mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.00 1.19 0.61 0.00 2.57 1505.55 1.00 E0 3.11 2.65 2.39 0.00 6.39 111.47 1.04 H0 1.14 1.22 0.78 0.00 2.52 1610.94 1.00 I0 1.32 1.23 0.99 0.00 2.89 84.40 1.03 beta0 2.04 0.53 1.94 1.21 2.79 10.88 1.22 confirmed_dispersion 0.24 0.05 0.23 0.16 0.32 414.64 1.01 death_dispersion 0.50 0.04 0.50 0.43 0.56 753.51 1.00 death_prob 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.04 511.95 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.07 0.06 0.09 648.47 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.19 0.40 1166.98 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 908.49 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1111.56 1.00 rw[0] -0.20 0.95 -0.20 -1.86 1.28 200.51 1.02 rw[1] -0.31 1.37 -0.34 -2.41 2.09 75.31 1.03 rw[2] -0.38 1.68 -0.38 -2.95 2.49 51.76 1.04 rw[3] -0.48 1.87 -0.48 -3.36 2.59 33.49 1.07 rw[4] -0.52 2.06 -0.39 -4.02 2.77 27.09 1.09 rw[5] -0.48 2.21 -0.43 -3.92 3.29 24.16 1.09 rw[6] -0.50 2.33 -0.40 -4.36 3.37 22.87 1.10 rw[7] -0.42 2.42 -0.37 -4.41 3.48 21.22 1.12 rw[8] -0.36 2.52 -0.32 -4.35 3.81 19.41 1.13 rw[9] -0.31 2.60 -0.37 -4.57 4.07 17.81 1.13 rw[10] -0.21 2.71 -0.20 -4.95 4.08 16.73 1.14 rw[11] -0.13 2.78 -0.16 -4.62 4.23 16.84 1.14 rw[12] -0.15 2.82 -0.21 -4.66 4.45 16.16 1.15 rw[13] -0.29 2.91 -0.29 -5.03 4.17 15.75 1.16 rw[14] -0.37 2.93 -0.34 -5.11 4.28 15.58 1.16 rw[15] -0.65 2.96 -0.62 -5.21 4.28 14.85 1.17 rw[16] -1.01 2.95 -1.01 -5.46 4.20 14.26 1.18 rw[17] -1.41 2.95 -1.34 -5.93 3.52 14.01 1.19 rw[18] -1.87 2.94 -1.85 -6.88 2.70 13.50 1.18 rw[19] -2.37 2.94 -2.41 -7.14 2.45 13.40 1.20 rw[20] -2.89 2.93 -2.86 -7.42 1.89 13.96 1.19 rw[21] -3.50 2.84 -3.39 -7.67 1.61 13.77 1.19 rw[22] -4.04 2.82 -3.87 -8.79 0.34 13.21 1.21 rw[23] -4.56 2.83 -4.44 -9.06 -0.05 13.03 1.21 rw[24] -5.10 2.81 -5.10 -9.51 -0.43 13.52 1.20 rw[25] -5.59 2.81 -5.50 -10.47 -1.29 13.86 1.20 rw[26] -6.10 2.84 -6.00 -10.88 -1.78 13.93 1.20 rw[27] -6.66 2.86 -6.46 -11.10 -1.90 13.45 1.21 rw[28] -7.22 2.86 -7.08 -11.42 -2.11 13.34 1.21 rw[29] -7.79 2.90 -7.68 -12.14 -2.76 13.72 1.20 rw[30] -8.44 2.90 -8.26 -13.14 -3.75 13.91 1.19 rw[31] -9.04 2.96 -8.92 -13.36 -3.74 14.84 1.18 rw[32] -9.63 2.91 -9.52 -13.86 -4.50 14.27 1.19 rw[33] -10.19 2.92 -10.06 -14.54 -5.19 14.39 1.18 rw[34] -10.79 2.96 -10.73 -15.09 -5.40 15.11 1.18 rw[35] -11.32 2.96 -11.30 -16.13 -6.42 15.07 1.17 rw[36] -11.85 2.93 -11.88 -17.06 -7.23 15.35 1.16 