mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.91 1.17 0.53 0.00 2.06 1350.60 1.00 E0 1.48 1.86 0.86 0.00 3.55 46.57 1.06 H0 1.06 1.11 0.77 0.00 2.32 1591.54 1.00 I0 0.74 1.06 0.36 0.00 1.88 36.03 1.06 beta0 1.94 0.78 1.84 0.86 2.99 8.65 1.26 confirmed_dispersion 0.46 0.06 0.45 0.36 0.56 1094.54 1.00 death_dispersion 0.39 0.03 0.39 0.34 0.46 925.46 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.04 943.31 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.06 0.10 986.53 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.19 0.39 1113.80 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.91 0.86 0.95 913.24 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 863.87 1.00 rw[0] -0.09 0.99 -0.08 -1.65 1.57 119.28 1.03 rw[1] -0.09 1.44 -0.07 -2.46 2.18 60.60 1.05 rw[2] -0.10 1.82 -0.08 -2.88 2.97 35.75 1.07 rw[3] -0.06 2.07 -0.03 -3.15 3.48 28.86 1.10 rw[4] 0.06 2.36 0.13 -3.63 4.01 19.05 1.13 rw[5] 0.17 2.61 0.33 -4.37 4.27 17.32 1.13 rw[6] 0.26 2.84 0.33 -4.30 4.84 15.57 1.16 rw[7] 0.41 3.05 0.47 -4.66 5.34 14.03 1.18 rw[8] 0.50 3.26 0.55 -4.70 6.00 12.83 1.20 rw[9] 0.55 3.45 0.57 -4.57 6.45 12.10 1.20 rw[10] 0.63 3.59 0.67 -4.80 6.66 11.57 1.20 rw[11] 0.64 3.78 0.68 -6.01 6.50 11.29 1.21 rw[12] 0.53 3.89 0.52 -5.17 7.23 10.92 1.22 rw[13] 0.30 4.00 0.15 -6.09 6.74 10.47 1.22 rw[14] 0.00 4.12 -0.22 -6.58 6.54 10.06 1.23 rw[15] -0.40 4.16 -0.72 -6.70 6.86 9.87 1.23 rw[16] -0.96 4.21 -1.27 -7.05 6.51 9.90 1.23 rw[17] -1.67 4.25 -1.97 -7.75 5.95 9.98 1.23 rw[18] -2.43 4.31 -2.70 -9.05 4.73 9.69 1.23 rw[19] -3.26 4.33 -3.49 -9.60 4.24 9.58 1.24 rw[20] -4.11 4.30 -4.39 -10.54 3.15 9.80 1.23 rw[21] -5.05 4.27 -5.27 -11.40 2.38 9.78 1.23 rw[22] -5.86 4.26 -6.08 -12.10 1.59 9.62 1.23 rw[23] -6.68 4.22 -6.93 -12.75 0.58 9.30 1.25 rw[24] -7.48 4.20 -7.63 -13.95 -0.73 9.51 1.24 rw[25] -8.17 4.16 -8.33 -14.15 -1.19 9.51 1.24 rw[26] -8.84 4.19 -9.01 -15.09 -1.54 9.52 1.24 rw[27] -9.45 4.16 -9.46 -16.10 -2.54 9.26 1.26 rw[28] -10.05 4.19 -10.12 -16.87 -2.94 9.15 1.26 rw[29] -10.57 4.17 -10.68 -16.71 -3.06 9.46 1.25 rw[30] -11.03 4.16 -11.08 -16.96 -3.44 9.60 1.24 rw[31] -11.44 4.19 -11.65 -18.01 -4.00 9.69 1.25 rw[32] -11.79 4.19 -12.08 -17.51 -4.00 9.55 1.25 rw[33] -12.02 4.21 -12.26 -18.23 -4.54 9.56 1.25 rw[34] -12.21 4.26 -12.36 -18.29 -4.29 9.73 1.25 rw[35] -12.38 4.28 -12.55 -18.94 -5.02 9.53 1.26 rw[36] -12.44 4.22 -12.63 -18.93 -4.96 9.76 1.25 rw[37] -12.48 4.20 -12.67 -18.18 -4.56 9.77 1.25 rw[38] -12.49 4.18 -12.68 -19.31 -5.71 9.75 1.25 rw[39] -12.49 4.21 -12.73 -18.52 -4.80 9.98 1.24 rw[40] -12.41 4.21 -12.59 -18.85 -5.05 9.99 1.23 rw[41] -12.38 4.20 -12.59 -18.09 -4.42 9.87 1.24 rw[42] -12.34 4.21 -12.51 -18.64 -4.98 10.02 1.24 rw[43] -12.22 4.21 -12.50 -18.78 -5.04 9.98 1.24 rw[44] -12.14 4.21 -12.42 -17.85 -4.09 10.04 1.23 rw[45] -12.04 4.20 -12.17 -18.33 -4.62 10.15 1.22 rw[46] -11.94 4.21 -11.94 -17.87 -4.35 9.80 1.23 rw[47] -11.84 4.22 -11.95 -17.93 -4.10 9.65 1.24 rw[48] -11.79 4.23 -11.88 -17.82 -4.17 9.68 1.23 rw[49] -11.72 4.22 -11.83 -18.10 -4.26 9.47 1.24 rw[50] -11.70 4.26 -11.87 -18.79 -4.86 9.29 1.26 rw[51] -11.67 4.31 -11.81 -18.21 -4.22 9.38 1.25 rw[52] -11.71 4.32 -11.84 -18.69 -4.38 9.38 1.25 rw[53] -11.79 4.31 -11.95 -18.86 -4.83 9.29 1.25 rw[54] -11.94 4.31 -12.16 -18.96 -4.87 9.33 1.25 rw[55] -12.08 4.28 -12.29 -18.10 -4.25 9.44 1.25 rw[56] -12.20 4.25 -12.44 -18.34 -5.03 9.41 1.25 rw[57] -12.36 4.23 -12.47 -19.08 -5.70 9.45 1.25 rw[58] -12.57 4.23 -12.77 -18.73 -5.12 9.82 1.24 rw[59] -12.73 4.18 -12.98 -19.71 -6.03 9.84 1.24 rw[60] -12.90 4.18 -12.99 -19.10 -5.58 10.01 1.24 rw[61] -13.01 4.15 -13.14 -19.25 -5.77 9.99 1.23 rw[62] -13.10 4.15 -13.20 -19.76 -6.12 10.15 1.23 rw[63] -13.19 4.18 -13.33 -19.16 -5.58 10.18 1.23 rw[64] -13.25 4.15 -13.45 -20.30 -6.77 10.41 1.22 rw[65] -13.28 4.16 -13.41 -20.36 -6.58 10.26 1.23 rw[66] -13.31 4.19 -13.39 -19.67 -5.93 10.02 1.24 rw[67] -13.32 4.19 -13.40 -19.37 -5.38 10.27 1.22 rw[68] -13.37 4.17 -13.46 -20.14 -6.30 10.04 1.23 rw[69] -13.44 4.21 -13.51 -19.48 -5.67 9.96 1.22 rw[70] -13.48 4.22 -13.76 -19.64 -5.90 9.61 1.23 rw[71] -13.54 4.23 -13.64 -19.15 -5.41 9.85 1.23 rw[72] -13.56 4.23 -13.77 -19.46 -5.82 10.00 1.23 rw[73] -13.60 4.25 -13.65 -19.76 -6.04 9.98 1.23 rw[74] -13.64 4.27 -13.85 -19.63 -5.77 10.12 1.23 rw[75] -13.67 4.31 -13.93 -20.43 -6.56 9.85 1.24 rw[76] -13.72 4.32 -13.80 -20.27 -6.30 9.71 1.24 rw[77] -13.74 4.30 -13.91 -20.54 -6.62 9.72 1.24 rw[78] -13.80 4.26 -14.01 -19.80 -6.19 9.62 1.24 rw[79] -13.85 4.18 -14.11 -20.09 -6.84 9.63 1.23 rw[80] -13.91 4.19 -14.11 -19.94 -6.63 9.67 1.24 rw[81] -13.92 4.20 -14.00 -19.95 -6.53 9.92 1.24 rw[82] -13.97 4.22 -14.02 -20.32 -6.87 9.96 1.24 rw[83] -14.02 4.23 -14.16 -20.78 -7.26 9.66 1.24 rw[84] -14.04 4.25 -14.05 -20.24 -6.73 9.73 1.24 rw[85] -14.00 