mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.04 1.39 0.58 0.00 2.47 1003.37 1.00 E0 28.75 25.89 21.44 0.02 64.89 125.25 1.00 H0 1.67 1.67 1.12 0.00 3.90 1582.81 1.00 I0 10.16 10.94 6.52 0.00 24.34 201.50 1.00 beta0 2.10 0.47 2.06 1.40 2.90 20.12 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.96 0.08 0.96 0.82 1.09 1758.14 1.00 death_dispersion 0.48 0.04 0.48 0.41 0.55 2246.08 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.04 1459.34 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.08 504.29 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.20 0.41 1844.81 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1810.70 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.52 1814.44 1.00 rw[0] -0.03 0.94 -0.00 -1.59 1.47 417.56 1.00 rw[1] 0.02 1.31 -0.00 -2.16 2.17 277.79 1.00 rw[2] 0.08 1.55 0.08 -2.49 2.57 189.69 1.00 rw[3] 0.19 1.78 0.18 -2.74 3.24 127.99 1.00 rw[4] 0.34 1.96 0.31 -2.92 3.67 97.73 1.00 rw[5] 0.33 2.11 0.20 -2.92 4.09 63.61 1.00 rw[6] 0.38 2.20 0.38 -3.31 3.97 53.37 1.00 rw[7] 0.30 2.29 0.23 -3.55 3.89 45.82 1.00 rw[8] 0.18 2.36 0.14 -3.62 4.07 37.73 1.00 rw[9] -0.02 2.38 -0.08 -3.83 3.86 36.57 1.00 rw[10] -0.36 2.50 -0.37 -4.35 4.06 34.12 1.00 rw[11] -0.79 2.59 -0.84 -5.23 3.29 32.67 1.00 rw[12] -1.30 2.64 -1.40 -5.69 2.96 30.66 1.00 rw[13] -1.96 2.62 -1.95 -6.48 2.04 29.45 1.00 rw[14] -2.64 2.66 -2.70 -6.70 2.06 29.68 1.00 rw[15] -3.43 2.64 -3.47 -7.80 0.81 28.38 1.00 rw[16] -4.28 2.68 -4.34 -8.26 0.48 26.29 1.00 rw[17] -5.18 2.65 -5.25 -9.74 -1.29 27.19 1.00 rw[18] -6.11 2.65 -6.19 -10.66 -2.08 25.46 1.00 rw[19] -7.12 2.70 -7.14 -11.34 -2.73 25.43 1.00 rw[20] -8.02 2.70 -8.15 -12.68 -4.12 25.37 1.00 rw[21] -8.95 2.69 -9.05 -13.29 -4.85 25.15 1.00 rw[22] -9.83 2.71 -9.94 -13.84 -5.07 26.53 1.00 rw[23] -10.73 2.75 -10.77 -14.91 -5.99 27.26 1.00 rw[24] -11.56 2.72 -11.68 -15.62 -6.84 28.49 1.00 rw[25] -12.37 2.74 -12.46 -16.97 -8.02 27.71 1.00 rw[26] -13.11 2.80 -13.22 -17.40 -8.22 27.69 1.00 rw[27] -13.82 2.81 -13.91 -18.49 -9.29 28.39 1.00 rw[28] -14.50 2.78 -14.66 -19.11 -10.05 28.30 1.00 rw[29] -15.08 2.80 -15.20 -19.72 -10.69 29.73 1.00 rw[30] -15.63 2.83 -15.74 -20.17 -11.00 30.99 1.00 rw[31] -16.12 2.82 -16.27 -21.03 -11.80 32.73 1.00 rw[32] -16.60 2.83 -16.72 -20.63 -11.27 33.94 1.00 rw[33] -17.04 2.82 -17.07 -21.57 -12.51 32.94 1.00 rw[34] -17.45 2.84 -17.34 -22.43 -13.32 33.34 1.00 rw[35] -17.75 2.89 -17.64 -22.12 -12.72 32.78 1.00 rw[36] -18.10 2.92 -18.00 -22.60 -12.92 32.50 1.00 rw[37] -18.33 2.91 -18.32 -22.98 -13.44 32.73 1.00 rw[38] -18.51 