mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.71 0.74 0.47 0.00 1.66 1349.15 1.00 E0 10.84 10.22 7.51 0.00 24.23 100.55 1.02 H0 2.10 1.74 1.65 0.00 4.36 804.22 1.00 I0 3.70 4.11 2.22 0.02 8.92 83.16 1.01 beta0 2.38 0.64 2.30 1.30 3.31 19.29 1.16 confirmed_dispersion 0.67 0.08 0.66 0.54 0.78 959.35 1.00 death_dispersion 0.22 0.02 0.22 0.19 0.25 837.65 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 906.93 1.00 death_rate 0.11 0.02 0.10 0.08 0.13 400.13 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.29 0.18 0.40 877.66 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.86 0.95 774.50 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1022.84 1.00 rw[0] -0.06 0.95 -0.06 -1.53 1.59 327.40 1.01 rw[1] -0.03 1.34 0.00 -2.02 2.27 117.16 1.01 rw[2] 0.05 1.62 0.11 -2.69 2.61 77.83 1.02 rw[3] 0.10 1.86 0.11 -2.68 3.46 62.27 1.03 rw[4] 0.20 2.04 0.26 -3.29 3.32 48.25 1.05 rw[5] 0.32 2.20 0.42 -3.46 3.74 41.32 1.06 rw[6] 0.40 2.41 0.38 -3.53 4.23 39.74 1.07 rw[7] 0.47 2.56 0.48 -3.50 4.64 34.51 1.08 rw[8] 0.50 2.64 0.54 -3.84 4.75 31.50 1.08 rw[9] 0.38 2.70 0.40 -4.01 4.48 27.99 1.09 rw[10] 0.22 2.77 0.29 -4.61 4.29 27.04 1.10 rw[11] -0.10 2.86 -0.07 -5.08 4.19 26.60 1.10 rw[12] -0.45 2.89 -0.38 -5.30 4.17 25.53 1.11 rw[13] -0.89 2.94 -0.93 -6.34 3.23 24.37 1.10 rw[14] -1.38 2.96 -1.42 -6.19 3.39 23.78 1.10 rw[15] -1.88 3.03 -1.91 -6.53 3.45 22.97 1.11 rw[16] -2.36 3.00 -2.51 -6.91 3.10 22.90 1.12 rw[17] -2.92 2.97 -3.07 -8.15 1.89 22.33 1.11 rw[18] -3.52 2.96 -3.65 -8.75 1.23 22.27 1.12 rw[19] -4.12 2.99 -4.22 -9.38 0.58 21.27 1.13 rw[20] -4.70 2.99 -4.71 -9.58 0.23 21.66 1.12 rw[21] -5.37 2.95 -5.41 -10.18 -0.68 20.88 1.12 rw[22] -6.03 2.89 -5.98 -10.36 -1.04 21.08 1.12 rw[23] -6.77 2.93 -6.76 -11.03 -1.49 21.24 1.12 rw[24] -7.56 2.94 -7.48 -12.12 -2.62 21.66 1.12 rw[25] -8.40 2.96 -8.36 -13.13 -3.54 22.13 1.11 rw[26] -9.35 2.98 -9.18 -13.80 -4.06 22.24 1.11 rw[27] -10.20 2.96 -10.14 -15.18 -5.67 21.63 1.11 rw[28] -11.08 2.97 -11.08 -16.16 -6.63 21.46 1.13 rw[29] -11.86 2.98 -11.96 -16.43 -6.70 21.71 1.12 rw[30] -12.69 3.01 -12.76 -17.70 -7.83 22.31 1.12 rw[31] -13.42 3.01 -13.44 -18.59 -8.62 23.53 1.11 rw[32] -14.08 3.03 -14.05 -18.68 -8.76 23.24 1.11 rw[33] -14.63 3.05 -14.55 -19.46 -9.54 22.36 1.12 rw[34] -15.19 3.06 -15.16 -20.02 -9.99 22.21 1.13 rw[35] -15.70 3.07 -15.61 -20.16 -10.05 22.79 1.12 rw[36] -16.14 3.05 -16.23 -20.88 -10.94 22.61 1.11 rw[37] -16.50 3.04 -16.61 -21.04 -11.32 