mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.04 1.41 0.58 0.00 2.58 1003.80 1.00 E0 27.81 29.88 17.70 0.00 68.20 75.63 1.01 H0 1.90 2.18 1.20 0.00 4.22 1232.41 1.00 I0 10.01 12.35 5.49 0.01 26.21 78.68 1.01 beta0 2.19 0.76 1.97 1.15 3.42 15.35 1.08 confirmed_dispersion 0.95 0.08 0.95 0.82 1.08 1735.78 1.00 death_dispersion 0.48 0.04 0.48 0.42 0.54 2086.82 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 1575.21 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.04 0.07 682.93 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.20 0.40 1615.93 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1666.51 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 2694.82 1.00 rw[0] 0.06 1.03 0.12 -1.50 1.81 171.82 1.01 rw[1] 0.13 1.46 0.17 -2.27 2.33 84.58 1.02 rw[2] 0.29 1.79 0.35 -2.73 3.24 55.44 1.02 rw[3] 0.32 2.10 0.37 -2.79 3.94 41.54 1.03 rw[4] 0.45 2.34 0.51 -3.18 4.37 32.71 1.04 rw[5] 0.51 2.58 0.52 -3.41 5.00 28.36 1.04 rw[6] 0.49 2.73 0.54 -4.23 4.80 25.26 1.05 rw[7] 0.46 2.93 0.62 -4.62 5.22 22.96 1.05 rw[8] 0.31 3.09 0.38 -4.62 5.51 21.45 1.05 rw[9] 0.06 3.22 0.22 -4.72 5.62 19.89 1.06 rw[10] -0.29 3.31 -0.22 -5.55 4.95 18.74 1.06 rw[11] -0.75 3.45 -0.68 -6.53 4.52 18.23 1.06 rw[12] -1.29 3.57 -1.17 -7.39 3.97 18.20 1.06 rw[13] -1.92 3.62 -1.69 -7.72 3.67 18.23 1.06 rw[14] -2.59 3.73 -2.27 -9.03 2.97 17.97 1.06 rw[15] -3.43 3.79 -3.14 -9.20 2.75 17.46 1.06 rw[16] -4.25 3.77 -4.00 -10.34 1.86 17.28 1.07 rw[17] -5.16 3.85 -4.85 -11.08 1.31 16.81 1.07 rw[18] -6.15 3.85 -6.05 -12.41 -0.07 17.10 1.06 rw[19] -7.14 3.88 -6.85 -13.46 -1.10 16.66 1.06 rw[20] -8.10 3.84 -7.90 -14.08 -1.59 17.00 1.06 rw[21] -9.06 3.81 -8.92 -15.67 -3.58 16.75 1.06 rw[22] -9.95 3.82 -9.59 -16.62 -4.55 16.99 1.06 rw[23] -10.83 3.86 -10.44 -17.20 -4.96 17.24 1.06 rw[24] -11.66 3.90 -11.42 -18.10 -5.70 17.49 1.07 rw[25] -12.51 3.93 -12.27 -19.06 -6.50 17.35 1.07 rw[26] -13.29 3.95 -12.89 -20.02 -7.45 17.55 1.07 rw[27] -13.99 3.98 -13.64 -20.32 -7.55 17.67 1.07 rw[28] -14.63 4.01 -14.28 -21.11 -8.35 18.02 1.06 rw[29] -15.26 4.03 -14.84 -21.69 -9.10 18.02 1.06 rw[30] -15.83 3.99 -15.48 -22.36 -9.77 18.00 1.07 rw[31] -16.35 3.99 -16.03 -22.33 -9.89 17.93 1.07 rw[32] -16.81 3.99 -16.60 -23.12 -10.60 18.16 1.07 rw[33] -17.25 4.01 -16.90 -23.34 -10.44 18.56 1.06 rw[34] -17.58 3.99 -17.30 -24.09 -11.34 18.51 1.06 rw[35] -17.93 3.97 -17.66 -24.21 -11.47 18.35 1.06 rw[36] -18.19 3.90 -17.99 -24.98 -12.42 18.16 