2.96 -18.44 -23.12 -13.46 34.26 1.00 rw[39] -18.70 2.92 -18.63 -23.05 -13.66 34.47 1.00 rw[40] -18.81 2.92 -18.75 -23.37 -13.92 35.47 1.00 rw[41] -18.91 2.90 -18.94 -23.66 -14.45 35.69 1.00 rw[42] -18.98 2.90 -18.88 -23.99 -14.48 34.98 1.00 rw[43] -18.98 2.88 -19.02 -23.70 -14.22 36.45 1.00 rw[44] -18.97 2.90 -18.93 -23.65 -14.07 34.65 1.00 rw[45] -18.97 2.91 -18.91 -23.48 -14.19 32.89 1.00 rw[46] -18.92 2.91 -18.92 -23.33 -13.79 31.25 1.00 rw[47] -18.83 2.91 -18.85 -23.28 -13.86 29.75 1.00 rw[48] -18.76 2.92 -18.78 -23.71 -14.32 31.27 1.00 rw[49] -18.67 2.91 -18.64 -23.96 -14.50 33.23 1.00 rw[50] -18.53 2.90 -18.53 -23.05 -13.53 34.67 1.00 rw[51] -18.43 2.92 -18.46 -23.56 -13.93 34.69 1.00 rw[52] -18.23 2.88 -18.28 -23.54 -13.95 36.98 1.00 rw[53] -18.07 2.89 -18.05 -22.85 -13.23 38.69 1.00 rw[54] -17.83 2.92 -17.84 -22.54 -12.92 36.21 1.00 rw[55] -17.66 2.83 -17.65 -22.51 -13.04 36.74 1.00 rw[56] -17.48 2.85 -17.42 -22.32 -12.80 35.37 1.00 rw[57] -17.32 2.81 -17.31 -22.16 -12.86 35.06 1.00 rw[58] -17.16 2.79 -17.11 -22.29 -13.01 37.28 1.00 rw[59] -16.98 2.77 -16.96 -21.44 -12.26 35.20 1.00 rw[60] -16.77 2.75 -16.73 -21.46 -12.24 40.28 1.00 rw[61] -16.58 2.76 -16.56 -21.09 -12.09 38.14 1.00 rw[62] -16.32 2.74 -16.28 -20.67 -11.76 39.40 1.00 rw[63] -16.14 2.74 -16.15 -20.66 -11.82 40.63 1.00 rw[64] -16.00 2.76 -16.02 -20.46 -11.41 39.13 1.00 rw[65] -15.78 2.76 -15.74 -20.55 -11.42 36.47 1.00 rw[66] -15.63 2.80 -15.59 -20.26 -11.20 33.70 1.00 rw[67] -15.48 2.78 -15.49 -20.03 -11.14 30.56 1.00 rw[68] -15.30 2.80 -15.35 -19.85 -10.88 30.24 1.00 rw[69] -15.22 2.80 -15.25 -19.45 -10.56 31.68 1.00 rw[70] -15.12 2.77 -15.26 -19.33 -10.46 29.94 1.00 rw[71] -14.99 2.82 -15.02 -19.43 -10.32 30.30 1.00 rw[72] -14.88 2.77 -14.96 -19.34 -10.18 32.23 1.00 rw[73] -14.77 2.76 -14.79 -19.18 -10.11 30.02 1.00 rw[74] -14.67 2.76 -14.62 -19.12 -10.01 29.25 1.00 rw[75] -14.59 2.78 -14.75 -19.15 -10.07 28.17 1.00 rw[76] -14.47 2.80 -14.59 -19.39 -10.23 28.93 1.00 rw[77] -14.35 2.80 -14.40 -18.53 -9.40 31.34 1.00 rw[78] -14.37 2.80 -14.47 -18.82 -9.78 31.66 1.00 rw[79] -14.33 2.80 -14.46 -18.49 -9.50 31.72 1.00 rw[80] -14.28 2.75 -14.38 -18.14 -9.45 31.59 1.00 rw[81] -14.16 2.80 -14.29 -18.42 -9.33 30.67 1.00 rw[82] -14.15 2.81 -14.23 -18.70 -9.34 29.83 1.00 rw[83] -14.05 2.80 -14.03 -18.83 -9.60 29.80 1.00 rw[84] -14.04 2.82 -14.09 -18.78 -9.42 29.91 1.00 rw[85] -14.02 2.82 -14.01 -18.24 -8.99 31.04 1.00 rw[86] -13.96 2.84 -13.99 -18.36 -9.18 28.99 1.00 rw[87] -13.93 2.79 -14.00 -18.53 -9.52 29.90 1.00 rw[88] -13.87 2.73 -13.93 -18.38 -9.61 29.83 1.00 rw[89] -13.77 2.77 -13.86 -18.17 -9.26 29.00 1.00 rw[90] -13.79 2.80 -13.87 -18.25 -9.28 28.46 1.00 rw[91] -13.70 2.80 -13.68 -18.14 -9.23 29.15 1.00 rw[92] -13.67 2.83 -13.68 -18.14 -8.99 29.34 1.00 rw[93] -13.62 2.82 -13.64 -17.92 -8.72 31.16 1.00 rw[94] -13.50 2.80 -13.54 -17.77 -8.44 32.16 1.00 rw[95] -13.37 2.77 -13.41 -17.32 -8.20 34.72 1.00 rw[96] -13.27 2.79 -13.31 -17.91 -8.75 34.05 1.00 rw[97] -13.18 2.82 -13.23 -17.53 -8.34 34.03 1.00 rw[98] -13.04 2.81 -13.04 -18.02 -8.73 34.07 1.00 rw[99] -12.87 2.81 -12.94 -17.32 -8.05 32.27 1.00 rw[100] -12.82 2.83 -12.83 -17.42 -8.30 31.90 1.00 rw[101] -12.74 2.81 -12.81 -17.01 -7.88 32.91 1.00 rw[102] -12.71 2.81 -12.76 -17.39 -8.34 35.57 1.00 rw[103] -12.66 2.76 -12.67 -16.74 -7.91 36.15 1.00 rw[104] -12.52 2.75 -12.51 -16.88 -8.01 37.13 1.00 rw[105] -12.39 2.76 -12.42 -16.89 -7.92 34.53 1.00 rw[106] -12.25 2.78 -12.27 -16.22 -7.04 32.59 1.00 rw[107] -12.09 2.79 -12.14 -16.39 -7.19 33.42 1.00 rw[108] -12.02 2.70 -12.10 -16.56 -7.81 32.94 1.00 rw[109] -11.87 2.69 -12.01 -16.06 -7.19 33.37 1.00 rw[110] -11.78 2.69 -11.86 -15.86 -7.03 33.24 1.00 rw[111] -11.66 2.66 -11.82 -15.70 -7.24 31.28 1.00 rw[112] -11.55 2.67 -11.73 -16.16 -7.55 31.85 1.00 rw[113] -11.47 2.65 -11.51 -15.84 -7.42 31.39 1.00 rw[114] -11.31 2.68 -11.40 -15.54 -6.88 29.83 1.00 rw[115] -11.25 2.69 -11.36 -15.25 -6.42 27.96 1.00 rw[116] -11.25 2.69 -11.26 -15.68 -7.03 27.83 1.00 rw[117] -11.19 2.71 -11.25 -15.56 -6.71 27.33 1.00 rw[118] -11.14 2.70 -11.22 -15.52 -6.78 26.18 1.00 rw[119] -11.10 2.68 -11.12 -15.71 -6.96 25.48 1.00 rw[120] -11.09 2.71 -11.01 -15.39 -6.62 24.97 1.00 rw[121] -10.99 2.70 -10.89 -15.54 -6.75 26.09 1.00 rw[122] -10.98 2.69 -11.00 -15.45 -6.81 25.91 1.00 rw[123] -11.01 2.67 -11.08 -15.34 -6.73 25.88 1.00 rw[124] -11.07 2.66 -11.10 -15.10 -6.58 26.39 1.00 rw[125] -11.19 2.66 -11.24 -15.41 -6.98 26.51 1.00 rw[126] -11.31 2.64 -11.44 -15.09 -6.55 27.24 1.00 rw[127] -11.35 2.63 -11.40 -15.70 -7.18 27.57 1.00 rw[128] -11.53 2.63 -11.59 -16.01 -7.54 26.96 1.00 rw[129] -11.64 2.64 -11.69 -16.06 -7.36 28.56 1.00 rw[130] -11.74 2.64 -11.82 -16.33 -7.64 27.73 1.00 rw[131] -11.83 2.71 -11.88 -16.23 -7.38 27.11 1.00 rw[132] -12.00 2.73 -12.12 -16.36 -7.36 27.70 1.00 rw[133] -12.19 2.73 -12.35 -16.39 -7.49 29.74 1.00 rw[134] -12.42 2.73 -12.57 -16.29 -7.43 31.60 1.00 rw[135] -12.58 2.72 -12.78 -16.92 -7.98 31.74 1.00 rw[136] -12.81 2.75 -13.02 -17.44 -8.36 31.56 1.00 rw[137] -13.03 2.78 -13.17 -17.62 -8.45 31.86 1.00 rw[138] -13.28 2.78 -13.40 -17.91 -8.84 31.54 1.00 rw[139] -13.50 2.76 -13.64 -17.94 -9.04 32.33 1.00 rw[140] -13.66 2.73 -13.76 -18.46 -9.25 32.79 1.00 rw[141] -13.86 2.66 -13.99 -18.45 -9.71 32.87 1.00 rw[142] -14.11 2.71 -14.29 -18.00 -8.96 31.62 1.00 rw[143] -14.27 2.66 -14.41 -18.50 -9.80 32.01 1.00 rw[144] -14.45 2.70 -14.52 -19.02 -10.23 33.62 1.00 rw[145] -14.62 2.71 -14.67 -19.00 -10.08 34.63 1.00 rw[146] -14.76 2.72 -14.85 -18.82 -9.95 34.98 1.00 rw[147] -14.92 2.69 -14.97 -19.43 -10.55 33.49 1.00 rw[148] -15.05 2.72 -15.15 -19.70 -10.71 32.42 1.00 rw[149] -15.20 2.69 -15.26 -19.95 -11.09 34.39 1.00 rw[150] -15.41 2.66 -15.36 -19.79 -11.10 32.70 1.00 rw[151] -15.53 2.60 -15.43 -20.17 -11.58 32.95 1.00 rw[152] -15.65 2.62 -15.54 -19.69 -11.31 30.80 1.00 rw[153] -15.73 2.61 -15.64 -20.14 -11.67 29.43 1.00 rw[154] -15.86 2.67 -15.80 -20.39 -11.78 28.55 1.00 rw[155] -16.02 2.70 -15.99 -20.42 -11.68 29.06 1.00 rw[156] -16.12 2.67 -16.10 -21.03 -12.21 27.82 1.00 rw[157] -16.14 2.71 -16.20 -20.79 -11.97 29.00 1.00 rw[158] -16.15 2.73 -16.17 -20.53 -11.69 30.47 1.00 rw[159] -16.17 2.77 -16.17 -20.52 -11.16 27.98 1.00 rw[160] -16.21 2.84 -16.24 -20.77 -11.37 29.85 1.00 rw[161] -16.24 2.90 -16.33 -20.84 -11.39 27.49 1.00 rw[162] -16.26 2.86 -16.25 -21.11 -11.74 26.80 1.00 rw[163] -16.21 2.87 -16.21 -21.01 -11.90 27.93 1.00 rw[164] -16.14 2.89 -16.23 -20.47 -11.13 28.02 1.00 rw[165] -16.10 2.89 -16.20 -20.56 -11.04 27.38 1.00 rw[166] -16.02 2.92 -16.04 -20.34 -10.88 28.67 1.00 rw[167] -15.99 2.87 -15.99 -20.92 -11.48 28.29 1.00 rw[168] -15.87 2.85 -15.89 -20.48 -11.38 27.14 1.00 rw[169] -15.72 2.81 -15.76 -19.99 -10.91 27.00 1.00 rw[170] -15.58 2.79 -15.71 -20.17 -11.08 29.51 1.00 rw[171] -15.51 2.76 -15.60 -19.97 -11.02 30.95 1.00 rw[172] -15.39 2.80 -15.41 -20.32 -11.17 29.06 1.00 rw[173] -15.27 2.79 -15.22 -19.73 -10.65 27.95 1.00 rw[174] -15.13 2.74 -15.20 -19.19 -9.99 30.17 1.00 rw[175] -15.02 2.72 -15.06 -19.90 -10.93 30.93 1.00 rw[176] -14.89 2.71 -14.98 -18.74 -9.62 29.32 1.00 rw[177] -14.78 2.68 -14.88 -19.09 -10.38 28.04 1.00 rw[178] -14.65 2.66 -14.73 -19.07 -10.30 27.29 1.00 rw[179] -14.58 2.61 -14.64 -19.26 -10.83 27.08 1.00 rw[180] -14.49 2.59 -14.54 -18.75 -10.34 29.82 1.00 rw[181] -14.36 2.61 -14.40 -18.48 -9.98 31.29 1.00 rw[182] -14.28 2.58 -14.33 -18.86 -10.40 29.35 1.00 rw[183] -14.17 2.53 -14.17 -18.87 -10.54 27.74 1.00 rw[184] -14.09 2.47 -14.20 -18.02 -10.07 26.58 1.00 rw[185] -14.00 2.37 -14.09 -18.04 -10.29 25.36 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1063.02 1.00 Number of divergences: 0