mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.97 1.16 0.58 0.00 2.32 1294.33 1.00 E0 8.03 10.17 4.55 0.00 19.79 87.33 1.01 H0 2.40 2.21 1.81 0.00 5.35 1009.57 1.00 I0 4.21 5.61 2.12 0.00 10.77 62.36 1.01 beta0 1.56 0.59 1.43 0.72 2.45 12.23 1.06 confirmed_dispersion 0.91 0.08 0.91 0.78 1.04 1496.52 1.00 death_dispersion 0.42 0.05 0.42 0.34 0.49 1962.39 1.00 death_prob 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.03 1243.94 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.08 772.06 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.18 0.39 2017.36 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1507.69 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1815.10 1.00 rw[0] -0.07 1.03 -0.04 -1.75 1.60 95.08 1.02 rw[1] -0.09 1.49 -0.03 -2.69 2.19 43.57 1.03 rw[2] -0.07 1.85 -0.02 -3.59 2.49 31.85 1.04 rw[3] -0.06 2.17 -0.00 -3.50 3.69 26.56 1.05 rw[4] 0.05 2.47 0.13 -3.55 4.49 22.61 1.05 rw[5] 0.10 2.69 0.21 -4.67 4.06 20.71 1.05 rw[6] 0.21 2.88 0.26 -4.88 4.52 19.17 1.05 rw[7] 0.27 3.09 0.37 -4.82 5.25 17.60 1.06 rw[8] 0.37 3.27 0.46 -4.81 5.75 17.53 1.06 rw[9] 0.45 3.40 0.46 -5.07 5.91 16.75 1.06 rw[10] 0.49 3.52 0.68 -5.55 5.77 15.46 1.06 rw[11] 0.54 3.69 0.63 -5.14 6.43 15.26 1.06 rw[12] 0.55 3.80 0.67 -5.53 6.55 15.02 1.06 rw[13] 0.50 3.90 0.71 -5.84 6.56 15.22 1.06 rw[14] 0.42 4.03 0.54 -6.47 6.34 14.74 1.06 rw[15] 0.23 4.06 0.24 -6.20 6.67 14.49 1.06 rw[16] 0.04 4.07 0.07 -7.10 6.00 13.82 1.06 rw[17] -0.32 4.15 -0.31 -7.21 5.81 13.51 1.06 rw[18] -0.63 4.21 -0.65 -8.02 5.36 13.56 1.06 rw[19] -1.13 4.28 -1.03 -7.90 5.43 13.05 1.05 rw[20] -1.76 4.23 -1.58 -8.81 4.41 12.88 1.05 rw[21] -2.38 4.23 -2.10 -8.86 4.37 12.87 1.05 rw[22] -3.16 4.27 -2.92 -9.85 3.38 12.95 1.05 rw[23] -3.98 4.30 -3.72 -10.99 2.47 13.02 1.05 rw[24] -4.82 4.31 -4.43 -11.87 1.54 13.22 1.06 rw[25] -5.74 4.31 -5.46 -12.77 0.55 12.94 1.06 rw[26] -6.69 4.36 -6.46 -13.70 0.07 12.90 1.06 rw[27] -7.58 4.41 -7.29 -15.13 -1.50 12.83 1.07 rw[28] -8.44 4.40 -8.25 -16.04 -2.41 13.11 1.06 rw[29] -9.25 4.40 -9.06 -16.66 -2.81 13.46 1.07 rw[30] -9.97 4.35 -9.76 -16.81 -3.40 13.30 1.06 rw[31] -10.62 4.31 -10.46 -17.77 -4.54 13.50 1.06 rw[32] -11.15 4.31 -10.91 -18.27 -4.95 13.87 1.06 rw[33] -11.69 4.20 -11.48 -18.50 -5.36 14.01 1.06 rw[34] -12.13 4.23 -11.94 -18.36 -5.08 14.29 1.05 rw[35] -12.48 4.14 -12.26 -19.22 -6.26 14.72 1.05 rw[36] -12.69 4.12 -12.59 -18.75 -5.92 