mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 0.62 0.67 0.40 0.00 1.56 1350.77 1.00 E0 11.60 12.80 7.32 0.00 27.92 100.62 1.04 H0 1.37 1.45 0.92 0.00 3.33 1427.04 1.00 I0 4.42 4.81 2.91 0.02 9.97 67.11 1.05 beta0 2.16 0.54 2.07 1.36 3.03 9.73 1.36 confirmed_dispersion 0.60 0.07 0.59 0.50 0.72 1055.39 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1443.47 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.03 1266.44 1.00 death_rate 0.07 0.01 0.07 0.05 0.10 740.01 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.29 0.19 0.40 1614.09 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1166.17 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1517.20 1.00 rw[0] 0.04 0.97 0.04 -1.63 1.53 423.52 1.01 rw[1] 0.11 1.35 0.09 -1.89 2.46 160.66 1.03 rw[2] 0.23 1.60 0.23 -2.21 2.96 73.99 1.04 rw[3] 0.35 1.81 0.40 -2.70 3.20 53.30 1.05 rw[4] 0.55 1.93 0.51 -3.02 3.31 39.81 1.08 rw[5] 0.67 2.07 0.63 -2.98 3.82 33.63 1.09 rw[6] 0.71 2.23 0.78 -2.60 4.68 29.22 1.11 rw[7] 0.69 2.37 0.68 -3.17 4.70 27.40 1.12 rw[8] 0.54 2.50 0.52 -3.45 4.90 23.77 1.13 rw[9] 0.30 2.61 0.31 -4.36 4.21 20.50 1.16 rw[10] -0.08 2.66 -0.02 -4.48 4.35 17.98 1.18 rw[11] -0.62 2.70 -0.45 -4.68 4.30 17.48 1.20 rw[12] -1.22 2.73 -1.10 -5.55 3.34 15.95 1.22 rw[13] -1.98 2.73 -1.90 -6.59 2.42 15.30 1.23 rw[14] -2.77 2.79 -2.70 -7.63 1.59 14.48 1.24 rw[15] -3.65 2.82 -3.52 -7.85 1.32 13.87 1.25 rw[16] -4.51 2.87 -4.42 -8.81 0.41 12.92 1.27 rw[17] -5.34 2.89 -5.22 -9.80 -0.55 11.59 1.30 rw[18] -6.23 2.91 -6.14 -11.46 -2.13 11.43 1.30 rw[19] -7.04 2.88 -6.96 -11.39 -2.13 11.66 1.31 rw[20] -7.84 2.85 -7.78 -12.87 -3.63 11.92 1.30 rw[21] -8.70 2.83 -8.62 -13.55 -4.39 12.19 1.28 rw[22] -9.60 2.83 -9.59 -14.16 -5.03 12.13 1.28 rw[23] -10.44 2.80 -10.45 -14.99 -5.77 12.57 1.28 rw[24] -11.25 2.78 -11.16 -15.46 -6.34 12.13 1.28 rw[25] -12.02 2.79 -11.93 -16.90 -7.73 13.23 1.27 rw[26] -12.71 2.78 -12.58 -16.79 -7.79 12.46 1.26 rw[27] -13.31 2.73 -13.24 -17.69 -8.76 13.69 1.25 rw[28] -13.82 2.72 -13.64 -18.38 -9.36 13.88 1.23 rw[29] -14.21 2.72 -14.23 -18.51 -9.80 14.42 1.23 rw[30] -14.55 2.73 -14.50 -19.20 -10.35 13.77 1.24 rw[31] -14.74 2.73 -14.66 -19.26 -10.22 12.97 1.25 rw[32] -14.88 2.76 -14.77 -19.22 -10.48 13.25 1.24 rw[33] -14.97 2.74 -14.88 -19.32 -10.43 12.98 1.24 rw[34] -14.95 2.75 -14.95 -19.50 -10.76 12.13 1.28 rw[35] -14.98 2.77 -14.90 -19.48 -10.70 11.42 1.30 rw[36] -14.92 2.79 -14.69 -19.37 -10.56 12.23 1.28 rw[37] -14.92 2.78 -14.70 -19.43 -10.70 12.53 1.28 rw[38] -14.89 2.81 -14.64 -19.85 -10.78 12.69 1.28 rw[39] -14.88 2.84 -14.65 -19.71 -10.60 12.18 1.30 rw[40] -14.80 2.87 -14.37 -19.63 -10.23 