 -20.13 -24.25 -15.55 27.97 1.05 rw[60] -20.02 2.76 -20.04 -24.05 -15.22 28.89 1.05 rw[61] -19.88 2.78 -19.84 -24.46 -15.57 27.71 1.05 rw[62] -19.69 2.79 -19.66 -24.29 -15.20 27.91 1.05 rw[63] -19.51 2.73 -19.46 -23.68 -14.80 29.09 1.05 rw[64] -19.34 2.68 -19.31 -24.00 -15.18 30.06 1.05 rw[65] -19.23 2.68 -19.21 -23.13 -14.31 30.62 1.05 rw[66] -19.07 2.72 -19.08 -23.27 -14.37 30.55 1.05 rw[67] -18.93 2.74 -18.88 -23.20 -14.53 29.65 1.06 rw[68] -18.82 2.76 -18.76 -23.23 -14.38 30.43 1.06 rw[69] -18.67 2.76 -18.65 -23.20 -14.13 31.04 1.06 rw[70] -18.56 2.77 -18.54 -22.97 -13.73 30.79 1.06 rw[71] -18.40 2.67 -18.41 -22.40 -13.69 30.86 1.07 rw[72] -18.29 2.71 -18.22 -22.36 -13.56 30.72 1.07 rw[73] -18.21 2.74 -18.16 -22.75 -13.93 31.75 1.06 rw[74] -18.10 2.75 -18.02 -22.27 -13.38 29.30 1.06 rw[75] -18.01 2.78 -17.96 -22.60 -13.52 31.60 1.06 rw[76] -17.90 2.79 -17.87 -22.24 -13.26 32.91 1.05 rw[77] -17.87 2.78 -17.81 -22.64 -13.62 32.33 1.05 rw[78] -17.82 2.76 -17.66 -21.96 -12.98 31.76 1.05 rw[79] -17.82 2.75 -17.69 -22.27 -13.11 33.38 1.05 rw[80] -17.76 2.77 -17.66 -22.30 -13.28 33.45 1.05 rw[81] -17.75 2.74 -17.71 -22.41 -13.47 35.67 1.05 rw[82] -17.75 2.72 -17.67 -22.39 -13.39 37.29 1.06 rw[83] -17.71 2.73 -17.63 -22.70 -13.73 35.99 1.06 rw[84] -17.68 2.74 -17.56 -22.58 -13.77 38.31 1.05 rw[85] -17.73 2.73 -17.66 -21.83 -13.10 36.95 1.05 rw[86] -17.74 2.70 -17.58 -22.15 -13.25 38.50 1.05 rw[87] -17.72 2.65 -17.67 -21.97 -13.60 38.55 1.05 rw[88] -17.67 2.64 -17.55 -22.10 -13.57 36.30 1.05 rw[89] -17.68 2.68 -17.62 -21.82 -13.11 37.72 1.04 rw[90] -17.69 2.70 -17.50 -22.21 -13.46 38.97 1.04 rw[91] -17.69 2.70 -17.60 -22.76 -13.63 37.34 1.05 rw[92] -17.65 2.65 -17.48 -21.80 -13.15 35.07 1.05 rw[93] -17.60 2.70 -17.48 -22.18 -13.34 35.15 1.05 rw[94] -17.59 2.69 -17.44 -21.91 -13.20 35.59 1.06 rw[95] -17.53 2.68 -17.35 -21.82 -13.13 35.85 1.05 rw[96] -17.47 2.71 -17.35 -22.04 -13.13 35.62 1.05 rw[97] -17.37 2.73 -17.29 -22.46 -13.24 33.80 1.05 rw[98] -17.30 2.74 -17.25 -21.48 -12.42 34.51 1.04 rw[99] -17.17 2.73 -17.10 -21.91 -12.87 32.73 1.05 rw[100] -17.07 2.74 -17.08 -21.94 -12.93 34.06 1.04 rw[101] -16.96 2.72 -16.91 -21.15 -12.33 35.35 1.05 rw[102] -16.87 2.69 -16.78 -21.10 -12.34 33.79 1.05 rw[103] -16.77 2.75 -16.65 -21.32 -12.20 33.13 1.05 rw[104] -16.67 2.72 -16.47 -21.44 -12.41 31.18 1.05 rw[105] -16.56 2.74 -16.34 -21.05 -11.87 33.33 1.06 rw[106] -16.48 2.72 -16.34 -20.74 -11.87 33.95 1.05 rw[107] -16.39 2.68 -16.26 -20.31 -11.69 34.65 1.05 rw[108] -16.33 2.69 -16.29 -20.54 -11.97 35.27 1.04 rw[109] -16.27 2.75 -16.30 -20.53 -11.95 35.13 1.06 rw[110] -16.19 2.73 -16.16 -19.96 -11.24 34.30 1.05 rw[111] -16.07 2.76 -16.00 -20.00 -11.06 31.70 1.05 rw[112] -16.04 2.75 -15.96 -20.25 -11.25 31.23 1.05 rw[113] -15.96 2.73 -15.86 -20.92 -11.89 29.05 1.06 rw[114] -16.03 2.73 -15.92 -20.95 -11.77 29.71 1.06 rw[115] -16.03 2.72 -15.90 -20.79 -12.04 30.89 1.05 rw[116] -16.09 2.72 -15.97 -21.28 -12.30 30.51 