mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.88 1.08 0.54 0.00 2.14 1473.15 1.00 E0 37.41 36.45 27.55 0.08 78.49 232.28 1.01 H0 1.57 1.65 1.07 0.00 3.75 1671.02 1.00 I0 23.02 13.91 19.88 5.28 42.06 90.21 1.02 beta0 2.92 0.77 2.74 1.85 4.14 17.97 1.12 confirmed_dispersion 0.41 0.06 0.41 0.31 0.50 999.81 1.00 death_dispersion 0.39 0.03 0.38 0.33 0.44 1309.05 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 731.43 1.00 death_rate 0.09 0.01 0.09 0.07 0.10 775.48 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.31 0.22 0.42 1118.15 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1433.26 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1798.77 1.00 rw[0] -0.13 1.03 -0.12 -1.84 1.50 104.56 1.02 rw[1] -0.17 1.44 -0.13 -2.62 2.00 50.55 1.04 rw[2] -0.12 1.74 -0.01 -3.21 2.53 39.74 1.04 rw[3] -0.07 2.03 0.07 -3.25 3.35 33.37 1.06 rw[4] 0.05 2.28 0.12 -4.03 3.40 27.81 1.08 rw[5] 0.17 2.50 0.30 -3.95 3.88 26.05 1.07 rw[6] 0.24 2.67 0.43 -4.26 4.37 24.41 1.09 rw[7] 0.17 2.77 0.47 -4.17 4.59 23.45 1.10 rw[8] -0.01 2.85 0.19 -4.42 4.76 23.59 1.10 rw[9] -0.43 2.91 -0.26 -5.19 4.02 21.97 1.10 rw[10] -1.01 2.95 -0.78 -5.63 3.69 20.89 1.10 rw[11] -1.74 3.00 -1.47 -6.33 3.05 20.56 1.10 rw[12] -2.47 2.99 -2.20 -7.52 1.99 20.07 1.11 rw[13] -3.23 2.97 -2.98 -7.89 1.29 20.64 1.11 rw[14] -4.08 2.96 -4.10 -8.99 0.49 21.16 1.10 rw[15] -4.92 2.95 -4.74 -9.90 -0.54 21.10 1.11 rw[16] -5.79 2.92 -5.62 -10.55 -1.32 20.60 1.11 rw[17] -6.73 2.89 -6.56 -11.09 -1.84 20.90 1.11 rw[18] -7.75 2.94 -7.53 -12.44 -3.26 20.15 1.10 rw[19] -8.76 2.94 -8.54 -13.34 -3.98 19.83 1.10 rw[20] -9.83 2.89 -9.59 -14.80 -5.62 20.16 1.10 rw[21] -10.92 2.87 -10.79 -15.24 -6.15 20.52 1.10 rw[22] -12.00 2.88 -11.87 -16.39 -7.16 21.49 1.09 rw[23] -13.10 2.95 -12.97 -17.90 -8.55 22.14 1.09 rw[24] -14.19 2.98 -13.98 -18.99 -9.54 22.31 1.10 rw[25] -15.29 3.02 -15.15 -20.05 -10.51 22.12 1.10 rw[26] -16.35 3.08 -16.15 -21.33 -11.60 21.30 1.10 rw[27] -17.35 3.17 -17.23 -22.90 -12.77 20.24 1.11 rw[28] -18.24 3.18 -18.13 -23.60 -13.45 20.97 1.11 rw[29] -19.12 3.18 -18.99 -24.80 -14.53 20.97 1.12 rw[30] -19.90 3.15 -19.78 -24.88 -14.80 20.77 1.11 rw[31] -20.63 3.12 -20.52 -25.71 -15.74 23.04 1.10 rw[32] -21.22 3.16 -21.04 -26.29 -16.00 24.51 1.11 rw[33] -21.77 3.13 -21.52 -27.40 -17.36 24.90 1.11 rw[34] -22.20 3.15 -22.09 -27.21 -17.14 24.64 1.11 rw[35] -22.54 3.14 -22.46 -27.77 -17.75 25.85 1.10 rw[36] -22.78 3.15 -22.64 -27.71 -17.32 25.24 1.10 rw[37] -23.07 