mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.77 0.83 0.51 0.00 1.77 1311.58 1.00 E0 1.46 1.31 1.04 0.00 3.45 942.55 1.00 H0 0.80 0.71 0.61 0.00 1.77 1391.58 1.00 I0 2.13 1.57 1.81 0.01 4.56 1337.84 1.00 beta0 0.12 0.10 0.09 0.00 0.25 497.19 1.00 confirmed_dispersion 0.33 0.13 0.32 0.12 0.52 622.52 1.00 death_dispersion 0.34 0.13 0.33 0.13 0.54 753.50 1.00 death_prob 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.02 1749.25 1.00 death_rate 0.04 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.06 2088.73 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.39 1468.87 1.00 det_prob_d 0.89 0.03 0.90 0.84 0.95 1036.48 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1405.82 1.00 rw[0] -0.11 1.00 -0.11 -1.87 1.40 630.40 1.00 rw[1] -0.16 1.41 -0.18 -2.45 2.19 407.92 1.00 rw[2] -0.20 1.74 -0.18 -3.28 2.39 330.38 1.00 rw[3] -0.28 1.98 -0.33 -3.41 2.97 267.63 1.00 rw[4] -0.30 2.17 -0.29 -3.78 3.26 264.50 1.00 rw[5] -0.37 2.40 -0.35 -3.95 3.62 239.31 1.00 rw[6] -0.45 2.60 -0.49 -4.89 3.35 234.76 1.00 rw[7] -0.49 2.74 -0.47 -4.88 3.74 235.80 1.00 rw[8] -0.54 3.00 -0.57 -5.27 4.52 228.74 1.00 rw[9] -0.57 3.12 -0.68 -6.00 4.12 213.37 1.00 rw[10] -0.61 3.32 -0.65 -5.81 4.89 211.04 1.00 rw[11] -0.67 3.50 -0.77 -6.26 5.00 204.67 1.00 rw[12] -0.63 3.61 -0.64 -6.42 5.25 184.31 1.00 rw[13] -0.70 3.76 -0.57 -6.68 5.57 175.37 1.00 rw[14] -0.74 3.92 -0.57 -6.92 5.81 161.21 1.00 rw[15] -0.75 4.08 -0.64 -6.96 6.28 152.31 1.00 rw[16] -0.71 4.18 -0.65 -6.88 6.60 157.35 1.00 rw[17] -0.73 4.31 -0.74 -7.83 5.96 151.08 1.00 rw[18] -0.73 4.42 -0.57 -7.66 6.74 143.88 1.00 rw[19] -0.70 4.50 -0.65 -7.44 6.95 141.80 1.00 rw[20] -0.72 4.60 -0.58 -7.81 6.80 136.68 1.00 rw[21] -0.76 4.71 -0.72 -7.72 7.46 130.11 1.00 rw[22] -0.82 4.85 -0.75 -8.27 7.35 127.48 1.00 rw[23] -0.81 4.92 -0.75 -8.38 7.45 121.46 1.00 rw[24] -0.80 5.01 -0.66 -10.16 6.20 115.70 1.00 rw[25] -0.80 5.12 -0.72 -9.40 7.36 113.21 1.00 rw[26] -0.79 5.17 -0.77 -9.76 7.08 111.06 1.00 rw[27] -0.85 5.22 -0.73 -8.52 8.38 108.14 1.00 rw[28] -0.85 5.32 -0.89 -9.29 7.93 106.60 1.00 rw[29] -0.85 5.39 -0.99 -9.40 8.13 102.69 1.00 rw[30] -0.85 5.55 -0.89 -10.13 7.83 102.65 1.00 rw[31] -0.90 5.67 -0.88 -10.09 8.32 100.65 1.00 rw[32] -0.94 5.70 -0.89 -9.65 8.55 98.97 1.00 rw[33] -0.97 5.80 -1.00 -10.25 8.29 100.32 1.00 rw[34] -0.95 5.90 -0.93 -10.39 8.46 101.25 1.00 rw[35] -1.01 6.01 -0.93 -10.30 8.94 100.72 1.00 rw[36] -1.00 6.09 -0.81 -9.68 9.97 96.95 1.00 rw[37] -1.01 6.17 -0.95 -10.87 9.12 97.44 1.00 rw[38] -1.03 6.24 -0.88 -12.00 8.33 95.42 1.00 rw[39] -1.04 6.37 -0.78 -11.29 9.07 96.41 1.00 rw[40] -1.07 6.48 -0.92 -11.31 9.32 94.98 1.00 rw[41] -1.11 6.48 -1.01 -11.88 8.89 92.64 1.00 rw[42] -1.09 6.54 -0.87 -11.66 9.61 92.59 1.00 rw[43] -1.14 6.62 -1.10 -12.13 9.65 94.84 1.00 rw[44] -1.14 6.68 -0.92 -11.74 10.19 95.12 1.00 rw[45] -1.16 6.76 -1.06 -12.68 9.21 95.43 1.00 rw[46] -1.15 6.89 -1.00 -12.60 9.95 95.54 1.00 rw[47] -1.16 6.94 -1.14 -12.98 9.42 94.86 1.00 rw[48] -1.16 6.99 -0.82 -13.26 9.49 95.29 1.00 rw[49] -1.16 7.09 -0.72 -13.59 9.42 94.80 1.00 rw[50] -1.20 7.15 -0.91 -13.36 10.06 95.74 1.00 rw[51] -1.16 7.26 -0.86 -12.45 11.14 96.11 1.00 rw[52] -1.25 7.37 -1.07 -13.00 10.95 96.07 1.00 rw[53] -1.22 7.43 -1.06 -13.11 11.26 96.15 1.00 rw[54] -1.23 7.45 -1.22 -13.29 11.30 92.95 1.00 rw[55] -1.28 7.52 -1.21 -13.76 11.30 93.38 1.00 rw[56] -1.32 7.63 -1.45 -14.82 10.82 92.89 1.00 rw[57] -1.33 7.64 -1.28 -14.54 11.02 92.12 1.00 rw[58] -1.31 7.64 -1.30 -14.08 11.20 91.88 1.00 rw[59] -1.31 7.64 -1.30 -14.48 11.03 92.68 1.00 rw[60] -1.30 7.75 -1.37 -14.30 11.54 92.71 1.00 rw[61] -1.30 7.82 -1.21 -15.96 10.27 92.80 1.00 rw[62] -1.32 7.85 -1.29 -15.98 10.56 90.87 1.00 rw[63] -1.34 7.95 -1.22 -14.32 12.42 92.26 1.00 rw[64] -1.35 8.01 -1.15 -15.33 11.60 92.87 1.00 rw[65] -1.37 8.04 -1.00 -15.35 11.70 92.77 1.00 rw[66] -1.43 8.14 -1.14 -15.10 12.49 92.78 1.00 rw[67] -1.47 8.16 -1.22 -16.32 11.29 93.12 1.00 rw[68] -1.52 8.24 -1.32 -16.24 11.33 92.72 1.00 rw[69] -1.49 8.33 -1.28 -14.96 12.71 91.95 1.00 rw[70] -1.47 8.40 -1.30 -14.70 13.33 91.71 1.00 rw[71] -1.47 8.41 -1.33 -17.35 11.02 91.94 1.00 rw[72] -1.46 8.49 -1.28 -14.65 13.59 91.98 1.00 rw[73] -1.43 8.51 -1.28 -16.93 11.59 93.62 1.00 rw[74] -1.45 8.59 -1.23 -16.04 12.74 92.96 1.00 rw[75] -1.46 8.65 -1.47 -15.61 13.21 93.14 1.00 rw[76] -1.48 8.68 -1.21 -15.07 13.84 94.71 1.00 rw[77] -1.47 8.68 -1.03 -15.36 13.24 95.29 1.00 rw[78] -1.48 8.75 -1.12 -15.89 12.93 95.88 1.00 rw[79] -1.52 8.74 -1.15 -15.34 13.07 96.14 1.00 rw[80] -1.55 8.75 -1.37 -14.08 14.92 96.50 1.00 rw[81] -1.55 8.84 -1.37 -16.31 12.97 97.54 1.00 rw[82] -1.59 8.81 -1.41 -15.26 13.63 97.92 1.00 rw[83] -1.66 8.86 -1.52 -15.14 13.75 97.29 1.00 rw[84] -1.69 8.88 -1.32 -16.91 11.98 97.98 1.00 rw[85] -1.67 8.92 -1.44 -17.76 11.46 97.49 1.00 rw[86] -1.70 8.87 -1.40 -15.60 13.21 97.25 1.00 rw[87] -1.70 8.93 -1.45 -15.74 13.09 98.33 1.00 rw[88] -1.78 8.96 -1.48 -16.30 12.55 97.79 1.00 rw[89] -1.82 9.05 -1.46 -15.36 13.85 97.06 1.00 rw[90] -1.87 9.11 -1.56 -16.99 12.00 97.93 1.00 rw[91] -1.88 9.14 -1.57 -15.47 14.09 97.81 1.00 rw[92] -1.87 9.13 -1.69 -16.63 12.91 97.99 1.00 