1.06 rw[37] -18.45 3.96 -18.28 -24.73 -12.11 18.29 1.06 rw[38] -18.61 3.89 -18.51 -24.58 -11.91 18.69 1.06 rw[39] -18.75 3.86 -18.58 -25.28 -12.82 19.05 1.05 rw[40] -18.89 3.82 -18.78 -25.05 -12.76 18.76 1.05 rw[41] -18.96 3.83 -18.83 -25.07 -12.77 18.81 1.05 rw[42] -19.03 3.81 -18.98 -24.85 -12.69 18.81 1.05 rw[43] -19.05 3.82 -19.05 -25.17 -12.91 19.08 1.05 rw[44] -19.04 3.84 -18.94 -25.09 -12.94 18.46 1.05 rw[45] -19.00 3.80 -18.87 -25.32 -13.27 18.81 1.05 rw[46] -18.90 3.83 -18.72 -25.17 -13.09 18.90 1.04 rw[47] -18.84 3.82 -18.70 -25.94 -13.45 19.29 1.04 rw[48] -18.73 3.80 -18.41 -25.28 -13.01 18.95 1.05 rw[49] -18.59 3.84 -18.27 -24.94 -12.67 19.03 1.05 rw[50] -18.47 3.84 -18.17 -25.01 -12.92 18.90 1.05 rw[51] -18.31 3.88 -18.07 -24.74 -12.50 18.79 1.05 rw[52] -18.15 3.86 -17.88 -24.10 -11.98 18.90 1.05 rw[53] -17.98 3.86 -17.68 -24.25 -12.16 18.49 1.05 rw[54] -17.77 3.87 -17.52 -23.68 -11.24 18.50 1.05 rw[55] -17.59 3.86 -17.52 -23.97 -11.43 18.71 1.06 rw[56] -17.45 3.83 -17.24 -23.91 -11.68 18.53 1.06 rw[57] -17.28 3.86 -17.23 -23.60 -11.03 18.67 1.06 rw[58] -17.12 3.84 -17.10 -23.23 -10.63 18.47 1.06 rw[59] -16.91 3.86 -16.64 -23.71 -11.28 18.24 1.06 rw[60] -16.70 3.83 -16.58 -23.17 -10.86 18.17 1.06 rw[61] -16.53 3.83 -16.48 -22.71 -10.21 18.35 1.07 rw[62] -16.32 3.86 -16.29 -22.33 -10.03 19.06 1.07 rw[63] -16.16 3.87 -16.22 -22.30 -10.17 19.04 1.07 rw[64] -15.99 3.86 -15.98 -21.75 -9.44 18.80 1.07 rw[65] -15.84 3.87 -15.68 -21.82 -9.55 19.20 1.07 rw[66] -15.78 3.88 -15.62 -22.45 -10.27 19.31 1.07 rw[67] -15.62 3.89 -15.49 -21.85 -9.66 19.22 1.07 rw[68] -15.48 3.81 -15.20 -21.68 -9.67 19.21 1.07 rw[69] -15.35 3.84 -15.18 -21.71 -9.59 19.52 1.07 rw[70] -15.21 3.85 -14.87 -21.93 -9.75 19.21 1.07 rw[71] -15.10 3.86 -14.98 -21.63 -9.49 19.33 1.06 rw[72] -14.97 3.85 -14.75 -20.90 -8.63 18.63 1.06 rw[73] -14.88 3.86 -14.61 -21.77 -9.07 19.27 1.06 rw[74] -14.79 3.87 -14.57 -21.22 -8.90 19.84 1.05 rw[75] -14.75 3.86 -14.45 -21.18 -8.84 19.50 1.05 rw[76] -14.72 3.88 -14.44 -20.67 -8.37 19.38 1.05 rw[77] -14.60 3.87 -14.36 -21.29 -8.88 19.14 1.05 rw[78] -14.56 3.85 -14.26 -20.50 -8.27 18.61 1.06 rw[79] -14.51 3.90 -14.21 -21.09 -8.67 18.52 1.07 rw[80] -14.42 3.86 -13.98 -21.10 -8.80 18.28 1.06 rw[81] -14.36 3.87 -14.03 -21.08 -8.91 18.50 1.06 rw[82] -14.34 3.87 -13.99 -20.83 -8.67 18.86 1.06 rw[83] -14.29 3.83 -14.01 -20.86 -8.80 18.13 1.06 rw[84] -14.25 3.84 -13.97 -20.65 -8.64 18.05 1.06 