mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.85 1.01 0.53 0.00 1.97 1220.43 1.00 E0 42.59 37.04 32.65 0.11 92.59 306.39 1.00 H0 1.48 1.51 1.03 0.00 3.38 1531.08 1.00 I0 27.73 16.36 24.40 4.31 48.41 131.42 1.02 beta0 2.61 0.65 2.47 1.74 3.58 28.77 1.05 confirmed_dispersion 0.40 0.06 0.40 0.31 0.50 1622.94 1.00 death_dispersion 0.39 0.03 0.39 0.34 0.45 1884.05 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 861.40 1.00 death_rate 0.08 0.01 0.08 0.07 0.10 759.48 1.00 det_prob0 0.31 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.40 1392.17 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1529.57 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.01 0.50 0.48 0.53 1532.79 1.00 rw[0] 0.01 1.02 0.06 -1.57 1.67 164.13 1.01 rw[1] 0.18 1.40 0.22 -2.10 2.54 86.83 1.02 rw[2] 0.39 1.69 0.39 -2.20 3.33 65.98 1.03 rw[3] 0.63 1.90 0.66 -2.14 3.98 55.31 1.04 rw[4] 0.87 2.10 0.98 -2.44 4.26 48.33 1.03 rw[5] 1.11 2.24 1.26 -2.48 4.71 44.33 1.04 rw[6] 1.22 2.37 1.34 -2.64 5.04 39.87 1.05 rw[7] 1.21 2.51 1.33 -2.82 5.14 39.56 1.05 rw[8] 1.05 2.58 1.19 -3.86 4.60 38.72 1.05 rw[9] 0.66 2.65 0.80 -3.58 4.82 37.23 1.05 rw[10] 0.16 2.68 0.31 -4.04 4.39 37.88 1.04 rw[11] -0.53 2.68 -0.29 -4.66 3.87 36.40 1.04 rw[12] -1.28 2.68 -1.13 -5.37 3.12 35.97 1.04 rw[13] -2.07 2.70 -1.92 -6.17 2.55 34.93 1.04 rw[14] -2.96 2.63 -2.85 -7.28 1.27 33.46 1.06 rw[15] -3.82 2.62 -3.73 -7.71 0.58 33.23 1.06 rw[16] -4.73 2.63 -4.58 -9.41 -0.86 31.90 1.06 rw[17] -5.61 2.63 -5.46 -9.72 -1.10 32.67 1.06 rw[18] -6.54 2.64 -6.34 -11.17 -2.58 34.63 1.05 rw[19] -7.60 2.66 -7.40 -11.84 -3.25 32.26 1.06 rw[20] -8.71 2.66 -8.46 -13.16 -4.75 33.45 1.05 rw[21] -9.84 2.67 -9.55 -14.12 -5.50 34.75 1.05 rw[22] -10.99 2.67 -10.75 -15.55 -7.01 37.45 1.04 rw[23] -12.13 2.74 -11.90 -16.26 -7.32 39.12 1.03 rw[24] -13.21 2.73 -13.01 -17.44 -8.73 38.02 1.04 rw[25] -14.29 2.73 -14.11 -18.42 -9.62 39.06 1.04 rw[26] -15.33 2.76 -15.18 -19.42 -10.66 37.17 1.03 rw[27] -16.34 2.77 -16.22 -20.88 -12.02 37.07 1.03 rw[28] -17.25 2.80 -17.10 -21.54 -12.82 37.53 1.04 rw[29] -18.11 2.81 -18.02 -22.42 -13.66 41.46 1.03 rw[30] -18.93 2.81 -18.92 -23.56 -14.43 42.49 1.02 rw[31] -19.62 2.87 -19.50 -23.96 -14.82 44.07 1.03 rw[32] -20.22 2.90 -20.00 -24.53 -15.59 44.14 1.02 rw[33] -20.74 2.86 -20.60 -25.22 -16.21 45.50 1.02 rw[34] -21.18 2.88 -21.06 -26.03 -17.00 45.95 1.02 rw[35] -21.54 2.85 -21.34 -25.61 -16.60 40.15 1.03 rw[36] -21.79 2.91 -21.60 -25.96 -16.62 40.72 1.03 rw[37] -22.04 2.95 -21.88 -26.68 -17.06 41.57 1.03 rw[38] -22.22 2.96 -22.00 -26.53 -16.99 40.97 