mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.11 1.69 0.57 0.00 2.63 962.07 1.00 E0 33.32 32.94 22.15 0.00 77.21 155.36 1.01 H0 1.73 1.88 1.14 0.00 4.10 1211.13 1.00 I0 11.43 11.98 7.60 0.00 26.49 303.96 1.01 beta0 1.97 0.51 1.87 1.26 2.74 29.89 1.04 confirmed_dispersion 0.99 0.08 0.98 0.84 1.12 1244.80 1.00 death_dispersion 0.49 0.04 0.49 0.43 0.56 1088.03 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.02 0.04 1041.92 1.00 death_rate 0.06 0.01 0.06 0.05 0.08 692.79 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.06 0.30 0.20 0.41 1001.82 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1396.34 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.47 0.53 1292.38 1.00 rw[0] 0.10 0.97 0.11 -1.36 1.75 424.59 1.00 rw[1] 0.21 1.37 0.23 -1.89 2.57 254.62 1.00 rw[2] 0.32 1.63 0.30 -2.40 2.98 194.89 1.00 rw[3] 0.50 1.83 0.48 -2.41 3.67 151.43 1.00 rw[4] 0.63 2.02 0.63 -2.59 3.99 111.06 1.00 rw[5] 0.75 2.11 0.81 -2.60 4.15 91.37 1.00 rw[6] 0.83 2.21 0.87 -2.86 4.25 72.73 1.01 rw[7] 0.77 2.26 0.86 -2.77 4.53 61.89 1.01 rw[8] 0.66 2.39 0.80 -3.26 4.54 56.24 1.02 rw[9] 0.47 2.48 0.65 -3.45 4.49 50.43 1.02 rw[10] 0.23 2.54 0.28 -3.58 4.68 50.12 1.02 rw[11] -0.17 2.58 -0.07 -4.10 4.16 45.63 1.02 rw[12] -0.63 2.65 -0.38 -5.24 3.46 42.81 1.03 rw[13] -1.24 2.73 -1.05 -5.47 3.51 38.64 1.03 rw[14] -1.92 2.80 -1.68 -6.66 2.64 41.45 1.03 rw[15] -2.71 2.88 -2.53 -7.55 2.01 37.29 1.03 rw[16] -3.52 2.84 -3.27 -8.14 1.16 38.53 1.02 rw[17] -4.41 2.89 -4.19 -9.28 0.14 36.76 1.03 rw[18] -5.35 2.93 -5.11 -9.68 -0.14 37.53 1.03 rw[19] -6.31 2.95 -6.01 -10.80 -1.35 38.57 1.03 rw[20] -7.32 2.93 -7.13 -12.12 -2.61 39.05 1.03 rw[21] -8.22 2.96 -8.06 -12.91 -3.41 37.11 1.03 rw[22] -9.13 2.94 -8.91 -14.41 -4.66 35.50 1.03 rw[23] -10.01 2.89 -9.82 -15.13 -5.71 34.71 1.04 rw[24] -10.80 2.89 -10.63 -15.71 -6.24 36.17 1.03 rw[25] -11.55 2.87 -11.29 -16.09 -6.88 34.36 1.04 rw[26] -12.33 2.87 -12.12 -16.74 -7.43 37.21 1.03 rw[27] -13.09 2.88 -12.93 -17.79 -8.55 38.22 1.03 rw[28] -13.73 2.86 -13.63 -17.94 -8.75 39.57 1.03 rw[29] -14.37 2.91 -14.18 -19.35 -9.92 42.31 1.02 rw[30] -14.96 2.97 -14.96 -19.86 -10.20 43.05 1.02 rw[31] -15.42 2.94 -15.44 -20.11 -10.55 45.00 1.02 rw[32] -15.87 2.96 -15.75 -20.49 -10.82 42.21 1.02 rw[33] -16.29 3.01 -16.26 -21.38 -11.64 42.90 1.01 rw[34] -16.66 2.96 -16.59 -21.32 -11.55 45.23 1.01 rw[35] -17.01 2.99 -16.91 -21.47 -11.73 46.34 1.01 rw[36] -17.35 2.99 -17.28 -22.44 -12.67 48.18 1.01 rw[37] -17.60 2.99 -17.52 -22.45 -12.44 45.26 1.01 rw[38] -17.72 2.99 -17.57 -22.66 -12.94 45.00 1.02 rw[39] -17.85 3.00 -17.73 -23.66 -13.78 46.10 1.02 rw[40] -18.03 2.97 -17.90 -23.71 -13.94 44.68 1.02 rw[41] -18.04 2.99 -17.78 -23.47 -13.69 47.78 1.02 rw[42] -18.07 3.02 -17.93 -23.17 -13.24 47.20 1.02 rw[43] -18.11 3.05 -17.93 -23.05 -13.12 48.57 1.02 rw[44] -18.08 3.06 -17.91 -23.03 -13.12 51.50 1.03 rw[45] -18.07 3.08 -17.87 -23.24 -13.19 51.82 1.03 rw[46] -18.06 3.10 -17.91 -22.53 -12.28 50.83 1.03 rw[47] -17.97 3.12 -17.81 -23.18 -13.11 53.35 1.03 rw[48] -17.89 3.09 -17.64 -22.30 -12.33 50.04 1.03 rw[49] -17.78 3.10 -17.58 -22.45 -12.23 47.38 1.03 rw[50] -17.66 3.05 -17.48 -22.32 -12.47 47.53 1.03 rw[51] -17.52 3.09 -17.24 -23.23 -13.00 45.72 1.03 rw[52] -17.44 3.08 -17.17 -22.10 -11.98 40.04 1.03 rw[53] -17.26 3.07 -17.07 -22.54 -12.56 40.83 1.03 rw[54] -17.09 3.05 -16.85 -22.01 -12.00 41.19 1.03 rw[55] -16.89 3.06 -16.56 -21.71 -11.83 41.48 1.03 rw[56] -16.67 3.06 -16.41 -21.30 -11.48 41.82 1.03 rw[57] -16.52 3.07 -16.22 -21.31 -11.42 39.48 1.03 rw[58] -16.38 3.07 -16.09 -21.09 -11.22 38.53 1.04 rw[59] -16.18 3.03 -16.04 -20.93 -11.32 38.71 1.04 rw[60] -16.00 3.00 -15.90 -21.16 -11.26 38.69 1.04 rw[61] -15.80 3.02 -15.73 -20.60 -10.96 40.05 1.03 rw[62] -15.63 2.99 -15.49 -20.40 -10.86 37.59 1.03 rw[63] -15.51 3.01 -15.32 -20.09 -10.57 39.58 1.03 rw[64] -15.32 2.94 -15.16 -19.29 -9.76 43.33 1.02 rw[65] -15.17 2.96 -15.04 -19.64 -10.33 40.61 1.03 rw[66] -15.03 2.94 -14.90 -19.36 -10.07 41.73 1.03 rw[67] -14.89 2.93 -14.79 -19.59 -10.40 40.12 1.03 rw[68] -14.81 2.95 -14.68 -19.54 -10.08 40.05 1.03 rw[69] -14.68 2.94 -14.50 -19.75 -10.00 40.37 1.03 rw[70] -14.52 2.92 -14.40 -19.27 -9.72 39.88 1.03 rw[71] -14.44 2.88 -14.39 -19.09 -9.67 42.78 1.02 rw[72] -14.32 2.91 -14.09 -19.20 -9.69 42.67 1.03 rw[73] -14.23 2.92 -14.11 -19.31 -9.63 42.69 1.03 rw[74] -14.12 2.90 -14.11 -18.58 -8.89 45.35 1.02 rw[75] -14.03 2.89 -14.08 -18.71 -9.16 44.36 1.02 rw[76] -13.97 2.96 -13.98 -19.12 -9.23 47.03 1.02 rw[77] -13.87 2.95 -13.76 -18.65 -8.97 46.39 1.02 rw[78] -13.83 2.93 -13.77 -18.28 -8.57 48.15 1.02 rw[79] -13.75 2.93 -13.77 -18.44 -8.75 45.86 1.02 rw[80] -13.68 2.95 -13.58 -18.54 -9.01 47.59 1.02 rw[81] -13.62 2.94 -13.54 -18.69 -8.85 44.92 1.02 rw[82] -13.59 2.95 -13.53 -18.80 -8.88 44.30 1.03 rw[83] -13.45 3.00 -13.27 -18.15 -8.18 42.14 1.03 rw[84] -13.39 3.01 -13.23 -18.10 -8.08 42.91 1.03 rw[85] -13.35 3.01 -13.23 -18.42 -8.49 44.33 1.03 rw[86] -13.28 3.02 -13.23 -18.48 -8.60 44.34 1.03 rw[87] -13.26 3.01 -13.08 -18.25 -8.32 40.81 1.03 rw[88] -13.21 3.02 -13.01 -18.06 -8.24 42.27 1.02 rw[89] -13.20 2.97 -12.97 -17.87 -8.08 41.00 1.02 rw[90] -13.14 2.98 -12.96 -17.85 -8.05 41.89 1.02 rw[91] -13.01 2.98 -12.80 -18.55 -8.66 40.93 1.02 rw[92] -12.92 