mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.20 1.65 0.66 0.00 2.74 1021.39 1.00 E0 16.24 16.93 11.01 0.02 36.55 81.36 1.00 H0 3.35 2.68 2.68 0.00 6.71 890.47 1.00 I0 6.46 8.31 3.64 0.01 15.17 58.48 1.00 beta0 1.90 0.73 1.67 0.89 3.02 12.04 1.09 confirmed_dispersion 0.52 0.07 0.51 0.40 0.64 868.86 1.00 death_dispersion 0.59 0.05 0.59 0.50 0.67 775.47 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 751.86 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.10 547.08 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.29 0.18 0.40 878.90 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 861.13 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 900.56 1.00 rw[0] -0.13 1.02 -0.14 -1.84 1.53 70.56 1.02 rw[1] -0.21 1.49 -0.21 -2.45 2.51 37.36 1.03 rw[2] -0.22 1.84 -0.16 -3.32 2.72 28.53 1.04 rw[3] -0.22 2.18 -0.10 -3.80 3.34 22.91 1.06 rw[4] -0.19 2.48 -0.16 -4.10 3.98 20.79 1.07 rw[5] -0.19 2.73 -0.09 -4.53 4.07 18.75 1.07 rw[6] -0.19 2.96 -0.10 -5.68 3.95 18.55 1.07 rw[7] -0.19 3.18 0.00 -5.14 5.13 17.07 1.07 rw[8] -0.23 3.39 -0.05 -5.53 5.17 16.91 1.07 rw[9] -0.29 3.56 -0.13 -6.35 4.82 16.25 1.07 rw[10] -0.38 3.74 -0.14 -6.41 5.16 15.56 1.06 rw[11] -0.56 3.87 -0.21 -7.00 5.29 15.43 1.06 rw[12] -0.76 3.97 -0.38 -7.38 5.15 15.04 1.06 rw[13] -1.04 4.06 -0.72 -7.69 5.02 15.32 1.06 rw[14] -1.44 4.14 -1.11 -8.71 4.38 14.77 1.06 rw[15] -1.93 4.17 -1.47 -9.38 3.81 14.71 1.06 rw[16] -2.47 4.19 -2.14 -8.82 4.02 14.38 1.06 rw[17] -3.17 4.19 -2.97 -9.86 3.00 14.33 1.06 rw[18] -3.91 4.26 -3.59 -11.06 2.39 14.16 1.06 rw[19] -4.71 4.27 -4.30 -11.45 1.86 13.76 1.05 rw[20] -5.48 4.23 -5.00 -11.86 1.23 13.52 1.06 rw[21] -6.20 4.17 -5.83 -13.08 -0.22 13.58 1.06 rw[22] -6.93 4.19 -6.49 -13.63 -0.56 13.55 1.06 rw[23] -7.62 4.16 -7.10 -14.56 -1.68 13.65 1.06 rw[24] -8.27 4.18 -7.82 -15.19 -2.22 13.42 1.07 rw[25] -8.88 4.16 -8.39 -15.64 -2.77 13.33 1.06 rw[26] -9.48 4.13 -8.97 -16.21 -3.57 13.32 1.07 rw[27] -9.97 4.18 -9.59 -16.56 -3.53 13.50 1.06 rw[28] -10.42 4.20 -9.93 -17.23 -4.04 13.88 1.06 rw[29] -10.88 4.22 -10.42 -17.63 -4.57 14.06 1.06 rw[30] -11.27 4.21 -10.87 -17.97 -4.95 14.01 1.06 rw[31] -11.65 4.15 -11.31 -18.26 -5.50 14.23 1.06 rw[32] -11.97 4.13 -11.63 -18.94 -6.06 14.60 1.06 rw[33] -12.22 4.11 -11.72 -18.43 -5.62 14.48 1.06 rw[34] -12.43 4.14 -12.02 -19.04 -6.05 14.83 1.05 rw[35] -12.59 4.11 -12.22 -19.08 -6.02 14.74 1.06 rw[36] -12.75 4.14 -12.35 -19.79 -6.56 14.87 