4.26 -13.91 -20.73 -6.95 9.76 1.23 rw[86] -14.01 4.28 -14.13 -21.08 -7.12 9.52 1.24 rw[87] -13.96 4.28 -14.11 -20.74 -6.76 9.26 1.26 rw[88] -13.90 4.25 -14.22 -20.19 -6.40 9.40 1.26 rw[89] -13.80 4.28 -14.06 -19.58 -5.78 9.45 1.25 rw[90] -13.68 4.24 -13.76 -20.09 -6.43 9.41 1.26 rw[91] -13.48 4.23 -13.62 -20.16 -6.48 9.60 1.25 rw[92] -13.34 4.23 -13.47 -19.97 -6.16 9.34 1.26 rw[93] -13.20 4.19 -13.37 -20.04 -6.48 9.57 1.25 rw[94] -13.03 4.23 -13.25 -19.33 -5.68 9.23 1.26 rw[95] -12.85 4.27 -12.94 -19.54 -5.78 9.34 1.24 rw[96] -12.66 4.25 -12.74 -19.34 -5.74 9.54 1.23 rw[97] -12.45 4.28 -12.66 -19.29 -5.32 9.70 1.23 rw[98] -12.24 4.27 -12.46 -18.76 -4.93 9.63 1.24 rw[99] -12.05 4.23 -12.28 -18.80 -5.01 9.65 1.24 rw[100] -11.91 4.25 -12.07 -18.36 -4.75 9.64 1.23 rw[101] -11.62 4.24 -11.76 -17.94 -4.15 9.71 1.23 rw[102] -11.39 4.18 -11.57 -17.78 -4.14 9.52 1.24 rw[103] -11.13 4.18 -11.39 -17.30 -3.54 9.68 1.23 rw[104] -11.00 4.15 -11.11 -17.54 -3.84 9.60 1.23 rw[105] -10.78 4.17 -11.00 -17.33 -3.83 9.79 1.23 rw[106] -10.60 4.12 -10.94 -17.15 -3.69 9.69 1.24 rw[107] -10.48 4.13 -10.70 -16.53 -3.18 9.65 1.24 rw[108] -10.39 4.15 -10.60 -16.24 -3.09 10.04 1.22 rw[109] -10.36 4.21 -10.61 -16.97 -3.40 9.74 1.23 rw[110] -10.46 4.18 -10.72 -16.81 -3.23 9.28 1.26 rw[111] -10.53 4.18 -10.75 -17.27 -3.69 9.49 1.25 rw[112] -10.60 4.17 -10.83 -17.16 -3.28 9.57 1.25 rw[113] -10.74 4.17 -10.96 -17.51 -3.60 9.55 1.25 rw[114] -10.81 4.19 -11.09 -17.09 -3.24 9.65 1.25 rw[115] -10.86 4.14 -11.08 -17.98 -4.33 9.78 1.25 rw[116] -10.91 4.08 -11.11 -17.01 -3.75 9.68 1.25 rw[117] -10.97 4.14 -11.20 -16.93 -3.66 9.89 1.24 rw[118] -11.02 4.14 -11.14 -17.36 -4.03 9.81 1.25 rw[119] -11.09 4.16 -11.19 -17.66 -4.18 9.93 1.24 rw[120] -11.13 4.17 -11.23 -17.21 -3.85 9.96 1.24 rw[121] -11.16 4.21 -11.22 -18.01 -4.28 9.95 1.24 rw[122] -11.19 4.19 -11.33 -17.34 -3.48 10.00 1.23 rw[123] -11.22 4.16 -11.29 -18.30 -4.30 9.93 1.23 rw[124] -11.27 4.12 -11.28 -17.35 -3.74 9.55 1.24 rw[125] -11.26 4.12 -11.47 -17.31 -3.64 9.79 1.23 rw[126] -11.21 4.20 -11.29 -17.57 -3.72 9.48 1.24 rw[127] -11.13 4.16 -11.33 -17.21 -3.57 9.51 1.24 rw[128] -11.07 4.14 -11.19 -17.79 -4.22 9.44 1.24 rw[129] -11.02 4.22 -11.10 -17.47 -3.71 9.51 1.23 rw[130] -10.98 4.21 -11.08 -17.25 -3.58 9.59 1.23 rw[131] -10.90 4.16 -10.94 -17.43 -3.85 9.63 1.24 rw[132] -10.88 4.20 -11.14 -17.83 -4.33 9.56 1.25 