rw[37] -12.33 2.92 -12.25 -16.88 -7.17 15.96 1.15 rw[38] -12.71 2.87 -12.73 -17.05 -7.67 16.32 1.15 rw[39] -13.11 2.87 -13.09 -17.21 -7.63 16.47 1.14 rw[40] -13.46 2.89 -13.35 -17.87 -8.82 16.77 1.14 rw[41] -13.78 2.85 -13.79 -18.34 -9.08 16.43 1.14 rw[42] -14.05 2.81 -13.96 -18.52 -9.45 16.41 1.15 rw[43] -14.29 2.87 -14.17 -18.71 -9.71 15.89 1.16 rw[44] -14.52 2.84 -14.36 -18.98 -10.12 15.47 1.16 rw[45] -14.69 2.85 -14.54 -19.31 -10.06 16.41 1.15 rw[46] -14.86 2.91 -14.58 -19.48 -10.18 15.81 1.16 rw[47] -14.97 2.90 -14.81 -19.51 -10.30 16.40 1.16 rw[48] -15.16 2.92 -15.07 -19.72 -10.24 16.45 1.15 rw[49] -15.26 2.96 -15.20 -19.80 -10.45 16.31 1.16 rw[50] -15.37 3.00 -15.30 -20.13 -10.66 16.40 1.17 rw[51] -15.56 3.02 -15.40 -20.53 -10.94 16.07 1.15 rw[52] -15.76 3.00 -15.52 -20.68 -11.29 15.87 1.15 rw[53] -15.92 3.05 -15.68 -20.82 -11.06 15.76 1.16 rw[54] -16.09 3.12 -15.88 -21.45 -11.42 15.47 1.16 rw[55] -16.27 3.09 -16.11 -21.06 -11.06 16.03 1.16 rw[56] -16.39 3.09 -16.17 -21.80 -11.85 15.83 1.16 rw[57] -16.48 3.09 -16.44 -21.53 -11.56 15.92 1.16 rw[58] -16.60 3.13 -16.36 -21.41 -11.47 15.97 1.17 rw[59] -16.70 3.13 -16.53 -21.53 -11.55 16.30 1.17 rw[60] -16.78 3.13 -16.65 -21.59 -11.63 16.01 1.18 rw[61] -16.78 3.15 -16.62 -21.66 -11.54 15.47 1.18 rw[62] -16.80 3.15 -16.68 -21.35 -11.08 15.64 1.18 rw[63] -16.82 3.17 -16.71 -22.07 -11.83 15.75 1.18 rw[64] -16.80 3.15 -16.75 -21.62 -11.25 16.28 1.16 rw[65] -16.76 3.11 -16.60 -22.46 -12.29 16.60 1.16 rw[66] -16.75 3.14 -16.56 -21.96 -11.96 16.39 1.17 rw[67] -16.75 3.12 -16.56 -21.55 -11.55 16.38 1.17 rw[68] -16.67 3.06 -16.54 -21.85 -11.84 16.07 1.16 rw[69] -16.60 3.02 -16.43 -21.64 -12.02 15.77 1.16 rw[70] -16.57 3.00 -16.45 -21.30 -11.87 15.47 1.16 rw[71] -16.53 2.99 -16.42 -21.62 -11.98 15.80 1.17 rw[72] -16.47 2.96 -16.30 -21.25 -11.62 16.13 1.16 rw[73] -16.45 2.98 -16.28 -21.95 -12.23 16.42 1.15 rw[74] -16.38 2.96 -16.32 -21.26 -11.71 16.88 1.15 rw[75] -16.29 2.95 -16.14 -20.70 -11.35 16.32 1.15 rw[76] -16.28 2.96 -16.15 -21.01 -11.44 16.24 1.16 rw[77] -16.26 2.91 -16.09 -20.88 -11.28 16.23 1.17 rw[78] -16.29 2.90 -16.09 -21.14 -11.80 16.91 1.16 rw[79] -16.25 2.87 -16.07 -20.43 -11.17 16.58 1.15 rw[80] -16.25 2.91 -16.13 -21.14 -11.69 17.17 1.16 rw[81] -16.19 2.90 -16.06 -20.81 -11.35 17.00 1.16 rw[82] -16.18 2.92 -16.03 -20.63 -11.26 16.07 1.17 rw[83] -16.17 2.93 -15.92 -21.08 -11.67 16.05 1.16 rw[84] -16.19 2.97 -16.01 -21.03 -11.52 16.39 1.16 