1.03 rw[39] -22.33 3.00 -22.17 -27.62 -18.02 43.28 1.03 rw[40] -22.38 2.94 -22.18 -27.00 -17.60 41.10 1.04 rw[41] -22.37 2.91 -22.17 -26.97 -17.68 41.99 1.04 rw[42] -22.34 2.97 -22.11 -27.21 -17.66 40.33 1.04 rw[43] -22.26 2.98 -22.13 -27.89 -18.07 39.54 1.04 rw[44] -22.19 2.97 -22.01 -27.46 -17.83 39.06 1.04 rw[45] -22.01 2.95 -21.88 -27.34 -17.76 38.16 1.04 rw[46] -21.83 2.93 -21.65 -26.42 -16.84 38.74 1.05 rw[47] -21.69 2.96 -21.50 -26.98 -17.32 38.08 1.05 rw[48] -21.53 2.96 -21.33 -26.45 -16.97 37.69 1.05 rw[49] -21.37 2.99 -21.31 -26.20 -16.63 40.21 1.05 rw[50] -21.19 2.99 -21.14 -25.97 -16.25 42.70 1.05 rw[51] -21.04 3.01 -20.82 -26.22 -16.70 43.77 1.04 rw[52] -20.94 3.01 -20.91 -25.58 -16.03 43.36 1.05 rw[53] -20.81 2.93 -20.58 -25.41 -16.01 43.86 1.04 rw[54] -20.70 2.92 -20.54 -25.56 -16.32 46.39 1.04 rw[55] -20.51 2.92 -20.27 -25.36 -16.06 45.73 1.05 rw[56] -20.30 2.94 -20.18 -24.96 -15.75 44.94 1.04 rw[57] -20.19 2.89 -20.06 -24.79 -15.67 43.67 1.04 rw[58] -20.06 2.89 -20.00 -24.41 -15.30 45.06 1.04 rw[59] -19.93 2.88 -19.72 -24.56 -15.17 45.51 1.03 rw[60] -19.76 2.85 -19.55 -24.23 -15.08 46.26 1.04 rw[61] -19.66 2.82 -19.48 -24.36 -15.19 48.74 1.03 rw[62] -19.52 2.79 -19.35 -24.03 -14.87 48.00 1.04 rw[63] -19.42 2.84 -19.29 -23.92 -14.77 44.42 1.03 rw[64] -19.31 2.84 -19.18 -23.49 -14.22 41.61 1.04 rw[65] -19.14 2.85 -18.95 -23.82 -14.38 41.30 1.05 rw[66] -19.01 2.86 -18.83 -23.95 -14.65 42.39 1.04 rw[67] -18.88 2.86 -18.70 -23.43 -14.28 40.64 1.04 rw[68] -18.81 2.86 -18.59 -23.54 -14.45 38.17 1.04 rw[69] -18.70 2.82 -18.51 -23.18 -14.24 38.47 1.04 rw[70] -18.61 2.86 -18.42 -23.85 -14.50 42.76 1.04 rw[71] -18.51 2.79 -18.38 -23.14 -14.02 40.32 1.04 rw[72] -18.43 2.80 -18.24 -22.68 -13.51 40.28 1.04 rw[73] -18.36 2.80 -18.18 -23.20 -14.05 44.15 1.04 rw[74] -18.30 2.83 -18.12 -23.03 -13.80 40.95 1.04 rw[75] -18.23 2.80 -18.06 -22.34 -13.31 42.63 1.04 rw[76] -18.09 2.82 -17.92 -22.71 -13.53 41.31 1.04 rw[77] -18.02 2.83 -17.82 -22.34 -13.46 40.89 1.04 rw[78] -17.97 2.85 -17.83 -22.26 -13.19 46.11 1.03 rw[79] -17.95 2.80 -17.78 -22.29 -13.45 46.28 1.03 rw[80] -17.95 2.79 -17.79 -22.34 -13.20 43.67 1.04 rw[81] -17.90 2.80 -17.73 -22.19 -13.23 42.56 1.04 rw[82] -17.91 2.80 -17.79 -22.57 -13.72 40.56 1.05 rw[83] -17.89 2.82 -17.73 -22.51 -13.31 39.77 1.05 rw[84] -17.86 2.81 -17.58 -22.45 -13.41 42.82 1.04 rw[85] -17.89 2.80 -17.69 -22.76 -13.68 41.49 1.04 rw[86] -17.88 2.82 -17.63 -22.14 -13.15 37.88 1.05 rw[87] -17.87 2.77 -17.74 -22.14 -13.38 37.61 1.05 rw[88] -17.86 2.76 -17.80 -22.62 -13.76 35.73 1.05 