rw[133] -10.88 4.21 -11.07 -17.24 -3.57 9.63 1.25 rw[134] -10.85 4.22 -11.01 -16.50 -2.90 9.81 1.23 rw[135] -10.90 4.22 -11.07 -16.80 -2.99 9.61 1.24 rw[136] -10.98 4.27 -11.16 -17.31 -3.46 9.79 1.24 rw[137] -11.12 4.22 -11.32 -16.94 -3.34 9.73 1.24 rw[138] -11.27 4.22 -11.56 -17.26 -3.55 9.57 1.25 rw[139] -11.41 4.19 -11.50 -18.37 -4.56 9.60 1.24 rw[140] -11.62 4.17 -11.87 -17.97 -4.41 9.40 1.25 rw[141] -11.87 4.17 -12.06 -18.31 -4.61 9.54 1.24 rw[142] -12.06 4.16 -12.31 -19.03 -5.38 9.27 1.25 rw[143] -12.31 4.18 -12.51 -18.87 -5.14 9.30 1.24 rw[144] -12.54 4.16 -12.55 -18.95 -5.12 9.71 1.24 rw[145] -12.79 4.15 -12.96 -19.48 -6.00 9.72 1.24 rw[146] -13.02 4.18 -13.12 -19.69 -6.15 9.79 1.24 rw[147] -13.27 4.21 -13.43 -19.63 -6.05 9.67 1.25 rw[148] -13.46 4.24 -13.59 -20.61 -6.83 9.66 1.24 rw[149] -13.67 4.27 -13.75 -19.73 -5.78 9.79 1.24 rw[150] -13.78 4.27 -13.96 -20.57 -6.57 9.93 1.24 rw[151] -13.84 4.29 -14.14 -20.71 -6.51 9.69 1.25 rw[152] -13.92 4.25 -14.16 -20.97 -7.00 9.59 1.25 rw[153] -13.92 4.29 -14.08 -20.72 -6.78 9.50 1.25 rw[154] -13.96 4.26 -14.20 -20.98 -6.77 9.62 1.25 rw[155] -14.00 4.28 -14.18 -20.63 -6.66 9.62 1.24 rw[156] -14.02 4.24 -14.17 -20.37 -6.48 9.49 1.25 rw[157] -14.02 4.20 -14.34 -20.63 -6.92 9.70 1.24 rw[158] -14.03 4.24 -14.34 -20.61 -6.77 9.62 1.24 rw[159] -14.00 4.24 -14.21 -20.60 -6.66 9.75 1.24 rw[160] -13.98 4.24 -14.15 -20.78 -7.14 9.84 1.23 rw[161] -13.98 4.19 -14.27 -20.22 -6.82 9.65 1.23 rw[162] -13.94 4.21 -14.20 -20.25 -6.89 9.57 1.24 rw[163] -13.92 4.20 -14.18 -19.82 -6.39 9.99 1.22 rw[164] -13.95 4.15 -14.15 -20.39 -6.93 9.76 1.24 rw[165] -13.97 4.20 -14.11 -20.02 -6.51 9.81 1.23 rw[166] -13.94 4.18 -14.12 -20.00 -6.31 10.15 1.23 rw[167] -13.95 4.21 -14.24 -19.92 -6.11 9.99 1.23 rw[168] -14.00 4.18 -14.03 -20.59 -6.86 10.25 1.22 rw[169] -14.02 4.20 -14.18 -20.51 -6.51 10.03 1.23 rw[170] -14.06 4.15 -14.15 -20.46 -6.82 10.11 1.22 rw[171] -14.06 4.17 -14.04 -20.46 -6.70 9.98 1.23 rw[172] -13.99 4.15 -14.16 -20.25 -7.04 9.84 1.23 rw[173] -13.87 4.18 -14.13 -20.31 -6.75 9.72 1.24 rw[174] -13.80 4.14 -14.10 -20.42 -6.91 9.48 1.25 rw[175] -13.62 4.13 -13.95 -19.57 -6.15 9.52 1.25 rw[176] -13.51 4.08 -13.78 -19.66 -6.28 9.21 1.26 rw[177] -13.29 4.03 -13.54 -19.29 -6.01 8.79 1.27 rw[178] -13.02 3.98 -13.30 -18.40 -5.91 8.48 1.28 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 896.28 1.00 Number of divergences: 0