1.05 rw[37] -12.92 4.12 -12.62 -19.51 -6.60 14.56 1.05 rw[38] -13.02 4.11 -12.78 -19.82 -6.92 14.62 1.05 rw[39] -13.09 4.08 -12.79 -19.49 -6.51 14.68 1.05 rw[40] -13.20 4.06 -13.01 -20.39 -7.39 14.60 1.05 rw[41] -13.27 4.07 -13.02 -20.50 -7.67 14.70 1.04 rw[42] -13.39 4.10 -13.01 -20.18 -7.07 14.57 1.04 rw[43] -13.48 4.09 -13.12 -20.50 -7.49 14.43 1.04 rw[44] -13.53 4.08 -13.42 -20.08 -6.97 14.56 1.04 rw[45] -13.63 4.09 -13.49 -20.27 -7.16 14.09 1.05 rw[46] -13.68 4.12 -13.52 -20.33 -7.27 13.88 1.05 rw[47] -13.78 4.15 -13.58 -20.55 -7.63 14.28 1.05 rw[48] -13.85 4.13 -13.48 -21.01 -7.91 14.39 1.05 rw[49] -13.92 4.15 -13.61 -20.84 -7.94 14.26 1.05 rw[50] -13.92 4.22 -13.51 -20.43 -7.06 14.42 1.06 rw[51] -13.91 4.22 -13.50 -20.85 -7.64 14.48 1.06 rw[52] -13.95 4.25 -13.54 -20.78 -7.81 14.84 1.06 rw[53] -13.97 4.24 -13.58 -21.06 -8.02 14.48 1.06 rw[54] -13.99 4.22 -13.80 -20.80 -7.63 14.54 1.06 rw[55] -14.02 4.21 -13.87 -20.82 -7.65 14.76 1.06 rw[56] -14.08 4.24 -13.82 -20.52 -7.30 14.59 1.06 rw[57] -14.09 4.20 -14.05 -21.02 -7.80 14.87 1.06 rw[58] -14.11 4.20 -13.87 -20.60 -7.41 14.88 1.06 rw[59] -14.16 4.24 -14.09 -20.54 -7.67 14.72 1.07 rw[60] -14.23 4.26 -14.14 -20.66 -7.66 14.28 1.07 rw[61] -14.26 4.23 -14.12 -20.33 -7.26 14.12 1.08 rw[62] -14.38 4.25 -14.31 -20.37 -6.97 14.26 1.07 rw[63] -14.46 4.22 -14.34 -20.74 -7.45 14.47 1.07 rw[64] -14.59 4.22 -14.36 -20.97 -7.68 14.23 1.07 rw[65] -14.76 4.22 -14.48 -21.31 -8.07 14.50 1.06 rw[66] -14.94 4.23 -14.75 -21.45 -8.16 14.43 1.06 rw[67] -15.06 4.20 -14.74 -21.56 -8.09 14.08 1.06 rw[68] -15.18 4.16 -14.86 -21.92 -8.82 14.14 1.05 rw[69] -15.32 4.12 -14.91 -22.24 -9.37 14.17 1.06 rw[70] -15.37 4.13 -14.96 -22.15 -9.61 14.33 1.06 rw[71] -15.45 4.11 -14.98 -22.05 -9.36 14.52 1.06 rw[72] -15.52 4.16 -15.20 -22.37 -9.58 14.51 1.05 rw[73] -15.57 4.19 -15.08 -22.55 -9.60 14.55 1.05 rw[74] -15.68 4.15 -15.08 -22.51 -9.49 14.82 1.04 rw[75] -15.68 4.18 -14.94 -22.34 -9.29 14.50 1.05 rw[76] -15.70 4.18 -14.94 -22.72 -9.75 14.76 1.04 rw[77] -15.71 4.17 -15.07 -22.06 -9.23 15.09 1.05 rw[78] -15.73 4.14 -15.11 -22.63 -9.75 14.97 1.05 rw[79] -15.72 4.10 -15.20 -22.10 -9.43 15.13 1.06 rw[80] -15.71 4.10 -15.20 -21.96 -9.35 14.96 1.05 rw[81] -15.75 4.11 -15.19 -23.02 -10.10 14.84 1.06 rw[82] -15.74 4.16 -15.32 -22.66 -9.56 15.16 1.06 rw[83] -15.78 4.19 -15.44 -21.98 -8.83 14.72 1.06 rw[84] -15.83 4.21 -15.62 -22.11 -8.84 14.49 1.06 rw[85] -15.87 4.21 -15.72 -22.72 -9.57 14.34 1.06 rw[86] -15.84 4.23 -15.55 -22.56 -9.47 14.30 1.06 rw[87] -15.87 4.22 -15.64 -22.15 -9.18 14.05 1.06 rw[88] -15.85 4.29 -15.66 -22.68 -9.27 13.81 1.06 rw[89] -15.74 4.27 -15.45 -22.30 -9.01 13.70 1.06 rw[90] -15.66 4.22 -15.58 -22.40 -9.21 13.95 1.06 rw[91] -15.68 4.23 -15.49 -22.16 -8.99 14.38 1.05 rw[92] -15.60 4.25 -15.43 -22.84 -9.43 14.54 1.05 rw[93] -15.45 4.19 -15.13 -23.24 -10.01 14.80 1.05 rw[94] -15.32 4.20 -14.87 -21.98 -8.85 14.60 1.05 rw[95] -15.17 4.20 -14.72 -22.71 -9.61 14.52 1.05 rw[96] -14.95 4.16 -14.65 -21.98 -9.02 14.28 1.05 rw[97] -14.79 4.23 -14.46 -22.01 -8.88 14.34 1.05 rw[98] -14.56 4.22 -14.34 -21.76 -8.53 14.23 1.05 rw[99] -14.37 4.18 -14.14 -21.59 -8.28 14.51 1.05 rw[100] -14.18 4.19 -13.93 -21.19 -8.20 14.67 1.06 rw[101] -13.95 4.14 -13.75 -20.70 -7.67 14.86 1.05 rw[102] -13.72 4.14 -13.49 -20.74 -7.76 14.98 1.05 rw[103] -13.46 4.09 -13.11 -20.13 -7.35 15.04 1.05 rw[104] -13.23 4.09 -12.83 -19.94 -7.34 15.01 1.06 rw[105] -13.05 4.05 -12.63 -19.37 -6.85 15.14 1.06 rw[106] -12.77 4.05 -12.42 -19.09 -6.32 15.50 1.06 rw[107] -12.58 4.02 -12.23 -18.95 -6.29 15.41 1.06 rw[108] -12.33 4.01 -11.93 -18.87 -6.23 15.20 1.06 rw[109] -12.16 4.04 -11.82 -18.96 -6.11 15.15 1.06 rw[110] -11.97 4.07 -11.65 -18.59 -6.05 14.96 1.06 rw[111] -11.78 4.03 -11.50 -18.63 -6.14 14.58 1.06 rw[112] -11.61 4.01 -11.35 -18.42 -6.01 14.55 1.06 rw[113] -11.48 4.00 -11.21 -18.42 -5.79 14.44 1.06 rw[114] -11.31 3.98 -11.06 -17.81 -5.36 14.37 1.06 rw[115] -11.22 4.03 -11.00 -18.19 -5.43 14.41 1.06 rw[116] -11.07 4.05 -10.83 -17.82 -5.12 14.58 1.06 rw[117] -10.88 4.06 -10.79 -17.43 -4.63 14.18 1.06 rw[118] -10.70 4.03 -10.42 -17.30 -4.68 13.87 1.06 rw[119] -10.52 4.01 -10.22 -17.32 -4.65 13.85 1.05 rw[120] -10.36 4.04 -10.11 -17.24 -4.79 13.88 1.06 rw[121] -10.31 4.09 -10.10 -16.51 -3.84 13.88 1.05 rw[122] -10.26 4.06 -10.08 -16.57 -3.97 13.94 1.05 rw[123] -10.23 4.08 -10.01 -16.56 -3.69 13.83 1.05 rw[124] -10.31 4.10 -10.07 -16.88 -4.09 13.67 1.05 rw[125] -10.35 4.13 -10.05 -16.93 -4.18 13.63 1.06 rw[126] -10.41 4.13 -10.17 -17.13 -4.29 13.72 1.06 rw[127] -10.52 4.18 -10.24 -17.47 -4.58 13.70 1.06 rw[128] -10.67 4.15 -10.26 -17.45 -4.69 13.74 1.06 rw[129] -10.78 4.16 -10.35 -17.13 -4.36 13.98 1.07 rw[130] -10.93 4.18 -10.42 -17.41 -4.22 14.48 1.06 rw[131] -11.13 4.17 -10.75 -17.54 -4.53 14.73 1.06 rw[132] -11.30 4.15 -11.00 -17.76 -4.62 14.74 1.06 rw[133] -11.49 