rw[85] -16.21 3.01 -16.14 -21.20 -11.68 15.85 1.16 rw[86] -16.19 2.99 -16.02 -20.99 -11.63 15.33 1.17 rw[87] -16.15 3.03 -16.04 -20.62 -10.89 15.18 1.16 rw[88] -16.06 3.05 -16.03 -20.81 -10.99 14.80 1.16 rw[89] -16.01 3.04 -15.95 -21.18 -11.31 15.25 1.17 rw[90] -15.94 3.05 -15.84 -21.11 -11.12 15.69 1.16 rw[91] -15.84 3.03 -15.75 -20.89 -11.00 16.42 1.14 rw[92] -15.76 3.02 -15.61 -20.66 -10.73 16.09 1.15 rw[93] -15.67 2.95 -15.55 -21.05 -11.40 15.56 1.17 rw[94] -15.55 2.97 -15.33 -20.32 -10.62 14.65 1.17 rw[95] -15.41 2.97 -15.26 -20.04 -10.48 15.23 1.16 rw[96] -15.28 2.96 -15.14 -20.50 -10.85 15.62 1.15 rw[97] -15.15 2.96 -15.01 -19.82 -10.29 15.02 1.16 rw[98] -15.01 2.94 -14.95 -19.56 -10.09 15.10 1.17 rw[99] -14.86 2.94 -14.84 -19.83 -10.38 14.74 1.18 rw[100] -14.77 2.95 -14.69 -19.56 -9.99 14.43 1.19 rw[101] -14.60 2.92 -14.42 -19.58 -10.12 14.34 1.18 rw[102] -14.39 2.87 -14.25 -19.31 -9.93 14.66 1.18 rw[103] -14.15 2.87 -14.10 -18.59 -9.64 14.40 1.18 rw[104] -14.04 2.88 -13.97 -19.16 -9.90 14.90 1.17 rw[105] -13.77 2.94 -13.57 -18.30 -8.92 15.72 1.17 rw[106] -13.61 2.91 -13.32 -18.55 -9.13 14.84 1.19 rw[107] -13.43 2.92 -13.28 -17.65 -8.20 15.32 1.18 rw[108] -13.29 2.92 -13.19 -17.86 -8.42 15.75 1.17 rw[109] -13.21 2.97 -13.11 -17.52 -7.82 15.28 1.18 rw[110] -13.19 2.94 -13.11 -18.01 -8.55 14.53 1.18 rw[111] -13.11 2.91 -12.96 -17.42 -7.91 14.80 1.19 rw[112] -13.06 2.91 -12.95 -17.86 -8.49 15.27 1.18 rw[113] -13.05 2.91 -13.00 -17.37 -8.13 15.41 1.18 rw[114] -13.04 2.88 -12.93 -17.49 -8.10 15.47 1.18 rw[115] -13.01 2.88 -12.96 -17.86 -8.35 15.77 1.17 rw[116] -13.00 2.81 -12.90 -17.59 -8.66 15.56 1.18 rw[117] -13.00 2.84 -12.86 -17.43 -8.40 15.57 1.16 rw[118] -12.99 2.80 -12.87 -17.98 -9.16 15.24 1.17 rw[119] -13.01 2.78 -12.82 -17.95 -9.00 14.57 1.17 rw[120] -13.01 2.84 -12.84 -18.09 -8.92 14.82 1.18 rw[121] -13.05 2.88 -12.89 -17.31 -8.10 15.10 1.16 rw[122] -13.05 2.85 -12.94 -17.87 -8.71 14.69 1.16 rw[123] -13.03 2.88 -12.81 -17.64 -7.98 14.21 1.18 rw[124] -13.09 2.85 -13.01 -18.14 -8.75 13.96 1.18 rw[125] -13.21 2.91 -13.05 -18.53 -8.95 14.51 1.18 rw[126] -13.28 2.94 -13.25 -17.65 -8.00 13.94 1.18 rw[127] -13.31 2.93 -13.26 -17.89 -8.47 14.30 1.18 rw[128] -13.33 2.95 -13.30 -17.81 -8.17 14.21 1.19 rw[129] -13.38 2.93 -13.28 -17.87 -8.29 14.12 1.20 rw[130] -13.39 2.92 -13.26 -18.68 -9.18 14.74 1.19 rw[131] -13.37 2.94 -13.28 -18.45 -9.01 14.29 1.20 rw[132] -13.43 2.97 -13.28 -18.33 -8.69 14.71 1.20 