2.99 -12.63 -17.56 -7.75 40.17 1.02 rw[93] -12.83 2.93 -12.66 -17.81 -8.32 40.33 1.02 rw[94] -12.74 2.98 -12.45 -17.62 -7.83 38.62 1.02 rw[95] -12.63 2.94 -12.33 -17.15 -7.54 39.27 1.02 rw[96] -12.56 2.91 -12.32 -17.60 -7.89 40.12 1.02 rw[97] -12.43 2.91 -12.12 -16.96 -7.42 38.27 1.03 rw[98] -12.31 2.92 -12.11 -17.74 -8.05 35.42 1.03 rw[99] -12.22 2.93 -12.04 -17.16 -7.79 38.57 1.02 rw[100] -12.15 2.90 -11.87 -16.48 -7.08 40.52 1.03 rw[101] -12.04 2.91 -11.71 -16.60 -7.16 38.00 1.03 rw[102] -11.94 2.91 -11.73 -16.71 -7.13 36.78 1.03 rw[103] -11.83 2.90 -11.70 -16.32 -6.95 37.22 1.03 rw[104] -11.77 2.86 -11.62 -16.36 -7.03 36.81 1.03 rw[105] -11.67 2.84 -11.58 -16.34 -7.09 39.80 1.03 rw[106] -11.55 2.84 -11.35 -15.83 -6.62 41.80 1.03 rw[107] -11.36 2.86 -11.22 -15.94 -6.76 42.79 1.02 rw[108] -11.29 2.83 -11.14 -15.77 -6.75 42.64 1.02 rw[109] -11.14 2.77 -10.99 -15.27 -6.35 44.97 1.02 rw[110] -11.04 2.79 -10.97 -15.62 -6.54 44.01 1.02 rw[111] -10.95 2.84 -10.80 -15.47 -6.52 44.64 1.02 rw[112] -10.85 2.82 -10.73 -14.94 -5.72 42.58 1.02 rw[113] -10.74 2.88 -10.71 -15.39 -6.15 42.34 1.02 rw[114] -10.61 2.85 -10.39 -15.63 -6.15 42.62 1.02 rw[115] -10.53 2.88 -10.30 -15.64 -6.18 39.95 1.02 rw[116] -10.47 2.83 -10.40 -15.26 -5.98 43.25 1.02 rw[117] -10.47 2.86 -10.24 -14.84 -5.52 41.04 1.03 rw[118] -10.41 2.87 -10.16 -14.90 -5.49 39.83 1.03 rw[119] -10.37 2.85 -10.12 -15.43 -6.08 39.03 1.03 rw[120] -10.36 2.86 -10.13 -14.92 -5.51 39.90 1.03 rw[121] -10.40 2.81 -10.16 -15.11 -5.94 37.00 1.04 rw[122] -10.42 2.83 -10.14 -15.51 -6.09 38.90 1.03 rw[123] -10.45 2.78 -10.23 -14.81 -5.76 39.73 1.03 rw[124] -10.43 2.80 -10.19 -14.64 -5.32 42.97 1.03 rw[125] -10.51 2.77 -10.36 -14.55 -5.47 42.72 1.03 rw[126] -10.62 2.77 -10.43 -14.88 -5.85 44.08 1.03 rw[127] -10.71 2.74 -10.52 -15.10 -6.19 41.13 1.03 rw[128] -10.81 2.79 -10.71 -15.29 -6.09 40.26 1.03 rw[129] -11.00 2.81 -10.86 -15.81 -6.68 38.96 1.03 rw[130] -11.15 2.84 -10.92 -15.74 -6.49 36.27 1.04 rw[131] -11.28 2.82 -11.00 -16.26 -6.93 37.18 1.03 rw[132] -11.42 2.85 -11.25 -16.48 -7.03 37.46 1.03 rw[133] -11.59 2.82 -11.41 -16.46 -7.14 37.34 1.03 rw[134] -11.80 2.84 -11.66 -16.99 -7.64 38.24 1.03 rw[135] -12.00 2.86 -11.82 -16.06 -6.75 36.76 1.03 rw[136] -12.15 2.86 -11.97 -16.96 -7.64 35.92 1.02 rw[137] -12.36 2.87 -12.22 -17.62 -8.11 35.79 1.02 rw[138] -12.57 2.92 -12.47 -17.63 -8.09 36.54 1.03 rw[139] -12.74 2.89 -12.62 -17.61 -8.25 36.77 1.02 rw[140] -12.89 2.92 -12.74 -17.75 -8.31 36.51 1.02 rw[141] -13.09 2.90 -12.83 -17.53 -8.21 36.89 1.02 rw[142] -13.27 2.91 -13.00 -17.76 -8.41 37.68 1.02 rw[143] -13.50 2.91 -13.36 -18.01 -8.61 