14.70 1.05 rw[37] -12.98 4.10 -12.80 -19.32 -6.68 14.58 1.04 rw[38] -13.17 4.06 -12.95 -19.58 -6.73 14.95 1.04 rw[39] -13.28 4.00 -12.97 -19.45 -7.06 14.71 1.04 rw[40] -13.41 3.98 -13.25 -19.54 -7.29 14.76 1.04 rw[41] -13.45 4.00 -13.28 -20.21 -7.84 14.30 1.04 rw[42] -13.50 4.04 -13.55 -19.84 -7.47 14.49 1.03 rw[43] -13.49 4.01 -13.46 -20.18 -7.68 14.89 1.04 rw[44] -13.43 4.00 -13.35 -19.79 -7.56 14.72 1.03 rw[45] -13.36 4.08 -13.23 -19.82 -7.28 14.55 1.04 rw[46] -13.28 4.06 -13.09 -19.42 -6.82 14.55 1.04 rw[47] -13.22 4.09 -13.21 -19.81 -7.17 14.35 1.04 rw[48] -13.12 4.04 -12.92 -19.26 -6.68 14.48 1.04 rw[49] -12.98 4.08 -12.95 -19.31 -6.59 14.25 1.04 rw[50] -12.85 4.16 -12.84 -19.10 -6.43 14.10 1.04 rw[51] -12.67 4.13 -12.61 -18.91 -6.17 14.22 1.04 rw[52] -12.54 4.16 -12.34 -19.13 -6.30 14.26 1.04 rw[53] -12.41 4.19 -12.04 -19.22 -6.43 13.79 1.05 rw[54] -12.26 4.21 -12.07 -18.72 -5.85 13.86 1.05 rw[55] -12.10 4.20 -12.00 -18.41 -5.38 14.20 1.05 rw[56] -12.00 4.22 -12.11 -18.65 -5.61 13.76 1.05 rw[57] -11.88 4.18 -11.95 -18.28 -5.12 13.83 1.05 rw[58] -11.74 4.25 -11.88 -18.50 -5.24 13.94 1.06 rw[59] -11.66 4.23 -11.75 -18.40 -5.23 13.33 1.05 rw[60] -11.57 4.21 -11.55 -18.34 -5.11 13.38 1.05 rw[61] -11.46 4.21 -11.50 -17.84 -4.69 13.56 1.06 rw[62] -11.40 4.21 -11.54 -17.81 -4.73 13.45 1.05 rw[63] -11.33 4.21 -11.56 -17.56 -4.41 13.42 1.06 rw[64] -11.26 4.23 -11.27 -17.63 -4.23 13.34 1.06 rw[65] -11.25 4.20 -11.33 -17.23 -3.98 13.83 1.05 rw[66] -11.25 4.21 -11.27 -17.84 -4.49 13.82 1.05 rw[67] -11.24 4.17 -11.29 -17.36 -4.24 14.03 1.05 rw[68] -11.20 4.14 -11.30 -18.09 -4.98 13.96 1.05 rw[69] -11.17 4.12 -11.25 -17.66 -4.65 14.04 1.05 rw[70] -11.17 4.21 -11.31 -17.52 -4.35 14.02 1.06 rw[71] -11.16 4.17 -11.18 -17.57 -4.30 14.26 1.06 rw[72] -11.13 4.15 -11.08 -17.47 -4.61 14.00 1.05 rw[73] -11.12 4.12 -11.00 -17.18 -4.16 14.19 1.05 rw[74] -11.15 4.14 -10.93 -18.16 -5.13 14.59 1.05 rw[75] -11.15 4.12 -10.83 -18.17 -5.08 14.30 1.05 rw[76] -11.14 4.14 -10.96 -17.14 -4.32 14.37 1.05 rw[77] -11.07 4.13 -10.88 -17.46 -4.46 14.25 1.05 rw[78] -11.07 4.06 -10.81 -17.28 -4.59 13.94 1.05 rw[79] -11.04 4.12 -10.68 -17.74 -4.84 13.73 1.06 rw[80] -11.04 4.11 -10.80 -17.22 -4.57 13.61 1.06 rw[81] -11.06 4.15 -10.82 -17.64 -4.86 13.72 1.06 rw[82] -11.10 4.17 -11.10 -17.59 -4.74 14.02 1.07 rw[83] -11.17 4.18 -11.12 -17.45 -4.31 13.63 1.06 rw[84] -11.22 4.20 -10.95 -17.89 -4.89 13.69 1.06 rw[85] -11.27 4.23 -11.16 -17.70 -4.38 13.63 1.06 rw[86] -11.27 4.22 -11.13 -17.61 -4.43 13.61 1.06 rw[87] -11.25 4.20 -11.20 -17.85 -4.74 13.61 1.06 rw[88] -11.23 4.22 -10.95 -17.86 -4.59 13.22 1.06 rw[89] -11.15 4.19 -10.87 -17.57 -4.52 13.39 1.06 rw[90] -11.17 4.14 -11.12 -17.36 -4.56 13.45 1.06 rw[91] -11.20 4.12 -11.11 -18.07 -5.12 13.66 1.05 rw[92] -11.14 4.10 -10.99 -18.11 -5.20 13.91 1.05 rw[93] -11.09 4.07 -11.06 -17.86 -5.04 13.81 1.06 rw[94] -11.02 4.10 -10.96 -17.72 -4.74 13.93 1.05 rw[95] -10.96 4.12 -10.81 -17.68 -4.76 13.94 1.06 rw[96] -10.87 4.09 -10.76 -17.42 -4.58 14.03 1.06 rw[97] -10.77 4.08 -10.67 -17.13 -4.76 13.69 1.06 rw[98] -10.64 4.15 -10.54 -17.11 -4.24 13.69 1.05 rw[99] -10.52 4.09 -10.51 -16.65 -4.00 13.82 1.05 rw[100] -10.39 4.14 -10.33 -17.53 -4.55 14.10 1.05 rw[101] -10.26 4.13 -10.08 -16.67 -3.97 14.15 1.05 rw[102] -10.16 4.09 -9.99 -16.63 -4.02 13.89 1.05 rw[103] -10.04 4.13 -9.84 -16.40 -3.56 13.99 1.06 rw[104] -9.91 4.09 -9.74 -16.01 -3.30 13.99 1.06 rw[105] -9.90 4.11 -9.74 -16.94 -3.79 14.12 1.06 rw[106] -9.81 4.15 -9.73 -16.40 -3.50 14.45 1.05 rw[107] -9.76 4.10 -9.76 -16.12 -3.28 14.33 1.06 rw[108] -9.66 4.07 -9.68 -16.11 -3.37 13.50 1.06 rw[109] -9.66 4.08 -9.68 -16.88 -3.88 13.45 1.06 rw[110] -9.63 4.07 -9.73 -16.38 -3.69 13.57 1.06 rw[111] -9.64 4.09 -9.71 -16.22 -3.58 13.31 1.06 rw[112] -9.60 4.05 -9.69 -16.01 -3.66 13.17 1.06 rw[113] -9.62 4.04 -9.53 -16.40 -3.79 13.28 1.06 rw[114] -9.58 4.02 -9.50 -16.02 -3.54 13.22 1.05 rw[115] -9.63 4.04 -9.52 -16.53 -3.95 13.31 1.05 rw[116] -9.58 4.02 -9.39 -15.90 -3.64 13.14 1.05 rw[117] -9.55 4.04 -9.41 -15.45 -2.88 13.02 1.05 rw[118] -9.56 4.03 -9.43 -15.18 -2.81 12.96 1.05 rw[119] -9.51 4.06 -9.37 -15.30 -2.85 12.98 1.05 rw[120] -9.45 4.08 -9.16 -15.74 -3.24 13.27 1.05 rw[121] -9.45 4.08 -9.45 -15.69 -3.00 13.63 1.05 rw[122] -9.50 4.06 -9.38 -16.23 -3.58 13.77 1.05 rw[123] -9.53 4.07 -9.35 -15.86 -3.11 13.54 1.05 rw[124] -9.59 4.07 -9.43 -16.26 -3.36 13.40 1.05 rw[125] -9.62 4.09 -9.46 -15.48 -2.64 13.42 1.06 rw[126] -9.68 4.11 -9.37 -16.11 -3.60 13.47 1.06 rw[127] -9.72 4.12 -9.47 -16.47 -3.52 13.52 1.06 rw[128] -9.78 4.12 -9.63 -16.62 -3.69 13.67 1.06 rw[129] -9.82 4.12 -9.58 -16.24 -3.40 13.48 1.06 rw[130] -9.87 4.14 -9.74 -16.23 -3.20 13.68 1.06 rw[131] -9.89 4.06 -9.67 -16.17 -3.53 13.92 1.06 rw[132] -9.94 4.07 -9.86 -15.88 -3.24 13.81 1.06 