rw[89] -17.88 2.75 -17.84 -22.29 -13.56 34.10 1.05 rw[90] -17.84 2.76 -17.81 -22.23 -13.39 32.59 1.05 rw[91] -17.86 2.77 -17.73 -22.09 -13.26 34.42 1.05 rw[92] -17.85 2.80 -17.71 -22.38 -13.31 35.49 1.05 rw[93] -17.86 2.82 -17.72 -22.86 -13.62 34.99 1.05 rw[94] -17.82 2.83 -17.73 -22.44 -13.29 35.70 1.05 rw[95] -17.76 2.79 -17.74 -22.64 -13.63 38.40 1.05 rw[96] -17.71 2.82 -17.64 -22.32 -13.20 38.66 1.05 rw[97] -17.65 2.86 -17.57 -22.88 -13.50 41.06 1.05 rw[98] -17.52 2.90 -17.44 -21.89 -12.52 42.27 1.05 rw[99] -17.37 2.88 -17.25 -22.36 -13.07 40.94 1.05 rw[100] -17.29 2.90 -17.25 -22.39 -12.99 39.18 1.05 rw[101] -17.22 2.86 -17.13 -21.92 -12.59 42.36 1.05 rw[102] -17.09 2.82 -17.05 -21.95 -12.55 43.21 1.04 rw[103] -16.98 2.80 -16.93 -21.41 -12.42 42.45 1.04 rw[104] -16.83 2.80 -16.81 -21.10 -11.77 41.61 1.04 rw[105] -16.73 2.80 -16.72 -21.17 -12.04 43.23 1.03 rw[106] -16.61 2.84 -16.55 -21.12 -11.95 44.33 1.03 rw[107] -16.53 2.79 -16.43 -20.70 -11.92 45.17 1.03 rw[108] -16.45 2.78 -16.33 -20.81 -11.79 44.80 1.03 rw[109] -16.36 2.73 -16.21 -20.59 -11.62 41.12 1.04 rw[110] -16.31 2.77 -16.18 -20.31 -11.21 42.02 1.04 rw[111] -16.25 2.77 -16.06 -20.67 -11.73 42.61 1.04 rw[112] -16.15 2.80 -15.94 -21.19 -12.05 40.36 1.04 rw[113] -16.08 2.80 -15.86 -20.44 -11.22 42.28 1.04 rw[114] -16.10 2.76 -15.87 -20.50 -11.50 41.55 1.04 rw[115] -16.11 2.74 -16.00 -20.32 -11.52 39.14 1.04 rw[116] -16.07 2.70 -15.97 -20.16 -11.51 39.77 1.04 rw[117] -16.12 2.69 -15.94 -20.27 -11.74 40.29 1.04 rw[118] -16.20 2.73 -16.05 -20.50 -11.92 37.45 1.04 rw[119] -16.21 2.67 -16.05 -20.49 -11.89 36.06 1.04 rw[120] -16.23 2.65 -16.09 -20.39 -11.87 37.43 1.04 rw[121] -16.29 2.68 -16.15 -20.68 -12.11 36.17 1.05 rw[122] -16.38 2.66 -16.19 -20.77 -12.34 34.76 1.05 rw[123] -16.38 2.72 -16.19 -20.64 -12.14 35.24 1.05 rw[124] -16.42 2.72 -16.25 -20.87 -12.00 36.63 1.04 rw[125] -16.49 2.74 -16.27 -21.25 -12.45 37.56 1.04 rw[126] -16.50 2.69 -16.31 -20.60 -11.95 38.21 1.04 rw[127] -16.66 2.70 -16.38 -21.05 -12.41 37.61 1.04 rw[128] -16.74 2.73 -16.56 -21.27 -12.50 36.02 1.04 rw[129] -16.71 2.71 -16.46 -21.33 -12.45 36.90 1.04 rw[130] -16.75 2.76 -16.67 -21.32 -12.25 37.37 1.04 rw[131] -16.81 2.79 -16.68 -21.13 -12.05 36.20 1.06 rw[132] -16.85 2.83 -16.72 -21.29 -12.28 35.64 1.06 rw[133] -16.96 2.83 -16.83 -20.97 -11.92 36.33 1.05 rw[134] -17.02 2.81 -16.87 -21.56 -12.59 37.34 1.06 rw[135] -17.04 2.75 -16.87 -21.48 -12.70 38.95 1.05 rw[136] -17.02 2.83 -16.96 -21.46 -12.53 38.95 1.05 rw[137] -17.06 2.87 -16.87 -21.73 -12.62 40.57 1.05 rw[138] -17.09 2.84 -16.85 -21.49 -12.61 39.65 1.05 rw[139] -17.02 2.76 -16.95 -21.52 -12.68 40.63 1.05 rw[140] -16.99 2.74 -16.79 -21.37 -12.44 42.88 1.04 rw[141] -17.02 2.79 -16.91 -21.77 -12.77 41.24 1.04 rw[142] -17.00 2.80 -16.93 -21.81 -12.74 41.03 1.04 rw[143] -16.91 2.82 -16.80 -21.04 -12.01 39.87 1.04 rw[144] -16.82 2.83 -16.70 -21.31 -12.29 39.85 1.04 rw[145] -16.71 2.76 -16.67 -21.43 -12.55 40.39 1.04 rw[146] -16.58 2.72 -16.45 -21.34 -12.62 41.03 1.04 rw[147] -16.52 2.66 -16.37 -20.69 -12.07 42.59 1.04 rw[148] -16.41 2.64 -16.27 -20.89 -12.21 41.51 1.04 rw[149] -16.33 2.65 -16.29 -20.38 -11.70 38.66 1.05 rw[150] -16.31 2.63 -16.18 -20.50 -12.05 37.60 1.06 rw[151] -16.18 2.66 -16.01 -20.33 -11.75 39.41 1.05 rw[152] -16.11 2.74 -15.99 -20.46 -11.48 41.17 1.05 rw[153] -15.96 2.66 -15.85 -19.82 -11.05 39.52 1.05 rw[154] -15.87 2.66 -15.74 -20.10 -11.62 36.69 1.05 rw[155] -15.81 2.63 -15.63 -19.73 -11.31 37.49 1.05 rw[156] -15.71 2.62 -15.47 -19.80 -11.42 38.08 1.05 rw[157] -15.53 2.69 -15.37 -19.88 -11.13 36.64 1.05 rw[158] -15.47 2.66 -15.33 -19.66 -11.15 37.40 1.05 rw[159] -15.32 2.70 -15.11 -19.76 -11.08 36.70 1.05 rw[160] -15.25 2.69 -14.97 -19.91 -11.14 38.26 1.04 rw[161] -15.15 2.73 -14.94 -19.75 -10.73 38.25 1.04 rw[162] -15.05 2.72 -14.87 -19.36 -10.80 37.19 1.04 rw[163] -14.96 2.73 -14.76 -19.74 -10.92 35.80 1.04 rw[164] -14.85 2.72 -14.74 -19.53 -10.80 37.43 1.04 rw[165] -14.73 2.76 -14.61 -19.80 -10.66 39.40 1.04 rw[166] -14.64 2.78 -14.45 -18.95 -9.76 38.19 1.04 rw[167] -14.62 2.79 -14.48 -19.23 -10.22 38.32 1.05 rw[168] -14.64 2.80 -14.48 -19.18 -9.95 37.76 1.05 rw[169] -14.61 2.77 -14.48 -18.98 -9.97 38.94 1.05 rw[170] -14.61 2.76 -14.37 -18.82 -10.19 38.54 1.06 rw[171] -14.62 2.73 -14.42 -18.77 -10.01 39.99 1.05 rw[172] -14.61 2.75 -14.46 -18.56 -9.56 41.09 1.05 rw[173] -14.62 2.69 -14.49 -18.77 -10.12 38.50 1.05 rw[174] -14.61 2.66 -14.39 -18.42 -9.93 37.18 1.05 rw[175] -14.59 2.68 -14.43 -18.66 -10.11 36.23 1.05 rw[176] -14.61 2.67 -14.44 -18.96 -10.43 38.06 1.04 rw[177] -14.61 2.65 -14.40 -19.09 -10.62 37.08 1.04 rw[178] -14.61 2.65 -14.46 -18.77 -10.11 37.30 1.04 rw[179] -14.58 2.69 -14.42 -18.91 -10.26 35.89 1.05 rw[180] -14.50 2.70 -14.33 -19.30 -10.37 37.09 1.04 rw[181] -14.37 2.71 -14.17 -18.93 -10.16 36.05 1.04 rw[182] -14.28 2.63 -14.04 -18.27 -9.81 33.59 1.05 rw[183] -14.24 2.54 -14.01 -18.34 -10.21 32.85 1.04 rw[184] -14.19 2.48 -13.98 -17.97 -10.17 30.78 1.05 rw[185] -14.11 2.36 -13.88 -17.89 -10.46 28.92 1.05 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1264.47 1.00 Number of divergences: 0