rw[133] -13.43 2.87 -13.26 -18.32 -9.01 15.01 1.19 rw[134] -13.45 2.89 -13.28 -18.09 -8.91 15.14 1.18 rw[135] -13.42 2.94 -13.31 -18.28 -8.89 14.83 1.18 rw[136] -13.43 2.92 -13.34 -17.63 -8.18 15.18 1.18 rw[137] -13.41 2.88 -13.34 -17.79 -8.58 14.97 1.17 rw[138] -13.41 2.85 -13.27 -18.12 -8.71 14.47 1.19 rw[139] -13.40 2.80 -13.29 -18.00 -9.01 14.86 1.16 rw[140] -13.37 2.85 -13.28 -17.52 -8.34 15.20 1.17 rw[141] -13.40 2.84 -13.35 -17.98 -9.04 15.45 1.16 rw[142] -13.44 2.83 -13.30 -18.05 -9.11 14.85 1.17 rw[143] -13.48 2.84 -13.35 -17.68 -8.62 14.59 1.17 rw[144] -13.54 2.87 -13.32 -18.57 -9.27 15.24 1.17 rw[145] -13.65 2.84 -13.53 -18.09 -8.74 15.42 1.16 rw[146] -13.71 2.84 -13.56 -18.50 -9.25 15.38 1.16 rw[147] -13.80 2.87 -13.70 -18.31 -8.99 14.64 1.17 rw[148] -13.84 2.92 -13.78 -19.13 -9.50 14.75 1.18 rw[149] -13.89 2.88 -13.81 -19.05 -9.70 15.55 1.16 rw[150] -13.91 2.90 -13.89 -19.16 -9.62 15.32 1.17 rw[151] -13.97 2.90 -13.85 -18.63 -9.30 15.33 1.16 rw[152] -13.97 2.91 -13.90 -18.79 -9.37 14.92 1.16 rw[153] -13.99 2.90 -13.86 -19.17 -9.68 14.88 1.17 rw[154] -14.02 2.93 -13.85 -18.56 -9.00 15.73 1.17 rw[155] -14.02 2.91 -13.89 -18.84 -9.41 15.82 1.16 rw[156] -14.11 2.90 -13.93 -19.04 -9.51 14.78 1.17 rw[157] -14.14 2.90 -13.95 -18.82 -9.40 15.34 1.16 rw[158] -14.24 2.93 -14.07 -19.46 -9.77 15.23 1.17 rw[159] -14.27 2.90 -14.12 -19.23 -9.89 14.86 1.18 rw[160] -14.40 2.87 -14.15 -19.05 -9.73 15.14 1.16 rw[161] -14.46 2.89 -14.31 -19.22 -9.97 14.51 1.17 rw[162] -14.51 2.90 -14.38 -19.59 -10.26 14.46 1.18 rw[163] -14.50 2.90 -14.34 -19.30 -10.16 14.84 1.18 rw[164] -14.54 2.85 -14.40 -19.40 -10.31 14.44 1.18 rw[165] -14.48 2.86 -14.33 -19.06 -10.06 14.89 1.17 rw[166] -14.41 2.88 -14.34 -19.08 -9.99 15.34 1.17 rw[167] -14.28 2.84 -14.17 -19.03 -10.05 15.06 1.17 rw[168] -14.15 2.86 -13.95 -18.87 -9.75 14.80 1.18 rw[169] -14.08 2.88 -14.01 -18.43 -9.13 15.07 1.18 rw[170] -13.94 2.83 -13.89 -18.34 -9.04 15.49 1.17 rw[171] -13.79 2.82 -13.64 -18.27 -9.16 14.53 1.19 rw[172] -13.60 2.80 -13.47 -17.85 -8.80 14.49 1.18 rw[173] -13.33 2.79 -13.34 -17.41 -8.44 14.74 1.19 rw[174] -13.19 2.80 -13.08 -17.33 -8.31 13.89 1.20 rw[175] -13.04 2.80 -12.93 -17.63 -8.62 14.22 1.20 rw[176] -12.85 2.74 -12.81 -17.73 -8.80 13.73 1.20 rw[177] -12.73 2.72 -12.56 -16.84 -8.29 12.75 1.20 rw[178] -12.63 2.59 -12.45 -16.72 -8.47 12.22 1.21 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 814.97 1.00 Number of divergences: 0