23.07 1.09 rw[38] -16.84 3.03 -16.94 -21.22 -11.22 23.48 1.10 rw[39] -17.10 3.09 -17.14 -22.23 -11.99 22.98 1.10 rw[40] -17.23 3.06 -17.29 -22.15 -12.35 23.25 1.10 rw[41] -17.48 3.06 -17.52 -22.39 -12.44 23.39 1.10 rw[42] -17.61 3.03 -17.51 -22.14 -12.16 23.56 1.10 rw[43] -17.71 3.09 -17.64 -22.92 -12.85 23.23 1.10 rw[44] -17.78 3.07 -17.67 -23.26 -13.09 23.97 1.10 rw[45] -17.81 3.10 -17.68 -23.50 -13.26 24.16 1.10 rw[46] -17.86 3.18 -17.80 -23.21 -12.85 24.51 1.09 rw[47] -17.91 3.17 -17.77 -23.51 -13.20 24.91 1.09 rw[48] -17.98 3.23 -17.79 -23.87 -13.21 24.68 1.10 rw[49] -18.05 3.24 -17.98 -23.35 -12.73 24.73 1.10 rw[50] -18.08 3.25 -17.95 -23.13 -12.75 24.98 1.10 rw[51] -18.14 3.20 -18.04 -23.40 -13.09 24.39 1.09 rw[52] -18.25 3.21 -18.08 -23.53 -13.14 24.09 1.09 rw[53] -18.34 3.19 -18.22 -23.62 -13.42 23.88 1.10 rw[54] -18.46 3.19 -18.40 -23.80 -13.54 22.60 1.10 rw[55] -18.52 3.18 -18.54 -23.76 -13.55 23.37 1.10 rw[56] -18.53 3.11 -18.47 -23.21 -13.05 24.03 1.10 rw[57] -18.54 3.14 -18.55 -23.31 -12.73 23.87 1.11 rw[58] -18.55 3.18 -18.59 -24.08 -13.62 23.99 1.11 rw[59] -18.56 3.18 -18.61 -23.74 -13.42 24.16 1.13 rw[60] -18.56 3.17 -18.63 -23.68 -13.55 24.16 1.12 rw[61] -18.47 3.11 -18.59 -23.44 -13.41 24.25 1.12 rw[62] -18.38 3.16 -18.51 -23.67 -13.56 23.74 1.13 rw[63] -18.26 3.15 -18.28 -23.57 -13.48 24.08 1.13 rw[64] -18.21 3.14 -18.22 -23.13 -12.91 24.32 1.12 rw[65] -18.09 3.12 -18.18 -23.52 -13.23 24.14 1.12 rw[66] -17.93 3.11 -17.92 -23.43 -13.39 24.18 1.12 rw[67] -17.80 3.11 -17.89 -23.08 -12.95 23.86 1.13 rw[68] -17.65 3.03 -17.57 -22.73 -12.93 23.80 1.12 rw[69] -17.48 3.07 -17.47 -22.55 -12.74 24.40 1.11 rw[70] -17.33 3.09 -17.36 -21.88 -11.98 24.90 1.11 rw[71] -17.18 3.09 -17.24 -22.25 -12.26 24.62 1.10 rw[72] -17.02 3.07 -16.97 -22.04 -12.03 24.61 1.10 rw[73] -16.86 3.08 -16.91 -21.72 -11.61 24.82 1.09 rw[74] -16.71 3.08 -16.79 -21.58 -11.60 25.00 1.08 rw[75] -16.54 3.12 -16.48 -21.92 -11.55 25.04 1.09 rw[76] -16.41 3.10 -16.29 -21.47 -11.35 25.34 1.08 rw[77] -16.31 3.08 -16.17 -21.20 -11.08 25.14 1.09 rw[78] -16.21 3.09 -16.09 -21.47 -11.46 24.23 1.09 rw[79] -16.17 3.06 -16.09 -21.00 -11.17 23.88 1.09 rw[80] -16.12 3.02 -16.06 -21.36 -11.52 24.59 1.09 rw[81] -16.14 3.06 -16.01 -21.36 -11.49 24.20 1.10 rw[82] -16.20 3.09 -16.10 -21.46 -11.55 23.23 1.09 rw[83] -16.32 3.09 -16.25 -21.34 -11.38 23.15 1.09 rw[84] -16.41 3.13 -16.27 -21.36 -11.27 23.56 1.10 rw[85] -16.61 3.14 -16.69 -21.63 -11.47 