rw[85] -14.23 3.85 -13.93 -20.49 -8.19 17.69 1.07 rw[86] -14.17 3.88 -13.94 -20.62 -8.29 17.87 1.06 rw[87] -14.09 3.81 -14.07 -20.33 -8.16 17.87 1.07 rw[88] -14.03 3.82 -13.85 -20.83 -8.76 17.14 1.07 rw[89] -13.93 3.83 -13.83 -20.64 -8.40 17.65 1.07 rw[90] -13.84 3.82 -13.61 -19.94 -7.59 18.62 1.06 rw[91] -13.77 3.85 -13.58 -19.55 -7.20 18.63 1.06 rw[92] -13.66 3.83 -13.51 -19.98 -7.74 18.90 1.06 rw[93] -13.56 3.76 -13.42 -19.75 -7.92 18.72 1.06 rw[94] -13.43 3.79 -13.19 -19.29 -7.45 18.89 1.06 rw[95] -13.32 3.85 -12.92 -19.57 -7.24 18.73 1.06 rw[96] -13.23 3.83 -12.90 -19.28 -7.05 18.43 1.06 rw[97] -13.11 3.80 -12.83 -19.56 -7.32 17.77 1.07 rw[98] -13.00 3.85 -12.76 -19.75 -7.33 17.71 1.07 rw[99] -12.89 3.80 -12.71 -18.96 -6.78 17.73 1.06 rw[100] -12.79 3.84 -12.64 -19.01 -6.51 18.44 1.06 rw[101] -12.73 3.84 -12.63 -19.15 -6.86 18.44 1.06 rw[102] -12.66 3.82 -12.52 -19.30 -7.15 17.82 1.06 rw[103] -12.59 3.83 -12.43 -18.86 -6.74 17.81 1.06 rw[104] -12.49 3.79 -12.31 -18.10 -6.12 17.51 1.07 rw[105] -12.42 3.77 -12.27 -18.34 -6.16 17.79 1.07 rw[106] -12.26 3.81 -12.08 -18.82 -6.67 18.14 1.07 rw[107] -12.17 3.75 -11.91 -18.16 -6.35 17.61 1.07 rw[108] -11.99 3.79 -11.74 -17.95 -6.20 17.48 1.07 rw[109] -11.90 3.79 -11.61 -17.95 -5.99 17.61 1.07 rw[110] -11.81 3.77 -11.42 -17.84 -5.98 17.62 1.07 rw[111] -11.75 3.74 -11.41 -17.98 -5.93 17.59 1.07 rw[112] -11.66 3.72 -11.47 -17.69 -5.87 18.16 1.07 rw[113] -11.55 3.71 -11.38 -17.78 -5.86 17.96 1.07 rw[114] -11.47 3.69 -11.20 -17.61 -5.88 17.38 1.06 rw[115] -11.42 3.73 -11.18 -17.88 -5.93 17.80 1.06 rw[116] -11.35 3.76 -11.16 -17.64 -5.48 18.15 1.06 rw[117] -11.31 3.78 -11.07 -17.18 -5.18 17.99 1.06 rw[118] -11.29 3.73 -11.06 -17.54 -5.49 17.91 1.06 rw[119] -11.21 3.70 -10.99 -17.65 -5.87 17.46 1.06 rw[120] -11.14 3.73 -10.86 -17.17 -5.37 17.76 1.06 rw[121] -11.18 3.72 -10.94 -17.35 -5.54 17.50 1.06 rw[122] -11.19 3.70 -10.94 -17.54 -5.92 17.86 1.06 rw[123] -11.21 3.69 -10.95 -17.42 -5.85 17.63 1.06 rw[124] -11.27 3.71 -10.84 -17.59 -5.76 17.42 1.06 rw[125] -11.35 3.72 -11.01 -17.73 -5.92 17.33 1.06 rw[126] -11.39 3.75 -11.10 -17.84 -6.16 17.72 1.06 rw[127] -11.47 3.76 -11.12 -17.63 -5.91 17.66 1.07 rw[128] -11.60 3.75 -11.34 -18.13 -6.33 18.30 1.07 rw[129] -11.75 3.72 -11.62 -17.84 -5.87 18.03 1.07 rw[130] -11.88 3.75 -11.63 -17.95 -6.07 17.65 1.08 rw[131] -11.98 3.74 -11.84 -18.42 -6.46 18.46 1.07 rw[132] -12.17 3.76 -12.09 -18.52 -6.41 17.99 1.08 rw[133] -12.38 