12.45 1.30 rw[41] -14.80 2.87 -14.55 -19.81 -10.49 13.01 1.29 rw[42] -14.78 2.87 -14.55 -19.62 -10.50 13.95 1.27 rw[43] -14.80 2.86 -14.58 -19.72 -10.46 13.07 1.28 rw[44] -14.86 2.82 -14.65 -19.57 -10.54 13.93 1.26 rw[45] -14.96 2.88 -14.87 -19.53 -10.13 14.19 1.26 rw[46] -14.98 2.89 -14.82 -19.60 -10.12 14.86 1.24 rw[47] -15.05 2.94 -14.95 -19.58 -10.09 14.91 1.25 rw[48] -15.19 2.92 -15.03 -19.78 -10.47 14.67 1.25 rw[49] -15.28 2.91 -15.13 -19.92 -10.58 14.47 1.25 rw[50] -15.36 2.89 -15.19 -19.83 -10.56 13.68 1.26 rw[51] -15.45 2.90 -15.26 -20.36 -10.90 13.88 1.26 rw[52] -15.58 2.88 -15.45 -19.90 -10.42 14.08 1.25 rw[53] -15.73 2.87 -15.55 -20.11 -10.67 14.27 1.25 rw[54] -15.80 2.87 -15.64 -20.14 -10.72 14.44 1.25 rw[55] -15.97 2.89 -15.82 -20.73 -11.31 14.79 1.24 rw[56] -16.10 2.92 -15.89 -20.75 -11.20 15.91 1.22 rw[57] -16.21 2.88 -16.08 -21.14 -11.69 14.94 1.22 rw[58] -16.28 2.86 -16.24 -21.33 -11.93 14.85 1.22 rw[59] -16.45 2.83 -16.36 -20.92 -11.88 14.20 1.23 rw[60] -16.54 2.84 -16.38 -21.34 -12.11 14.17 1.23 rw[61] -16.62 2.84 -16.51 -21.33 -12.20 13.38 1.25 rw[62] -16.67 2.83 -16.56 -21.31 -12.26 12.89 1.27 rw[63] -16.75 2.86 -16.63 -21.40 -12.10 12.86 1.27 rw[64] -16.80 2.81 -16.74 -21.25 -11.86 13.10 1.26 rw[65] -16.84 2.85 -16.74 -21.41 -12.28 12.89 1.27 rw[66] -16.87 2.87 -16.80 -21.65 -12.39 12.86 1.27 rw[67] -16.90 2.88 -16.75 -21.59 -12.15 12.07 1.29 rw[68] -16.93 2.88 -16.84 -21.92 -12.58 12.18 1.29 rw[69] -16.93 2.89 -16.87 -21.58 -12.08 12.76 1.27 rw[70] -16.86 2.92 -16.69 -21.66 -12.17 12.53 1.27 rw[71] -16.78 2.91 -16.65 -21.51 -12.05 12.10 1.29 rw[72] -16.70 2.91 -16.51 -21.51 -11.99 11.81 1.29 rw[73] -16.59 2.92 -16.47 -21.07 -11.64 12.27 1.27 rw[74] -16.45 2.93 -16.28 -21.50 -12.07 13.02 1.25 rw[75] -16.36 2.92 -16.18 -21.01 -11.65 13.67 1.23 rw[76] -16.22 2.94 -16.08 -20.66 -11.20 14.38 1.23 rw[77] -16.03 2.95 -15.85 -21.33 -11.70 14.20 1.23 rw[78] -15.89 2.93 -15.81 -20.49 -11.05 13.98 1.23 rw[79] -15.75 2.86 -15.72 -20.58 -11.18 14.58 1.22 rw[80] -15.60 2.87 -15.44 -20.01 -10.57 14.88 1.22 rw[81] -15.46 2.81 -15.31 -19.78 -10.64 14.51 1.24 rw[82] -15.34 2.85 -15.22 -19.68 -10.43 14.76 1.24 rw[83] -15.25 2.85 -15.13 -19.87 -10.79 14.59 1.23 rw[84] -15.26 2.83 -15.20 -20.18 -11.09 15.25 1.24 rw[85] -15.24 2.84 -15.18 -19.47 -10.29 15.42 1.22 rw[86] -15.25 2.81 -15.09 -19.55 -10.44 15.60 1.22 rw[87] -15.31 2.81 -15.19 -19.92 -10.83 14.99 1.24 rw[88] -15.36 2.83 -15.29 -19.87 -10.90 13.94 1.25 rw[89] -15.41 2.84 -15.29 -20.24 -11.17 14.16 1.24 rw[90] -15.45 2.79 -15.34 -19.61 -10.73 15.12 1.21 rw[91] -15.53 2.79 -15.49 -20.27 -11.35 14.78 1.22 rw[92] -15.60 