rw[133] -10.01 4.09 -9.83 -16.87 -4.02 13.55 1.07 rw[134] -10.04 4.08 -10.00 -16.26 -3.49 13.62 1.06 rw[135] -10.04 4.09 -9.94 -16.13 -3.54 13.44 1.06 rw[136] -10.09 4.05 -10.04 -16.25 -3.71 13.60 1.06 rw[137] -10.17 4.07 -10.23 -16.30 -3.82 13.27 1.06 rw[138] -10.21 4.12 -10.01 -16.43 -3.67 13.31 1.05 rw[139] -10.28 4.08 -10.08 -16.94 -4.37 13.40 1.05 rw[140] -10.28 4.05 -10.05 -16.90 -4.32 13.45 1.05 rw[141] -10.29 4.04 -10.18 -16.61 -4.11 13.76 1.05 rw[142] -10.26 4.02 -10.16 -16.49 -4.28 13.73 1.06 rw[143] -10.24 4.06 -10.17 -16.72 -4.07 13.70 1.06 rw[144] -10.18 4.07 -10.21 -17.04 -4.35 13.87 1.06 rw[145] -10.11 4.11 -10.16 -16.96 -4.34 13.33 1.06 rw[146] -10.08 4.06 -10.00 -16.66 -4.24 13.42 1.06 rw[147] -10.00 4.07 -9.84 -16.53 -4.16 13.85 1.06 rw[148] -9.90 4.13 -9.83 -16.44 -3.96 13.91 1.06 rw[149] -9.87 4.12 -9.70 -16.39 -3.70 13.69 1.05 rw[150] -9.78 4.11 -9.51 -16.41 -3.85 14.04 1.05 rw[151] -9.72 4.11 -9.57 -16.15 -3.51 13.78 1.05 rw[152] -9.64 4.09 -9.41 -16.14 -3.59 13.64 1.05 rw[153] -9.53 4.07 -9.26 -15.55 -3.16 13.32 1.05 rw[154] -9.53 4.06 -9.29 -15.95 -3.57 13.37 1.05 rw[155] -9.50 4.07 -9.22 -15.76 -3.23 13.35 1.05 rw[156] -9.48 4.12 -9.21 -15.95 -3.36 13.19 1.05 rw[157] -9.46 4.15 -9.21 -16.36 -3.60 13.30 1.05 rw[158] -9.52 4.12 -9.23 -16.08 -3.24 13.16 1.05 rw[159] -9.56 4.12 -9.46 -16.12 -3.32 13.24 1.05 rw[160] -9.68 4.16 -9.46 -16.08 -3.21 13.39 1.05 rw[161] -9.78 4.12 -9.55 -16.24 -3.62 12.98 1.06 rw[162] -9.91 4.17 -9.73 -16.37 -3.45 12.92 1.06 rw[163] -10.02 4.19 -9.90 -16.91 -3.97 12.93 1.06 rw[164] -10.04 4.15 -9.93 -16.63 -3.85 12.92 1.05 rw[165] -10.20 4.13 -10.06 -16.43 -3.76 13.01 1.06 rw[166] -10.30 4.10 -10.06 -16.66 -3.88 13.56 1.06 rw[167] -10.42 4.12 -10.27 -16.48 -3.77 13.36 1.06 rw[168] -10.49 4.04 -10.47 -17.09 -4.62 13.49 1.06 rw[169] -10.55 4.00 -10.32 -16.56 -3.94 13.41 1.06 rw[170] -10.61 4.02 -10.37 -17.28 -4.54 13.28 1.06 rw[171] -10.63 3.96 -10.55 -16.90 -4.68 13.43 1.06 rw[172] -10.61 4.01 -10.33 -16.71 -4.05 13.63 1.06 rw[173] -10.61 3.98 -10.42 -16.91 -4.50 13.63 1.06 rw[174] -10.63 4.01 -10.45 -16.76 -4.31 13.45 1.06 rw[175] -10.57 3.98 -10.33 -16.61 -4.55 13.29 1.06 rw[176] -10.53 3.95 -10.27 -16.31 -4.06 13.03 1.06 rw[177] -10.45 3.92 -10.26 -16.56 -4.62 12.28 1.06 rw[178] -10.34 3.88 -10.19 -16.23 -4.58 12.18 1.06 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1172.22 1.00 Number of divergences: 0