37.91 1.02 rw[144] -13.67 2.89 -13.50 -18.21 -8.88 38.78 1.02 rw[145] -13.80 2.88 -13.56 -18.21 -9.07 37.29 1.02 rw[146] -13.90 2.88 -13.67 -18.20 -8.91 37.82 1.02 rw[147] -14.06 2.85 -13.78 -18.71 -9.43 41.61 1.02 rw[148] -14.20 2.87 -13.97 -18.90 -9.69 42.90 1.02 rw[149] -14.33 2.93 -14.11 -18.76 -9.40 44.15 1.03 rw[150] -14.45 2.90 -14.24 -19.09 -10.00 42.59 1.03 rw[151] -14.61 2.88 -14.40 -19.62 -10.30 41.10 1.03 rw[152] -14.80 2.92 -14.56 -19.69 -10.43 42.71 1.03 rw[153] -14.95 2.95 -14.74 -19.63 -10.14 43.30 1.03 rw[154] -15.07 2.98 -14.87 -19.90 -10.25 40.50 1.03 rw[155] -15.21 2.97 -15.04 -19.70 -9.96 40.19 1.04 rw[156] -15.27 2.98 -15.20 -19.71 -10.03 40.03 1.04 rw[157] -15.36 2.94 -15.24 -20.13 -10.49 41.47 1.03 rw[158] -15.41 2.95 -15.24 -20.10 -10.63 41.04 1.03 rw[159] -15.46 2.94 -15.26 -19.95 -10.15 40.70 1.04 rw[160] -15.51 2.96 -15.38 -20.51 -10.97 40.45 1.03 rw[161] -15.54 3.00 -15.35 -20.54 -10.74 42.48 1.03 rw[162] -15.53 3.00 -15.41 -20.27 -10.37 44.19 1.03 rw[163] -15.49 2.97 -15.34 -20.56 -11.01 43.67 1.03 rw[164] -15.48 2.91 -15.23 -19.97 -10.40 42.77 1.03 rw[165] -15.48 2.88 -15.26 -20.41 -10.80 42.06 1.03 rw[166] -15.37 2.85 -15.17 -20.09 -10.92 38.57 1.03 rw[167] -15.30 2.87 -15.16 -19.65 -10.41 39.46 1.03 rw[168] -15.22 2.88 -15.06 -19.93 -10.57 38.36 1.03 rw[169] -15.17 2.86 -14.97 -19.90 -10.72 40.08 1.03 rw[170] -15.07 2.85 -14.92 -20.10 -10.68 42.88 1.03 rw[171] -14.97 2.89 -14.81 -19.15 -9.82 41.06 1.03 rw[172] -14.82 2.87 -14.56 -19.87 -10.54 41.37 1.03 rw[173] -14.74 2.86 -14.40 -19.51 -10.27 43.49 1.03 rw[174] -14.66 2.85 -14.47 -18.75 -9.56 41.85 1.03 rw[175] -14.53 2.88 -14.36 -19.71 -10.30 41.09 1.03 rw[176] -14.43 2.86 -14.16 -19.07 -9.83 40.74 1.03 rw[177] -14.38 2.83 -14.13 -18.77 -9.45 40.60 1.03 rw[178] -14.28 2.84 -14.16 -18.96 -9.73 43.19 1.03 rw[179] -14.20 2.87 -14.00 -19.40 -10.09 42.05 1.02 rw[180] -14.13 2.85 -14.07 -18.55 -9.27 42.05 1.02 rw[181] -14.06 2.88 -13.84 -18.25 -8.73 40.28 1.02 rw[182] -13.99 2.88 -13.81 -18.34 -8.94 40.72 1.02 rw[183] -13.92 2.82 -13.66 -18.59 -9.48 43.52 1.01 rw[184] -13.82 2.81 -13.70 -18.97 -9.92 41.14 1.02 rw[185] -13.73 2.81 -13.45 -17.96 -9.04 42.39 1.01 rw[186] -13.68 2.84 -13.45 -17.98 -9.08 41.52 1.01 rw[187] -13.57 2.80 -13.31 -18.50 -9.36 42.25 1.02 rw[188] -13.46 2.79 -13.37 -17.95 -9.01 40.17 1.02 rw[189] -13.37 2.76 -13.12 -17.53 -8.80 39.64 1.02 rw[190] -13.23 2.70 -13.05 -17.32 -8.55 37.31 1.02 rw[191] -13.11 2.67 -12.97 -17.14 -8.50 35.90 1.03 rw[192] -12.94 2.57 -12.72 -16.86 -8.66 32.03 1.03 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 1502.16 1.00 Number of divergences: 0