23.60 1.10 rw[86] -16.74 3.12 -16.67 -22.07 -11.86 23.82 1.11 rw[87] -16.91 3.17 -16.88 -22.56 -12.14 24.05 1.10 rw[88] -17.05 3.19 -17.04 -22.44 -12.20 24.41 1.10 rw[89] -17.16 3.18 -17.17 -23.07 -12.79 25.00 1.11 rw[90] -17.25 3.21 -17.19 -22.67 -12.10 26.05 1.11 rw[91] -17.35 3.18 -17.43 -22.71 -12.46 27.65 1.10 rw[92] -17.46 3.18 -17.62 -22.33 -12.00 27.90 1.11 rw[93] -17.55 3.14 -17.63 -22.68 -12.56 27.66 1.11 rw[94] -17.55 3.15 -17.53 -22.59 -12.25 26.55 1.11 rw[95] -17.52 3.13 -17.64 -22.29 -12.24 27.44 1.10 rw[96] -17.41 3.17 -17.46 -21.92 -11.58 27.52 1.11 rw[97] -17.31 3.14 -17.35 -21.74 -11.41 26.53 1.12 rw[98] -17.17 3.13 -17.25 -21.88 -11.73 27.08 1.12 rw[99] -16.95 3.13 -16.95 -22.15 -11.91 26.19 1.12 rw[100] -16.70 3.09 -16.81 -21.31 -11.19 26.29 1.11 rw[101] -16.39 3.05 -16.43 -21.38 -11.41 25.72 1.11 rw[102] -16.00 3.03 -16.10 -21.31 -11.36 25.53 1.10 rw[103] -15.60 3.08 -15.58 -21.11 -11.12 25.80 1.10 rw[104] -15.27 3.10 -15.23 -20.58 -10.64 25.48 1.10 rw[105] -14.87 3.06 -14.78 -20.10 -10.12 25.26 1.11 rw[106] -14.58 3.07 -14.49 -19.62 -9.59 24.95 1.10 rw[107] -14.26 3.07 -14.25 -19.07 -9.32 24.61 1.10 rw[108] -14.04 3.12 -13.96 -19.16 -8.88 24.33 1.09 rw[109] -13.96 3.17 -13.89 -18.82 -8.36 23.22 1.10 rw[110] -13.98 3.17 -13.95 -19.08 -8.79 23.22 1.10 rw[111] -14.08 3.21 -14.04 -19.31 -9.14 23.41 1.10 rw[112] -14.28 3.23 -14.36 -19.71 -9.21 23.77 1.10 rw[113] -14.60 3.25 -14.63 -19.97 -9.54 23.93 1.10 rw[114] -15.00 3.23 -14.96 -20.77 -10.16 23.86 1.10 rw[115] -15.47 3.25 -15.35 -20.24 -9.42 23.28 1.09 rw[116] -16.06 3.22 -15.91 -21.26 -10.80 23.35 1.09 rw[117] -16.60 3.22 -16.53 -22.00 -11.67 23.76 1.09 rw[118] -17.21 3.17 -17.17 -22.22 -12.01 23.31 1.10 rw[119] -17.81 3.16 -17.82 -22.83 -12.71 24.12 1.10 rw[120] -18.41 3.11 -18.38 -24.07 -13.90 23.76 1.10 rw[121] -18.97 3.14 -18.88 -24.38 -14.12 23.62 1.10 rw[122] -19.52 3.08 -19.47 -24.46 -14.58 23.25 1.10 rw[123] -19.98 3.05 -19.99 -24.89 -14.91 24.19 1.10 rw[124] -20.35 3.09 -20.33 -25.47 -15.41 23.43 1.11 rw[125] -20.61 3.11 -20.61 -26.05 -16.10 23.46 1.12 rw[126] -20.78 3.10 -20.81 -25.95 -15.90 24.54 1.12 rw[127] -20.90 3.11 -20.93 -25.99 -16.02 24.85 1.12 rw[128] -20.88 3.15 -20.85 -26.77 -16.49 24.45 1.12 rw[129] -20.80 3.18 -20.59 -26.04 -15.71 24.97 1.12 rw[130] -20.66 3.15 -20.51 -25.77 -15.57 25.10 1.13 rw[131] -20.41 3.18 -20.34 -25.44 -15.29 25.80 1.12 rw[132] -20.20 3.17 -20.14 -25.41 -15.26 25.54 1.12 rw[133] -19.83 3.14 -19.77 -24.59 -14.50 25.23 1.12 rw[134] -19.38 3.14 -19.37 -24.11 -13.99 24.25 1.11 rw[135] -18.95 3.14 -19.03 -23.88 -13.59 25.21 1.10 rw[136] -18.53 3.10 -18.58 -24.31 -13.88 24.91 1.10 rw[137] -18.03 3.09 -18.04 -22.83 -12.70 24.63 1.10 rw[138] -17.56 3.10 -17.57 -22.71 -12.58 24.50 1.10 rw[139] -17.15 3.08 -17.20 -22.51 -12.22 24.79 1.10 rw[140] -16.76 3.10 -16.83 -22.54 -12.30 25.07 1.10 rw[141] -16.39 3.07 -16.43 -21.63 -11.44 24.54 1.10 rw[142] -16.09 3.03 -16.06 -21.03 -11.07 23.60 1.12 rw[143] -15.86 3.00 -15.83 -20.30 -10.34 23.87 1.11 rw[144] -15.68 3.02 -15.78 -20.74 -10.75 23.78 1.12 rw[145] -15.55 3.01 -15.62 -20.23 -10.24 24.86 1.11 rw[146] -15.42 2.97 -15.38 -20.40 -10.57 24.22 1.11 rw[147] -15.35 2.98 -15.31 -20.27 -10.60 25.17 1.11 rw[148] -15.27 3.02 -15.22 -19.93 -10.14 25.02 1.11 rw[149] -15.26 3.06 -15.28 -20.53 -10.47 25.08 1.10 rw[150] -15.33 3.02 -15.31 -20.39 -10.74 25.04 1.10 rw[151] -15.28 3.01 -15.28 -20.36 -10.48 25.81 1.10 rw[152] -15.29 2.99 -15.38 -20.47 -10.48 25.56 1.11 rw[153] -15.34 2.97 -15.45 -20.01 -10.26 25.16 1.11 rw[154] -15.38 3.02 -15.47 -21.00 -10.80 25.49 1.10 rw[155] -15.42 3.02 -15.50 -21.01 -10.97 25.37 1.10 rw[156] -15.45 3.02 -15.44 -19.95 -9.95 24.96 1.10 rw[157] -15.39 3.03 -15.36 -20.54 -10.51 25.92 1.10 rw[158] -15.46 3.06 -15.38 -20.10 -10.02 24.94 1.11 rw[159] -15.48 3.05 -15.47 -20.38 -10.38 25.41 1.11 rw[160] -15.52 3.05 -15.49 -20.55 -10.67 24.74 1.11 rw[161] -15.45 3.08 -15.30 -20.51 -10.45 24.69 1.11 rw[162] -15.39 3.11 -15.30 -21.40 -11.12 23.75 1.12 rw[163] -15.26 3.10 -15.10 -20.42 -10.50 23.33 1.13 rw[164] -15.08 3.09 -15.02 -20.26 -10.29 23.14 1.12 rw[165] -14.84 3.09 -14.79 -20.15 -10.22 23.05 1.11 rw[166] -14.59 3.08 -14.52 -19.36 -9.47 23.21 1.12 rw[167] -14.30 3.06 -14.20 -19.22 -9.55 22.52 1.13 rw[168] -13.99 3.05 -13.90 -18.48 -8.75 22.54 1.12 rw[169] -13.70 3.03 -13.65 -18.99 -8.96 22.08 1.11 rw[170] -13.44 3.04 -13.35 -18.18 -8.33 22.71 1.10 rw[171] -13.17 3.06 -13.12 -18.23 -8.32 22.49 1.10 rw[172] -12.97 3.02 -12.90 -17.61 -7.85 23.00 1.10 rw[173] -12.86 3.00 -12.92 -17.10 -7.32 22.53 1.11 rw[174] -12.84 3.00 -12.91 -17.64 -7.91 22.15 1.11 rw[175] -12.85 2.96 -12.90 -17.60 -7.78 22.30 1.11 rw[176] -12.97 2.89 -13.07 -17.88 -8.35 21.98 1.11 rw[177] -13.12 2.85 -13.09 -17.91 -8.68 20.92 1.12 rw[178] -13.41 2.70 -13.44 -18.05 -9.06 19.24 1.13 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 739.06 1.00 Number of divergences: 0