2.82 -15.66 -20.23 -11.24 14.23 1.22 rw[93] -15.68 2.79 -15.75 -20.19 -11.18 13.68 1.22 rw[94] -15.74 2.79 -15.66 -20.14 -11.05 13.60 1.22 rw[95] -15.80 2.83 -15.74 -20.38 -11.33 13.80 1.23 rw[96] -15.81 2.84 -15.72 -20.16 -11.31 13.06 1.24 rw[97] -15.84 2.82 -15.74 -20.06 -11.21 13.47 1.23 rw[98] -15.90 2.81 -15.77 -19.89 -10.84 13.73 1.23 rw[99] -15.91 2.80 -15.86 -20.09 -11.19 13.68 1.23 rw[100] -15.87 2.89 -15.86 -20.42 -11.09 13.64 1.25 rw[101] -15.82 2.89 -15.79 -20.23 -10.81 13.46 1.25 rw[102] -15.79 2.91 -15.86 -20.26 -10.83 14.14 1.24 rw[103] -15.69 2.96 -15.79 -20.58 -10.78 14.85 1.22 rw[104] -15.56 2.95 -15.55 -20.28 -10.82 13.78 1.24 rw[105] -15.40 2.95 -15.38 -20.09 -10.71 13.35 1.26 rw[106] -15.19 2.97 -15.10 -19.97 -10.47 12.90 1.27 rw[107] -15.03 2.94 -14.97 -20.23 -10.59 12.30 1.28 rw[108] -14.87 2.90 -14.87 -19.86 -10.34 12.50 1.27 rw[109] -14.64 2.87 -14.64 -19.33 -10.14 12.66 1.27 rw[110] -14.47 2.89 -14.32 -19.37 -10.08 13.57 1.26 rw[111] -14.28 2.92 -14.12 -19.15 -9.60 13.37 1.26 rw[112] -14.10 2.92 -13.95 -19.13 -9.50 13.37 1.26 rw[113] -14.00 2.87 -13.96 -19.08 -9.69 14.05 1.27 rw[114] -13.83 2.84 -13.73 -18.66 -9.43 14.30 1.26 rw[115] -13.73 2.86 -13.62 -18.67 -9.15 13.81 1.27 rw[116] -13.64 2.81 -13.50 -18.60 -9.40 13.37 1.28 rw[117] -13.55 2.79 -13.45 -17.91 -8.81 14.85 1.25 rw[118] -13.47 2.80 -13.34 -18.34 -9.00 14.12 1.24 rw[119] -13.36 2.78 -13.19 -17.71 -8.40 13.93 1.25 rw[120] -13.32 2.76 -13.22 -17.73 -8.73 13.30 1.26 rw[121] -13.29 2.77 -13.20 -17.63 -8.72 13.39 1.26 rw[122] -13.25 2.71 -13.10 -17.77 -8.90 13.53 1.26 rw[123] -13.24 2.72 -13.07 -17.66 -8.71 12.72 1.27 rw[124] -13.20 2.72 -13.04 -17.57 -8.64 12.86 1.26 rw[125] -13.15 2.72 -13.01 -17.38 -8.59 13.00 1.25 rw[126] -13.13 2.76 -13.02 -17.51 -8.46 13.98 1.23 rw[127] -13.13 2.78 -13.04 -17.54 -8.19 14.44 1.22 rw[128] -13.14 2.81 -13.02 -18.00 -8.68 13.71 1.23 rw[129] -13.13 2.79 -13.04 -17.92 -8.83 13.17 1.24 rw[130] -13.14 2.77 -12.91 -18.12 -9.14 12.47 1.26 rw[131] -13.22 2.78 -13.11 -17.84 -8.74 12.89 1.25 rw[132] -13.27 2.83 -13.20 -18.16 -8.96 12.77 1.26 rw[133] -13.33 2.85 -13.18 -17.96 -8.62 12.56 1.25 rw[134] -13.35 2.86 -13.26 -17.75 -8.49 13.22 1.24 rw[135] -13.40 2.87 -13.37 -17.95 -8.74 13.43 1.25 rw[136] -13.43 2.87 -13.28 -18.10 -8.63 12.97 1.25 rw[137] -13.45 2.85 -13.25 -18.53 -9.39 13.29 1.24 rw[138] -13.46 2.84 -13.37 -18.48 -9.11 13.21 1.25 rw[139] -13.47 2.81 -13.31 -18.24 -9.13 12.59 1.25 rw[140] -13.42 2.84 -13.20 -18.28 -9.04 12.67 1.26 rw[141] -13.42 2.78 -13.23 -17.58 -8.62 13.12 1.26 rw[142] -13.44 2.77 -13.27 -18.01 -9.04 12.84 1.26 rw[143] -13.45 2.80 -13.31 -17.93 -9.01 12.80 1.26 rw[144] -13.50 2.81 -13.32 -17.54 -8.56 12.15 1.27 rw[145] -13.48 2.77 -13.32 -18.03 -9.08 12.05 1.28 rw[146] -13.47 2.77 -13.38 -18.22 -9.27 11.70 1.29 rw[147] -13.45 2.83 -13.41 -17.73 -8.56 11.97 1.28 rw[148] -13.46 2.87 -13.42 -18.09 -8.95 12.38 1.28 rw[149] -13.50 2.81 -13.42 -18.26 -9.25 12.52 1.28 rw[150] -13.54 2.82 -13.57 -18.25 -9.03 12.90 1.27 rw[151] -13.59 2.81 -13.48 -18.37 -9.26 12.96 1.27 rw[152] -13.72 2.83 -13.59 -18.52 -9.43 13.49 1.26 rw[153] -13.84 2.76 -13.73 -18.47 -9.47 13.01 1.28 rw[154] -14.00 2.79 -13.96 -18.61 -9.61 12.55 1.28 rw[155] -14.18 2.77 -14.11 -19.04 -9.70 13.29 1.26 rw[156] -14.41 2.80 -14.19 -19.16 -10.06 12.52 1.27 rw[157] -14.61 2.75 -14.50 -19.11 -10.19 12.75 1.26 rw[158] -14.82 2.74 -14.74 -18.93 -9.94 12.79 1.27 rw[159] -14.96 2.76 -14.95 -19.10 -10.08 12.13 1.26 rw[160] -15.05 2.76 -15.02 -20.00 -10.98 13.26 1.24 rw[161] -15.14 2.78 -15.10 -19.35 -10.35 13.34 1.25 rw[162] -15.20 2.84 -15.17 -19.85 -10.70 13.00 1.25 rw[163] -15.23 2.78 -15.18 -19.92 -10.89 13.18 1.26 rw[164] -15.21 2.78 -15.09 -19.59 -10.67 13.48 1.26 rw[165] -15.18 2.82 -15.09 -19.63 -10.56 12.60 1.28 rw[166] -15.09 2.79 -15.06 -20.36 -11.03 13.49 1.26 rw[167] -14.98 2.78 -14.83 -19.93 -10.53 13.64 1.26 rw[168] -14.88 2.75 -14.84 -18.95 -9.74 13.26 1.26 rw[169] -14.72 2.74 -14.57 -19.19 -10.08 14.00 1.26 rw[170] -14.60 2.77 -14.43 -18.93 -9.82 13.51 1.26 rw[171] -14.44 2.73 -14.25 -18.79 -9.82 13.28 1.26 rw[172] -14.39 2.73 -14.14 -19.30 -10.26 13.23 1.27 rw[173] -14.29 2.74 -14.16 -18.66 -9.73 14.70 1.23 rw[174] -14.17 2.76 -14.03 -18.55 -9.57 12.95 1.25 rw[175] -14.13 2.75 -14.05 -18.94 -9.90 13.10 1.26 rw[176] -14.03 2.73 -14.00 -18.07 -9.21 12.44 1.28 rw[177] -13.93 2.77 -13.79 -18.32 -9.37 11.85 1.29 rw[178] -13.83 2.79 -13.68 -18.00 -8.75 12.69 1.27 rw[179] -13.75 2.78 -13.71 -18.11 -9.03 12.31 1.27 rw[180] -13.69 2.73 -13.64 -18.13 -9.24 13.21 1.25 rw[181] -13.65 2.78 -13.58 -18.08 -9.07 12.96 1.25 rw[182] -13.60 2.79 -13.60 -17.67 -8.88 12.69 1.25 rw[183] -13.59 2.83 -13.62 -18.38 -9.26 13.16 1.24 rw[184] -13.53 2.83 -13.49 -18.25 -8.90 12.87 1.26 rw[185] -13.46 2.80 -13.41 -17.84 -8.72 12.52 1.27 rw[186] -13.36 2.79 -13.33 -17.95 -8.97 12.95 1.27 rw[187] -13.21 2.79 -13.08 -18.09 -9.06 12.81 1.29 rw[188] -13.09 2.73 -12.93 -17.84 -8.92 12.31 1.29 rw[189] -12.98 2.74 -12.87 -17.35 -8.40 12.23 1.28 rw[190] -12.79 2.68 -12.60 -17.08 -8.52 11.54 1.30 rw[191] -12.63 2.58 -12.45 -16.76 -8.43 11.56 1.31 rw[192] -12.50 2.47 -12.29 -16.74 -8.54 10.44 1.34 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1056.10 1.01 Number of divergences: 0