4.13 -11.26 -18.46 -5.25 14.90 1.06 rw[134] -11.70 4.12 -11.47 -18.48 -5.64 14.75 1.06 rw[135] -11.87 4.11 -11.57 -18.64 -5.87 14.71 1.06 rw[136] -12.07 4.14 -11.82 -19.12 -5.97 14.73 1.05 rw[137] -12.29 4.14 -12.06 -18.91 -5.96 14.34 1.06 rw[138] -12.50 4.13 -12.21 -19.24 -6.47 14.12 1.05 rw[139] -12.75 4.12 -12.38 -20.01 -6.86 14.00 1.05 rw[140] -12.94 4.07 -12.58 -19.59 -6.80 14.23 1.05 rw[141] -13.12 4.08 -12.79 -19.83 -7.07 14.34 1.05 rw[142] -13.33 4.05 -13.04 -20.34 -7.50 14.40 1.05 rw[143] -13.50 4.07 -13.17 -19.79 -7.01 13.94 1.05 rw[144] -13.63 4.07 -13.22 -20.09 -7.35 13.91 1.06 rw[145] -13.71 4.11 -13.44 -20.02 -7.26 13.88 1.06 rw[146] -13.85 4.05 -13.45 -20.37 -7.75 13.98 1.06 rw[147] -13.94 4.06 -13.44 -20.26 -7.98 14.31 1.05 rw[148] -13.95 4.09 -13.57 -20.67 -8.17 14.18 1.05 rw[149] -13.95 4.05 -13.52 -20.71 -8.20 14.04 1.05 rw[150] -13.96 4.03 -13.67 -20.85 -8.38 14.23 1.05 rw[151] -14.00 4.01 -13.62 -21.01 -8.29 14.24 1.05 rw[152] -13.97 4.01 -13.63 -20.21 -7.79 14.23 1.06 rw[153] -13.97 4.03 -13.67 -21.10 -8.56 14.21 1.05 rw[154] -13.97 4.04 -13.65 -20.63 -7.92 14.10 1.05 rw[155] -13.98 4.07 -13.67 -20.11 -7.49 14.08 1.05 rw[156] -13.98 4.10 -13.59 -20.84 -8.04 13.99 1.05 rw[157] -14.01 4.15 -13.70 -20.56 -7.62 14.30 1.05 rw[158] -14.01 4.16 -13.69 -21.07 -8.05 14.28 1.05 rw[159] -14.01 4.13 -13.78 -21.12 -8.13 14.30 1.05 rw[160] -14.02 4.13 -13.71 -21.30 -8.43 14.48 1.06 rw[161] -13.97 4.14 -13.60 -20.55 -7.80 14.46 1.06 rw[162] -13.95 4.17 -13.54 -21.10 -8.21 14.39 1.06 rw[163] -13.88 4.19 -13.44 -20.68 -7.58 14.13 1.06 rw[164] -13.78 4.17 -13.30 -20.61 -7.56 14.05 1.06 rw[165] -13.66 4.14 -13.33 -20.29 -7.38 14.11 1.06 rw[166] -13.52 4.13 -13.23 -20.42 -7.50 14.23 1.06 rw[167] -13.39 4.15 -12.98 -20.00 -7.18 14.03 1.06 rw[168] -13.24 4.12 -12.96 -20.16 -7.31 13.98 1.06 rw[169] -13.10 4.08 -12.62 -19.87 -7.29 13.59 1.06 rw[170] -12.95 4.08 -12.60 -19.69 -7.09 13.77 1.06 rw[171] -12.80 4.04 -12.42 -19.38 -6.94 13.97 1.06 rw[172] -12.59 4.03 -12.30 -18.62 -6.28 14.13 1.06 rw[173] -12.41 4.04 -12.11 -18.78 -6.21 14.11 1.06 rw[174] -12.21 4.04 -11.89 -18.64 -6.10 14.08 1.06 rw[175] -11.92 3.97 -11.75 -18.25 -5.83 13.63 1.06 rw[176] -11.63 3.96 -11.47 -18.42 -6.19 13.57 1.06 rw[177] -11.25 3.90 -11.01 -17.70 -5.68 13.22 1.06 rw[178] -10.86 3.85 -10.40 -17.26 -5.45 12.70 1.07 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 593.16 1.00 Number of divergences: 0