1.05 rw[117] -16.15 2.67 -16.03 -21.28 -12.49 30.84 1.05 rw[118] -16.18 2.62 -16.06 -20.43 -11.67 29.94 1.05 rw[119] -16.26 2.64 -16.26 -20.89 -12.17 31.02 1.05 rw[120] -16.37 2.65 -16.32 -20.54 -12.00 30.42 1.05 rw[121] -16.49 2.65 -16.38 -21.02 -12.44 28.77 1.05 rw[122] -16.60 2.64 -16.47 -21.10 -12.37 29.25 1.06 rw[123] -16.66 2.63 -16.53 -21.03 -12.51 27.98 1.06 rw[124] -16.72 2.62 -16.55 -20.86 -12.51 27.97 1.06 rw[125] -16.74 2.62 -16.51 -21.07 -12.42 29.87 1.06 rw[126] -16.79 2.67 -16.61 -21.13 -12.22 28.64 1.07 rw[127] -16.85 2.70 -16.74 -21.40 -12.47 28.93 1.08 rw[128] -16.94 2.72 -16.80 -21.40 -12.70 31.85 1.07 rw[129] -16.97 2.68 -16.95 -21.32 -12.69 33.20 1.06 rw[130] -17.05 2.67 -16.92 -21.36 -12.83 35.52 1.07 rw[131] -17.07 2.67 -16.89 -21.50 -12.71 34.83 1.07 rw[132] -17.13 2.67 -16.97 -21.39 -12.42 29.70 1.09 rw[133] -17.15 2.67 -17.05 -21.41 -12.55 31.86 1.08 rw[134] -17.17 2.67 -17.08 -21.49 -12.83 29.01 1.07 rw[135] -17.22 2.68 -17.17 -21.58 -12.82 29.87 1.06 rw[136] -17.23 2.66 -17.18 -21.69 -12.88 32.50 1.05 rw[137] -17.21 2.66 -17.07 -21.31 -12.62 32.94 1.05 rw[138] -17.16 2.67 -17.22 -21.44 -12.47 28.36 1.06 rw[139] -17.12 2.60 -17.06 -21.43 -12.72 27.43 1.06 rw[140] -17.09 2.57 -17.06 -21.26 -12.93 28.60 1.06 rw[141] -17.05 2.58 -16.97 -21.26 -12.89 29.41 1.06 rw[142] -16.96 2.59 -16.89 -21.25 -12.73 29.00 1.06 rw[143] -16.89 2.60 -16.80 -20.87 -12.42 29.29 1.05 rw[144] -16.78 2.61 -16.72 -20.71 -12.36 29.91 1.05 rw[145] -16.70 2.60 -16.64 -21.30 -12.89 29.59 1.05 rw[146] -16.55 2.59 -16.47 -20.55 -12.24 30.37 1.05 rw[147] -16.45 2.60 -16.41 -20.37 -11.93 29.74 1.06 rw[148] -16.33 2.66 -16.26 -20.56 -12.20 31.30 1.05 rw[149] -16.29 2.69 -16.20 -20.28 -11.56 30.40 1.05 rw[150] -16.19 2.66 -16.09 -20.61 -11.70 30.69 1.04 rw[151] -16.07 2.60 -15.96 -20.45 -11.84 29.40 1.06 rw[152] -16.01 2.63 -15.95 -20.39 -11.77 29.87 1.05 rw[153] -15.93 2.63 -15.86 -19.96 -11.64 29.86 1.04 rw[154] -15.85 2.64 -15.77 -19.76 -11.20 30.60 1.04 rw[155] -15.80 2.64 -15.75 -19.87 -11.34 32.29 1.04 rw[156] -15.68 2.62 -15.59 -19.64 -11.16 32.65 1.04 rw[157] -15.56 2.62 -15.49 -19.42 -10.97 30.08 1.05 rw[158] -15.43 2.62 -15.37 -19.59 -11.30 28.95 1.05 rw[159] -15.38 2.59 -15.27 -19.53 -11.18 30.94 1.05 rw[160] -15.32 2.55 -15.25 -19.69 -11.21 31.35 1.06 rw[161] -15.25 2.60 -15.22 -19.74 -11.05 29.24 1.06 rw[162] -15.16 2.61 -15.05 -19.40 -10.83 27.36 1.06 rw[163] -15.11 2.58 -15.13 -19.17 -10.88 27.40 1.06 rw[164] -15.03 2.55 -14.98 -19.06 -10.81 28.50 1.06 rw[165] -15.00 2.55 -14.90 -19.02 -11.01 29.84 1.07 rw[166] -14.97 2.58 -14.87 -18.99 -10.72 30.05 1.08 rw[167] -14.93 2.56 -14.93 -18.67 -10.19 28.58 1.07 rw[168] -14.87 2.48 -14.83 -19.06 -11.11 27.00 1.08 rw[169] -14.91 2.46 -14.89 -18.50 -10.37 25.77 1.08 rw[170] -14.92 2.40 -14.87 -18.82 -11.03 25.38 1.07 rw[171] -14.90 2.26 -14.72 -18.24 -10.98 22.28 1.08 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1009.66 1.00 Number of divergences: 0