3.13 -22.88 -28.21 -18.01 25.87 1.10 rw[38] -23.20 3.11 -23.18 -28.42 -18.12 26.14 1.10 rw[39] -23.26 3.06 -23.22 -28.28 -18.46 24.79 1.10 rw[40] -23.34 3.02 -23.21 -28.39 -18.76 25.37 1.10 rw[41] -23.31 3.02 -23.27 -28.25 -18.66 24.75 1.09 rw[42] -23.28 3.01 -23.17 -28.07 -18.68 24.31 1.09 rw[43] -23.24 2.99 -23.17 -27.95 -18.53 25.87 1.09 rw[44] -23.09 2.99 -23.00 -28.00 -18.39 25.54 1.08 rw[45] -22.97 3.03 -22.96 -27.78 -18.08 25.44 1.08 rw[46] -22.78 3.03 -22.70 -27.38 -17.67 25.53 1.08 rw[47] -22.68 3.05 -22.73 -27.45 -17.59 26.51 1.08 rw[48] -22.53 3.06 -22.49 -27.46 -17.83 25.78 1.07 rw[49] -22.38 3.04 -22.37 -27.25 -17.55 27.80 1.07 rw[50] -22.20 3.11 -22.17 -26.87 -16.90 28.24 1.07 rw[51] -22.01 3.11 -21.82 -27.05 -17.39 28.13 1.07 rw[52] -21.93 3.10 -21.81 -27.15 -17.23 28.31 1.07 rw[53] -21.78 3.08 -21.72 -26.76 -16.94 25.92 1.08 rw[54] -21.64 3.11 -21.53 -26.48 -16.58 26.46 1.07 rw[55] -21.49 3.08 -21.39 -26.28 -16.29 26.24 1.07 rw[56] -21.38 3.09 -21.41 -26.45 -16.61 24.22 1.08 rw[57] -21.24 3.09 -21.24 -26.77 -16.57 25.37 1.08 rw[58] -21.09 3.10 -21.06 -26.25 -16.17 25.57 1.09 rw[59] -21.05 3.16 -21.10 -26.20 -15.89 24.84 1.09 rw[60] -20.94 3.18 -20.86 -26.03 -15.91 23.60 1.09 rw[61] -20.74 3.18 -20.74 -25.78 -15.55 23.27 1.10 rw[62] -20.56 3.21 -20.51 -25.91 -15.83 22.43 1.10 rw[63] -20.48 3.22 -20.39 -25.10 -15.14 20.98 1.11 rw[64] -20.37 3.25 -20.35 -25.42 -15.14 21.12 1.10 rw[65] -20.29 3.22 -20.21 -25.42 -15.00 22.06 1.10 rw[66] -20.20 3.22 -20.13 -25.34 -15.05 22.62 1.10 rw[67] -20.07 3.15 -19.80 -25.11 -15.07 21.61 1.10 rw[68] -19.92 3.13 -19.68 -24.60 -14.62 22.07 1.09 rw[69] -19.83 3.11 -19.62 -24.61 -14.86 21.09 1.10 rw[70] -19.69 3.10 -19.41 -24.97 -15.23 22.25 1.10 rw[71] -19.63 3.08 -19.43 -24.73 -14.99 22.29 1.10 rw[72] -19.54 3.09 -19.37 -24.22 -14.36 22.57 1.09 rw[73] -19.45 3.12 -19.31 -25.26 -15.05 22.75 1.08 rw[74] -19.44 3.16 -19.17 -24.38 -14.25 24.55 1.07 rw[75] -19.29 3.14 -19.08 -24.71 -14.73 23.73 1.08 rw[76] -19.20 3.08 -19.01 -24.46 -14.70 23.74 1.08 rw[77] -19.12 3.12 -18.87 -24.16 -14.22 23.67 1.08 rw[78] -19.07 3.09 -18.86 -23.66 -13.67 23.06 1.09 rw[79] -19.03 3.09 -18.85 -23.64 -13.73 24.54 1.09 rw[80] -18.95 3.08 -18.78 -24.02 -14.10 23.04 1.09 rw[81] -19.01 3.08 -18.85 -23.71 -13.82 22.82 1.09 rw[82] -19.02 3.06 -18.88 -24.26 -14.24 23.92 1.09 rw[83] -19.05 3.08 -18.94 -23.83 -13.79 22.67 1.09 rw[84] -19.08 3.07 -19.07 -23.67 -14.08 22.78 1.09 rw[85] -19.10 3.10 -19.00 -24.22 -14.35 23.28 1.09 rw[86] -19.10 3.06 -19.03 -24.19 -14.46 23.53 1.08 rw[87] -19.11 3.05 -19.01 -24.00 -14.22 23.60 1.09 rw[88] -19.11 3.10 -18.87 -24.33 -14.71 23.21 1.09 rw[89] -19.07 3.03 -18.97 -23.97 -14.47 23.56 1.09 rw[90] -19.06 3.02 -18.91 -23.61 -14.05 24.51 1.09 rw[91] -19.10 3.06 -18.85 -24.35 -14.73 26.21 1.09 rw[92] -19.08 3.08 -18.76 -24.21 -14.47 26.21 1.09 rw[93] -19.00 3.06 -18.72 -23.97 -14.24 26.58 1.09 rw[94] -18.94 3.08 -18.64 -24.40 -14.36 24.51 1.09 rw[95] -18.88 3.09 -18.74 -24.25 -14.22 24.38 1.10 rw[96] -18.74 3.09 -18.52 -23.84 -14.09 24.28 1.09 rw[97] -18.64 3.10 -18.55 -24.01 -14.19 22.87 1.09 rw[98] -18.51 3.10 -18.35 -23.87 -13.90 21.47 1.11 rw[99] -18.41 3.11 -18.38 -23.37 -13.34 23.02 1.10 rw[100] -18.32 3.12 -18.14 -23.52 -13.41 25.65 1.10 rw[101] -18.24 3.08 -18.03 -23.32 -13.34 26.15 1.09 rw[102] -18.15 3.07 -17.95 -23.27 -13.29 25.01 1.09 rw[103] -18.02 3.08 -17.89 -23.18 -13.41 24.73 1.09 rw[104] -17.92 3.10 -17.87 -23.37 -13.52 24.18 1.11 rw[105] -17.89 3.09 -17.78 -23.22 -13.38 24.64 1.11 rw[106] -17.77 3.08 -17.58 -23.07 -13.06 25.76 1.10 rw[107] -17.71 3.03 -17.54 -22.55 -12.87 24.56 1.10 rw[108] -17.62 2.99 -17.46 -22.60 -13.08 24.42 1.09 rw[109] -17.59 3.02 -17.48 -22.47 -12.82 25.33 1.09 rw[110] -17.51 3.01 -17.31 -22.29 -12.75 23.45 1.09 rw[111] -17.39 3.00 -17.23 -22.43 -13.12 22.69 1.09 rw[112] -17.31 3.01 -17.13 -22.15 -12.56 21.72 1.10 rw[113] -17.31 3.02 -17.12 -22.05 -12.31 22.11 1.10 rw[114] -17.26 2.94 -17.22 -22.08 -12.60 21.39 1.10 rw[115] -17.29 2.97 -17.19 -22.28 -12.84 23.46 1.08 rw[116] -17.31 2.98 -17.22 -22.21 -12.66 23.20 1.09 rw[117] -17.31 2.99 -17.20 -22.36 -12.63 22.23 1.09 rw[118] -17.31 2.99 -17.24 -22.37 -12.81 21.03 1.09 rw[119] -17.32 2.95 -17.17 -22.23 -12.89 21.68 1.08 rw[120] -17.41 2.99 -17.23 -22.42 -12.80 21.91 1.08 rw[121] -17.45 3.00 -17.40 -22.02 -12.51 23.30 1.08 rw[122] -17.55 2.99 -17.42 -22.21 -12.78 23.35 1.07 rw[123] -17.56 2.95 -17.45 -22.26 -12.71 23.27 1.07 rw[124] -17.62 2.95 -17.48 -22.53 -12.95 22.99 1.07 rw[125] -17.64 2.97 -17.46 -22.75 -13.13 22.74 1.08 rw[126] -17.68 2.98 -17.53 -22.43 -12.98 23.07 1.09 rw[127] -17.70 3.01 -17.48 -23.02 -13.44 22.01 1.10 rw[128] -17.76 2.99 -17.63 -22.63 -12.90 22.77 1.10 rw[129] -17.78 2.98 -17.54 -22.95 -13.51 21.89 1.11 rw[130] -17.84 2.97 -17.56 -23.06 -13.52 21.91 1.11 rw[131] -17.94 2.99 -17.71 -23.10 -13.51 23.67 1.10 rw[132] -18.02 2.98 -17.87 -22.51 -13.03 24.07 1.10 rw[133] -18.12 