rw[93] -1.87 9.17 -1.43 -17.42 12.04 99.04 1.00 rw[94] -1.90 9.16 -1.28 -17.00 12.44 98.41 1.00 rw[95] -1.92 9.22 -1.51 -16.61 12.88 97.81 1.00 rw[96] -1.92 9.25 -1.46 -16.43 12.83 97.61 1.00 rw[97] -1.97 9.26 -1.45 -17.55 11.96 97.69 1.00 rw[98] -2.01 9.36 -1.49 -18.39 11.54 98.90 1.00 rw[99] -2.05 9.43 -1.56 -17.54 12.80 101.08 1.00 rw[100] -2.02 9.46 -1.27 -18.58 11.76 101.10 1.00 rw[101] -2.04 9.52 -1.68 -17.91 12.57 100.94 1.00 rw[102] -2.02 9.55 -1.60 -17.48 13.03 100.43 1.00 rw[103] -2.03 9.61 -1.98 -17.95 12.98 99.91 1.00 rw[104] -2.02 9.65 -2.05 -17.79 12.87 100.07 1.00 rw[105] -2.06 9.66 -1.89 -17.70 13.34 99.06 1.00 rw[106] -2.01 9.64 -1.97 -17.74 12.67 98.83 1.00 rw[107] -2.06 9.72 -1.90 -17.49 12.85 98.96 1.00 rw[108] -2.07 9.73 -1.91 -17.79 13.06 98.98 1.00 rw[109] -2.10 9.74 -1.89 -17.21 13.77 98.03 1.00 rw[110] -2.16 9.79 -1.97 -19.31 12.40 98.26 1.00 rw[111] -2.22 9.82 -1.80 -19.64 12.22 98.54 1.00 rw[112] -2.24 9.85 -1.65 -19.53 11.96 98.75 1.00 rw[113] -2.26 9.84 -1.69 -19.53 12.26 99.18 1.00 rw[114] -2.22 9.88 -1.60 -19.30 12.32 100.93 1.00 rw[115] -2.22 9.90 -1.74 -19.52 12.39 101.66 1.00 rw[116] -2.29 9.90 -1.87 -19.15 12.61 100.87 1.00 rw[117] -2.30 9.96 -1.92 -19.31 12.99 100.17 1.00 rw[118] -2.31 9.98 -1.92 -17.74 14.52 99.00 1.00 rw[119] -2.41 10.00 -2.20 -17.38 14.95 99.07 1.01 rw[120] -2.43 10.05 -2.21 -18.71 13.59 97.50 1.00 rw[121] -2.43 10.12 -2.14 -16.85 15.95 97.75 1.00 rw[122] -2.51 10.17 -2.01 -19.30 13.45 97.93 1.00 rw[123] -2.51 10.18 -1.93 -18.80 13.80 98.03 1.00 rw[124] -2.45 10.20 -1.69 -19.94 12.65 98.68 1.00 rw[125] -2.46 10.22 -1.70 -19.05 13.50 98.64 1.00 rw[126] -2.48 10.22 -1.96 -19.59 12.68 98.33 1.00 rw[127] -2.48 10.26 -1.89 -18.26 14.07 98.59 1.00 rw[128] -2.51 10.30 -1.76 -18.91 13.42 99.85 1.00 rw[129] -2.53 10.35 -1.81 -18.59 14.22 99.94 1.00 rw[130] -2.60 10.40 -1.90 -18.02 14.85 98.29 1.00 rw[131] -2.59 10.45 -2.04 -18.66 14.64 97.84 1.00 rw[132] -2.63 10.44 -1.97 -18.14 14.81 98.50 1.00 rw[133] -2.60 10.51 -1.95 -20.17 13.14 99.54 1.00 rw[134] -2.55 10.54 -1.80 -18.87 14.51 100.39 1.00 rw[135] -2.51 10.54 -1.77 -19.25 13.70 100.85 1.00 rw[136] -2.53 10.59 -1.64 -19.19 13.63 102.12 1.00 rw[137] -2.55 10.64 -1.69 -18.90 14.39 102.83 1.00 rw[138] -2.62 10.66 -1.84 -20.23 13.31 103.25 1.00 rw[139] -2.67 10.66 -1.72 -19.80 13.74 102.40 1.00 rw[140] -2.63 10.69 -1.78 -20.33 12.96 102.87 1.00 rw[141] -2.64 10.78 -1.89 -19.73 14.01 103.12 1.00 rw[142] -2.62 10.80 -1.77 -18.95 14.92 103.40 1.00 rw[143] -2.68 10.88 -1.78 -18.49 15.48 103.38 1.00 rw[144] -2.75 10.95 -1.84 -18.25 15.72 104.13 1.00 rw[145] -2.77 10.99 -1.67 -19.66 14.76 104.57 1.00 rw[146] -2.76 10.96 -1.92 -18.44 16.04 104.20 1.00 rw[147] -2.72 10.97 -1.90 -18.73 15.33 104.75 1.00 rw[148] -2.68 10.97 -2.03 -18.28 15.75 105.22 1.00 rw[149] -2.73 11.05 -1.96 -19.62 14.85 105.52 1.00 rw[150] -2.76 11.05 -2.06 -19.01 15.24 105.52 1.00 rw[151] -2.78 11.04 -2.01 -19.54 14.80 106.63 1.00 rw[152] -2.80 11.06 -2.00 -18.95 15.65 107.03 1.00 rw[153] -2.84 11.11 -1.98 -20.80 13.84 107.50 1.00 rw[154] -2.86 11.21 -1.98 -20.77 14.75 108.03 1.00 rw[155] -2.91 11.26 -1.98 -21.00 13.94 109.05 1.00 rw[156] -2.94 11.29 -2.09 -19.97 15.69 109.62 1.00 rw[157] -2.94 11.31 -2.06 -20.53 15.08 110.17 1.00 rw[158] -2.96 11.36 -2.04 -21.14 14.29 110.89 1.00 rw[159] -2.97 11.41 -1.82 -21.90 13.81 111.86 1.00 rw[160] -3.03 11.44 -2.07 -21.34 14.20 111.80 1.00 rw[161] -3.00 11.44 -1.91 -21.62 14.17 111.86 1.00 rw[162] -3.01 11.52 -2.05 -21.03 15.04 113.93 1.00 rw[163] -3.02 11.57 -1.91 -21.60 14.35 114.23 1.00 rw[164] -3.03 11.56 -1.80 -20.31 15.44 113.66 1.00 rw[165] -3.04 11.61 -1.84 -20.13 15.75 114.14 1.00 rw[166] -3.05 11.64 -1.46 -21.56 14.52 114.46 1.00 rw[167] -3.03 11.71 -1.62 -20.46 16.05 115.06 1.00 rw[168] -3.05 11.68 -1.64 -20.43 16.34 115.21 1.00 rw[169] -3.10 11.71 -1.66 -21.91 15.05 114.30 1.00 rw[170] -3.11 11.71 -1.76 -22.22 14.86 116.11 1.00 rw[171] -3.10 11.71 -1.59 -21.54 15.53 116.18 1.00 rw[172] -3.15 11.76 -1.86 -24.18 13.57 116.41 1.00 rw[173] -3.18 11.74 -1.89 -23.55 14.12 116.81 1.00 rw[174] -3.13 11.78 -1.99 -22.54 14.84 117.14 1.00 rw[175] -3.14 11.78 -2.04 -21.59 15.83 116.31 1.00 rw[176] -3.15 11.84 -1.77 -22.08 14.86 115.26 1.01 rw[177] -3.14 11.86 -1.69 -21.85 15.42 115.90 1.01 rw[178] -3.14 11.90 -1.78 -21.46 15.66 117.52 1.01 rw[179] -3.18 12.01 -1.72 -21.57 16.44 118.30 1.01 rw[180] -3.13 12.05 -1.50 -23.01 14.96 118.32 1.01 rw[181] -3.12 12.14 -1.60 -23.90 14.82 118.37 1.01 rw[182] -3.16 12.20 -1.78 -22.78 15.39 119.30 1.01 rw[183] -3.13 12.24 -2.08 -22.18 16.22 120.28 1.00 rw[184] -3.12 12.27 -1.81 -22.36 15.96 122.04 1.01 rw[185] -3.19 12.28 -1.84 -21.81 16.11 121.50 1.01 rw[186] -3.19 12.31 -1.75 -22.87 15.60 122.17 1.01 rw[187] -3.18 12.32 -1.97 -23.33 15.18 123.61 1.00 rw[188] -3.17 12.39 -1.97 -22.94 15.89 125.77 1.00 rw[189] -3.18 12.42 -2.22 -22.55 16.53 126.95 1.00 rw[190] -3.18 12.45 -2.10 -23.10 16.20 127.79 1.00 rw[191] -3.19 12.45 -2.21 -22.97 16.57 129.29 1.00 rw[192] -3.14 12.46 -2.04 -23.94 16.03 129.86 1.00 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1966.93 1.00 Number of divergences: 0