3.79 -12.11 -18.83 -6.58 17.44 1.08 rw[134] -12.54 3.80 -12.36 -18.68 -6.37 18.21 1.07 rw[135] -12.71 3.76 -12.47 -19.20 -7.25 17.92 1.08 rw[136] -12.92 3.82 -12.77 -18.96 -6.56 17.73 1.08 rw[137] -13.13 3.81 -12.84 -19.38 -7.09 17.59 1.07 rw[138] -13.37 3.84 -13.19 -19.70 -7.43 17.54 1.06 rw[139] -13.53 3.86 -13.35 -19.27 -6.93 17.61 1.06 rw[140] -13.75 3.80 -13.51 -19.62 -7.34 17.78 1.06 rw[141] -13.96 3.79 -13.73 -19.97 -7.84 17.97 1.06 rw[142] -14.14 3.81 -13.95 -19.88 -7.76 18.26 1.06 rw[143] -14.33 3.84 -13.98 -20.73 -8.57 18.26 1.06 rw[144] -14.49 3.79 -14.19 -20.64 -8.60 18.23 1.06 rw[145] -14.67 3.79 -14.40 -21.04 -9.17 18.62 1.06 rw[146] -14.80 3.82 -14.67 -21.37 -9.16 18.68 1.06 rw[147] -14.97 3.82 -14.84 -20.83 -9.01 18.48 1.06 rw[148] -15.14 3.84 -15.15 -21.24 -9.33 18.95 1.06 rw[149] -15.34 3.84 -15.31 -21.04 -8.84 19.05 1.05 rw[150] -15.43 3.84 -15.29 -21.50 -9.65 19.32 1.05 rw[151] -15.59 3.83 -15.50 -21.53 -9.17 18.92 1.05 rw[152] -15.70 3.80 -15.51 -21.75 -9.63 18.77 1.05 rw[153] -15.84 3.76 -15.64 -21.88 -9.95 18.83 1.05 rw[154] -15.96 3.77 -15.82 -22.68 -10.59 18.17 1.06 rw[155] -16.07 3.81 -15.83 -22.37 -10.06 17.98 1.06 rw[156] -16.12 3.83 -15.85 -22.62 -10.41 17.85 1.06 rw[157] -16.16 3.85 -15.86 -22.52 -10.13 17.63 1.07 rw[158] -16.25 3.80 -15.94 -22.61 -10.50 17.62 1.06 rw[159] -16.26 3.83 -16.04 -22.55 -10.55 17.56 1.06 rw[160] -16.25 3.82 -15.99 -22.20 -10.13 17.33 1.06 rw[161] -16.28 3.82 -15.93 -22.25 -10.40 17.70 1.06 rw[162] -16.29 3.87 -15.89 -22.86 -10.38 17.72 1.07 rw[163] -16.26 3.87 -15.88 -22.95 -10.68 17.29 1.07 rw[164] -16.21 3.86 -15.92 -22.29 -9.96 17.82 1.07 rw[165] -16.15 3.85 -15.87 -22.73 -10.23 17.48 1.06 rw[166] -16.08 3.84 -15.90 -22.41 -10.35 16.92 1.07 rw[167] -15.96 3.82 -15.77 -22.46 -10.41 17.29 1.07 rw[168] -15.84 3.79 -15.67 -22.33 -10.28 17.47 1.07 rw[169] -15.71 3.78 -15.45 -22.30 -10.27 17.73 1.07 rw[170] -15.56 3.74 -15.39 -21.92 -9.92 17.30 1.06 rw[171] -15.38 3.74 -15.18 -21.06 -8.97 17.68 1.06 rw[172] -15.22 3.76 -15.07 -21.52 -9.54 17.97 1.06 rw[173] -15.08 3.70 -14.94 -21.43 -9.55 17.91 1.07 rw[174] -14.95 3.69 -14.72 -21.39 -9.57 17.20 1.07 rw[175] -14.80 3.65 -14.63 -21.21 -9.62 17.76 1.07 rw[176] -14.60 3.67 -14.33 -21.01 -9.32 17.27 1.06 rw[177] -14.42 3.64 -14.11 -20.56 -9.09 16.70 1.07 rw[178] -14.21 3.56 -13.85 -20.22 -9.21 16.14 1.07 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1505.39 1.00 Number of divergences: 0