2.98 -17.85 -22.64 -13.06 22.49 1.10 rw[134] -18.17 2.95 -17.95 -23.07 -13.71 22.54 1.11 rw[135] -18.22 2.94 -18.05 -23.48 -13.92 23.59 1.10 rw[136] -18.25 2.97 -18.04 -23.24 -13.71 23.40 1.09 rw[137] -18.25 3.00 -18.09 -23.55 -13.87 22.41 1.10 rw[138] -18.21 2.99 -18.02 -23.16 -13.57 22.55 1.09 rw[139] -18.19 2.99 -18.00 -23.10 -13.54 21.87 1.09 rw[140] -18.13 3.01 -17.99 -23.10 -13.60 22.14 1.10 rw[141] -18.09 3.00 -17.87 -23.18 -13.72 22.32 1.09 rw[142] -17.99 3.00 -17.68 -22.91 -13.35 22.47 1.10 rw[143] -17.92 2.99 -17.76 -22.81 -13.17 22.76 1.10 rw[144] -17.80 3.02 -17.56 -22.57 -12.93 22.25 1.10 rw[145] -17.73 3.06 -17.54 -22.74 -13.07 21.92 1.10 rw[146] -17.65 3.01 -17.55 -23.03 -13.49 23.76 1.09 rw[147] -17.58 3.01 -17.44 -22.53 -13.01 25.23 1.09 rw[148] -17.50 3.01 -17.39 -22.37 -12.65 25.78 1.08 rw[149] -17.47 3.00 -17.30 -23.23 -13.44 27.16 1.08 rw[150] -17.42 3.00 -17.26 -22.91 -13.01 26.89 1.09 rw[151] -17.31 2.98 -16.99 -22.33 -12.84 26.20 1.08 rw[152] -17.21 2.96 -17.01 -22.07 -12.71 26.02 1.09 rw[153] -17.09 2.94 -16.86 -21.88 -12.45 26.85 1.09 rw[154] -17.01 2.90 -16.82 -21.84 -12.60 26.87 1.08 rw[155] -16.94 2.93 -16.73 -21.82 -12.36 24.80 1.08 rw[156] -16.85 2.98 -16.73 -21.97 -12.39 23.39 1.09 rw[157] -16.72 3.04 -16.50 -21.89 -12.20 24.41 1.08 rw[158] -16.63 3.01 -16.48 -21.58 -11.92 22.76 1.08 rw[159] -16.53 2.97 -16.42 -21.25 -11.82 23.88 1.09 rw[160] -16.44 2.98 -16.20 -21.30 -11.75 23.54 1.09 rw[161] -16.32 2.98 -16.20 -21.30 -11.71 21.89 1.10 rw[162] -16.30 2.99 -16.22 -21.67 -12.12 21.31 1.10 rw[163] -16.24 3.02 -16.14 -21.78 -11.90 20.75 1.10 rw[164] -16.15 3.01 -16.01 -20.94 -11.36 21.15 1.10 rw[165] -16.11 2.99 -15.93 -20.94 -11.33 20.42 1.11 rw[166] -16.06 3.02 -15.95 -20.54 -10.88 21.01 1.10 rw[167] -16.00 2.98 -15.90 -20.40 -10.90 20.40 1.11 rw[168] -15.98 2.93 -15.84 -20.81 -11.45 19.80 1.11 rw[169] -15.97 2.89 -15.81 -20.92 -11.73 20.38 1.11 rw[170] -15.92 2.86 -15.77 -20.57 -11.31 20.46 1.10 rw[171] -15.92 2.88 -15.78 -20.91 -11.72 20.25 1.11 rw[172] -15.78 2.88 -15.59 -20.42 -11.16 20.74 1.11 rw[173] -15.74 2.87 -15.53 -20.43 -11.32 21.34 1.12 rw[174] -15.67 2.90 -15.42 -20.43 -11.08 21.20 1.12 rw[175] -15.49 2.85 -15.20 -20.58 -11.37 20.20 1.11 rw[176] -15.36 2.85 -15.22 -19.91 -10.88 21.55 1.10 rw[177] -15.12 2.79 -14.89 -19.96 -11.25 20.46 1.10 rw[178] -14.94 2.66 -14.72 -18.94 -10.73 18.50 1.12 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1021.83 1.00 Number of divergences: 0